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Probabilistic performance-assessment modeling of the mixed waste landfill at Sandia National Laboratories

Ho, Clifford K.; Miller, Mark L.; Peace, Gerald L.

A probabilistic performance assessment has been conducted to evaluate the fate and transport of radionuclides (americium-241, cesium-137, cobalt-60, plutonium-238, plutonium-239, radium-226, radon-222, strontium-90, thorium-232, tritium, uranium-238), heavy metals (lead and cadmium), and volatile organic compounds (VOCs) at the Mixed Waste Landfill (MWL). Probabilistic analyses were performed to quantify uncertainties inherent in the system and models for a 1,000-year period, and sensitivity analyses were performed to identify parameters and processes that were most important to the simulated performance metrics. Comparisons between simulated results and measured values at the MWL were made to gain confidence in the models and perform calibrations when data were available. In addition, long-term monitoring requirements and triggers were recommended based on the results of the quantified uncertainty and sensitivity analyses.

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Quasi-spherical direct drive fusion

Nash, Thomas J.; McDaniel, Dillon H.; Langston, William L.

The authors present designs of quasi-spherical direction drive z-pinch loads for machines such as ZR at 28 MA load current with a 150 ns implosion time (QSDDI). A double shell system for ZR has produced a 2D simulated yield of 12 MJ, but the drive for this system on ZR has essentially no margin. A double shell system for a 56 MA driver at 150 ns implosion has produced a simulated yield of 130 MJ with considerable margin in attaining the necessary temperature and density-radius product for ignition. They also represent designs for a magnetically insulated current amplifier, (MICA), that modify the attainable ZR load current to 36 MA with a 28 ns rise time. The faster pulse provided by a MICA makes it possible to drive quasi-spherical single shell implosions (QSDD2). They present results from 1D LASNEX and 2D MACH2 simulations of promising low-adiabat cryogenic QSDD2 capsules and 1D LASNEX results of high-adiabat cryogenic QSDD2 capsules.

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Design tools for complex dynamic security systems

Byrne, Raymond H.; Wilson, David G.; Groom, Kenneth N.; Robinett, Rush D.; Harrington, John J.; Rigdon, James B.; Rohrer, Brandon R.; Laguna, Glenn A.

The development of tools for complex dynamic security systems is not a straight forward engineering task but, rather, a scientific task where discovery of new scientific principles and math is necessary. For years, scientists have observed complex behavior but have had difficulty understanding it. Prominent examples include: insect colony organization, the stock market, molecular interactions, fractals, and emergent behavior. Engineering such systems will be an even greater challenge. This report explores four tools for engineered complex dynamic security systems: Partially Observable Markov Decision Process, Percolation Theory, Graph Theory, and Exergy/Entropy Theory. Additionally, enabling hardware technology for next generation security systems are described: a 100 node wireless sensor network, unmanned ground vehicle and unmanned aerial vehicle.

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Advanced robot locomotion

Byrne, Raymond H.; Neely, Jason C.; Buerger, Stephen P.; Feddema, John T.; Novick, David; Rose, Scott E.; Spletzer, Barry L.; Sturgis, Beverly R.; Wilson, David G.

This report contains the results of a research effort on advanced robot locomotion. The majority of this work focuses on walking robots. Walking robot applications include delivery of special payloads to unique locations that require human locomotion to exo-skeleton human assistance applications. A walking robot could step over obstacles and move through narrow openings that a wheeled or tracked vehicle could not overcome. It could pick up and manipulate objects in ways that a standard robot gripper could not. Most importantly, a walking robot would be able to rapidly perform these tasks through an intuitive user interface that mimics natural human motion. The largest obstacle arises in emulating stability and balance control naturally present in humans but needed for bipedal locomotion in a robot. A tracked robot is bulky and limited, but a wide wheel base assures passive stability. Human bipedal motion is so common that it is taken for granted, but bipedal motion requires active balance and stability control for which the analysis is non-trivial. This report contains an extensive literature study on the state-of-the-art of legged robotics, and it additionally provides the analysis, simulation, and hardware verification of two variants of a proto-type leg design.

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SLAM using camera and IMU sensors

Rothganger, Fredrick R.

Visual simultaneous localization and mapping (VSLAM) is the problem of using video input to reconstruct the 3D world and the path of the camera in an 'on-line' manner. Since the data is processed in real time, one does not have access to all of the data at once. (Contrast this with structure from motion (SFM), which is usually formulated as an 'off-line' process on all the data seen, and is not time dependent.) A VSLAM solution is useful for mobile robot navigation or as an assistant for humans exploring an unknown environment. This report documents the design and implementation of a VSLAM system that consists of a small inertial measurement unit (IMU) and camera. The approach is based on a modified Extended Kalman Filter. This research was performed under a Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) effort.

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Epoxy-silane linking of biomolecules is simple and effective for patterning neuronal cultures

Biosensors and Bioelectronics

Nam, Yoonkey; Branch, Darren W.; Wheeler, Bruce C.

Surface chemistry is one of the main factors that contributes to the longevity and compliance of cell patterning. Two to three weeks are required for dissociated, embryonic rat neuronal cultures to mature to the point that they regularly produce spontaneous and evoked responses. Though proper surface chemistry can be achieved through the use of covalent protein attachment, often it is not maintainable for the time periods necessary to study neuronal growth. Here we report a new and effective covalent linking approach using (3-glycidoxypropyl) trimethoxysilane (3-GPS) for creating long term neuronal patterns. Micrometer scale patterns of cell adhesive proteins were formed using microstamping; hippocampal neurons, cultured up to 1 month, followed those patterns. Cells did not grow on unmodified 3-GPS surfaces, producing non-permissive regions for the long-term cell patterning. Patterned neuronal networks were formed on two different types of MEA (polyimide or silicon nitride insulation) and maintained for 3 weeks. Even though the 3-GPS layer increased the impedance of metal electrodes by a factor of 2-3, final impedance levels were low enough that low noise extracellular recordings were achievable. Spontaneous neural activity was recorded as early as 10 days in vitro. Neural recording and stimulation were readily achieved from these networks. Our results showed that 3-GPS could be used on surfaces to immobilize biomolecules for a variety of neural engineering applications. © 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

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X-ray powder diffraction data for rhombohedral AlPt

Powder Diffraction

Rodriguez, Mark A.; Adams, David P.

X-ray powder diffraction data for a rhombohedral AlPt phase formed by self-propagating, high-temperature reactions of AlPt bi-layer films are reported. Multilayer AlPt thin film samples, reacted in air or vacuum, transformed into rhombohedral AlPt with space group R-3(148). Indexing and lattice parameter refinement of AlPt powders (generated from thin-film samples) yielded trigonal/hexagonal unit-cell lattice parameters of a=15.623(6) Å and c=5.305(2) Å, Z=39, and V=1121.5 Å3. © International Centre for Diffraction Data.

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Stabilization of low-order mixed finite elements for the stokes equations

SIAM Journal on Numerical Analysis

Bochev, Pavel B.; Dohrmann, Clark R.; Gunzburger, Max D.

We present a new family of stabilized methods for the Stokes problem. The focus of the paper is on the lowest order velocity-pressure pairs. While not LBB compliant, their simplicity and attractive computational properties make these pairs a popular choice in engineering practice. Our stabilization approach is motivated by terms that characterize the LBB "deficiency" of the unstable spaces. The stabilized methods are defined by using these terms to modify the saddle-point Lagrangian associated with the Stokes equations. The new stabilized methods offer a number of attractive computational properties. In contrast to other stabilization procedures, they are parameter free, do not require calculation of higher order derivatives or edge-based data structures, and always lead to symmetric linear systems. Furthermore, the new methods are unconditionally stable, achieve optimal accuracy with respect to solution regularity, and have simple and straightforward implementations. We present numerical results in two and three dimensions that showcase the excellent stability and accuracy of the new methods. © 2006 Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics.

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Periodic Orbits of Hybrid Systems and Parameter Estimation via AD

Lecture Notes in Computational Science and Engineering

Phipps, Eric; Casey, Richard; Guckenheimer, John

Periodic processes are ubiquitous in biological systems, yet modeling these processes with high fidelity as periodic orbits of dynamical systems is challenging. Moreover, mathematical models of biological processes frequently contain many poorly-known parameters. This paper describes techniques for computing periodic orbits in systems of hybrid differential-algebraic equations and parameter estimation methods for fitting these orbits to data. These techniques make extensive use of automatic differentiation to evaluate derivatives accurately and efficiently for time integration, parameter sensitivities, root finding and optimization. The resulting algorithms allow periodic orbits to be computed to high accuracy using coarse discretizations. Derivative computations are carried out using a new automatic differentiation package called ADMC++ that provides derivatives and Taylor series coefficients of matrix-valued functions written in the MATLAB programming language. The algorithms are applied to a periodic orbit problem in rigid-body dynamics and a parameter estimation problem in neural oscillations.

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Semiautomatic Differentiation for Efficient Gradient Computations

Lecture Notes in Computational Science and Engineering

Gay, David M.

Many large-scale computations involve a mesh and first (or sometimes higher) partial derivatives of functions of mesh elements. In principle, automatic differentiation (AD) can provide the requisite partials more efficiently and accurately than conventional finite-difference approximations. AD requires source-code modifications, which may be little more than changes to declarations. Such simple changes can easily give improved results, e.g., when Jacobian-vector products are used iteratively to solve nonlinear equations. When gradients are required (say, for optimization) and the problem involves many variables, "backward" AD in theory is very efficient, but when carried out automatically and straightforwardly, may use a prohibitive amount of memory. In this case, applying AD separately to each element function and manually assembling the gradient pieces - semiautomatic differentiation - can deliver gradients efficiently and accurately. This paper concerns on-going work; it compares several implementations of backward AD, describes a simple operator-overloading implementation specialized for gradient computations, and compares the implementations on some mesh-optimization examples. Ideas from the specialized implementation could be used in fully general source-to-source translators for C and C++.

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Evaluation of aluminum participation in the development of reactive waves in shock compressed HMX

Proceedings of the 13th International Detonation Symposium, IDS 2006

Pahl, Robert J.; Trott, Wayne M.; Castaeda, Jaime N.; Marley, Stephen K.; Snedigar, Shane

Nanometric aluminum (123nm, spherical) was mixed with two different sieve-cut sizes of HMX (106-150 μm and 212-300 μm), and a series of gas gun tests were conducted to compare reactive wave development in pure HMX to that of aluminized HMX. In the absence of added metal, 4-mm-thick, low-density (68% of theoretical maximum density) pressings of the 106-150 μm HMX respond to modest shock loading by developing distinctive reactive waves that exhibit both temporal and meso-scale spatial fluctuations. Similar pressings of Al/HMX containing 10% aluminum (by mass) show an initial suppression of the usual wave growth seen in HMX samples. The suppression is then followed by an induction period where it is hypothesized that a phase change in the aluminum may occur. Data from VISAR, line-ORVIS, and 2-color pyrometry are given and discussed, and numerical modeling of inert sucrose is used to aid the explanation of the resulting data.

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Hypervelocity impact flash at 6, 11, and 25 KM/S

AIP Conference Proceedings

Lawrence, R.J.; Reinhart, William D.; Chhabildas, L.C.; Thornhill, T.F.

Impact-flash phenomenology has been known for decades, and is now being considered for missile-defense applications, in particular for remote engagement diagnostics. To technically establish this capability, we have conducted a series of experiments at impact velocities of ∼6, ∼11, and ∼25 km/s. Two- and three-stage light-gas guns were used for the lower two velocities, and magnetically-driven flyers on the Sandia Z machine achieved the higher velocity. Spectrally- and temporally-resolved flash output addressed data reproducibility, material identification, and target configuration analysis. Usable data were obtained at visible and infrared wavelengths. Standard atomic spectral databases were used to identify strong lines from all principal materials used in the study. The data were unique to the individual materials over the wide range of velocities and conditions examined. The time-varying nature of the signals offered the potential for correlation of the measurements with various aspects of the target configuration. Integrating the records over wavelength helped to clarify those time variations. © 2006 American Institute of Physics.

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Multidimensional confusability matrices enhance systematic analysis of unsafe actions and human failure events considered in psas of nuclear power plants

Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, PSAM 2006

Brewer, Jeffrey D.

In conducting a probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant, it is important to identify unsafe actions (UAs) and human failure events (HFEs) that can lead to or exacerbate conditions during a range of incidents initiated by internal or external events. Identification and analysis of UAs and HFEs during a human reliability analysis can be a daunting process that often depends completely on subject matter experts attempting to divine a list of plant conditions and performance shaping factors (PSFs) that may influence incident outcomes. Key to this process of including the most important UAs and resulting HFEs is to speculate upon deviations of specific circumstances from a base case definition of a scenario that may present confusion regarding system diagnosis and appropriate actions (i.e., due to procedures, training, informal rules, etc.). Intuiting the location and impact of such system weaknesses is challenging and careful organization of analyst's approach to this process is critical for defending any argument for completeness of the analysis. Two dimensional distinguishability-confusability matrices were introduced as a tool to test symbol distinguishability for information displays. This paper expands on the tool by presenting multidimensional confusability matrices as a very helpful, pragmatic tool for organizing the process of combining expert judgment regarding system weaknesses, human performance and highly targeted experimentation in a manner that strengthens the quantitative justification for why particular UAs and HFEs were incorporated into a PSA. Furthermore, the particular approach presented here helps to strengthen the justification for specific likelihood determinations (i.e., human error probabilities) that end up being inserted into a probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) or other numerical description of system safety. This paper first introduces the multidimensional confusability matrix (MCM) approach and then applies it to a set of hypothetical loss of coolant accidents (LOCAs) for which a detailed human reliability analysis is desired. The basic structure of the MCM approach involves showing how actual plant states can be mapped to information available to the operators, and then mapping the information available to operator diagnoses and responses. Finally, there is a mapping of actual plant states to operator performance-each mapping is shown to vary along temporally grounded levels of dominant PSFs (e.g., stress, time available, procedures, training, etc.). MCM facilitates comprehensive analysis of the critical signals/information guiding operator diagnoses and actions. Particular manipulations of plant states, available information and PSFs and resulting operator performance may be experimentally gathered using targeted simulator studies, table top exercises with operators, or thought experiments among analysts. It is suggested that targeted simulator studies will provide the best quantitative mappings across the surfaces generated using the MCMs and the best aid to uncovering unanticipated pieces of 'critical' information used by operators. Details of quantifying overall operator performance using the MCM technique are provided. It is important to note that the MCM tool should be considered neutral regarding the issue of so-called 'reductionist' HRA methods (e.g., THERP-type) versus 'holistic' HRA methods (e.g., ATHEANA, MERMOS). If the analyst's support 'reductionist' approaches, then the MCM will represent more of a traditional interval-type, quantitative response surface in their analysis (i.e., more quantitative resolution and generalizability). If the analysis team places more emphasis on 'holistic' approaches, then the MCM will represent more of a nominal cataloging or ordinal ranking of factors influencing their specific analysis. In both types of analyses, the MCM tool helps in organizing, documenting and facilitating quantification of expert judgments and, when resources allow, targeted experimental data to support human reliability analyses. © 2006 by ASME.

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A soft-landing waveform for actuation of a single-pole single-throw ohmic RF MEMS switch

Journal of Microelectromechanical Systems

Czaplewski, David A.; Dyck, Christopher; Sumali, Hartono (Anton); Massad, Jordan; Kuppers, Jaron D.; Reines, Isak C.; Cowan, William D.; Tigges, Chris P.

A soft-landing actuation waveform was designed to reduce the bounce of a single-pole single-throw (SPST) ohmic radio frequency (RF) microelectromechanical systems (MEMS) switch during actuation. The waveform consisted of an actuation voltage pulse, a coast time, and a hold voltage. The actuation voltage pulse had a short duration relative to the transition time of the switch and imparted the kinetic energy necessary to close the switch. After the actuation pulse was stopped, damping and restoring forces slowed the switch to near-zero velocity as it approached the closed position. This is referred to as the coast time. The hold voltage was applied upon reaching closure to keep the switch from opening. An ideal waveform would close the switch with near zero impact velocity. The switch dynamics resulting from an ideal waveform were modeled using finite element methods and measured using laser Doppler vibrometry. The ideal waveform closed the switch with an impact velocity of less than 3 cm/s without rebound. Variations in the soft-landing waveform closed the switch with impact velocities of 12.5 cm/s with rebound amplitudes ranging from 75 to 150 nm compared to impact velocities of 22.5 cm/s and rebound amplitudes of 150 to 200 nm for a step waveform. The ideal waveform closed the switch faster than a simple step voltage actuation because there was no rebound and it reduced the impact force imparted on the contacting surfaces upon closure. © 2006 IEEE.

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Control of VCSEL polarization using deeply etched surface gratings

Conference on Lasers and Electro-Optics and 2006 Quantum Electronics and Laser Science Conference, CLEO/QELS 2006

Keeler, Gordon A.; Geib, Kent M.; Serkland, Darwin K.; Peake, Gregory M.; Wendt, Joel R.

We demonstrate a robust approach to VCSEL polarization control using deeply-etched surface gratings oriented at several different rotational angles. A RCWA model is used to optimize the design for high polarization selectivity and fabrication tolerance. © 2006 Optical Society of America.

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Microstructural evolution in electronic 63Sn-37Pb/Cu solder joints

Proceedings of the 3rd International Brazing and Soldering Conference

Vianco, P.T.; Rejent, Jerome A.; Kilgo, Alice C.

The 63Sn-37Pb (wt.%, designated Sn-Pb) solder interconnections made to copper (Cu) pads were examined on two printed wiring assemblies (PWAs) that had been in the field for 17 years and subsequently exposed to an accelerated aging test environment. A qualitative assessment of the solder joints indicated that there was excellent solderabiliry of the pins and Cu pads. Void formation was minimal or did not occur at all. Manufacturing defects were limited to minor Cu pad lifting with cracks in the underlying epoxy resin and local areas of Cu barrel separation from the laminate hole wall. Both defects would not have influenced the effects of the accelerated aging environment. A quantitative analysis examined the intermetallic compound (IMC) layer thickness of selected components on the PWAs. The IMC thickness data indicated that the PWAs were exposed to considerably lower, cumulative temperatures inside the product assembly than were present outside as a result of the accelerated aging environment. The quantitative analysis also evaluated the Pb-rich phase particle size in both fillets and the hole region of the PWA solder joints. The Pb-rich phase size confirmed that the temperature environment at the PWA level was significantly less severe than that of the accelerated aging environment. The Pb-rich phase size data indicated that the solder joints were exposed to a limited degree of thermal mechanical fatigue (TMF) that likely originated from the nominal temperature fluctuations coupled with the thermal expansion of the encapsulant as well as large expansion of the circuit board laminate in the z-axis (through-thickness) direction. This study demonstrated the methodology by which, IMC thickness and Pb-rich phase size were used to assess the temperature/time conditions experienced at the Sn-Pb/Cu interconnection level versus the external environment. Copyright © 2006 ASM International®.

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High temperature oxidation of 304L stainless steel and its effects on glass-to-metal joining

Proceedings of the 3rd International Brazing and Soldering Conference

Susan, Donald F.; Van Den Avyle, James A.; Monroe, Saundra L.; Sorensen, Neil R.; Mckenzie, Bonnie; Michael, Joseph R.; Christensen, Jeffrey; Walker, Charles

An oxidation treatment, often termed "pre-oxidation", is performed on austenitic stainless steel prior to glass/metal joining to produce hermetic seals. The resulting thin oxide acts as a transitional layer and a source of Cr and other elements which diffuse into the glass during the subsequent bonding process. Pre-oxidation is performed in a low pO 2 atmosphere to avoid iron oxide formation and the final oxide is composed of Cr 2O 3, MnCr 2O 4 spinel, and SiO 2. Significant heat-to-heat variations in the oxidation behavior of 304L stainless steel have been observed, which result in inconsistent glass/metal seal behavior. The objectives of this work were to characterize the oxidation kinetics, the oxide morphology and composition, and the stainless steel attributes that lead to robust glass/metal seals. The oxidation kinetics were determined by thermogravimetric (TG) analysis and the oxide layers were characterized using metallography, SEM, focused ion beam (FIB) analysis, and image analysis. The results show that poor sealing behavior is associated with slower oxidation kinetics and a more continuous layer of SiO 2 at the metal/oxide interface. In addition, the effects of 304L heat composition on oxidation behavior will be discussed. Copyright © 2006 ASM International®.

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The effects of long-term storage on the solderability of immersion silver coatings

Proceedings of the 3rd International Brazing and Soldering Conference

Lopez, Edwin P.; Vianco, Paul T.; Lucero, Samuel J.; Buttry, R.W.; Rejent, Jerome A.; Martin, Joseph

The solderability of an immersion Ag finish was evaluated after the exposure of test specimens to a Battelle Class II environment, which accelerates the storage conditions of light industrial surroundings. The solderability metric was the contact angle, (θC), as determined by the meniscometer/wetting balance technique. Auger surface and depth profile analyses were utilized to identify changes in the coating chemistry. The solderability test results indicate that there was no appreciable loss in solderability when the immersion Ag coated coupons were packaged in vapor phase corrosion (VPC) inhibitor bags and/or inhibitor bags with VPC inhibitor paper and aged for 8 hours, 1 week or 2 weeks in the Battelle Class II environment. An increase in surface carbon concentration after aging did not appear to significantly affect solderability. Copyright © 2006 ASM International®.

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Structure and properties of Ni/Ti thin films used for brazing

Proceedings of the 3rd International Brazing and Soldering Conference

Adams, D.P.; Bai, M.M.; Rodriguez, Marko A.; Moore, J.J.; Brewer, Luke N.; Kelley, J.B.

The properties of energetic thin films considered for alternative braze[1] techniques are investigated. Vapor-deposited Ni/Ti multilayer foils having a net 1:1 stoichiometry exhibit self-propagating, high temperature combustion reactions. The rate of reaction depends on Ni/Ti multilayer design with steady-state propagation speeds of freestanding foils measured from 0.2 to 1.0m/s. Transmission electron microscopy and x-ray diffraction further show that NiTi films reacted in a self-propagating mode have a fine-grain, polycrystalline microstructure. All films are composed of cubic B2 and monoclinic B19' phases with some having NiTi2 or Ni3Ti precipitates. Copyright © 2006 ASM International®.

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Evaluation of detached eddy simulation for turbulent wake applications

AIAA Journal

Barone, Matthew F.; Roy, Christopher J.

Simulations of a low-speed square cylinder wake and a supersonic axisymmetric base wake are performed using the detached eddy simulation model. A reduced-dissipation form of a shock-capturing flux scheme is employed to mitigate the effects of dissipative error in regions of smooth flow. The reduced-dissipation scheme is demonstrated on a two-dimensional square cylinder wake problem, showing a marked improvement in accuracy for a given grid resolution. The results for simulations on three grids of increasing resolution for the three-dimensional square cylinder wake are compared with experimental data and to other computational studies. The comparisons of mean flow and global flow quantities to experimental data are favorable, whereas the results for second order statistics hi the wake are mixed and do not always improve with increasing spatial resolution. Comparisons to large eddy simulation are also generally favorable, suggesting detached eddy simulation provides an adequate subgrid scale model. Predictions of base drag and centerline wake velocity for the supersonic wake are also good, given sufficient grid refinement. These cases add to the validation library for detached eddy simulation and support its use as an engineering analysis tool for accurate prediction of global flow quantities and mean flow properties.

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Risk perception and strategic decision making: A new framework for understanding and mitigating biases with examples tailored to the nuclear power industry

Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, PSAM 2006

Brewer, Jeffrey D.

As the economic and environmental impact arguments for increasing the use of nuclear energy for electricity generation and hydrogen production strengthen, it becomes important to better understand human biases, critical thinking skills, and individual specific characteristics that influence decisions made during probabilistic safety assessments (PSAs), decisions regarding nuclear energy among the general public (e.g., trust of risk assessments, acceptance of new plants, etc.), and nuclear energy decisions made by high-level decision makers (e.g., energy policy makers & government regulators). To promote increased understanding and hopefully to improve decision making capacities, this paper provides four key elements. The foundation of these elements builds on decades of research and associated experimental data regarding risk perception and decision making. The first element is a unique taxonomy of twenty-six recognized biases. Examples of biases were generated by reviewing the relevant literature in nuclear safety, cognitive psychology, economics, science education, and neural science (to name a few) and customizing superficial elements of those examples to the nuclear energy domain. The second element is a listing of ten critical thinking skills (with precise definitions) applicable to risk perception and decision making. Third, three brief hypothetical decision making examples are presented and decomposed relative to the unique, decision making bias framework and critical thinking set. The fourth element is a briefly outlined strategy which may enable one to make better decisions in domains that demand careful reflection and strong adherence to the best available data (i.e., avoiding 'unhelpful biases' that conflict with proper interpretation of available data). The elements concisely summarized in this paper (and additional elements) are available in detail in an unclassified, unlimited release Sandia National Laboratories report (SAND2005-5730). The proposed taxonomy of biases contains the headings of normative knowledge, availability, and individual specific biases. Normative knowledge involves a person's skills in combinatorics, probability theory, and statistics. Research has shown that training and experience in these quantitative fields can improve one's ability to accurately determine event likelihoods. Those trained in statistics tend to seek appropriate data sources when assessing the frequency and severity of an event. The availability category of biases includes those which result from the structure of human cognitive machinery. Two examples of biases in the availability category include the anchoring bias and the retrievability bias. The anchoring bias causes a decision maker to bias subsequent values or items toward the first value or item presented to them. The retrievability bias refers to the bias that drives people to believe those values or items which are easier to retrieve from memory are more likely to occur. Individual specific biases include a particular person's values, personality, interests, group identity, and substantive knowledge (i.e., specific domain knowledge related to the decision to be made). Critical thinking skills are also offered as foundational for competent risk perception and decision making as they can mute the impact of undesirable biases, regulate the application of one's knowledge to a decision, and guide information gathering activities. The list of critical thinking skills presented here was originally articulated by the late Arnold B. Arons, a distinguished physicist and esteemed researcher of learning processes. Finally, in addition to borrowing insights from the literature domains mentioned above, the formal decision making approach supported in this paper incorporates methods used in multi-attribute utility theory. © 2006 by ASME.

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Evaluation of alternative emergency strategies for nuclear power plants using the winmaccs code

Proceedings of the 8th International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management, PSAM 2006

Bixler, Nathan E.; Dotson, Lori J.; Jones, Joseph A.; Sullivan, Randolph L.

The objectives of this study are to identify and evaluate alternative protective action recommendations (PARs) that could reduce dose to the public during a radiological emergency and to determine whether improvements or changes to the federal guidance would be beneficial. The emergency response strategies considered in this study are the following: (1) standard radial evacuation; (2) shelter-in-place followed by radial evacuation; (3) shelter-in-place followed by lateral evacuation; (4) preferential sheltering followed by radial evacuation; and (5) preferential sheltering followed by lateral evacuation. Radial evacuation is directly away from the plant; lateral evacuation is azimuthally (around the compass) away from the direction of the wind. Shelter-in-place is a protective action strategy in which individuals remain in their residence, place of work, or other facility at the time that a general warning is given. Preferential sheltering involves moving individuals to nearby, large buildings, e.g., high-school gymnasiums or courthouses, that afford greater protection than personal residences. This study shows that there are benefits to sheltering if followed by lateral evacuation. However, if the lateral evacuation strategy cannot be implemented, then early radial evacuation is often preferable. The most appropriate PAR depends on the evacuation time estimate (ETE) and, therefore, it is desirable to reduce the uncertainty associated with the ETE. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) guidance to commercial power plants currently allows for sheltering and/or evacuation as an emergency response to a serious nuclear accident. Frequently, however, licensees and states default to evacuation strategies and do not consider sheltering. Here we evaluate several alternative strategies to determine if standard radial evacuation is best or if other options could reduce the overall risk to the public. We consider two source terms based on the NUREG-1150 study. These involve a rapid release of radioactive material into the atmosphere and a more gradual release. Two variations in timing have also been investigated, but are not reported here. The evaluation was performed for a generic site, which uses a uniform population distribution and typical Midwest meteorological data (Moline, IL). Additional parameters that are varied in the study are the ETE (4-, 6-, 8-, and 10-hour ETEs are considered) and the duration of sheltering (2-, 4-, and 8-hr sheltering periods are considered). Additional sensitivity studies were performed to investigate nonuniform evacuation speed caused by traffic congestion, the time needed to reach a preferential shelter, and the effect of adverse weather conditions as opposed to favorable weather conditions. Adverse weather conditions are those for which precipitation occurs before the leading edge of the plume exits the 10-mile emergency planning zone (EPZ). Ultimately, emergency response strategies are ranked by their potential to reduce adverse health effects for residents within the EPZ. © 2006 by ASME.

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Modeling the US natural gas network

2006 IIE Annual Conference and Exhibition

Ellison, James

In order to better understand how the US natural gas network might respond to disruptions, a model was created that represents the network on a regional basis. Natural gas storage for each region is represented as a stock. Transmission between each region is represented as a flow, as is natural gas production, importation, and consumption. Various disruption scenarios were run to test the robustness of the network. The system as modeled proved robust to a variety of disruption scenarios. However, a weakness of the system is that production shortfalls or interruptions cannot be replaced, and demand must therefore be reduced by the amount of the shortfall.

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The effects of 304L stainless steel pre-oxidation on bonding to alkali barium silicate glass

Ceramic Engineering and Science Proceedings

Susan, D.F.; Van Den Avyle, James A.; Monroe, Saundra L.; Sorensen, Neil R.; Mckenzie, Bonnie; Michael, Joseph R.; Christensen, Jeffrey; Walker, Charles

An oxidation treatment, often termed "pre-oxidation", is performed on austenitic stainless steel prior to joining to alkali barium silicate glass to produce hermetic seals. The resulting thin oxide acts as a transitional layer and a source of Cr and other elements which diffuse into the glass during the subsequent bonding process. Pre-oxidation is performed in a low pO2 atmosphere to avoid iron oxide formation and the final oxide is composed of Cr2O3, MnCr2O4 spinel, and SiO2. Significant heat-to-heat variations in the oxidation behavior of 304L stainless steel have been observed, which result in inconsistent glass-to-metal (GTM) seal behavior. The objectives of this work were to characterize the stainless steel pre-oxidized layer and the glass/oxide/304L interface region after glass sealing. The 304L oxidation kinetics were determined by thermogravimetric (TG) analysis and the glass/metal seals characteristics were studied using sessile drop tests, in which wetting angles were measured and glass adhesion was analyzed. The pre-oxidized layers and glass/metal interface regions were characterized using metallography, focused ion beam (FIB) sectioning, scanning and transmission electron microscopy, and electron probe microanalysis (EPMA). The results show that poor glass sealing behavior is associated with a more continuous layer of SiO 2 at the metal/oxide interface.

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Investigating the impact of carbon contamination on RF MEMS reliability

IEEE Antennas and Propagation Society, AP-S International Symposium (Digest)

Carton, Andrew J.; Christodoulou, C.G.; Dyck, Christopher; Nordquist, Christopher D.

Radio Frequency Microelectromechanical Systems (RF MEMS) are advantageous for reconfigurable antennas providing the potential for steering, frequency agility, and tunable directivity. Until RF MEMS switches can consistently reach cycles into the billions (if not trillions), limited reliability outweighs the promised benefits, preventing the deployment of RF MEMS into systems. Understanding failure mechanisms is essential to improving reliability. This paper describes preliminary reliability results and tests conducted in a vacuum chamber to investigate and understand the impact of contamination related failure mechanisms. © 2006 IEEE.

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Gaussian processes in response surface modeling

Conference Proceedings of the Society for Experimental Mechanics Series

Swiler, Laura P.

Gaussian processes are used as emulators for expensive computer simulations. Recently, Gaussian processes have also been used to model the "error field" or "code discrepancy" between a computer simulation code and experimental data, and the delta term between two levels of computer simulation (multi-fidelity codes). This work presents the use of Gaussian process models to approximate error or delta fields, and examines how one calculates the parameters governing the process. In multi-fidelity modeling, the delta term is used to correct a lower fidelity model to match or approximate a higher fidelity model. The terms governing the Gaussian process (e.g., the parameters of the covariance matrix) are updated using a Bayesian approach. We have found that use of Gaussian process models requires a good understanding of the method itself and an understanding of the problem in enough detail to identify reasonable covariance parameters. The methods are not "black-box" methods that can be used without some statistical understanding. However, Gaussian processes offer the ability to account for uncertainties in prediction. This approach can help reduce the number of high-fidelity function evaluations necessary in multi-fidelity optimization.

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Measuring eddy current damping of a meso-scale spring-mass structure

Conference Proceedings of the Society for Experimental Mechanics Series

Epp, D.S.; Mitchell, J.A.; Sumali, Hartono (Anton); Wittwer, Jonathan W.

Forces generated by a static magnetic field interacting with eddy currents can provide a novel method of vibration damping. This paper discusses an experiment performed to validate modeling [3] for a case where a static magnetic field penetrates a thin sheet of conducting, non-magnetic material. When the thin sheet experiences motion, the penetrating magnetic field generates eddy currents within the sheet. These eddy currents then interact with the static field, creating magnetic forces that act on the sheet, providing damping to the sheet motion. In the presented experiment, the sheet was supported by cantilever springs attached to a frame, then excited with a vibratory shaker. The recorded motions of the sheet and the frame were used to characterize the effect of the eddy current damping.

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Extending SMAC to multiple reference FRFs

Conference Proceedings of the Society for Experimental Mechanics Series

Hensley, Daniel P.; Mayes, Randall L.

Multiple references are often used to excite a structure in modal testing programs. This is necessary to excite all the modes and to extract accurate mode shapes when closely spaced roots are present. An algorithm known as SMAC (Synthesize Modes And Correlate), based on principles of modal filtering, has been in development for several years. This extraction technique calculates reciprocal modal vectors based on frequency response function (FRF) measurements. SMAC was developed to accurately extract modes from structures with moderately damped modes and/or high modal density. In the past SMAC has only worked with single reference data. This paper presents an extension of SMAC to work with multiple reference data. If roots are truly perfectly repeated, the mode shapes extracted by any method will be a linear combination of the "true" shapes. However, most closely spaced roots are not perfectly repeated but have some small difference in frequency and/or damping. SMAC exploits these very small differences. The multi-reference capability of SMAC begins with an evaluation of the MMIF (Multivariate Mode Indicator Function) or CMIF (Complex Mode Indicator Function) from the starting frequency list to determine which roots are likely repeated. Several seed roots are scattered in the region of the suspected multiple roots and convergence is obtained. Mode shapes are then created from each of the references individually. The final set of mode shapes are selected based on one of three different selection techniques. Each of these is presented in this paper. SMAC has long included synthesis of FRFs and MIFs from the roots and residues to check extraction quality against the original data, but the capability to include residual effects has been minimal. Its capabilities for including residual vectors to account for out-of-band modes have now been greatly enhanced. The ability to resynthesize FRFs and mode indicator functions from the final mode shapes and residual information has also been developed. Examples are provided utilizing the SMAC package on multi-reference experimental data from two different systems.

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Validation of a blast pressure loading model for a shell-payload shock response model

Conference Proceedings of the Society for Experimental Mechanics Series

Mayes, Randall L.

A finite element (FE) model of a shell-payload structure is to be used to predict structural dynamic acceleration response to untestable blast environments. To understand the confidence level of these predictions, the model will be validated using test data from a blast tube experiment. The first step in validating the structural response is to validate the loading. A computational fluid dynamics (CFD) code, Saccara, was used to provide the blast tube pressure loading to the FE model. This paper describes the validation of the CFD pressure loading and its uncertainty quantification with respect to experimental pressure data obtained from geometrical mock-up structures instrumented with pressure gages in multiple nominal blast tube tests. A systematic validation approach was used from the uncertainty quantification group at Sandia National Labs. Significant effort was applied to distill the pressure loading to a small number of validation metrics important to obtaining valid final response which is in terms of acceleration shock response spectrum. Uncertainty in the pressure loading amplitude is quantified so that it can be applied to the validation blast tube test on the shell payload structure which has significant acceleration instrumentation but only a few pressure gages.

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Agents and islands: Managing a power system before, during, and after transition to the islanded state

Proceedings 2006 IEEE/SMC International Conference on System of Systems Engineering

Phillips, Laurence R.; Cartes, Dave; Liu, Wenxin; Cox, Daniel; Davis, Tom; Simmons, Sharon; Edwards, Dennis; Wilde, Norman

This paper presents a fictional scenario describing the effects of a category four hurricane on a metropolitan area, accompanied by a challenge: Describe, and eventually realize, a system able to carry out the necessary power system operations without human participation. We outline the capabilities of an automated system for managing electric power. The overarching task of the automated system is islanding: To separate the metro area's power system from the primary power grid and manage its operation during several hurricane-induced contingencies, with the power system operational throughout. The essential technology needed to support this automation is agents. We address the roles agents play in the transition to the islanded state and in power system operation within the island; features of an appropriate agent substrate; the way the agents are organized; and information exchange among agents, the power system, and human operators. ©2006 IEEE.

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Impact of stabilizing ligands on densification of iron nanoparticles by pressureless sintering

International SAMPE Symposium and Exhibition (Proceedings)

Crane, Nathan B.; Wilkes, Jan; Sachs, Emanuel; Allen, Samuel M.

This work reports on the densification of iron nanoparticles by slow drying followed by pressureless sintering. In contrast, most previous work has used high heating rates to both dry and density the nanoparticle suspension in a single step. Laser heating has been required to achieve high densities by this approach. The slow drying/pressureless sintering approach is shown to be sensitive to reactions between the particles, the stabilizing ligands, the atmosphere, and the substrate. The sintering rate of iron nanoparticles and the final composition of the deposits are significantly impacted by these interactions. However, in both the cases studied, the nanoparticles densify under pressureless sintering. When the iron nanoparticle colloid is dried in a porous steel skeleton, it is shown to increase high-temperature strength and reduce the sintering shrinkage.

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Effect of furnace operating conditions on alkali vaporization, batch carryover, and the formation of so2and NO in an oxy-fuel fired container glass furnace

Glass Technology: European Journal of Glass Science and Technology Part A

MOLINA OCHOA, Alejandro N.; Shaddix, Christopher R.; Blevins, Linda G.; Walsh, Peter M.; Neufeld, John W.

Oxygen-fuel fired glass melting furnaces have successfully reduced NO x and particulate emissions and improved the furnace energy efficiency relative to the more conventional air-fuel fired technology. However, full optimisation of the oxygen/fuel approach (particularly with respect to crown refractory corrosion) is unlikely to be achieved until there is improved understanding of the effects of furnace operating conditions on alkali vaporization, batch carryover, and the formation of gaseous air pollutants in operating furnaces. In this investigation, continuous online measurements of alkali concentration (by laser induced breakdown spectroscopy) were coupled with measurements of the flue gas composition in the exhaust of an oxygen/natural gas fired container glass furnace. The burner stoichiometry was purposefully varied while maintaining normal glass production. The data demonstrate that alkali vaporization and SO2 release increase as the oxygen concentration in the exhaust decreases. NOx emissions showed a direct correlation with the flow rate of infiltrated air into the combustion space. The extent of batch carryover was primarily affected by variations in the furnace differential pressure. The furnace temperature did not vary significantly during the measurement campaign, so no clear correlation could be obtained between the available measurements of furnace temperature and alkali vaporization.

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Verification of high frequency shock acceleration measurements for model validation

Conference Proceedings of the Society for Experimental Mechanics Series

Mayes, Randall L.

Techniques to ensure shock data quality and to recognize bad data are discussed in this paper. For certain shock environments, acceleration response up to ten kHz is desired for structural model validation purposes. The validity and uncertainty associated with the experimental data need to be known in order to use it effectively in model validation. In some cases the frequency content of impulsive or pyrotechnic loading or metal to metal contact of joints in the structure may excite accelerometer resonances at hundreds of kHz. The piezoresistive accelerometers often used to measure such events can provide unreliable data depending on the level and frequency content of the shock. The filtered acceleration time history may not reveal that the data are unreliable. Some data validity considerations include accelerometer mounting systems, sampling rates, band-edge settings, peak acceleration specifications, signal conditioning bandwidth, accelerometer mounted resonance and signal processing checks. One approach for uncertainty quantification of the sensors, signal conditioning and data acquisition system is also explained.

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Results 82901–83000 of 99,299
Results 82901–83000 of 99,299