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Empirical relationships between environmental factors and soil organic carbon produce comparable prediction accuracy to machine learning

Soil Science Society of America Journal

Mishra, Umakant; Yeo, Kyongmin; Adhikari, Kabindra; Riley, William J.; Hoffman, Forrest M.; Hudson, Corey

Accurate representation of environmental controllers of soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks in Earth System Model (ESM) land models could reduce uncertainties in future carbon–climate feedback projections. Using empirical relationships between environmental factors and SOC stocks to evaluate land models can help modelers understand prediction biases beyond what can be achieved with the observed SOC stocks alone. In this study, we used 31 observed environmental factors, field SOC observations (n = 6,213) from the continental United States, and two machine learning approaches (random forest [RF] and generalized additive modeling [GAM]) to (a) select important environmental predictors of SOC stocks, (b) derive empirical relationships between environmental factors and SOC stocks, and (c) use the derived relationships to predict SOC stocks and compare the prediction accuracy of simpler model developed with the machine learning predictions. Out of the 31 environmental factors we investigated, 12 were identified as important predictors of SOC stocks by the RF approach. In contrast, the GAM approach identified six (of those 12) environmental factors as important controllers of SOC stocks: potential evapotranspiration, normalized difference vegetation index, soil drainage condition, precipitation, elevation, and net primary productivity. The GAM approach showed minimal SOC predictive importance of the remaining six environmental factors identified by the RF approach. Our derived empirical relations produced comparable prediction accuracy to the GAM and RF approach using only a subset of environmental factors. The empirical relationships we derived using the GAM approach can serve as important benchmarks to evaluate environmental control representations of SOC stocks in ESMs, which could reduce uncertainty in predicting future carbon–climate feedbacks.

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Processing and properties of PSZT 95/5 ceramics with varying Ti and Nb substitution

International Journal of Ceramic Engineering and Science

Neuman, Eric W.; Anselmo, Nicholas; Meyer, Amber; Grier, Sophie; DiAntonio, Christopher D.; Rodriguez, Mark A.; Torres, Rose M.; Brane, Brian K.; Griego, J.J.M.

Niobium doped lead-tin-zirconate-titanate ceramics near the PZT 95/5 orthorhombic AFE – rhombohedral FE morphotropic phase boundary Pb1-0.5y(Zr0.865-xTixSn0.135)1-yNbyO3 were prepared according to a 22+1 factorial design with x = 0.05, 0.07 and y = 0.0155, 0.0195. The ceramics were prepared by a traditional solid-state synthesis route and sintered to near full density at 1250°C for 6 h. All compositions were ∼98% dense with no detectable secondary phases by X-ray diffraction. The ceramics exhibited equiaxed grains with intergranular porosity, and grain size was ∼5 µm, decreasing with niobium substitution. Compositions exhibited remnant polarization values of ∼32 µC/cm2, increasing with Ti substitution. Depolarization by the hydrostatic pressure induced FE-AFE phase transition was drastically affected by variation of the Ti and Nb substitution, increasing at a rate of 113 MPa /1% Ti and 21 MPa/1% Nb. Total depolarization output was insensitive to the change in Ti and Nb substitution, ∼32.8 µC/cm2 for the PSZT ceramics. The R3c-R3m and R3m-Pm3m phase transition temperatures on heating ranged from 90 to 105°C and 183 to 191°C, respectively. Ti substitution stabilized the R3c and R3m phases to higher temperatures, while Nb substitution stabilized the Pm3m phase to lower temperatures. Thermal hysteresis of the phase transitions was also observed in the ceramics, with transition temperature on cooling being as much as 10°C lower.

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Equipment Testing Environment (ETE) Specification

Hahn, Andrew S.; Rowland, Michael T.; Karch, Benjamin K.; Bruneau, Robert J.; Valme, Romuald V.

Cyber security has been difficult to quantify from the perspective of defenders. The effort to develop a cyber-attack with some ability, function, or consequence has not been rigorously investigated in Operational Technologies. This specification defines a testing structure that allows conformal and repeatable cyber testing on equipment. The purpose of the ETE is to provide data necessary to analyze and reconstruct cyber-attack timelines, effects, and observables for training and development of Cyber Security Operation Centers. Standardizing the manner in which cyber security on equipment is investigated will allow a greater understanding of the progression of cyber attacks and potential mitigation and detection strategies in a scientifically rigorous fashion.

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The economic value of photovoltaic performance loss mitigation in electricity spot markets

Renewable Energy

Micheli, Leonardo; Theristis, Marios; Talavera, Diego L.; Nofuentes, Gustavo; Stein, Joshua S.; Fernandez, Eduardo F.

Photovoltaic (PV) performance is affected by reversible and irreversible losses. These can typically be mitigated through responsive and proactive operations and maintenance (O&M) activities. However, to generate profit, the cost of O&M must be lower than the value of the recovered electricity. This value depends both on the amount of recovered energy and on the electricity prices, which can vary significantly over time in spot markets. The present work investigates the impact of the electricity price variability on the PV profitability and on the related O&M activities in Italy, Portugal, and Spain. It is found that the PV revenues varied by 1.6 × to 1.8 × within the investigated countries in the last 5 years. Moreover, forecasts predict higher average prices in the current decade compared to the previous one. These will increase the future PV revenues by up to 60% by 2030 compared to their 2015–2020 mean values. These higher revenues will make more funds available for better maintenance and for higher quality components, potentially leading to even higher energy yield and profits. Linearly growing or constant price assumptions cannot fully reproduce these expected price trends. Furthermore, significant price fluctuations can lead to unexpected scenarios and alter the predictions.

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Atomistic Materials Modeling of High-Pressure Hydrogen Interactions in Ethylene Propylene Diene Monomer (EPDM) Rubber

Wilson, Mark A.; Frischknecht, Amalie F.; Brownell, Matthew P.

Elastomeric rubbers serve a vital role as sealing materials in the hydrogen storage and transport infrastructure. With applications including O-rings and hose-liners, these components are exposed to pressurized hydrogen at a range of temperatures, cycling rates, and pressure extremes. Cyclic (de)pressurization is known to degrade these materials through the process of cavitation. This readily visible failure mode occurs as a fracture or rupture of the material and is due to the oversaturated gas localizing to form gas bubbles. Computational modeling in the Hydrogen Materials Compatibility Program (H-Mat), co-led by Sandia National Laboratories and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, employs multi-scale simulation efforts to build a predictive understanding of hydrogen-induced damage in materials. Modeling efforts within the project aim to provide insight into how to formulate materials that are less sensitive to high-pressure hydrogen-induced failure. In this document, we summarize results from atomistic molecular dynamics simulations, which make predictive assessments of the effects of compositional variations in the commonly used elastomer, ethylene propylene diene monomer (EPDM).

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Xyce™ Parallel Electronic Simulator Users' Guide (V.7.6)

Keiter, Eric R.; Russo, Thomas V.; Schiek, Richard S.; Thornquist, Heidi K.; Mei, Ting M.; Verley, Jason V.; Aadithya, Karthik V.; Schickling, Joshua D.

This manual describes the use of the Xyce™ Parallel Electronic Simulator. Xyce™ has been designed as a SPICE-compatible, high-performance analog circuit simulator, and has been written to support the simulation needs of the Sandia National Laboratories electrical designers. This development has focused on improving capability over the current state-of-the-art in the following areas: (1) Capability to solve extremely large circuit problems by supporting large-scale parallel computing platforms (up to thousands of processors). This includes support for most popular parallel and serial computers. (2) A differential-algebraic-equation (DAE) formulation, which better isolates the device model package from solver algorithms. This allows one to develop new types of analysis without requiring the implementation of analysis-specific device models. (3) Device models that are specifically tailored to meet Sandia's needs, including some radiation-aware devices (for Sandia users only). (4) Object-oriented code design and implementation using modern coding practices. Xyce™ is a parallel code in the most general sense of the phrase—a message passing parallel implementation—which allows it to run efficiently a wide range of computing platforms. These include serial, shared-memory and distributed-memory parallel platforms. Attention has been paid to the specific nature of circuit-simulation problems to ensure that optimal parallel eficiency is achieved as the number of processors grows.

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Results 2776–2800 of 96,771
Results 2776–2800 of 96,771