Runoff is a critical component of the terrestrial water cycle, and Earth system models (ESMs) are essential tools to study its spatiotemporal variability. Runoff schemes in ESMs typically include many parameters so that model calibration is necessary to improve the accuracy of simulated runoff. However, runoff calibration at a global scale is challenging because of the high computational cost and the lack of reliable observational datasets. In this study, we calibrated 11 runoff relevant parameters in the Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) Land Model (ELM) using a surrogate-assisted Bayesian framework. First, the polynomial chaos expansion machinery with Bayesian compressed sensing is used to construct computationally inexpensive surrogate models for ELM-simulated runoff at 0.5 × 0.5 for 1991-2010. The error metric between the ELM simulations and the benchmark data is selected to construct the surrogates, which facilitates efficient calibration and avoids the more conventional, but challenging, construction of high-dimensional surrogates for the ELM simulated runoff. Second, the Sobol' index sensitivity analysis is performed using the surrogate models to identify the most sensitive parameters, and our results show that, in most regions, ELM-simulated runoff is strongly sensitive to 3 of the 11 uncertain parameters. Third, a Bayesian method is used to infer the optimal values of the most sensitive parameters using an observation-based global runoff dataset as the benchmark. Our results show that model performance is significantly improved with the inferred parameter values. Although the parametric uncertainty of simulated runoff is reduced after the parameter inference, it remains comparable to the multimodel ensemble uncertainty represented by the global hydrological models in ISMIP2a. Additionally, the annual global runoff trend during the simulation period is not well constrained by the inferred parameter values, suggesting the importance of including parametric uncertainty in future runoff projections.
The binders, plasticizers, and dispersants in a polyvinylpyrrolidone/polyethylene glycol/glycerin binder system for PZT were evaluated. Kollidon VA 64 was investigated as a possible alternative binder to Kollidon 25 in a PZT powder system. The target amount of PEG300 in a Kollidon VA 64 system was predicted to be 15 to 30 wt.% PEG300 based on Tganalysis by DSC. The compaction properties (slide coefficient, cohesiveness, green strength, etc.) were analyzed for Kollidon VA 64 – x PEG300 – glycerin systems. The properties in the range of x = 0 to 20 for systems without glycerin and x = 5 to 20 for systems with glycerin all exceeded the performance of the baseline Kollidon 25 system, of which VA 64 – 10 wt.% PEG300 – 5 wt.% glycerin with adsorbed moisture was the most promising composition due to a compact cohesiveness of 0.84 at 40 kpsi compared to a baseline of 0.44. The effect of dispersants on the compaction properties of a Kollidon 25 – PEG300 binder system was also analyzed, and the compaction properties were also compared to that of a Aquazol 200 – PEG6000 binder system. The powders with dispersant exhibited comparabl e per formance to the baseline, suggesting good compatibility. The compacts produce with the Aquazol 200 – PEG6000 binder exhibited decreased performance when compared to the baseline .
Khan, Rabia; Miller, Michelle; Valerio, Analise; Willhite, Isabella; Hernandez, Zachary
A need for a standardized Division 10000 onboarding program for virtual hires was identified by management to formalize the way employees and interns are onboarded and trained into Division 10000. This white paper provides effective short and long-term suggestions in the efforts of improving virtual onboarding. Data suggests that remote work is going to become the forefront of many industry practices, which indicates the need of a standardized virtual onboarding practices. With our research, gap assessments, benchmarking, and conducting interviews both internally and externally, we found that clarity, culture, and connection proved to be the strongest solutions in order to maintain Sandia’s competitive edge and sustain workers both remote and in-person.
Mcadams, Daniel R.; Johnson, Erik B.; Christian, James F.; Blakeley, Richard; Weststrate, Evan; He, Jane; Bader, Sven; Crotts, Bradley; Reinke, Charles M.
Incipient melting is a phenomenon that can occur in aluminum alloys where solute rich areas, such as grain boundaries, can melt before the rest of the material; incipient melting can degrade mechanical and corrosion properties and is irreversible, resulting in material scrapping. After detecting indications of incipient melting as the cause of failure in 7075 aluminum alloy parts (AA7075), a study was launched to determine threshold temperature for incipient melting. Samples of AA7075 were solution annealed using temperatures ranging from 870-1090F. A hardness profile was developed to demonstrate the loss of mechanical properties through the progression of incipient melting. Additionally, Zeiss software Zen Core Intellesis was utilized to more accurately quantify the changes in microstructural properties as AA7075 surpassed the onset of incipient melting. The results from this study were compared with previous AA7075 material that demonstrated incipient melting.