A robust data-management infrastructure is a key enabler for National Security Enterprise (NSE) capabilities in artificial intelligence and machine learning. This document describes efforts from a team of researchers at Sandia National Laboratories, Los Alamos National Laboratory, and Livermore National Laboratory to complete ASC Level II milestone #8854 “Assessment of Data-Management Infrastructure Needs for Production use of Advanced Machine learning and Artificial Intelligence.”
Waveform cross-correlation is a sensitive phase-matched filtering technique that can detect seismic events for nuclear explosion monitoring. However, there are outstanding challenges with correlation detectors, most notably a direct dependence on the completeness of the waveform template library. To ameliorate these challenges, we investigate how dynamic time warping (DTW) may make waveform correlation more robust. DTW analyzes the differences between two time series and attempts to “warp” one time series relative to another in a recursive manner. We apply DTW to synthetic earthquake and recorded explosion templates to expand the capability of correlation detectors. We explore what conditions (e.g., source, station distance, frequency bands) and/or DTW algorithms generate stronger correlation scores. We show that DTW performs well on noisy signals and can dramatically improve the cross-correlation coefficient between a template and data-stream waveform. We conclude with recommendations on how to utilize DTW in nuclear monitoring detection.
This work shows that the static random access memory (SRAM) error rate for a commercial 65-nm device in a dose rate environment can be highly dependent upon the integrated dose (dose rate × pulse duration). While the typical metric for such testing is dose rate upset (DRU) level in rad(Si)/s, a series of dose rate experiments at Little Mountain Test Facility (LMTF) shows dependence on the integrated dose. The error rate is also found to be dependent on the core voltage, and the preradiation value of the bits. We believe that these effects are explained by a well charge depletion caused by gamma ray photocurrent.
Wang, Qian; Guillaume, Joseph H.A.; Jakeman, John D.; Bennett, Frederick R.; Croke, Barry F.W.; Fu, Baihua; Yang, Tao; Jakeman, Anthony J.
Factor Fixing (FF) is a common method for reducing the number of model parameters to lower computational cost. FF typically starts with distinguishing the insensitive parameters from the sensitive and pursues uncertainty quantification (UQ) on the resulting reduced-order model, fixing each insensitive parameter at a fixed value. There is a need, however, to expand such a common approach to consider the effects of decision choices in the FF-UQ procedure on metrics of interest. Therefore, to guide the use of FF and increase confidence in the resulting dimension-reduced model, we propose a new adaptive framework consisting of four principles: (a) re-parameterize the model first to reduce obvious non-identifiable parameter combinations, (b) focus on decision relevance especially with respect to errors in quantities of interest (QoI), (c) conduct adaptive evaluation and robustness assessment of errors in the QoI across FF choices as sample size increases, and (d) reconsider whether fixing is warranted. The framework is demonstrated on a spatially-distributed water quality model. The error in estimates of QoI caused by FF can be estimated using a Polynomial Chaos Expansion (PCE) surrogate model. Built with 70 model runs, the surrogate is computationally inexpensive to evaluate and can provide global sensitivity indices for free. For the selected catchment, just two factors may provide an acceptably accurate estimate of model uncertainty in the average annual load of Total Suspended Solids (TSS), suggesting that reducing the uncertainty in these two parameters is a priority for future work before undertaking further formal uncertainty quantification.
Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) is used in heating, cooking, and as a vehicle fuel (called autogas). A safety risk assessment may be needed to assess potential hazard scenarios and inform the regulations, codes, and standards that apply to LPG facilities, such as autogas refueling facilities. The frequency of unintended releases in an LPG system is an important aspect of a system quantitative risk assessment. This report documents estimation of leakage frequencies for individual components of LPG systems. These frequencies are described using uncertainty distributions obtained with Bayesian statistical methods, generic data, and LPG data which were publicly available. There was a lack of LPG data in the literature, so frequencies for most components were developed with generic data and should be used cautiously; without additional information about component leak frequencies in LPG systems, it is not known whether these generic frequencies may be conservative or non-conservative.
The growth of helium bubbles impacts structural integrity of materials in nuclear applications. Understanding helium bubble nucleation and growth mechanisms is critical for improved material applications and aging predictions. Systematic molecular dynamics simulations have been performed to study helium bubble nucleation and growth mechanisms in Fe70Ni11Cr19 stainless steels. First, helium cluster diffusivities are calculated at a variety of helium cluster sizes and temperatures for systems with and without dislocations. Second, the process of diffusion of helium atoms to join existing helium bubbles is not deterministic and is hence studied using ensemble simulations for systems with and without vacancies, interstitials, and dislocations. We find that bubble nucleation depends on diffusion of not only single helium atoms, but also small helium clusters. Defects such as vacancies and dislocations can significantly impact the diffusion kinetics due to the trapping effects. Vacancies always increase the time for helium atoms to join existing bubbles due to the short-range trapping effect. This promotes bubble nucleation as opposed to bubble growth. Interestingly, dislocations can create a long-range trapping effect that reduces the time for helium atoms to join existing bubbles. This can promote bubble growth within a certain region near dislocations.
There is growing interest to extend low-rank matrix decompositions to multi-way arrays, or tensors. One fundamental low-rank tensor decomposition is the canonical polyadic decomposition (CPD). The challenge of fitting a low-rank, nonnegative CPD model to Poisson-distributed count data is of particular interest. Several popular algorithms use local search methods to approximate the global maximum likelihood estimator from local minima. Simultaneously, a recent trend in theoretical computer science and numerical linear algebra leverages randomization to solve very large, hard problems. The typical approach is to use randomization for a fast approximation and determinism for refinement to yield effective algorithms with theoretical guarantees. Two popular algorithms for Poisson CPD reflect that emergent dichotomy: CP Alternating Poisson Regression is a deterministic algorithm and Generalized Canonical Polyadic decomposition makes use of stochastic algorithms in several variants. This work extends recent work to develop two new methods that leverage randomized and deterministic algorithms for improved accuracy and performance.
Reversible logic schemes using flux solitons (fluxons) on long Josephson junctions (LJJs) have recently been proposed. The attraction of the fluxon is that it propagates ballistically along an LJJ until it encounters a change in the character of the LJJ, often a designed circuit element. Logic gates involve fluxons interacting with circuit elements and with other fluxons. However, testing of ballistic fluxon circuits requires other circuits outside the logic family to direct and control fluxon motion. We discuss two such non-reversible fluxon control circuits. First, the polarity filter gate is a simple non-reversible gate that allows one polarity of fluxon to pass, while reflecting the other polarity. In the off state both polarities reflect. Second, the polarity separator generalizes on the polarity filter concept and allows separation of the two fluxon polarities into different LJJs. We discuss simulations of these structures and possible applications.
The Xyce XDM Netlist Translator is a software solution developed by Sandia National Laboratories for translating SPICE netlists into a format readable by Xyce, Sandia’s internally developed SPICE-compatible simulation tool.
In many areas of constrained optimization, representing all possible constraints that give rise to an accurate feasible region can be difficult and computationally prohibitive for online use. Satisfying feasibility constraints becomes more challenging in high-dimensional, non-convex regimes which are common in engineering applications. A prominent example that is explored in the manuscript is the security-constrained optimal power flow (SCOPF) problem, which minimizes power generation costs, while enforcing system feasibility under contingency failures in the transmission network. In its full form, this problem has been modeled as a nonlinear two-stage stochastic programming problem. In this work, we propose a hybrid structure that incorporates and takes advantage of both a high-fidelity physical model and fast machine learning surrogates. Neural network (NN) models have been shown to classify highly non-linear functions and can be trained offline but require large training sets. In this work, we present how model-guided sampling can efficiently create datasets that are highly informative to a NN classifier for non-convex functions. We show how the resultant NN surrogates can be integrated into a non-linear program as smooth, continuous functions to simultaneously optimize the objective function and enforce feasibility using existing non-linear solvers. Overall, this allows us to optimize instances of the SCOPF problem with an order of magnitude CPU improvement over existing methods.
Threaded fastener behavior can be an important aspect of complex component and system behavior, but there is no one-size-fits-all finite element analysis technique. Proper modeling of threaded fastener joints requires careful consideration of many details, from test setup and data acquisition to constitutive modeling and uncertainty quantification approaches. This report details analysis of a “mini-radax” bolted-joint exemplar where a Discrete-Direct uncertainty quantification approach is employed to evaluate margin of the component. The mini-radax geometry is tested to failure on a drop table, and single-coupon tests of individual fasteners serve as foundational data for the analysis. Analysis predictions complement the test data well and provide additional context for engineering decision-making.
An x-ray imaging scheme using spherically bent crystals was implemented on the Z-machine to image x rays emitted by the hot, dense plasma generated by a Magnetized Liner Inertial Fusion (MagLIF) target. This diagnostic relies on a spherically bent crystal to capture x-ray emission over a narrow spectral range (<15 eV), which is established by a limiting aperture placed on the Rowland circle. The spherical crystal optic provides the necessary high-throughput and large field-of-view required to produce a bright image over the entire, one-cm length of the emitting column of a plasma. The average spatial resolution was measured and determined to be 18 µm for the highest resolution configuration. With this resolution, the radial size of the stagnation column can be accurately determined and radial structures, such as bifurcations in the column, are clearly resolved. The success of the spherical-crystal imager has motivated the implementation of a new, two-crystal configuration for identifying sources of spectral line emission using a differential imaging technique.
This paper describes a summer internship project undertaken at Sandia National Labs (SNL), both current status and future work. The project was to explore various machine learning approaches for use on turbulent flow data. Specifically, unsupervised classification of turbulent flow data was explored. First, the usage of models in this field is discussed, and several issues in the common usage of the models are identified. Solutions to these issues are then proposed, in the form of a Bayesian filtering approach which probabilistically incorporates multiple sources of data to improve confidence in a result. Several types of sensors are suggested for this method, the incorporation of which range from semi-supervised learning approaches to fully unsupervised. These approaches are then tested on several turbulent flow cases.
We present a graph neural network approach that fully automates the prediction of defect formation enthalpies for any crystallographic site from the ideal crystal structure, without the need to create defected atomic structure models as input. Here we used density functional theory reference data for vacancy defects in oxides, to train a defect graph neural network (dGNN) model that replaces the density functional theory supercell relaxations otherwise required for each symmetrically unique crystal site. Interfaced with thermodynamic calculations of reduction entropies and associated free energies, the dGNN model is applied to the screening of oxides in the Materials Project database, connecting the zero-kelvin defect enthalpies to high-temperature process conditions relevant for solar thermochemical hydrogen production and other energy applications. The dGNN approach is applicable to arbitrary structures with an accuracy limited principally by the amount and diversity of the training data, and it is generalizable to other defect types and advanced graph convolution architectures. It will help to tackle future materials discovery problems in clean energy and beyond.
