Publications

The Cramér-Rao Lower Bound (CRLB) is used as a classical benchmark to assess estimators. Online algorithms for estimating modal properties from ambient data, i.e., mode meters, can benefit from accurate estimates of forced oscillations. The CRLB provides insight into how well forced oscillation parameters, e.g., frequency and amplitude, can be estimated. Previous works have solved the lower bound under a single-channel PMU measurement; thus, this paper extends works further to study CRLB under two-channel PMU measurements. The goal is to study how correlated/uncorrelated noise can affect estimation accuracy. Interestingly, these studies shows that correlated noise can decrease the CRLB in some cases. This paper derives the CRLB for the two-channel case and discusses factors that affect the bound.

This paper presents a run-to-run (R2R) controller for mechanical serial sectioning (MSS). MSS is a destructive material analysis process which repeatedly removes a thin layer of material and images the exposed surface. The images are then used to gain insight into the material properties and often to construct a 3-dimensional reconstruction of the material sample. Currently, an experience human operator selects the parameters of the MSS to achieve the desired thickness. The proposed R2R controller will automate this process while improving the precision of the material removal. The proposed R2R controller solves an optimization problem designed to minimize the variance of the material removal subject to achieving the expected target removal. This optimization problem was embedded in an R2R framework to provide iterative feedback for disturbance rejection and convergence to the target removal amount. Since an analytic model of the MSS system is unavailable, we adopted a data-driven approach to synthesize our R2R controller from historical data. The proposed R2R controller is demonstrated through simulations. Future work will empirically demonstrate the proposed R2R through experiments with a real MSS system.

Abstract not provided.

Dynamical systems subject to intermittent contact are often modeled with piecewise-smooth contact forces. However, the discontinuous nature of the contact can cause inaccuracies in numerical results or failure in numerical solvers. Representing the piecewise contact force with a continuous and smooth function can mitigate these problems, but not all continuous representations may be appropriate for this use. In this work, five representations used by previous researchers (polynomial, rational polynomial, hyperbolic tangent, arctangent, and logarithm-arctangent functions) are studied to determine which ones most accurately capture nonlinear behaviors including super- and subharmonic resonances, multiple solutions, and chaos. The test case is a single-DOF forced Duffing oscillator with freeplay nonlinearity, solved using direct time integration. This work intends to expand on past studies by determining the limits of applicability for each representation and what numerical problems may occur.

Integrating recent advancements in resilient algorithms and techniques into existing codes is a singular challenge in fault tolerance - in part due to the underlying complexity of implementing resilience in the first place, but also due to the difficulty introduced when integrating the functionality of a standalone new strategy with the preexisting resilience layers of an application. We propose that the answer is not to build integrated solutions for users, but runtimes designed to integrate into a larger comprehensive resilience system and thereby enable the necessary jump to multi-layered recovery. Our work designs, implements, and verifies one such comprehensive system of runtimes. Utilizing Fenix, a process resilience tool with integration into preexisting resilience systems as a design priority, we update Kokkos Resilience and the use pattern of VeloC to support application-level integration of resilience runtimes. Our work shows that designing integrable systems rather than integrated systems allows for user-designed optimization and upgrading of resilience techniques while maintaining the simplicity and performance of all-in-one resilience solutions. More application-specific choice in resilience strategies allows for better long-term flexibility, performance, and - importantly - simplicity.

Many teams struggle to adapt and right-size software engineering best practices for quality assurance to fit their context. Introducing software quality is not usually framed in a way that motivates teams to take action, thus resulting in it becoming a "check the box for compliance"activity instead of a cultural practice that values software quality and the effort to achieve it. When and how can we provide effective incentives for software teams to adopt and integrate meaningful and enduring software quality practices? We explored this question through a persona-based ideation exercise at the 2021 Collegeville Workshop on Scientific Software in which we created three unique personas that represent different scientific software developer perspectives.

The precise estimation of performance loss rate (PLR) of photovoltaic (PV) systems is vital for reducing investment risks and increasing the bankability of the technology. Until recently, the PLR of fielded PV systems was mainly estimated through the extraction of a linear trend from a time series of performance indicators. However, operating PV systems exhibit failures and performance losses that cause variability in the performance and may bias the PLR results obtained from linear trend techniques. Change-point (CP) methods were thus introduced to identify nonlinear trend changes and behaviour. The aim of this work is to perform a comparative analysis among different CP techniques for estimating the annual PLR of eleven grid-connected PV systems installed in Cyprus. Outdoor field measurements over an 8-year period (June 2006-June 2014) were used for the analysis. The obtained results when applying different CP algorithms to the performance ratio time series (aggregated into monthly blocks) demonstrated that the extracted trend may not always be linear but sometimes can exhibit nonlinearities. The application of different CP methods resulted to PLR values that differ by up to 0.85% per year (for the same number of CPs/segments).

A crucial component of field testing is the utilization of numerical models to better understand the system and the experimental data being collected. Meshing and modeling field tests is a complex and computationally demanding problem. Hexahedral elements cannot always reproduce experimental dimensions leading to grid orientation or geometric errors. Voronoi meshes can match complex geometries without sacrificing orthogonality. As a result, here we present a high-resolution 3D numerical study for the BATS heater test at the WIPP that compares both a standard non-deformed cartesian mesh along with a Voronoi mesh to match field data collected during a salt heater experiment.

Magnetic skyrmions are nanoscale whirls of magnetism that can be propagated with electrical currents. The repulsion between skyrmions inspires their use for reversible computing based on the elastic billiard ball collisions proposed for conservative logic in 1982. In this letter, we evaluate the logical and physical reversibility of this skyrmion logic paradigm, as well as the limitations that must be addressed before dissipation-free computation can be realized.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

In accident scenarios involving release of tritium during handling and storage, the level of risk to human health is dominated by the extent to which radioactive tritium is oxidized to the water form (T2O or THO). At some facilities, tritium inventories consist of very small quantities stored at sub-atmospheric pressure, which means that tritium release accident scenarios will likely produce concentrations in air that are well below the lower flammability limit. It is known that isotope effects on reaction rates should result in slower oxidation rates for heavier isotopes of hydrogen, but this effect has not previously been quantified for oxidation at concentrations well below the lower flammability limit for hydrogen. This work describes hydrogen isotope oxidation measurements in an atmospheric tube furnace reactor. These measurements consist of five concentration levels between 0.01% and 1% protium or deuterium and two residence times. Oxidation is observed to occur between about 550°C and 800°C, with higher levels of conversion achieved at lower temperatures for protium with respect to deuterium at the same volumetric inlet concentration and residence time. Computational fluid dynamics simulations of the experiments were used to customize reaction orders and Arrhenius parameters in a 1-step oxidation mechanism. The trends in the rates for protium and deuterium are extrapolated based on guidance from literature to produce kinetic rate parameters appropriate for tritium oxidation at low concentrations.

The focus of this study is on spectral equivalence results for higher-order tensor product finite elements in the H(curl), H(div), and L2 function spaces. For certain choices of the higher-order shape functions, the resulting mass and stiffness matrices are spectrally equivalent to those for an assembly of lowest-order edge-, face- or interior-based elements on the associated Gauss–Lobatto–Legendre (GLL) mesh.

We have extended the computational singular perturbation (CSP) method to differential algebraic equation (DAE) systems and demonstrated its application in a heterogeneous-catalysis problem. The extended method obtains the CSP basis vectors for DAEs from a reduced Jacobian matrix that takes the algebraic constraints into account. We use a canonical problem in heterogeneous catalysis, the transient continuous stirred tank reactor (T-CSTR), for illustration. The T-CSTR problem is modelled fundamentally as an ordinary differential equation (ODE) system, but it can be transformed to a DAE system if one approximates typically fast surface processes using algebraic constraints for the surface species. We demonstrate the application of CSP analysis for both ODE and DAE constructions of a T-CSTR problem, illustrating the dynamical response of the system in each case. We also highlight the utility of the analysis in commenting on the quality of any particular DAE approximation built using the quasi-steady state approximation (QSSA), relative to the ODE reference case.

Morphing wings have great potential to dramatically improve the efficiency of future generations of aircraft and to reduce noise and emissions. Among many camber morphing wing concepts, shape changing fingerlike mechanisms consist of components, such as torsion bars, bushings, bearings, and joints, all of which exhibit damping and stiffness nonlinearities that are dependent on excitation amplitude. These nonlinearities make the dynamic response difficult to model accurately with traditional simulation approaches. As a result, at high excitation levels, linear finite element models may be inaccurate, and a nonlinear modeling approach is required to capture the necessary physics. This work seeks to better understand the influence of nonlinearity on the effective damping and natural frequency of the morphing wing through the use of quasi-static modal analysis and model reduction techniques that employ multipoint constraints (i.e., spider elements). With over 500,000 elements and 39 frictional contact surfaces, this represents one of the most complicated models to which these methods have been applied to date. The results to date are summarized and lessons learned are highlighted.

Quantum computers can now run interesting programs, but each processor’s capability—the set of programs that it can run successfully—is limited by hardware errors. These errors can be complicated, making it difficult to accurately predict a processor’s capability. Benchmarks can be used to measure capability directly, but current benchmarks have limited flexibility and scale poorly to many-qubit processors. We show how to construct scalable, efficiently verifiable benchmarks based on any program by using a technique that we call circuit mirroring. With it, we construct two flexible, scalable volumetric benchmarks based on randomized and periodically ordered programs. We use these benchmarks to map out the capabilities of twelve publicly available processors, and to measure the impact of program structure on each one. We find that standard error metrics are poor predictors of whether a program will run successfully on today’s hardware, and that current processors vary widely in their sensitivity to program structure.

Large scale non-intrusive inspection (NII) of commercial vehicles is being adopted in the U.S. at a pace and scale that will result in a commensurate growth in adjudication burdens at land ports of entry. The use of computer vision and machine learning models to augment human operator capabilities is critical in this sector to ensure the flow of commerce and to maintain efficient and reliable security operations. The development of models for this scale and speed requires novel approaches to object detection and novel adjudication pipelines. Here we propose a notional combination of existing object detection tools using a novel ensembling framework to demonstrate the potential for hierarchical and recursive operations. Further, we explore the combination of object detection with image similarity as an adjacent capability to provide post-hoc oversight to the detection framework. The experiments described herein, while notional and intended for illustrative purposes, demonstrate that the judicious combination of diverse algorithms can result in a resilient workflow for the NII environment.

Simple but mission-critical internet-based applications that require extremely high reliability, availability, and verifiability (e.g., auditability) could benefit from running on robust public programmable blockchain platforms such as Ethereum. Unfortunately, program code running on such blockchains is normally publicly viewable, rendering these platforms unsuitable for applications requiring strict privacy of application code, data, and results. In this work, we investigate using MPC techniques to protect the privacy of a blockchain computation. While our main goal is to hide both the data and the computed function itself, we also consider the standard MPC setting where the function is public. We describe GABLE (Garbled Autonomous Bots Leveraging Ethereum), a blockchain MPC architecture and system. The GABLE architecture specifies the roles and capabilities of the players. GABLE includes two approaches for implementing MPC over blockchain: Garbled Circuits (GC), evaluating universal circuits, and Garbled Finite State Automata (GFSA). We formally model and prove the security of GABLE implemented over garbling schemes, a popular abstraction of GC and GFSA from (Bellare et al., CCS 2012). We analyze in detail the performance (including Ethereum gas costs) of both approaches and discuss the trade-offs. We implement a simple prototype of GABLE and report on the implementation issues and experience.

Heat waves are increasing in severity, duration, and frequency, making historical weather patterns insufficient for assessments of building resilience. This work introduces a stochastic weather generator called the multi-scenario extreme weather simulator (MEWS) that produces credible future heat waves. MEWS calculates statistical parameters from historical weather data and then shifts them using climate projections of increasing severity and frequency. MEWS is demonstrated using the EnergyPlus medium office prototype model for climate zone 4B using five climate scenarios to 2060. The results show how changes in climate and heat waves affect electric loads, peak loads, and thermal comfort with uncertainty.

Given a graph, finding the distance-2 maximal independent set (MIS-2) of the vertices is a problem that is useful in several contexts such as algebraic multigrid coarsening or multilevel graph partitioning. Such multilevel methods rely on finding the independent vertices so they can be used as seeds for aggregation in a multilevel scheme. We present a parallel MIS-2 algorithm to improve performance on modern accelerator hardware. This algorithm is implemented using the Kokkos programming model to enable performance portability. We demonstrate the portability of the algorithm and the performance on a variety of architectures (x86/ARM CPUs and NVIDIA/AMD GPUs). The resulting algorithm is also deterministic, producing an identical result for a given input across all of these platforms. The new MIS-2 implementation outperforms implementations in state of the art libraries like CUSP and ViennaCL by 3-8x while producing similar quality results. We further demonstrate the benefits of this approach by developing parallel graph coarsening scheme for two different use cases. First, we develop an algebraic multigrid (AMG) aggregation scheme using parallel MIS-2 and demonstrate the benefits as opposed to previous approaches used in the MueLu multigrid package in Trilinos. We also describe an approach for implementing a parallel multicolor 'cluster' Gauss-Seidel preconditioner using this MIS-2 coarsening, and demonstrate better performance with an efficient, parallel, mul-ticolor Gauss-Seidel algorithm.

We propose a two-stage scenario-based stochastic optimization problem to determine investments that enhance power system resilience. The proposed optimization problem minimizes the Conditional Value at Risk (CVaR) of load loss to target low-probability high-impact events. We provide results in the context of generator winterization investments in Texas using winter storm scenarios generated from historical data collected from Winter Storm Uri. Results illustrate how the CVaR metric can be used to minimize the tail of the distribution of load loss and illustrate how risk-Aversity impacts investment decisions.

Stochasticity is ubiquitous in the world around us. However, our predominant computing paradigm is deterministic. Random number generation (RNG) can be a computationally inefficient operation in this system especially for larger workloads. Our work leverages the underlying physics of emerging devices to develop probabilistic neural circuits for RNGs from a given distribution. However, codesign for novel circuits and systems that leverage inherent device stochasticity is a hard problem. This is mostly due to the large design space and complexity of doing so. It requires concurrent input from multiple areas in the design stack from algorithms, architectures, circuits, to devices. In this paper, we present examples of optimal circuits developed leveraging AI-enhanced codesign techniques using constraints from emerging devices and algorithms. Our AI-enhanced codesign approach accelerated design and enabled interactions between experts from different areas of the micro-electronics design stack including theory, algorithms, circuits, and devices. We demonstrate optimal probabilistic neural circuits using magnetic tunnel junction and tunnel diode devices that generate an RNG from a given distribution.

We present a procedure for randomly generating realistic steady-state contingency scenarios based on the historical outage data from a particular event. First, we divide generation into classes and fit a probability distribution of outage magnitude for each class. Second, we provide a method for randomly synthesizing generator resilience levels in a way that preserves the data-driven probability distributions of outage magnitude. Finally, we devise a simple method of scaling the storm effects based on a single global parameter. We apply our methods using data from historical Winter Storm Uri to simulate contingency events for the ACTIVSg2000 synthetic grid on the footprint of Texas.

The penetration of renewable energy resources (RER) and energy storage systems (ESS) into the power grid has been accelerated in recent times due to the aggressive emission and RER penetration targets. The Integrated resource planning (IRP) framework can help in ensuring long-term resource adequacy while satisfying RER integration and emission reduction targets in a cost-effective and reliable manner. In this paper, we present pIRP (probabilistic Integrated Resource Planning), an open-source Python-based software tool designed for optimal portfolio planning for an RER and ESS rich future grid and for addressing the capacity expansion problem. The tool, which is planned to be released publicly, with its ESS and RER modeling capabilities along with enhanced uncertainty handling make it one of the more advanced non-commercial IRP tools available currently. Additionally, the tool is equipped with an intuitive graphical user interface and expansive plotting capabilities. Impacts of uncertainties in the system are captured using Monte Carlo simulations and lets the users analyze hundreds of scenarios with detailed scenario reports. A linear programming based architecture is adopted which ensures sufficiently fast solution time while considering hundreds of scenarios and characterizing profile risks with varying levels of RER and ESS penetration levels. Results for a test case using data from parts of the Eastern Interconnection are provided in this paper to demonstrate the capabilities offered by the tool.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

This work explores deriving transmissibility functions for a missile from a measured location at the base of the fairing to a desired location within the payload. A pressure on the outside of the fairing and the rocket motor’s excitation creates an acceleration at a measured location and a desired location. Typically, the desired location is not measured. In fact, it is typical that the payload may change, but measured acceleration at the base of the fairing is generally similar to previous test flights. Given this knowledge, it is desired to use a finite-element model to create a transmissibility function which relates acceleration from the previous test flight’s measured location at the base of the fairing to acceleration at a location in the new payload. Four methods are explored for deriving this transmissibility, with the goal of finding an appropriate transmissibility when both the pressure and rocket motor excitation are equally present. These methods are assessed using transient results from a simple example problem, and it is found that one of the methods gives good agreement with the transient results for the full range of loads considered.

Abstract not provided.

Dynamical systems containing contact/impact between parts can be modeled as piecewise-smooth reduced-order models. The most common example is freeplay, which can manifest as a loose support, worn hinges, or backlash. Freeplay causes very complex, nonlinear responses in a system that range from isolated resonances to grazing bifurcations to chaos. This can be an issue because classical solution methods, such as direct time integration (e.g., Runge-Kutta) or harmonic balance methods, can fail to accurately detect some of the nonlinear behavior or fail to run altogether. To deal with this limitation, researchers often approximate piecewise freeplay terms in the equations of motion using continuous, fully smooth functions. While this strategy can be convenient, it may not always be appropriate for use. For example, past investigation on freeplay in an aeroelastic control surface showed that, compared to the exact piecewise representation, some approximations are not as effective at capturing freeplay behavior as other ones. Another potential issue is the effectiveness of continuous representations at capturing grazing contacts and grazing-type bifurcations. These can cause the system to transition to high-amplitude responses with frequent contact/impact and be particularly damaging. In this work, a bifurcation study is performed on a model of a forced Duffing oscillator with freeplay nonlinearity. Various representations are used to approximate the freeplay including polynomial, absolute value, and hyperbolic tangent representations. Bifurcation analysis results for each type are compared to results using the exact piecewise-smooth representation computed using MATLAB® Event Location. The effectiveness of each representation is compared and ranked in terms of numerical accuracy, ability to capture multiple response types, ability to predict chaos, and computation time.

Refractory complex concentrated alloys are an emerging class of materials that attracts attention due to their stability and performance at high temperatures. In this study, we investigate the variations in the mechanical and thermal properties across a broad compositional space for the refractory MoNbTaTi quaternary using high-throughput ab-initio calculations and experimental characterization. For all the properties surveyed, we note a good agreement between our modeling predictions and the experimentally measured values. We reveal the particular role of molybdenum (Mo) to achieve high strength when in high concentration. We trace the origin of this phenomenon to a shift from metallic to covalent bonding when the Mo content is increased. Additionally, a mechanistic, dislocation-based description of the yield strength further explains such high strength due to a combination of high bulk and shear moduli, accompanied by the relatively small size of the Mo atom compared to the other atoms in the alloy. Our analysis of the thermodynamics properties shows that regardless of the composition, this class of quaternary alloys shows good stability and low sensitivity to temperature. Taken together, these results pave the way for the design of new high-performance refractory alloys beyond the equimolar composition found in high-entropy alloys.

Abstract not provided.

Rock salt is being considered as a medium for energy storage and radioactive waste disposal. A Disturbed Rock Zone (DRZ) develops in the immediate vicinity of excavations in rock salt, with an increase in permeability, which alters the migration of gases and liquids around the excavation. When creep occurs adjacent to a stiff inclusion such as a concrete plug, it is expected that the stress state near the inclusion will become more hydrostatic and less deviatoric, promoting healing (permeability reduction) of the DRZ. In this scoping study, we measured the permeability of DRZ rock salt with time adjacent to inclusions (plugs) of varying stiffness to determine how the healing of rock salt, as reflected in the permeability changes, is a function of the stress and time. Samples were created with three different inclusion materials in a central hole along the axis of a salt core: (i) very soft silicone sealant, (ii) sorel cement, and (iii) carbon steel. The measured permeabilities are corrected for the gas slippage effect. We observed that the permeability change is a function of the inclusion material. The stiffer the inclusion, the more rapidly the permeability reduces with time.

This paper describes how the performance of motion primitive-based planning algorithms can be improved using reinforcement learning. Specifically, we describe and evaluate a framework that autonomously improves the performance of a primitive-based motion planner. The improvement process consists of three phases: exploration, extraction, and reward updates. This process can be iterated continuously to provide successive improvement. The exploration step generates new trajectories, and the extraction step identifies new primitives from these trajectories. These primitives are then used to update rewards for continued exploration. This framework required novel shaping rewards, development of a primitive extraction algorithm, and modification of the Hybrid A* algorithm. The framework is tested on a navigation task using a nonlinear F-16 model. The framework autonomously added 91 motion primitives to the primitive library and reduced average path cost by 21.6 s, or 35.75% of the original cost. The learned primitives are applied to an obstacle field navigation task, which was not used in training, and reduced path cost by 16.3 s, or 24.1%. Additionally, two heuristics for the modified Hybrid A* algorithm are designed to improve effective branching factor.

This paper demonstrates that a faster Automatic Generation Control (AGC) response provided by Inverter-Based Resources (IBRs) can improve a performance-based regulation (PBR) metric. The improvement in performance has a direct effect on operational income. The PBR metric used in this work was obtained from a California ISO (CAISO) example and is fully described herein. A single generator in a modified three area IEEE 39 bus system was replaced with a group of co-located IBRs to present possible responses using different plant controls and variable resource conditions. We show how a group of IBRs that rely on variable resources may negatively affect the described PBR metric of all connected areas if adequate plant control is not employed. However, increasing the dispatch rate of internal plant controls may positively affect the PBR metric of all connected areas despite variable resource conditions.

Abstract not provided.

This paper presents the formulation, implementation, and demonstration of a new, largely phenomenological, model for the damage-free (micro-crack-free) thermomechanical behavior of rock salt. Unlike most salt constitutive models, the new model includes both drag stress (isotropic) and back stress (kinematic) hardening. The implementation utilizes a semi-implicit scheme and a fall-back fully-implicit scheme to numerically integrate the model's differential equations. Particular attention was paid to the initial guesses for the fully-implicit scheme. Of the four guesses investigated, an initial guess that interpolated between the previous converged state and the fully saturated hardening state had the best performance. The numerical implementation was then used in simulations that highlighted the difference between drag stress hardening versus combined drag and back stress hardening. Simulations of multi-stage constant stress tests showed that only combined hardening could qualitatively represent reverse (inverse transient) creep, as well as the large transient strains experimentally observed upon switching from axisymmetric compression to axisymmetric extension. Simulations of a gas storage cavern subjected to high and low gas pressure cycles showed that combined hardening led to substantially greater volume loss over time than drag stress hardening alone.

In transit visualization offers a desirable approach to performing in situ visualization by decoupling the simulation and visualization components. This decoupling requires that the data be transferred from the simulation to the visualization, which is typically done using some form of aggregation and redistribution. As the data distribution is adjusted to match the visualization’s parallelism during redistribution, the data transport layer must have knowledge of the input data structures to partition or merge them. In this chapter, we will discuss an alternative approach suitable for quickly integrating in transit visualization into simulations without incurring significant overhead or aggregation cost. Our approach adopts an abstract view of the input simulation data and works only on regions of space owned by the simulation ranks, which are sent to visualization clients on demand.

Abstract not provided.

The installation of digital sensors, such as advanced meter infrastructure (AMI) meters, has provided the means to implement a wide variety of techniques to increase visibility into the distribution system, including the ability to calibrate the utility models using data-driven algorithms. One challenge in maintaining accurate and up-to-date distribution system models is identifying changes and event occurrences that happen during the year, such as customers who have changed phases due to maintenance or other events. This work proposes a method for the detection of phase change events that utilizes techniques from an existing phase identification algorithm. This work utilizes an ensemble step to obtain predicted phases for windows of data, therefore allowing the predicted phase of customers to be observed over time. The proposed algorithm was tested on four utility datasets as well as a synthetic dataset. The synthetic tests showed the algorithm was capable of accurately detecting true phase change events while limiting the number of false-positive events flagged. In addition, the algorithm was able to identify possible phase change events on two real datasets.

We evaluate the use of reference modules for monitoring effective irradiance in PV power plants, as compared with traditional plane-of-array (POA) irradiance sensors, for PV monitoring and capacity tests. Common POA sensors such as pyranometers and reference cells are unable to capture module-level irradiance nonuniformity and require several correction factors to accurately represent the conditions for fielded modules. These problems are compounded for bifacial systems, where the power loss due to rear side shading and rear-side plane-of-array (RPOA) irradiance gradients are greater and more difficult to quantify. The resulting inaccuracy can have costly real-world consequences, particularly when the data are used to perform power ratings and capacity tests. Here we analyze data from a bifacial single-axis tracking PV power plant, (175.6 MWdc) using 5 meteorological (MET) stations, located on corresponding inverter blocks with capacities over 4 MWdc. Each MET station consists of bifacial reference modules as well pyranometers mounted in traditional POA and RPOA installations across the PV power plant. Short circuit current measurements of the reference modules are converted to effective irradiance with temperature correction and scaling based on flash test or nameplate short circuit values. Our work shows that bifacial effective irradiance measured by pyranometers averages 3.6% higher than the effective irradiance measured by bifacial reference modules, even when accounting for spectral, angle of incidence, and irradiance nonuniformity. We also performed capacity tests using effective irradiance measured by pyranometers and reference modules for each of the 5 bifacial single-axis tracking inverter blocks mentioned above. These capacity tests evaluated bifacial plant performance at ∼3.9% lower when using bifacial effective irradiance from pyranometers as compared to the same calculation performed with reference modules.

Carbon sequestration is a growing field that requires subsurface monitoring for potential leakage of the sequestered fluids through the casing annulus. Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) is developing a smart collar system for downhole fluid monitoring during carbon sequestration. This technology is part of a collaboration between SNL, University of Texas at Austin (UT Austin) (project lead), California Institute of Technology (Caltech), and Research Triangle Institute (RTI) to obtain real-time monitoring of the movement of fluids in the subsurface through direct formation measurements. Caltech and RTI are developing millimeter-scale radio frequency identification (RFID) sensors that can sense carbon dioxide, pH, and methane. These sensors will be impervious to cement, and as such, can be mixed with cement and poured into the casing annulus. The sensors are powered and communicate via standard RFID protocol at 902-928 MHz. SNL is developing a smart collar system that wirelessly gathers RFID sensor data from the sensors embedded in the cement annulus and relays that data to the surface via a wired pipe that utilizes inductive coupling at the collar to transfer data through each segment of pipe. This system cannot transfer a direct current signal to power the smart collar, and therefore, both power and communications will be implemented using alternating current and electromagnetic signals at different frequencies. The complete system will be evaluated at UT Austin's Devine Test Site, which is a highly characterized and hydraulically fractured site. This is the second year of the three-year effort, and a review of SNL's progress on the design and implementation of the smart collar system is provided.

Metasurface lenses are fabricated using membrane projection lithography following a CMOS-compatible process flow. The lenses are 10-mm in diameter and employ 3-dimensional unit cells designed to function in the mid-infrared spectral range.

This study presents a method that can be used to gain information relevant to determining the corrosion risk for spent nuclear fuel (SNF) canisters during extended dry storage. Currently, it is known that stainless steel canisters are susceptible to chloride-induced stress corrosion cracking (CISCC). However, the rate of CISCC degradation and the likelihood that it could lead to a through-wall crack is unknown. This study uses well-developed computational fluid dynamics and particle-tracking tools and applies them to SNF storage to determine the rate of deposition on canisters. The deposition rate is determined for a vertical canister system and a horizontal canister system, at various decay heat rates with a uniform particle size distribution, ranging from 0.25 to 25 µm, used as an input. In all cases, most of the dust entering the overpack passed through without depositing. Most of what was retained in the overpack was deposited on overpack surfaces (e.g., inlet and outlet vents); only a small fraction was deposited on the canister itself. These results are provided for generalized canister systems with a generalized input; as such, this technical note is intended to demonstrate the technique. This study is a part of an ongoing effort funded by the U.S. Department of Energy, Nuclear Energy Office of Spent Fuel Waste Science and Technology, which is tasked with doing research relevant to developing a sound technical basis for ensuring the safe extended storage and subsequent transport of SNF. This work is being presented to demonstrate a potentially useful technique for SNF canister vendors, utilities, regulators, and stakeholders to utilize and further develop for their own designs and site-specific studies.

Neural networks (NN) have become almost ubiquitous with image classification, but in their standard form produce point estimates, with no measure of confidence. Bayesian neural networks (BNN) provide uncertainty quantification (UQ) for NN predictions and estimates through the posterior distribution. As NN are applied in more high-consequence applications, UQ is becoming a requirement. Automating systems can save time and money, but only if the operator can trust what the system outputs. BNN provide a solution to this problem by not only giving accurate predictions and estimates, but also an interval that includes reasonable values within a desired probability. Despite their positive attributes, BNN are notoriously difficult and time consuming to train. Traditional Bayesian methods use Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC), but this is often brushed aside as being too slow. The most common method is variational inference (VI) due to its fast computation, but there are multiple concerns with its efficacy. MCMC is the gold standard and given enough time, will produce the correct result. VI, alternatively, is an approximation that converges asymptotically. Unfortunately (or fortunately), high consequence problems often do not live in the land of asymtopia so solutions like MCMC are preferable to approximations. We apply and compare MCMC-and VI-trained BNN in the context of target detection in hyperspectral imagery (HSI), where materials of interest can be identified by their unique spectral signature. This is a challenging field, due to the numerous permuting effects practical collection of HSI has on measured spectra. Both models are trained using out-of-the-box tools on a high fidelity HSI target detection scene. Both MCMC-and VI-trained BNN perform well overall at target detection on a simulated HSI scene. Splitting the test set predictions into two classes, high confidence and low confidence predictions, presents a path to automation. For the MCMC-trained BNN, the high confidence predictions have a 0.95 probability of detection with a false alarm rate of 0.05 when considering pixels with target abundance of 0.2. VI-trained BNN have a 0.25 probability of detection for the same, but its performance on high confidence sets matched MCMC for abundances >0.4. However, the VI-trained BNN on this scene required significant expert tuning to get these results while MCMC worked immediately. On neither scene was MCMC prohibitively time consuming, as is often assumed, but the networks we used were relatively small. This paper provides an example of how to utilize the benefits of UQ, but also to increase awareness that different training methods can give different results for the same model. If sufficient computational resources are available, the best approach rather than the fastest or most efficient should be used, especially for high consequence problems.

Numerical simulations of Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets involve the solution of large-scale highly nonlinear systems of equations on complex shallow geometries. This work is concerned with the construction of Schwarz preconditioners for the solution of the associated tangent problems, which are challenging for solvers mainly because of the strong anisotropy of the meshes and wildly changing boundary conditions that can lead to poorly constrained problems on large portions of the domain. Here, two-level generalized Dryja-Smith-Widlund (GDSW)-type Schwarz preconditioners are applied to different land ice problems, i.e., a velocity problem, a temperature problem, as well as the coupling of the former two problems. We employ the message passing interface (MPI)- parallel implementation of multilevel Schwarz preconditioners provided by the package FROSch (fast and robust Schwarz) from the Trilinos library. The strength of the proposed preconditioner is that it yields out-of-the-box scalable and robust preconditioners for the single physics problems. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first time two-level Schwarz preconditioners have been applied to the ice sheet problem and a scalable preconditioner has been used for the coupled problem. The preconditioner for the coupled problem differs from previous monolithic GDSW preconditioners in the sense that decoupled extension operators are used to compute the values in the interior of the subdomains. Several approaches for improving the performance, such as reuse strategies and shared memory OpenMP parallelization, are explored as well. In our numerical study we target both uniform meshes of varying resolution for the Antarctic ice sheet as well as nonuniform meshes for the Greenland ice sheet. We present several weak and strong scaling studies confirming the robustness of the approach and the parallel scalability of the FROSch implementation. Among the highlights of the numerical results are a weak scaling study for up to 32 K processor cores (8 K MPI ranks and 4 OpenMP threads) and 566 M degrees of freedom for the velocity problem as well as a strong scaling study for up to 4 K processor cores (and MPI ranks) and 68 M degrees of freedom for the coupled problem.

The goal of this paper is to present a set of measurements from a benchmark structure containing two bolted joints to support future efforts to predict the damping due to the joints and to model nonlinear coupling between the first two elastic modes. Bolted joints introduce nonlinearities in structures, typically causing a softening in the natural frequency and an increase in damping because of frictional slip between the contact interfaces within the joint. These nonlinearities pose significant challenges when characterizing the response of the structure under a large range of load amplitudes, especially when the modal responses become coupled, causing the effective damping and natural frequency to not only depend on the excitation amplitude of the targeted mode, but also the relative amplitudes of other modes. In this work, two nominally identical benchmark structures, known in some prior works as the S4 beam, are tested to characterize their nonlinear properties for the first two elastic modes. Detailed surface measurements are presented and validated through finite element analysis and reveal distinct contact interactions between the two sets of beams. The free-free test structures are excited with an impact hammer and the transient response is analyzed to extract the damping and frequency backbone curves. A range of impact amplitudes and drive points are used to isolate a single mode or to excite both modes simultaneously. Differences in the nonlinear response correlate with the relative strength of the modes that are excited, allowing one to characterize mode coupling. Each of the beams shows different nonlinear properties for each mode, which is attributed to the different contact pressure distributions between the parts, although the mode coupling relationship is found to be consistent between the two. The test data key finding are presented in this paper and the supporting data is available on a public repository for interested researchers.

Effects of gamma and proton irradiation, and of forward bias minority carrier injection, on minority carrier diffusion and photoresponse were investigated for long-wave (LW) and mid-wave (MW) infrared detectors with engineered majoritycarrier barriers. The LWIR detector was a type-II GaSb/InAs strained-layer superlattice pBiBn structure. The MWIR detector was a InAsSb/AlAsSb nBp structure without superlattices. Room temperature gamma irradiations degraded the minority carrier diffusion length of the LWIR structure, and minority carrier injections caused dramatic improvements, though there was little effect from either treatment on photoresponse. For the MWIR detector, effects of room temperature gamma irradiation and injection on minority carrier diffusion and photoresponse were negligible. Subsequently, both types of detectors were subjected to gamma irradiation at 77 K. In-situ photoresponse was unchanged for the LWIR detectors, while that for the MWIR ones decreased 19% after cumulative dose of ~500 krad(Si). Minority carrier injection had no effect on photoresponse for either. The LWIR detector was then subjected to 4 Mrad(Si) of 30 MeV proton irradiation at 77 K, and showed a 35% decrease in photoresponse, but again no effect from forward bias injection. These results suggest that photoresponse of the LWIR detectors is not limited by minority carrier diffusion.

Abstract not provided.

Ship emissions can form linear cloud structures, or ship tracks, when atmospheric water vapor condenses on aerosols in the ship exhaust. These structures are of interest because they are observable and traceable examples of MCB, a mechanism that has been studied as a potential approach for solar climate intervention. Ship tracks can be observed throughout the diurnal cycle via space-borne assets like the advanced baseline imagers on the national oceanic and atmospheric administration geostationary operational environmental satellites, the GOES-R series. Due to complex atmospheric dynamics, it can be difficult to track these aerosol perturbations over space and time to precisely characterize how long a single emission source can significantly contribute to indirect radiative forcing. We propose an optical flow approach to estimate the trajectories of ship-emitted aerosols after they begin mixing with low boundary layer clouds using GOES-17 satellite imagery. Most optical flow estimation methods have only been used to estimate large scale atmospheric motion. We demonstrate the ability of our approach to precisely isolate the movement of ship tracks in low-lying clouds from the movement of large swaths of high clouds that often dominate the scene. This efficient approach shows that ship tracks persist as visible, linear features beyond 9 h and sometimes longer than 24 h.

We propose the use of balanced iterative reducing and clustering using hierarchies (BIRCH) combined with linear regression to predict the reduced Young's modulus and hardness of highly heterogeneous materials from a set of nanoindentation experiments. We first use BIRCH to cluster the dataset according to its mineral compositions, which are derived from the spectral matching of energy-dispersive spectroscopy data through the modular automated processing system (MAPS) platform. We observe that grouping our dataset into five clusters yields the best accuracy as well as a reasonable representation of mineralogy in each cluster. Subsequently, we test four types of regression models, namely linear regression, support vector regression, Gaussian process regression, and extreme gradient boosting regression. The linear regression and Gaussian process regression provide the most accurate prediction, and the proposed framework yields R² = 0.93 for the test set. Although the study is needed more comprehensively, our results shows that machine learning methods such as linear regression or Gaussian process regression can be used to accurately estimate mechanical properties with a proper number of grouping based on compositional data.