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Embedded-Error Bayesian Calibration of Thermal Decomposition of Organic Materials

Journal of Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification

Frankel, Ari L.; Wagman, Ellen B.; Keedy, Ryan M.; Houchens, Brent C.; Scott, Sarah N.

Organic materials are an attractive choice for structural components due to their light weight and versatility. However, because they decompose at low temperatures relative to traditional materials, they pose a safety risk due to fire and loss of structural integrity. To quantify this risk, analysts use chemical kinetics models to describe the material pyrolysis and oxidation using thermogravimetric analysis (TGA). This process requires the calibration of many model parameters to closely match experimental data. Previous efforts in this field have largely been limited to finding a single best-fit set of parameters even though the experimental data may be very noisy. Furthermore, the chemical kinetics models are often simplified representations of the true decomposition process. The simplification induces model-form errors that the fitting process cannot capture. In this work, we propose a methodology for calibrating decomposition models to TGA data that accounts for uncertainty in the model-form and experimental data simultaneously. The methodology is applied to the decomposition of a carbon fiber epoxy composite with a three-stage reaction network and Arrhenius kinetics. The results show a good overlap between the model predictions and TGA data. Uncertainty bounds capture deviations of the model from the data. The calibrated parameter distributions are also presented. The distributions may be used in forward propagation of uncertainty in models that leverage this material.

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High-fidelity wind farm simulation methodology with experimental validation

Journal of Wind Engineering and Industrial Aerodynamics

Hsieh, Alan H.; Brown, Kenneth B.; deVelder, Nathaniel d.; Herges, Thomas H.; Knaus, Robert C.; Sakievich, Philip S.; Cheung, Lawrence C.; Houchens, Brent C.; Blaylock, Myra L.; Maniaci, David C.

The complexity and associated uncertainties involved with atmospheric-turbine-wake interactions produce challenges for accurate wind farm predictions of generator power and other important quantities of interest (QoIs), even with state-of-the-art high-fidelity atmospheric and turbine models. A comprehensive computational study was undertaken with consideration of simulation methodology, parameter selection, and mesh refinement on atmospheric, turbine, and wake QoIs to identify capability gaps in the validation process. For neutral atmospheric boundary layer conditions, the massively parallel large eddy simulation (LES) code Nalu-Wind was used to produce high-fidelity computations for experimental validation using high-quality meteorological, turbine, and wake measurement data collected at the Department of Energy/Sandia National Laboratories Scaled Wind Farm Technology (SWiFT) facility located at Texas Tech University's National Wind Institute. The wake analysis showed the simulated lidar model implemented in Nalu-Wind was successful at capturing wake profile trends observed in the experimental lidar data.

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Performance of aeromines for distributed wind energy

AIAA Scitech 2020 Forum

Pol, Suhas; Houchens, Brent C.; Marian, David V.; Westergaard, Carsten H.

AeroMINE (Motionless, INtegrated Extraction) wind harvesters provide distributed power generation with no external moving parts. The patent-protected design easily integrates into buildings and can operate stand-alone or in conjunction with rooftop solar photovoltaics. Here, the AeroMINE configuration of a single-pair of opposing foils is investigated in wind tunnel tests. Through various geometric optimizations (foil spacing, angle-of-attack and air-jet configuration) a mechanical efficiency of approximately 1/3 of the Betz limit is achieved at a Reynolds number corresponding to the low-end wind speed for operation at full-scale. Intermittent operation at significantly higher efficiency approaching ½ of the Betz limit is demonstrated for higher angles-of-attack, but steady operation is impeded by an aerodynamic instability. In addition to pressure and anemometry, particle image velocimetry is utilized to characterize the flow around and through the AeroMINE pair.

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Results 1–25 of 31
Results 1–25 of 31