Publications

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There is currently very limited research into how experts analyze and assess potentially fraudulent content in their expertise areas, and most research within the disinformation space involves very limited text samples (e.g., news headlines). The overarching goal of the present study was to explore how an individual’s psychological profile and the linguistic features in text might influence an expert’s ability to discern disinformation/fraudulent content in academic journal articles. At a high level, the current design tasked experts with reading journal articles from their area of expertise and indicating if they thought an article was deceptive or not. Half the articles they read were journal papers that had been retracted due to academic fraud. Demographic and psychological inventory data collected on the participants was combined with performance data to generate insights about individual expert susceptibility to deception. Our data show that our population of experts were unable to reliably detect deception in formal technical writing. Several psychological dimensions such as comfort with uncertainty and intellectual humility may provide some protection against deception. This work informs our understanding of expert susceptibility to potentially fraudulent content within official, technical information and can be used to inform future mitigative efforts and provide a building block for future disinformation work.

Abstract not provided.

This report covers an inquiry into seismoacoustic array processing using infrasound arrivals combined with resulting Ground Coupled Airwaves (GCA) that are present on collocated seismic sensors. In preparation, data calibration and denoising is completed for a seismoacoustic sensor array that was deployed at the Facility for Acceptance, Calibration, and Testing on Kirtland Airforce Base from August through September of 2021. The events of interest for this study are small, local explosive sources that lead to short duration, impulsive signals on the instruments. The goal is to determine if combining infrasound signals with the corresponding GCAs on collocated seismic sensors can be used to improve the results returned by automated signal detection and characterization (e.g., back azimuth estimates). Preparation for seismic and infrasound data involves removing the instrument response so that sensors have flat power spectra over the frequency range 0.1-10 Hz, where signal from events of interest may be detected. After instrument response removal, deployment conditions specific to this array require a retrospective noise analysis to determine station emplacement characteristics. Once all data is calibrated, a manual search is performed for possible GCA arrivals across the seismoacoustic network. These arrivals are then processed through beamforming and subsequent event identification, resulting in a catalogue of seismoacoustic GCA arrivals with corresponding back azimuth and trace velocity estimations.

This report summarizes the water inputs associated with four technologies playing diverse roles in energy transitions: hydrogen, solar photovoltaics (PV), wind, and batteries. Information in this report is drawn from multiple sources, including peer-reviewed literature, industry and international agency reports, EcoInvent life cycle inventory database, and subject matter expert (SME) consultations. Where possible, insights that characterized water requirements for specific stages of the technology development (e.g., operations, manufacturing, and mining) were prioritized over broader cradle-to-gate assessment values. Furthermore, both direct and indirect water requirements (i.e., associated with associated energy inputs) were considered in this literature review.

Validation and verification of engineering models is important to understand potential weaknesses and issues in the model. This is accomplished through the application of constraint logic to the model. These models and the constraints put upon them can be represented through a graph structure. Here we give a visualization system to aid users understanding, locating, and fixing constraint violations in their systems. We give users several ways to narrow down on the specific errors and parts of the graph they’re interested in. Users have the opportunity to choose the types of errors that will be shown in the graph. Clustering is applied to the graph to help users narrow down their searches. Several other graph interactions are given to support discovery of constraint violations.

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This report is a comprehensive guide to the nonlinear viscoelastic Spectacular model, which is an isotropic, thermo-rheologically simple constitutive model for glass-forming materials, such as amorphous polymers. Spectacular is intermediate in complexity to the previous PEC and SPEC models (Potential Energy Clock and Simplified Potential Energy Clock models, respectively). The model form consists of two parts: a Helmholtz free energy functional and a nonlinear material clock that controls the rate of viscoelastic relaxation. The Helmholtz free energy is derived from a series expansion about a reference state. Expressions for the stress and entropy functionals are derived from the Helmholtz free energy following the Rational Mechanics approach. The material clock depends on a simplified expression for the potential energy, which itself is a functional of the temperature and strain histories. This report describes the thermo-mechanical theory of Spectacular, the numerical methods for time-integrating the model, model verification for its implementation in LAMÉ, a user guide for its implementation in LAMÉ, and ideas for future work. A number of appendices provide supplementary mathematical details and a description of the procedure used to derive the simplified potential energy from the full expression for the potential energy. The goal of this report is create a convenient point-of-entry for engineers who wish to learn more about Spectacular, but also to serve as a reference manual for advanced users of the model.

The Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is the world’s largest supply of emergency crude oil. The reserve consists of four sites in Louisiana and Texas. Each site stores crude in deep, underground salt caverns. It is the mission of the SPR’s Enhanced Monitoring Program to examine available sensing data to inform our understanding of each site. This report discusses the monitoring data, processes, and results for each of the four sites for fiscal year 2023.

This technical report serves to summarize a literature search conducted that covered confidence calibration. This report is meant to serve as a solid starting reference for individuals interested in learning more about the confidence calibration domain as well as for individuals more familiar with this work – as a summarizing document for calibration metrics is notably lacking in the literature. This report is not meant to serve as a comprehensive review of everything that has been done in this field – in fact, the reader is encouraged to look further into this domain. We describe confidence and calibration and discuss properties of good calibration metrics. We detail various calibration and calibration-tangential metrics, presenting equations, algorithms, parameters, and an analysis of strengths and weaknesses. We apply a subset of these metrics to eight proxy confidence assessment datasets. We examine the various metrics in the context of model confidence. Finally, we discuss promising future directions and outstanding questions.

This report represents completion of milestone deliverable M2SF-24SN010309082 Annual Status Update for OWL due on November 30, 2023. It contains the status of fiscal year 2023 (FY2023) updates for the Online Waste Library (OWL).

Here, a review of current trends in scientific computing reveals a broad shift to open-source and higher-level programming languages such as Python and growing career opportunities over the next decade. Open-source modeling tools accelerate innovation in equation-based and data-driven applications. Significant resources have been deployed to develop data-driven tools (PyTorch, TensorFlow, Scikit-learn) from tech companies that rely on machine learning services to meet business needs while keeping the foundational tools open. Open-source equation-based tools such as Pyomo, CasADi, Gekko, and JuMP are also gaining momentum according to user community and development pace metrics. Integration of data-driven and principles-based tools is emerging. New compute hardware, productivity software, and training resources have the potential to radically accelerate progress. However, long-term support mechanisms are still necessary to sustain the momentum and maintenance of critical foundational packages.

During February 2023, a total of 32 individual distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) systems acted jointly as a global seismic monitoring network. The aim of this Global DAS Month campaign was to coordinate a diverse network of organizations, instruments, and file formats to gain knowledge and move toward the next generation of earthquake monitoring networks. During this campaign, 156 earthquakes of magnitude 5 or larger were reported by the U.S. Geological Survey and contributors shared data for 60 min after each event’s origin time. Participating systems represent a variety of manufacturers, a range of recording parameters, and varying cable emplacement settings (e.g., shallow burial, borehole, subaqueous, and dark fiber). Monitored cable lengths vary between 152 and 120,129 m, with channel spacing between 1 and 49 m. The data has a total size of 6.8 TB, and are available for free download. Finally, organizing and executing the Global DAS Month has produced a unique dataset for further exploration and highlighted areas of further development for the seismological community to address.

Computational simulation is increasingly relied upon for high/consequence engineering decisions, which necessitates a high confidence in the calibration of and predictions from complex material models. However, the calibration and validation of material models is often a discrete, multi-stage process that is decoupled from material characterization activities, which means the data collected does not always align with the data that is needed. To address this issue, an integrated workflow for delivering an enhanced characterization and calibration procedure—Interlaced Characterization and Calibration (ICC)—is introduced and demonstrated. Further, this framework leverages Bayesian optimal experimental design (BOED), which creates a line of communication between model calibration needs and data collection capabilities in order to optimize the information content gathered from the experiments for model calibration. Eventually, the ICC framework will be used in quasi real-time to actively control experiments of complex specimens for the calibration of a high-fidelity material model. This work presents the critical first piece of algorithm development and a demonstration in determining the optimal load path of a cruciform specimen with simulated data. Calibration results, obtained via Bayesian inference, from the integrated ICC approach are compared to calibrations performed by choosing the load path a priori based on human intuition, as is traditionally done. The calibration results are communicated through parameter uncertainties which are propagated to the model output space (i.e. stress–strain). In these exemplar problems, data generated within the ICC framework resulted in calibrated model parameters with reduced measures of uncertainty compared to the traditional approaches.

Bimetallic, reactive multilayers are uniformly structured materials composed of alternating sputter-deposited layers that may be ignited to produce self-propagating mixing and formation reactions. These nanolaminates are most commonly used as rapid-release heat sources. The specific chemical composition at each metal/metal interface determines the rate of mass transport in a mixing and formation reaction. The inclusion of engineered diffusion barriers at each interface will not only inhibit solid-state mixing but also may impede the self-propagating reactions by introducing instabilities to wavefront morphology. This work examines the effect of adding diffusion barriers on the propagation of reaction waves in Co/Al multilayers. The Co/Al system has been shown to exhibit a reaction propagation instability that is dependent on the bilayer thickness, which allows for the occurrence of unstable modes in otherwise stable designs from the inclusion of diffusion barriers. Based on the known stability criteria in the Co/Al multilayer system, the way in which the inclusion of diffusion barriers changes a multilayer's heat of reaction, thermal conductivity, and material mixing mechanisms can be determined. These factors, in aggregate, lead to changes in the wavefront velocity and stability.

Here, using atomistic molecular dynamics simulations, we investigate the morphology and transport properties of a new family of fluorine-free terpolymers designed as proton-exchange membranes. Simulated random terpolymers consist of three monomers with a 5-carbon backbone with a phenylsulfonate, phenyl, or no pendant group and have ion exchange capacities (IECs) ranging from 1.06–4.14 mmol/g. At a hydration level of 9, cluster analysis reveals macrophase separation between water and terpolymers with IEC < 2.1 mmol/g and continuous, percolated hydrophilic and hydrophobic nanoscale domains at higher IECs. Channel width distribution analysis of the percolated morphologies revealed that more hydrophobic units produce less uniform channels. Decreasing the surface area per sulfonate group and increasing the fractal dimension of the hydrophilic domains correlate with increased water diffusivity, due to a more acidic interface and more isotropic water channels. Relative to the previously studied phenylsulfonate homopolymer, these terpolymers with lower IECs have only modestly lower water diffusion, and we anticipate other advantages related to processability.

Photonic topological insulators exhibit bulk-boundary correspondence, which requires that boundary-localized states appear at the interface formed between topologically distinct insulating materials. However, many topological photonic devices share a boundary with free space, which raises a subtle but critical problem as free space is gapless for photons above the light line. Here, we use a local theory of topological materials to resolve bulk-boundary correspondence in heterostructures containing gapless materials and in radiative environments. In particular, we construct the heterostructure’s spectral localizer, a composite operator based on the system’s real-space description that provides a local marker for the system’s topology and a corresponding local measure of its topological protection; both quantities are independent of the material’s bulk band gap (or lack thereof). Moreover, we show that approximating radiative outcoupling as material absorption overestimates a heterostructure’s topological protection. Importantly, as the spectral localizer is applicable to systems in any physical dimension and in any discrete symmetry class (i.e., any Altland-Zirnbauer class), our results show how to calculate topological invariants, quantify topological protection, and locate topological boundary-localized resonances in topological materials that interface with gapless media in general.

Nonlinear topological insulators have garnered substantial recent attention as they have both enabled the discovery of new physics due to interparticle interactions, and may have applications in photonic devices such as topological lasers and frequency combs. However, due to the local nature of nonlinearities, previous attempts to classify the topology of nonlinear systems have required significant approximations that must be tailored to individual systems. Here, we develop a general framework for classifying the topology of nonlinear materials in any discrete symmetry class and any physical dimension. Our approach is rooted in a numerical $K$ -theoretic method called the spectral localizer, which leverages a real-space perspective of a system to define local topological markers and a local measure of topological protection. Here, our nonlinear spectral localizer framework yields a quantitative definition of topologically nontrivial nonlinear modes that are distinguished by the appearance of a topological interface surrounding the mode. Moreover, we show how the nonlinear spectral localizer can be used to understand a system's topological dynamics, i.e., the time evolution of nonlinearly induced topological domains within a system. We anticipate that this framework will enable the discovery and development of novel topological systems across a broad range of nonlinear materials.

Derived from renewable feedstocks, such as biomass, polylactic acid (PLA) is considered a more environmentally friendly plastic than conventional petroleum-based polyethylene terephthalate (PET). However, PLA must still be recycled, and its growing popularity and mixture with PET plastics at the disposal stage poses a cross-contamination threat in existing recycling facilities and results in low-value and low-quality recycled products. Hybrid upcycling has been proposed as a promising sustainable solution for mixed plastic waste, but its techno-economic and life cycle environmental performance remain understudied. Here we propose a hybrid upcycling approach using a biocompatible ionic liquid (IL) to first chemically depolymerize plastics and then convert the depolymerized stream via biological upgrading with no extra separation. We show that over 95% of mixed PET/PLA was depolymerized into the respective monomers, which then served as the sole carbon source for the growth of Pseudomonas putida, enabling the conversion of the depolymerized plastics into biodegradable polyhydroxyalkanoates (PHAs). In comparison to conventional commercial PHAs, the estimated optimal production cost and carbon footprint are reduced by 62% and 29%, respectively.

The United States Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy’s Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology Campaign seeks to better understand the technical basis, risks, and uncertainty associated with the safe and secure disposition of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level radioactive waste. Commercial nuclear power generation in the United States has resulted in thousands of metric tons of SNF, the disposal of which is the responsibility of DOE (Nuclear Waste Policy Act of 1982, as amended). Any repository licensed to dispose of SNF must meet requirements regarding the long-term performance of that repository. The evaluation of long-term performance of the repository may need to consider the SNF achieving a critical configuration during the postclosure period. Of particular interest is the potential for this situation to occur in dual-purpose canisters (DPCs), which are currently licensed and being used to store and transport SNF but were not designed for permanent geologic disposal. DOE has been considering disposing of SNF in DPCs to avoid the costs and worker dose associated with repackaging the SNF currently stored in DPCs into repository-specific canisters. This report examines the consequences of postclosure criticality to provide technical support to DOE in developing a disposal plan.

An optically recording velocity interferometer system has been used to measure acceleration histories and maximum velocities for laser-driven aluminum foil targets launched from the output face of optical fibers. Peak flyer velocities have been determined as a function of various parameters, including driving laser fluence, laser pulse duration and target thickness. The results at high fluences are consistent with a nearly constant efficiency of coupling optical energy into flyer kinetic energy and a small ablated mass fraction; however, the coupling efficiency falls off rapidly at fluences < 15 J-cm^-2. Measurement of the time delay between laser pulse arrival at the target and the onset of flyer motion have also been performed. Significant delays are observed at low fluences, arising from the increased time required for plasma formation at the fiber/foil interface under these conditions.

Aerosol particles are known to exist in highly viscous amorphous states at a low relative humidity and temperature. The slow diffusion of molecules in viscous particles impacts the uptake and loss of volatile and semivolatile species and the rate of heterogeneous chemistry. Recent work has demonstrated that in particles containing organic molecules and salts, the formation of two-phase gel states is possible, leading to observations of rigid particles that resist coalescence. The way that molecules diffuse and transport in gel systems is not well-characterized. In this work, we use an electrodynamic balance to levitate sample particles containing a range of organic compounds in mixtures with calcium chloride and measure the rate of water diffusion. Particles of the pure organics have been shown to form viscous amorphous states, while in mixtures with divalent salts, coalescence measurements have revealed the apparent solidification of particles, consistent with the formation of a gel state facilitated by ion-molecule interactions. We report in several cases that water transport can actually be increased in the rigid gel state relative to the pure compound that forms a viscous state under similar conditions. These measurements reveal the limitations of using viscosity as a metric for predicting molecular diffusion and that the gel structure that forms is a much stronger controlling factor in the rate of diffusion. This underscores the need for diffusion measurements as well as a deeper understanding of noncovalent molecular assembly that leads to supramolecular structures in aerosol particles.

The purpose of pvOps is to support empirical evaluations of data collected in the field related to the operations and maintenance (O&M) of photovoltaic (PV) power plants. pvOps presently contains modules that address the diversity of field data, including text-based maintenance logs, current-voltage (IV) curves, and timeseries of production information. The package functions leverage machine learning, visualization, and other techniques to enable cleaning, processing, and fusion of these datasets. These capabilities are intended to facilitate easier evaluation of field patterns and extraction of relevant insights to support reliability-related decision-making for PV sites. The open-source code, examples, and instructions for installing the package through PyPI can be accessed through the GitHub repository.

Operator learning for complex nonlinear systems is increasingly common in modeling multi-physics and multi-scale systems. However, training such high-dimensional operators requires a large amount of expensive, high-fidelity data, either from experiments or simulations. In this work, we present a composite Deep Operator Network (DeepONet) for learning using two datasets with different levels of fidelity to accurately learn complex operators when sufficient high-fidelity data is not available. Additionally, we demonstrate that the presence of low-fidelity data can improve the predictions of physics-informed learning with DeepONets. We demonstrate the new multi-fidelity training in diverse examples, including modeling of the ice-sheet dynamics of the Humboldt glacier, Greenland, using two different fidelity models and also using the same physical model at two different resolutions.