Publications

Accurate distribution system models are becoming increasingly critical for grid modernization tasks, and inaccurate phase labels are one type of modeling error that can have broad impacts on analyses using the distribution system models. This work demonstrates a phase identification methodology that leverages advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) data and additional data streams from sensors (relays in this case) placed throughout the medium-voltage sector of distribution system feeders. Intuitive confidence metrics are employed to increase the credibility of the algorithm predictions and reduce the incidence of false-positive predictions. The method is first demonstrated on a synthetic dataset under known conditions for robustness testing with measurement noise, meter bias, and missing data. Then, four utility feeders are tested, and the algorithm’s predictions are proven to be accurate through field validation by the utility. Lastly, the ability of the method to increase the accuracy of simulated voltages using the corrected model compared to actual measured voltages is demonstrated through quasi-static time-series (QSTS) simulations. The proposed methodology is a good candidate for widespread implementation because it is accurate on both the synthetic and utility test cases and is robust to measurement noise and other issues.

Electric Vehicles (EV) present a unique challenge to electric power system (EPS) operations because of the potential magnitude and timing of load increases due to EV charging. Time-of-Use (TOU) electricity pricing is an established way to reduce peak system loads. It is effective at shifting the timing of some customer-activated residential loads – such as dishwashers, washing machines, or HVAC systems – to off-peak periods. EV charging, though, can be larger than typical residential loads (up to 19.2 kW) and may have on-board controls that automatically begin charging according to a pre-set schedule, such as when off-peak periods begin. To understand and quantify the potential impact of EV charging's response to TOU pricing, this paper simulates 10 distribution feeders with predicted 2030 EV adoption levels. The simulation results show that distribution EPS experience an increase in peak demand as high as 20% when a majority of the charging begins immediately after on-peak times end, as might occur if EV charging is automatically scheduled. However, if charging start times are randomized within the off-peak period, EV charging is spread out and the simulations showed a decrease in the peak load to be 5% lower than results from simulations that did not implement TOU rates.

This report summarizes the work performed under a project funded by U.S. DOE Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO), including some updates from the previous report SAND2022-0215, to use grid edge measurements to calibrate distribution system models for improved planning and grid integration of solar PV. Several physics-based data-driven algorithms are developed to identify inaccuracies in models and to bring increased visibility into distribution system planning. This includes phase identification, secondary system topology and parameter estimation, meter-to-transformer pairing, medium-voltage reconfiguration detection, determination of regulator and capacitor settings, PV system detection, PV parameter and setting estimation, PV dynamic models, and improved load modeling. Each of the algorithms is tested using simulation data and demonstrated on real feeders with our utility partners. The final algorithms demonstrate the potential for future planning and operations of the electric power grid to be more automated and data-driven, with more granularity, higher accuracy, and more comprehensive visibility into the system.

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Over the past 50 years, the Renewable Energy Program at Sandia has advanced research in the field with a focus on three key goals; 1) reduce the cost, 2) improve resilience and reliability and, 3) decrease the regulatory burden of renewable energy. Sandia’s expertise, coupled with the Village of Questa’s expanding renewable energy portfolio, presents the opportunity to deploy the Labs’ deep science and engineering capabilities towards the energy goals of KCEC and the Village of Questa. Preliminary research efforts by Sandia technical staff has broadly identified early opportunities for further research, development, and demonstration in the emerging renewable energy segment of agrivoltaics. Agrivoltaics is an emerging and promising area of photovoltaics which entails land use considerations as well as concerns regarding landscape transformation, biodiversity, and ecosystem well-being. In recent years, agrivoltaics systems have been the subject of numerous studies due to their potential in the food-energy (and water) nexus. This document is a preliminary evaluation of the projects performance opportunities of agrivoltaics as a renewable energy technology strategy in the region of Questa, NM.

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Reducing the duration and frequency of blackouts in remote communities poses an engineering challenge for grid operators. Outage effects can also be mitigated locally through microgrids. This paper develops a systematic procedure to account for these challenges by creating microgrids prioritizing high value assets within vulnerable communities. Nighttime satellite imagery is used to identify vulnerable communities. Using an asset classification and rating system, multi-Asset clusters within these communities are prioritized. Infrastructure data, geographic information systems, satellite imagery, and spectral clustering are used to form and rank microgrid candidates. A microgrid sizing algorithm is included to guide through the microgrid design process. An application of the methodology is presented using real event, location, and asset data.

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The electric grid has undergone rapid, revolutionary changes in recent years; from the addition of advanced smart technologies to the growing penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs) to increased interconnectivity and communications. However, these added communications, access interfaces, and third-party software to enable autonomous control schemes and interconnectivity also expand the attack surface of the grid. To address the gap of DER cybersecurity and secure the grid-edge to motivate a holistic, defense-in-depth approach, a proactive intrusion detection and mitigation system (PIDMS) device was developed to secure PV smart inverter communications. The PIDMS was developed as a distributed, flexible bump-in-the-wire (BITW) solution for protecting PV smart inverter communications. Both cyber (network traffic) and physical (power system measurements) are processed using network intrusion monitoring tools and custom machinelearning algorithms for deep packet analysis and cyber-physical event correlation. The PIDMS not only detects abnormal events but also deploys mitigations to limit or eliminate system impact; the PIDMS communicates with peer PIDMSs at different locations using the MQTT protocol for increased situational awareness and alerting. The details of the PIDMS methodology and prototype development are detailed in this report as well as the evaluation results within a cyber-physical emulation environment and subsequent industry feedback.

The climate crisis currently being faced by humanity is going to increase extreme weather events which are likely to make long-duration power outages for communities increase in frequency and duration. Microgrids are an important part of electrical resilience for connected communities during power outages. They also can have transactive potential to save energy on electric loads through coordinating distributed energy resources. Microgrids are expensive though. Making electric load coverage available nearly 100% of the time given known design basis threats and component failure statistics is one of the largest drivers of cost. Such high availability is non-negotiable for critical applications such as life saving equipment in a hospital but could perhaps be compromised for less critical loads.. This paper documents an analysis that used the Microgrid Design Toolkit and EnergyPlus simulation results with two energy retrofit options exercised. The results show how increasing energy efficiency and reducing availability to 90% and 80% reduced the calculated price of a photovoltaic and battery storage microgrid in a New Mexico neighborhood by 63% and 70%, respectively. A microgrid with 80% availability with 48-hour islanded run-time capability is therefore suggested as a low-cost method for accelerating microgrid infrastructure penetration into the residential sector. Such an “under-built” microgrid will significantly increase resilience even though it will not guarantee energy security for the non-critical applications in residential households. This will in turn accelerate the growth of storage potential across communities providing greater grid flexibility. The results of the study also show how increased insulation applied to the proposed residential community can be less expensive than creating a larger microgrid that carries larger electric loads. The likelihood that energy retrofits are a better investment than a larger microgrid is inversely proportional to availability. Here, availability is a metric equal to the percentage of the demand load served by the microgrid during power outages, not including the startup period.

Many Electric Power Systems (EPS) already include geographically dispersed photovoltaic (PV) systems. These PV systems may not be co-located with highest-priority loads and, thus, easily integrated into a microgrid; rather PV systems and priority loads may be far away from one another. Furthermore, because of the existing EPS configuration, non-critical loads between the distant PV and critical load(s) cannot be selectively disconnected. To achieve this, the proposed approach finds ideal switch locations by first defining the path between the critical load and a large PV system, then identifies all potential new switch locations along this path, and finally discovers switch locations for a particular budget by finding the ones the produce the lowest Loss of Load Probability (LOLP), which is when load exceed generation. Discovery of the switches with the lowest LOLP involves a Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) implementation. The objective of the PSO is to minimize the microgird's LOLP. The approach assumes dynamic microgrid operations, where both the critical and non-critical loads are powered during the day and only the critical load at night. To evaluate the approach, this paper includes a case study that uses the topology and Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI) data from an actual EPS. For this example, the assessment found new switch locations that reduced the LOLP by up to 50% for two distant PV location scenarios.

This report summarizes the work performed under a project funded by U.S. DOE Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) to use grid edge measurements to calibrate distribution system models for improved planning and grid integration of solar PV. Several physics-based data-driven algorithms are developed to identify inaccuracies in models and to bring increased visibility into distribution system planning. This includes phase identification, secondary system topology and parameter estimation, meter-to-transformer pairing, medium-voltage reconfiguration detection, determination of regulator and capacitor settings, PV system detection, PV parameter and setting estimation, PV dynamic models, and improved load modeling. Each of the algorithms is tested using simulation data and demonstrated on real feeders with our utility partners. The final algorithms demonstrate the potential for future planning and operations of the electric power grid to be more automated and data-driven, with more granularity, higher accuracy, and more comprehensive visibility into the system.

Limited access to transmission lines after a major contingency event can inhibit restoration efforts. After Hurricane Maria, for example, flooding and landslides damaged roads and thus limited travel. Transmission lines are also often situated far from maintained roadways, further limiting the ability to access and repair them. Therefore, this paper proposes a methodology for assessing Puerto Rico's infrastructure (i.e., roads and transmission lines) to identify potentially hard to reach areas due to natural risks or distance to roads. The approach uses geographic information system (GIS) data to define vulnerable areas, that may experience excessive restoration times. The methodology also uses graph theory analysis to find transmission lines with high centrality (or importance). Comparison of these important transmission lines with the vulnerability results found that many reside near roads that are at risk for landslides or floods.

There are now over 2.5 million Distributed Energy Resource (DER) installations connected to the U.S. power system. These installations represent a major portion of American electricity critical infrastructure and a cyberattack on these assets in aggregate would significantly affect grid operations. Virtualized Operational Technology (OT) equipment has been shown to provide practitioners with situational awareness and better understanding of adversary tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs). Deploying synthetic DER devices as honeypots and canaries would open new avenues of operational defense, threat intelligence gathering, and empower DER owners and operators with new cyber-defense mechanisms against the growing intensity and sophistication of cyberattacks on OT systems. Well-designed DER canary field deployments would deceive adversaries and provide early-warning notifications of adversary presence and malicious activities on OT networks. In this report, we present progress to design a high-fidelity DER honeypot/canary prototype in a late-start Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project.

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The adoption of distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems grew significantly in recent years. Market projections anticipate future growth for both residential and commercial installations. To understand grid impacts associated with distributed PV, useful hosting capacity studies require accurate representations of the spatial distribution of PV adoptions. Prediction of PV locations and numbers depends on median income data, building use zoning maps, and permit records to understand existing trends and predict future adoption rates and locations throughout an entire city. Using the PV adoption data, advanced and realistic simulations were performed to capture the distributed PV impacts on the grid. Also, using graph theory community detection hundreds of neighborhood microgrids can be discovered for the entire city by identifying densely connected loads that are sparsely connected to other communities. Then, based on the PV adoption predictions, this work identified the contribution of PV within each of the newly discovered graph theory defined microgrid communities.

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Dynamic operations of electric power switches in microgrid mode allows for distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems to support a critical load and enable the transfer of electrical power to non-critical loads. Instead of relying on an expensive system that includes a constant generation source (e.g. fossil fuel based generators), this work assess the potential balance of load and PV generation to properly charge a critical load battery while also supporting non-critical loads during the day. This work assumes that the battery is sized to only support the critical load and that the PV at the critical load is undersized. To compensate for the limited power capacity, a battery charging algorithm predicts and defines battery demand throughout the day; a particle swarm optimization (PSO) scheme connects and disconnects switch sections inside a distribution system with the objective of minimizing the difference between load and generation. The PSO reconfiguration scheme allows for continuous operations of a critical load as well as inclusion of non-critical loads.

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The electric grid is rapidly being modernized with novel technologies, adaptive and automated grid-support functions, and added connectivity with internet-based communications and remote interfaces. These advancements render the grid increasingly 'smart' and cyber-physical, but also broaden the vulnerability landscape and potential for malicious, cascading disturbances. The grid must be properly defended with security mechanisms such as intrusion detection systems (IDSs), but these tools must account for power system behavior as well as network traffic to be effective. In this paper, we present a cyber-physical IDS, the proactive intrusion detection and mitigation system (PIDMS), that analyzes both cyber and physical data streams in parallel, detects intrusion, and deploys proactive response. We demonstrate the PIDMS with an exemplar case study exploring a packet replay attack scenario focused on photovoltaic inverter communications; the scenario is tested with an emulated, cyber-physical grid environment with hardware-in-the-loop inverters.

The use of grid-edge sensing in distribution model calibration is a significant aid in reducing the time and cost associated with finding and correcting errors in the models. This work proposes a novel method for the phase identification task employing correlation coefficients on residential advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) combined with additional sensors on the medium-voltage distribution system to enable utilities to effectively calibrate the phase classification in distribution system models algorithmically. The proposed method was tested on a real utility feeder of ∼800 customers that includes 15-min voltage measurements on each phase from IntelliRupters® and 15-min AMI voltage measurements from all customers. The proposed method is compared with a standard phase identification method using voltage correlations with the substation and shows significantly improved results. The final phase predictions were verified to be correct in the field by the utility company.