Sandia National Laboratories and General Motors Global Energy Systems team conducted a joint biofuels systems analysis project from March to November 2008. The purpose of this study was to assess the feasibility, implications, limitations, and enablers of large-scale production of biofuels. 90 billion gallons of ethanol (the energy equivalent of approximately 60 billion gallons of gasoline) per year by 2030 was chosen as the book-end target to understand an aggressive deployment. Since previous studies have addressed the potential of biomass but not the supply chain rollout needed to achieve large production targets, the focus of this study was on a comprehensive systems understanding the evolution of the full supply chain and key interdependencies over time. The supply chain components examined in this study included agricultural land use changes, production of biomass feedstocks, storage and transportation of these feedstocks, construction of conversion plants, conversion of feedstocks to ethanol at these plants, transportation of ethanol and blending with gasoline, and distribution to retail outlets. To support this analysis, we developed a 'Seed to Station' system dynamics model (Biofuels Deployment Model - BDM) to explore the feasibility of meeting specified ethanol production targets. The focus of this report is water and its linkage to broad scale biofuel deployment.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) made extensive use of coordinated simulations by 18 international modeling groups using a variety of coupled general circulation models (GCMs) with different numerics, algorithms, resolutions, physics models, and parameterizations. These simulations span the 20th century and provide forecasts for various carbon emissions scenarios in the 21st century. All the output from this panoply of models is made available to researchers on an archive maintained by the Program for Climate Model Diagnosis and Intercomparison (PCMDI) at LLNL. I have downloaded this data and completed the first steps toward a statistical analysis of these ensembles for the US Southwest. This constitutes the final report for a late start LDRD project. Complete analysis will be the subject of a forthcoming report.
Improvised Explosive Device (IED) defeat (IEDD) operations can involve intricate operations that exceed the current capabilities of the grippers on board current bombsquad robots. The Shadow Dexterous Hand from the Shadow Robot Company or 'ShadowHand' for short (www.shadowrobot.com) is the first commercially available robot hand that realistically replicates the motion, degrees-of-freedom and dimensions of a human hand (Figure 1). In this study we evaluate the potential for the ShadowHand to perform potential IED defeat tasks on a mobile platform.
The purpose of this LDRD was to generate data that could be used to populate and thereby reduce the uncertainty in global carbon cycle models. These efforts were focused on developing a system for determining the dissolution rate of biogenic calcite under oceanic pressure and temperature conditions and on carrying out a digital transcriptomic analysis of gene expression in response to changes in pCO2, and the consequent acidification of the growth medium.
We describe the current state-of-the-art in Trusted Computing Technologies - focusing mainly on Intel's Trusted Execution Technology (TXT). This document is based on existing documentation and tests of two existing TXT-based systems: Intel's Trusted Boot and Invisible Things Lab's Qubes OS. We describe what features are lacking in current implementations, describe what a mature system could provide, and present a list of developments to watch. Critical systems perform operation-critical computations on high importance data. In such systems, the inputs, computation steps, and outputs may be highly sensitive. Sensitive components must be protected from both unauthorized release, and unauthorized alteration: Unauthorized users should not access the sensitive input and sensitive output data, nor be able to alter them; the computation contains intermediate data with the same requirements, and executes algorithms that the unauthorized should not be able to know or alter. Due to various system requirements, such critical systems are frequently built from commercial hardware, employ commercial software, and require network access. These hardware, software, and network system components increase the risk that sensitive input data, computation, and output data may be compromised.
Through the vehicle of a case study, this paper describes in detail how the guidance found in the suite of IPC (Association Connecting Electronics Industries) publications can be applied to develop a high level of design assurance that flexible printed boards intended for continuous flexing applications will satisfy specified lifetime requirements.
The excitement surrounding the marriage of biosensors and nanotechnology is palpable even from a cursory examination of the scientific literature. Indeed, the word “nano” might be in danger of being overused and reduced to a cliché, although probably essential for publishing papers or securing research funding. The biosensor literature is littered with clever or catchy acronyms, birds being apparently favored (“CANARY”, “SPARROW”), quite apart from “electronic tongue,” “electronic nose,” and so on. Although biosensors have been around since glucose monitors were commercialized in the 1970s, the transition of laboratory research and innumerable research papers on biosensors into the world of commerce has lagged. There are several reasons for this phenomenon including the infamous “valley of death” afflicting entrepreneurs emerging from academic environment into the industrial world, where the rules for success can be radically different. In this context, musings on biosensors and especially nanobiosensors in an open access journal such as Journal of Biosensors and Bioelectronics is topical and appropriate especially since market surveys of biosensors are prohibitively expensive, sometimes running into thousands of dollars for a single copy. The contents and predictions of market share for biosensors in these reports also keep changing every time a report is published. Not only that, the market share projections for biosensors differs considerably amongst various reports. An editorial provides the opportunity to offer personal opinions and perhaps stimulate debate on a particular topic. In this sense, editorials are a departure from the rigor of a research paper. This editorial is no exception. With this preamble, it is worthwhile to stop and ponder the status of commercial biosensors and nanobiosensors.
The electrical power industry is facing the prospect of integrating a significant addition of variable generation technologies in the next several decades, primarily from wind and solar facilities. Overall, transmission and generation reserve levels are decreasing and power system infrastructure in general is aging. To maintain grid reliability modernization and expansion of the power system as well as more optimized use of existing resources will be required. Conventional and pumped storage hydroelectric facilities can provide an increasingly significant contribution to power system reliability by providing energy, capacity and other ancillary services. However, the potential role of hydroelectric power will be affected by another transition that the industry currently experiences - the evolution and expansion of electricity markets. This evolution to market-based acquisition of generation resources and grid management is taking place in a heterogeneous manner. Some North American regions are moving toward full-featured markets while other regions operate without formal markets. Yet other U.S. regions are partially evolved. This report examines the current structure of electric industry acquisition of energy and ancillary services in different regions organized along different structures, reports on the current role of hydroelectric facilities in various regions, and attempts to identify features of market and scheduling areas that either promote or thwart the increased role that hydroelectric power can play in the future. This report is part of a larger effort led by the Electric Power Research Institute with purpose of examining the potential for hydroelectric facilities to play a greater role in balancing the grid in an era of greater penetration of variable renewable energy technologies. Other topics that will be addressed in this larger effort include industry case studies of specific conventional and hydro-electric facilities, systemic operating constraints on hydro-electric resources, and production cost simulations aimed at quantifying the increased role of hydro.
Wind energy research activities at Sandia National Laboratories focus on developing large rotors that are lighter and more cost-effective than those designed with current technologies. Because gravity scales as the cube of the blade length, gravity loads become a constraining design factor for very large blades. Efforts to passively reduce turbulent loading has shown significant potential to reduce blade weight and capture more energy. Research in passive load reduction for wind turbines began at Sandia in the late 1990's and has moved from analytical studies to blade applications. This paper discusses the test results of two Sandia prototype research blades that incorporate load reduction techniques. The TX-100 is a 9-m long blade that induces bend-twist coupling with the use of off-axis carbon in the skin. The STAR blade is a 27-m long blade that induces bend-twist coupling by sweeping the blade in a geometric fashion.
This article presents a generalized analysis on the significance of Galilean invariance in compressible flow computations with stabilized and variational multi-scale methods. The understanding of the key issues and the development of general approaches to Galilean-invariant stabilization are facilitated by the use of a matrix-operator description of Galilean transformations. The analysis of invariance for discontinuity capturing operators is also included. Published in 2010 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the U.S.A. Published in 2010 by John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Deformation bands in high porosity sandstone are an important geological feature for geologists and petroleum engineers; however, formation of these bands is not fully understood. The theoretical framework for deformation band formation in high porosity geomaterials is well established. It suggests that the intermediate principal stress influences the predicted deformation band type; however, these predictions have yet to be fully validated through experiments. Therefore, this study investigates the influence of the intermediate principal stress on failure and the formation of deformation bands in Castlegate sandstone. Mean stresses for these tests range from 30 to 150 MPa, covering brittle to ductile behavior. Deformation band orientations are measured with external observation as well as through acoustic emission locations. Results of experiments conducted at Lode angles of 30 and 14.5 degrees show trends that qualitatively agree with localization theory. The band angle (between the band normal and maximum compression) decreases with increasing mean stress. For tests at the same mean stress, band angle decreases with increasing Lode angle. Copyright 2010 ARMA, American Rock Mechanics Association.
Proceedings of SPIE - The International Society for Optical Engineering
Anderson, Betty L.; Ho, James G.; Cowan, William D.; Spahn, Olga B.; Yi, Allen Y.; Flannery, Martin R.; Rowe, Delton J.; McCray, David L.; Rabb, David J.; Chen, Peter
We have demonstrated the ability to control the microstructure of PETN films deposited using physical vapor deposition by altering the interface between the film and substrate. Evolution of surface morphology, average density, and surface roughness with film thickness were characterized using surface profilometry and scanning electron microscopy. While films on all of the substrates investigated showed a trend toward a lower average density with increasing film thickness, there were significant variations in density, pore size, and surface morphology in films deposited on different substrates.
Density Functional Theory (DFT) has over the last few years emerged as an indispensable tool for understanding the behavior of matter under extreme conditions. DFT based molecular dynamics simulations (MD) have for example confirmed experimental findings for shocked deuterium,1 enabled the first experimental evidence for a triple point in carbon above 850 GPa,2 and amended experimental data for constructing a global equation of state (EOS) for water, carrying implications for planetary physics.3 The ability to perform high-fidelity calculations is even more important for cases where experiments are impossible to perform, dangerous, and/or prohibitively expensive. For solid explosives, and other molecular crystals, similar success has been severely hampered by an inability of describing the materials at equilibrium. The binding mechanism of molecular crystals (van der Waals' forces) is not well described within traditional DFT.4 Among widely used exchange-correlation functionals, neither LDA nor PBE balances the strong intra-molecular chemical bonding and the weak inter-molecular attraction, resulting in incorrect equilibrium density, negatively affecting the construction of EOS for undetonated high explosives. We are exploring a way of bypassing this problem by using the new Armiento-Mattsson 2005 (AM05) exchange-correlation functional.5, 6 The AM05 functional is highly accurate for a wide range of solids,4, 7 in particular in compression.8 In addition, AM05 does not include any van der Waals' attraction,4 which can be advantageous compared to other functionals: Correcting for a fictitious van der Waals' like attraction with unknown origin can be harder than correcting for a complete absence of all types of van der Waals' attraction. We will show examples from other materials systems where van der Waals' attraction plays a key role, where this scheme has worked well,9 and discuss preliminary results for molecular crystals and explosives.
Material control and accounting (MC&A) safeguards operations that track and account for critical assets at nuclear facilities provide a key protection approach for defeating insider adversaries. These activities, however, have been difficult to characterize in ways that are compatible with the probabilistic path analysis methods that are used to systematically evaluate the effectiveness of a site's physical protection (security) system (PPS). MC&A activities have many similar characteristics to operator procedures performed in a nuclear power plant (NPP) to check for anomalous conditions. This work applies human reliability analysis (HRA) methods and models for human performance of NPP operations to develop detection probabilities for MC&A activities. This has enabled the development of an extended probabilistic path analysis methodology in which MC&A protections can be combined with traditional sensor data in the calculation of PPS effectiveness. The extended path analysis methodology provides an integrated evaluation of a safeguards and security system that addresses its effectiveness for attacks by both outside and inside adversaries.
Compaction waves in porous energetic materials have been shown to induce reaction under impact loading. In the past, simple two-state burn models such as the Arrhenius Burn model have been developed to predict slapper initiation in Hexanitrostilbene (HNS) pellets; however, a more sophisticated, fundamental approach is needed to predict the shock response during impact loading, especially in pellets that have been shown to have strong density gradients. The intergranular stress measures the resistance to bed compaction or the removal of void space due to particle packing and rearrangement. A constitutive model for the intergranular stress is needed for closure in the Baer-Nunziato (BN) multiphase mixture theory for reactive energetic materials. The intergranular stress was obtained from both quasi-static compaction experiments and from dynamic compaction experiments. Additionally, historical data and more recently acquired data for porous pellets compacted to high densities under shock loading were used for model assessment. Predicted particle velocity profiles under dynamic compaction were generally in good agreement with the experimental data. Hence, a multiphase model of HNS has been developed to extend current predictive capability.
In the International HRA Empirical Study, human reliability analysis (HRA) method predictions for human failure events (HFEs) in steam generator tube rupture and loss of feedwater scenarios were compared against the performance of real crews in a nuclear power plant control room simulator. The comparisons examined both the qualitative and quantitative HRA method predictions. This paper discusses some of the lessons learned about HRA methods that have been identified to date. General strengths and weaknesses of HRA methods are addressed, along with the reasons for any limitations in the predictive results produced by the methods. However, the discussions of the lessons learned in this paper must be considered a "snapshot." While most of the data has been analyzed, more detailed analysis of the results from specific HRA methods are ongoing and additional information may emerge.
The U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission, in concert with industry, continues to explore the effects of fire on electrical cable and control circuit performance. The latest efforts, which are currently underway, are exploring issues related to fire-induced cable failure modes and effects for direct current (dc) powered electrical control circuits. An extensive series of small and intermediate scale fire tests has been performed. Each test induced electrical failure in copper conductor cables of various types typical of those used by the U.S. commercial nuclear power industry. The cables in each test were connected to one of several surrogate dc control circuits designed to monitor and detect cable electrical failure modes and effects. The tested dc control circuits included two sets of reversing dc motor starters typical of those used in motor-operated valve (MOV) circuits, two small solenoid-operated valves (SOV), one intermediate size (1-inch (25.4mm) diameter) SOV, a very large direct-acting valve coil, and a switchgear/breaker unit. Also included was a specialized test circuit designed specifically to monitor for electrical shorts between two cables (inter-cable shorting). Each of these circuits was powered from a nominal 125V battery bank comprised of 60 individual battery cells (nominal 2V lead-acid type cells with plates made from a lead-cadmium alloy). The total available short circuit current at the terminals of the battery bank was estimated at 13,000A. All of the planned tests have been completed with the data analysis and reporting currently being completed. This paper will briefly describe the test program, some of the preliminary test insights, and planned follow-on activities.