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Machine Learning Based Resilience Testing of an Address Randomization Cyber Defense

IEEE Transactions on Dependable and Secure Computing

Vugrin, Eric D.; Jenkins, Christipher D.; Manickam, Indu; Haliem, Marina; Kim, Myeongsu; Bhargava, Bharat; Mani, Ganapathy; Kochpatcharin, Kevin; Wang, Weichao; Angin, Pelin; Yu, Meng

Moving target defenses (MTDs) are widely used as an active defense strategy for thwarting cyberattacks on cyber-physical systems by increasing diversity of software and network paths. Recently, machine Learning (ML) and deep Learning (DL) models have been demonstrated to defeat some of the cyber defenses by learning attack detection patterns and defense strategies. It raises concerns about the susceptibility of MTD to ML and DL methods. In this article, we analyze the effectiveness of ML and DL models when it comes to deciphering MTD methods and ultimately evade MTD-based protections in real-time systems. Specifically, we consider a MTD algorithm that periodically randomizes address assignments within the MIL-STD-1553 protocol - a military standard serial data bus. Two ML and DL-based tasks are performed on MIL-STD-1553 protocol to measure the effectiveness of the learning models in deciphering the MTD algorithm: 1) determining whether there is an address assignments change i.e., whether the given system employs a MTD protocol and if it does 2) predicting the future address assignments. The supervised learning models (random forest and k-nearest neighbors) effectively detected the address assignment changes and classified whether the given system is equipped with a specified MTD protocol. On the other hand, the unsupervised learning model (K-means) was significantly less effective. The DL model (long short-term memory) was able to predict the future addresses with varied effectiveness based on MTD algorithm's settings.

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Deep reinforcement learning for the design of mechanical metamaterials with tunable deformation and hysteretic characteristics

Materials and Design

Brown, Nathan K.; Deshpande, Amit; Garland, Anthony G.; Pradeep, Sai A.; Fadel, Georges; Li, Gang

Mechanical metamaterials are regularly implemented in engineering applications due to their unique properties derived from their structural geometry and material composition. This study incorporates deep reinforcement learning, a subset of machine learning that teaches an agent to complete a task through interactive experiences, into mechanical metamaterial design. The approach creates a design environment for the reinforcement learning agent to iteratively construct metamaterials with tailorable deformation and hysteretic characteristics. Validation involved producing metamaterials with a thermoplastic polyurethane (TPU) base material that exhibited the deformation response of expanded thermoplastic polyurethane (E-TPU) while maximizing or minimizing hysteresis in cyclic compression. This alignment confirmed the feasibility of tailoring deformation and energy manipulation using mechanical metamaterials. The agent's generalizability was tested by tasking it to create various metamaterials with distinct loading deformation responses and specific hysteresis goals in a simulated setting. The agent consistently delivered metamaterials that met loading curve criteria and demonstrated favorable energy return. This work demonstrates the potential of deep reinforcement learning as a rapid and effective tool for designing mechanical metamaterials with customizable traits. It ushers in the possibility of on-demand metamaterial design solutions, opening avenues across industries like footwear, wearables, and medical equipment.

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A surrogate model for predicting ground surface deformation gradient induced by pressurized fractures

Advances in Water Resources

Salimzadeh, Saeed; Kasperczyk, Dane; Kadeethum, T.

Fast and reliable estimation of engineered fracture geometries is a key factor in controlling undesirable fractures and enhancing stimulation design. Measuring the surface deformation gradient (tilt) for engineered fractures in shallow depths (<1000 m) has been proven a reliable source of data to infer fracture geometry, thanks to the impressive resolution of tiltmeter units (in the order of nano-radians). However, solving the inverse problem requires reliable and fast forward models. In this study, we present a fast and reliable machine-learned surrogate model to estimate the ground surface tilt induced by pressurised fractures. The proposed surrogate model, based on Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (cGAN), receives a fracture aperture map in XY and XZ planes as input and predicts the corresponding surface tilts (in X and Y directions). The surrogate model with Wasserstein loss and gradient penalty has been trained using 11,000 samples and tested for a range of input parameters such as depth, dip angles, elastic properties, fluid pressures and fracture shapes. The testing results show excellent performance of the surrogate model compared with the forward finite element model for both single and multiple pressurised fractures, while running hundreds to potentially thousands of times faster.

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Tutorial: Electrodynamic balance methods for single particle levitation and the physicochemical analysis of aerosol

Journal of Aerosol Science

Kaur Kohli, Ravleen; Davis, Ryan D.; Davies, James F.

Single particle levitation methods are a powerful subset of aerosol instrumentation that allow a wide range of particle properties and processes to be explored. One of the most common forms of single particle levitation uses electric fields and is generally referred to as an electrodynamic balance (EDB). There are many different kinds of EDB's that have been designed with different applications in mind, and a corresponding array of analytical tools have been developed to characterize particles held in these traps. In this tutorial, we review the design and development of the EDB and discuss a range of analytical methods, including electrostatic analysis, light scattering, spectroscopy, and imaging, that allow for measurements of hygroscopic growth, volatility, surface tension and viscosity, diffusion, and phase and morphology. We go on to review recent advanced analytical methods using mass spectrometry to probe particle composition. This review is intended to provide readers with the basic knowledge to set up an EDB platform, design measurement protocols based on the available analytical tools, and run experiments to probe the fundamental properties of aerosol particles relevant to their role in the atmosphere, impacts on clouds and climate, effects on air quality, role in health and disease, and applications in industrial processes.

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Dedication to James A. Miller

Combustion and Flame

Klippenstein, Stephen J.; Zador, Judit Z.

This special memorial issue pays tribute to James (Jim) A. Miller, a giant of combustion science who died in 2021, with a celebration of his enormous influence on the field. We were touched by the responses we received after we sent out the invitations for it. Jim inspired several generations of scientists, who viewed him as a mentor, a father figure, and a friend. Together with Nils Hansen and Peter Glarborg, we have written a detailed account on his life and work. Furthermore, it appeared in this journal shortly after his death; and so here we focus on the scientific areas he had interest in and influence on, and how they relate to the 34 papers in this issue. The topics of these papers span a variety of Jim's interests including nitrogen chemistry, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbon (PAH) chemistry, oxidation chemistry, energy transfer, prompt dissociations, and codes to facilitate combustion chemistry simulations.

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Continued Development and Advanced Testing of DPC Filler Cements (on FY22 R&D and Demonstration Activities) (Progress Report)

Rigali, Mark J.

Commercial generation of energy by nuclear power plants in the United States (U.S.) has produced thousands of metric tons of spent nuclear fuel (SNF), the disposal of which is the responsibility of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). Utilities typically utilize the practice of storing this SNF in dual-purpose canisters (DPCs). DPCs were designed, licensed, and loaded to meet Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) requirements that preclude the possibility of a criticality event during SNF storage and transport, but were not designed or loaded to preclude the possibility of a criticality event during the regulated post-closure period following disposal, which could be up to 1,000,000 years (Price, 2019). There are several options being investigated that could facilitate the disposal of SNF stored in DPCs in a geologic repository (Hardin et al., 2015; SNL 2020b; SNL 2021b). These include: (1) repackage the SNF into canisters that are designed to prevent criticality during the regulated post-closure period following disposal, but with an increased disposal cost estimated at approximately $\$$20B in United States dollars (USD) (Freeze et al., 2019); (2) analysis of the probability and consequences of criticality from the direct disposal of DPCs during a 1,000,000-year post-closure period in several geologic disposal media (Price, 2019); and (3) filling the void space of a DPC with a material before its disposal that significantly limits the potential for criticality over the post-closure regulatory period. This report further investigates the third option, filling DPC already containing SNF with a material to limit the potential for criticality over the post-closure regulatory period.

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Even spheres as joint spectra of matrix models

Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications

Cerjan, Alexander W.; Loring, Terry A.

The Clifford spectrum is a form of joint spectrum for noncommuting matrices. This theory has been applied in photonics, condensed matter and string theory. In applications, the Clifford spectrum can be efficiently approximated using numerical methods, but this only is possible in low dimensional example. In this paper we examine the higher-dimensional spheres that can arise from theoretical examples. We also describe a constructive method to generate five real symmetric almost commuting matrices that have a K-theoretical obstruction to being close to commuting matrices. For this, we look to matrix models of topological electric circuits.

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Rovibronic molecular line list for the $N_2(C^3Π_u–B^3Π_g)$ second positive system

Journal of Quantitative Spectroscopy and Radiative Transfer

Jans, E.R.

Here, a line list for the N second positive system, $B^3Π_g—C^3Π_u$, has been compiled using the PGOPHER spectral simulation software. The line list extends the number of vibrational states of the $B^3Π_g$ up to v=29 and a maximum rotational state of J=150 for simulation temperatures up to 7000 K. New electronic–vibrational transition moments were calculated using refined potential energy curves and a transition dipole moment with the DUO software. Comparisons to experimental data and the SPECAIR software have been used to validate the new line list. The results are available in ASCII ExoMol .state and .trans files and as a PGOPHER input file for use in spectral analysis.

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Hierarchical Self-Assembly of Carbon Dots into High-Aspect-Ratio Nanowires

Nano Letters

Ghosh, Koushik N.; Grey, John K.; Westphal, Eric R.; White, Stephanie L.; Kotula, Paul G.; Corbin, William C.; Habteyes, Terefe G.; Plackowski, Kenneth M.; Laros, James H.

We report a spontaneous and hierarchical self-assembly mechanism of carbon dots prepared from citric acid and urea into nanowire structures with large aspect ratios (>50). Scattering-type scanning near-field optical microscopy (s-SNOM) with broadly tunable mid-IR excitation was used to interrogate details of the self-assembly process by generating nanoscopic chemical maps of local wire morphology and composition. s-SNOM images capture the evolution of wire formation and the complex interplay between different chemical constituents directing assembly over the nano- to microscopic length scales. We propose that residual citrate promotes tautomerization of melamine surface functionalities to produce supramolecular shape synthons comprised of melamine-cyanurate adducts capable of forming long-range and highly directional hydrogen-bonding networks. This intrinsic, heterogeneity-driven self-assembly mechanism reflects synergistic combinations of high chemical specificity and long-range cooperativity that may be harnessed to reproducibly fabricate functional structures on arbitrary surfaces.

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Modeling Geologic Waste Repository Systems Below Residual Saturation

Nuclear Technology

Paul, Matthew J.; Park, Heeho D.; Nole, Michael A.; Painter, Scott L.

The heat generated by high-level radioactive waste can pose numerical and physical challenges to subsurface flow and transport simulators if the liquid water content in a region near the waste package approaches residual saturation due to evaporation. Here, residual saturation is the fraction of the pore space occupied by liquid water when the hydraulic connectivity through a porous medium is lost, preventing the flow of liquid water. While conventional capillary pressure models represent residual saturation using asymptotically large values of capillary pressure, here, residual saturation is effectively modeled as a tortuosity effect alone. Treating the residual fluid as primarily dead-end pores and adsorbed films, relative permeability is independent of capillary pressure below residual saturation. To test this approach, PFLOTRAN is then used to simulate thermal-hydrological conditions resulting from direct disposal of a dual-purpose canister in unsaturated alluvium using both conventional asymptotic and revised, smooth models. Importantly, while the two models have comparable results over 100 000 years, the number of flow steps required is reduced by approximately 94%.

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2022 Annual Site Environmental Report for Sandia National Laboratories, Tonopah Test Range, Nevada

Miller, Amy

Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the. U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration. The National Nuclear Security Administration’s Sandia Field Office administers the contract and oversees contractor operations at Sandia National Laboratories, Tonopah Test Range. Activities at the site are conducted in support of U.S. Department of Energy weapons programs and have operated at the site since 1957. The U.S. Department of Energy and its management and operating contractor are committed to safeguarding file environment, assessing sustainability practices, and ensuring the validity and accuracy of the monitoring data presented in this annual site environmental report. This report summarizes the environmental protection, restoration, and monitoring programs in place at Sandia National Laboratories, Tonopah Test Range during calendar year 2022. Environmental topics include cultural resource management, chemical management, air quality, ecology, environmental restoration, oil storage, site sustainability, terrestrial surveillance, waste management, water quality, wastewater discharge, and implementation of the National Environmental Policy Act. This report is prepared in accordance with and as required by DOE 0 231.IB, Admin Change 1, Environment, Safety and Health Reporting and has been approved for public distribution.

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Neural network ensembles and uncertainty estimation for predictions of inelastic mechanical deformation using a finite element method-neural network approach

Data-Centric Engineering

Bergel, Guy L.; Montes de Oca Zapiain, David M.; Romero, Vicente J.

The finite element method (FEM) is widely used to simulate a variety of physics phenomena. Approaches that integrate FEM with neural networks (NNs) are typically leveraged as an alternative to conducting expensive FEM simulations in order to reduce the computational cost without significantly sacrificing accuracy. However, these methods can produce biased predictions that deviate from those obtained with FEM, since these hybrid FEM-NN approaches rely on approximations trained using physically relevant quantities. In this work, an uncertainty estimation framework is introduced that leverages ensembles of Bayesian neural networks to produce diverse sets of predictions using a hybrid FEM-NN approach that approximates internal forces on a deforming solid body. The uncertainty estimator developed herein reliably infers upper bounds of bias/variance in the predictions for a wide range of interpolation and extrapolation cases using a three-element FEM-NN model of a bar undergoing plastic deformation. This proposed framework offers a powerful tool for assessing the reliability of physics-based surrogate models by establishing uncertainty estimates for predictions spanning a wide range of possible load cases.

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2022 Annual Site Environmental Report for Sandia National Laboratories, Kaua'i Test Facility, Hawai'i

Miller, Amy

Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the. U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration. The National Nuclear Security Administration’s Sandia Field Office administers the contract and oversees contractor operations at the Sandia National Laboratories Kaua'i Test Facility in Hawai'i. Activities at the site are conducted in support of U.S. Department of Energy weapons programs., and the site has operated as a rocket preparation launching and tracking facility since 1962. The U.S. Department of Energy and its management and operating contractor are committed to safeguarding the environment, assessing sustainability practices, and ensuring the validity and accuracy of the monitoring data presented in this annual site environmental report. This report summarizes the environmental protection, restoration, and monitoring programs in place at Sandia National Laboratories, Kaua'i Test Facility, during calendar year 2022. Environmental topics include cultural resource management, chemical management, air quality, meteorology, ecology, oil storage, site sustainability, terrestrial surveillance, waste management, water quality, wastewater discharge, and implementation of the National Environmental Policy Act. This report is prepared in accordance with and as required by DOE O 231.1B, Admin Change 1, Environment, Safety and Health Reporting and has been approved for public distribution.

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Three-dimensional magnetohydrodynamic modeling of auto-magnetizing liner implosions on the Z accelerator

Physics of Plasmas

Shipley, Gabriel A.; Awe, Thomas J.

Auto-magnetizing (AutoMag) liners are cylindrical tubes that employ helical current flow to produce strong internal axial magnetic fields prior to radial implosion on ~100 ns timescales. AutoMag liners have demonstrated strong uncompressed axial magnetic field production (>100 T) and remarkable implosion uniformity during experiments on the 20 MA Z accelerator. However, both axial field production and implosion morphology require further optimization to support the use of AutoMag targets in magnetized liner inertial fusion (MagLIF) experiments. Data from experiments studying the initiation and evolution of dielectric flashover in AutoMag targets on the Mykonos accelerator have enabled the advancement of magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) modeling protocols used to simulate AutoMag liner implosions. Implementing these protocols using ALEGRA has improved the comparison of simulations to radiographic data. Specifically, both the liner in-flight aspect ratio and the observed width of the encapsulant-filled helical gaps during implosion in ALEGRA simulations agree more closely with radiography data compared to previous GORGON simulations. Although simulations fail to precisely reproduce the measured internal axial magnetic field production, improved agreement with radiography data inspired the evaluation of potential design improvements with newly developed modeling protocols. Three-dimensional MHD simulation studies focused on improving AutoMag target designs, specifically seeking to optimize the axial magnetic field production and enhance the cylindrical implosion uniformity for MagLIF. Importantly, by eliminating the driver current prepulse and reducing the initial inter-helix gap widths in AutoMag liners, simulations indicate that the optimal 30–50 T range of precompressed axial magnetic field for MagLIF on Z can be accomplished concurrently with improved cylindrical implosion uniformity.

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2022 Annual Site Environmental Report for Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, New Mexico

Miller, Amy

Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration. The National Nuclear Security Administration’s Sandia Field Office administers the contract and oversees contractor operations at Sandia National Laboratories, New Mexico. Activities at the site support research and development programs with a wide variety of national security missions, resulting in technologies for nonproliferation, homeland security, energy and infrastructure, and defense systems and assessments. The U.S. Department of Energy and its management and operating contractor are committed to safeguarding the environment, assessing sustainability practices, and ensuring the validity and accuracy of the monitoring data presented in this annual site environmental report. This report summarizes the environmental protection and monitoring programs in place at Sandia National Laboratories, New Mexico, during calendar year 2022. Environmental topics include cultural resource management, chemical management, air quality, ecology, environmental restoration, oil storage, site sustainability, terrestrial surveillance, waste management, water quality, and implementation of the National Environmental Policy Act. This report is prepared in accordance with and as required by DOE O 231.1B, Admin Change 1, Environment, Safety and Health Reporting, and has been approved for public distribution.

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2022 Annual Site Environmental Report for Sandia National Laboratories, Livermore, California

Sarhan, Ryan; Harris, Janet S.

Sandia National Laboratories is a multimission laboratory managed and operated by National Technology & Engineering Solutions of Sandia, LLC, a wholly owned subsidiary of Honeywell International Inc., for the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Nuclear Security Administration. The National Nuclear Security Administration’s Sandia Field Office administers the contract and oversees contractor operations at Sandia National Laboratories, California. Activities at this multiprogram engineering and science laboratory support the nuclear weapons stockpile program, energy and environmental research, homeland security, micro- and nanotechnologies, and basic science and engineering research. The U.S. Department of Energy and its management and operating contractor are committed to safeguarding the environment, assessing sustainability practices, and ensuring the validity and accuracy of the monitoring data presented in this annual site environmental report. This report provides a summary of environmental monitoring information and compliance activities that occurred at Sandia National Laboratories, California during calendar year 2022 unless noted otherwise. General site and environmental program information is also included. This report was prepared in accordance with DOE O 231.1B, Environment, Safety and Health Reporting.

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Binding of carboxylate and water to monovalent cations

Physical Chemistry Chemical Physics. PCCP

Rempe, Susan R.; Stevens, Mark J.

The interactions of carboxylate anions with water and cations are important for a wide variety of systems, both biological and synthetic. Here, in order to gain insight on properties of the local complexes, we apply density functional theory, to treat the complex electrostatic interactions, and investigate mixtures with varied numbers of carboxylate anions (acetate) and waters binding to monovalent cations, Li+, Na+ and K+. The optimal structure with overall lowest free energy contains two acetates and two waters such that the cation is four-fold coordinated, similar to structures found earlier for pure water or pure carboxylate ligands. More generally, the complexes with two acetates have the lowest free energy. In transitioning from the overall optimal state, exchanging an acetate for water has a lower free energy barrier than exchanging water for an acetate. In most cases, the carboxylates are monodentate and in the first solvation shell. As water is added to the system, hydrogen bonding between waters and carboxylate O atoms further stabilizes monodentate structures. These structures, which have strong electrostatic interactions that involve hydrogen bonds of varying strength, are significantly polarized, with ChelpG partial charges that vary substantially as the bonding geometry varies. Overall, these results emphasize the increasing importance of water as a component of binding sites as the number of ligands increases, thus affecting the preferential solvation of specific metal ions and clarifying Hofmeister effects. Finally, structural analysis correlated with free energy analysis supports the idea that binding to more than the preferred number of carboxylates under architectural constraints are a key to ion transport.

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Arrays of glass wedges for multi-dimensional optical diagnostics

Applied Optics

Richardson, Daniel R.

There is a common need in the advancement of optical diagnostic techniques to increase the dimensionality of measurements. For example, point measurements could be improved to multi-point, line, planar, volumetric, or time-resolved volumetric measurements. In this work, a unique optical element is presented to enable multidimensional measurements, namely, an array of glass wedges. A light source is passed through the wedges, and different portions of the illumination are refracted by different amounts depending on the glass wedge angle. Subsequent optics can be used to focus the light to multiple points, lines, or planes. Basic characterization of a glasswedge array is presented. Additionalwedge-array configurations are discussed, including the use of a periodic intensity mask for multi-planar measurements via structured illumination. The utility of this optical element is briefly demonstrated in (a) multi-planar flame particulate measurements, (b) multi-point femtosecond-laser electronic excitation tagging for flow velocimetry, and (c) multi-line nitric oxide molecular tagging velocimetry in a hypersonic shock-tunnel. One significant advantage of this optical component is its compatibility with highenergy laser sources, which may be a limiting factor with other beam-splitting or beam-forming elements such as some diffractive optics. Additionally, an array of glass wedges is simple and easily customizable compared to other methods for forming multiple closely spaced illumination patterns. Suggestions for further development and applications are discussed.

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Biotic countermeasures that rescue Nannochloropsis gaditana from a Bacillus safensis infection

Frontiers in Microbiology

Humphrey, Brittany M.; MacKenzie, Morgan E.; Lobitz, Mia; Schambach, Jenna; Lasley, Greyson; Kolker, Stephanie D.; Ricken, James B.; Monteith, Haley M.; Williams, Kelly P.; Smallwood, Chuck R.; Cahill, Jesse L.

The natural assemblage of a symbiotic bacterial microbiome (bacteriome) with microalgae in marine ecosystems is now being investigated as a means to increase algal productivity for industry. When algae are grown in open pond settings, biological contamination causes an estimated 30% loss of the algal crop. Therefore, new crop protection strategies that do not disrupt the native algal bacteriome are needed to produce reliable, high-yield algal biomass. Bacteriophages offer an unexplored solution to treat bacterial pathogenicity in algal cultures because they can eliminate a single species without affecting the bacteriome. To address this, we identified a highly virulent pathogen of the microalga Nannochloropsis gaditana, the bacterium Bacillus safensis, and demonstrated rescue of the microalgae from the pathogen using phage. 16S rRNA amplicon sequencing showed that phage treatment did not alter the composition of the bacteriome. It is widely suspected that the algal bacteriome could play a protective role against bacterial pathogens. To test this, we compared the susceptibility of a bacteriome-attenuated N. gaditana culture challenged with B. safensis to a N. gaditana culture carrying a growth-promoting bacteriome. We showed that the loss of the bacteriome increased the susceptibility of N. gaditana to the pathogen. Transplanting the microalgal bacteriome to the bacteriome-attenuated culture reconstituted the protective effect of the bacteriome. Finally, the success of phage treatment was dependent on the presence of beneficial bacteriome. This study introduces two synergistic countermeasures against bacterial pathogenicity in algal cultures and a tractable model for studying interactions between microalgae, phages, pathogens, and the algae microbiome.

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Polymorphic structure of $\langle a \rangle$-type screw dislocation cores in $\alpha$-Ti

Physical Review Materials

Chrzan, Daryl C.; Jany, David; Rothchild, Eric

The dislocation core structure has a significant role in determining the dominant slip plane and the magnitude of the Peierls stress for a dislocation. An important challenge when studying dislocation cores is to determine the stable and metastable core morphologies, and then relate these structures to the dynamics of the dislocations. ere this study introduces a method for identifying core structures that are metastable at zero temperature. Application of this method to $\langle$a$\rangle$-type screw dislocations in α-Ti (as described using an empirical potential) reveals a multitude of (meta)stable nonplanar cores. Molecular dynamics studies show how the competing metastable core structures determine the properties of the dislocations at temperature and under a range of non-Schmid stresses.

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Evaluating the impact of wildfire smoke on solar photovoltaic production

Applied Energy

Gilletly, Samuel G.; Staid, Andrea

There are growing needs to understand how extreme weather events impact the electrical grid. Renewable energy sources such as solar photovoltaics are expanding in use to help sustainably meet electricity demands. Wildfires and, notably, the widespread smoke resulting from them, are one such extreme event that can impair the performance of solar photovoltaics. However, isolating the impact that smoke has on photovoltaic energy production, separate from ambient conditions, can be difficult. In this work, we seek to understand and quantify the impacts of wildfire smoke on solar photovoltaic production within the Western United States. Our analysis focuses on the construction of a random forest regression model to predict overall solar photovoltaic production. The model is used to separate and quantify the impacts of wildfire smoke in particular. To do so, we fuse historical weather, solar photovoltaic energy production, and PM2.5 particulate matter (primary smoke pollutant) data to train and test our model. The additional weather data allows us to capture interactions between wildfire smoke and other ambient conditions, as well as to create a more powerful predictive model capable of better quantifying the impacts of wildfire smoke on its own. We find that solar PV energy production decreases 8.3% on average during high smoke days at PV sites as compared to similar conditions without smoke present. This work allows us to improve our understanding of the potential impact on photovoltaic-based energy production estimates due to wildfire events and can help inform grid and operational planning as solar photovoltaic penetration levels continue to grow.

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Dynamic formation of preferentially lattice oriented, self trapped hydrogen clusters

Materials Research Express (Online)

Cusentino, Mary A.; Laros, James H.; McCarthy, Megan J.; Thompson, Aidan P.; Wood, Mitchell A.

A series of MD and DFT simulations were performed to investigate hydrogen self-clustering and retention in tungsten. Using a newly develop machine learned interatomic potential, spontaneous formation of hydrogen platelets was observed after implanting low-energy hydrogen into tungsten at high fluxes and temperatures. The platelets formed along low miller index orientations and neighboring tetrahedral and octahedral sites and could grow to over 50 atoms in size. High temperatures above 600 K and high hydrogen concentrations were needed to observe significant platelet formation. A critical platelet size of six hydrogen atoms was needed for long term stability. Platelets smaller than this were found to be thermally unstable within a few nanoseconds. To verify these observations, characteristic platelets from the MD simulations were simulated using large-scale DFT. DFT corroborated the MD results in that large platelets were also found to be dynamically stable for five or more hydrogen atoms. The LDOS from the DFT simulated platelets indicated that hydrogen atoms, particularly at the periphery of the platelet, were found to be at least as stable as hydrogen atoms in bulk tungsten. In addition, electrons were found to be localized around hydrogen atoms in the platelet itself and that hydrogen atoms up to 4.2 Å away within the platelet were found to share charge suggesting that the hydrogen atoms are interacting across longer distances than previously suggested. These results reveal a self-clustering mechanisms for hydrogen within tungsten in the absence of radiation induced or microstructural defects that could be a precursor to blistering and potentially explain the experimentally observed high hydrogen retention particularly in the near surface region.

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Results 426–450 of 96,771
Results 426–450 of 96,771