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Modeling and predicting power from a WEC array

Oceans Conference Record (IEEE)

Coe, Ryan G.; Bacelli, Giorgio B.; Gaebele, Daniel; Cotten, Alfred; Mcnatt, Cameron; Wilson, David G.; Weaver, Wayne; Kasper, Jeremy L.; Khalil, Mohammad K.; Dallman, Ann R.

This study presents a numerical model of a WEC array. The model will be used in subsequent work to study the ability of data assimilation to support power prediction from WEC arrays and WEC array design. In this study, we focus on design, modeling, and control of the WEC array. A case study is performed for a small remote Alaskan town. Using an efficient method for modeling the linear interactions within a homogeneous array, we produce a model and predictionless feedback controllers for the devices within the array. The model is applied to study the effects of spectral wave forecast errors on power output. The results of this analysis show that the power performance of the WEC array will be most strongly affected by errors in prediction of the spectral period, but that reductions in performance can realistically be limited to less than 10% based on typical data assimilation based spectral forecasting accuracy levels.

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Lessons Learned Based on SNL Experience in Reviews of SPA Controls Awardees

Schoenwald, David A.; Roberts, Jesse D.; Dallman, Ann R.

This report summarizes the key contributions and lessons learned from SNL experience in technical reviews of Controls awardees in the DOE SPA program from 2013 - 2020. The purpose of this report is to provide observations and technical suggestions that are likely to be beneficial to the WEC industry as a whole. Over the course of the SPA FOA program, SNL has engaged in technical review for a total of 5 different Controls awardees. The awardees represent a diversity of WEC devices and the application of different control design approaches. The report begins with a summary of key performance metrics results reported by the 5 Controls awardees. This is followed by a summary of observations and lessons learned distilled from the technical reviews of the awardees . The report concludes with a list of general technical suggestions for future WEC controls projects.

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Advancing the science of explosive fragmentation and afterburn fireballs though experiments and simulations at the benchtop scale

Guildenbecher, Daniel R.; Dallman, Ann R.; Munz, Elise D.; Halls, Benjamin R.; Jones, Elizabeth M.; Kearney, S.P.; Marinis, Ryan T.; Murzyn, Christopher M.; Richardson, Daniel R.; Perez, Francisco; Reu, Phillip L.; Thompson, Andrew D.; Welliver, Marc W.; Mazumdar, Yi C.; Brown, Alex; Pourpoint, Timothee L.; White, Catriona M.L.; Balachandar, S.; Houim, Ryan W.

Detonation of explosive devices produces extremely hazardous fragments and hot, luminous fireballs. Prior experimental investigations of these post-detonation environments have primarily considered devices containing hundreds of grams of explosives. While relevant to many applications, such large- scale testing also significantly restricts experimental diagnostics and provides limited data for model validation. As an alternative, the current work proposes experiments and simulations of the fragmentation and fireballs from commercial detonators with less than a gram of high explosive. As demonstrated here, reduced experimental hazards and increased optical access significantly expand the viability of advanced imaging and laser diagnostics. Notable developments include the first known validation of MHz-rate optical fragment tracking and the first ever Coherent Anti-Stokes Raman Scattering (CARS) measures of post-detonation fireball temperatures. While certainly not replacing the need for full-scale verification testing, this work demonstrates new opportunities to accelerate developments of diagnostics and predictive models of post-detonation environments.

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A Parameterization Study of Sew-EZ Materials: Types #6 and #8

Omana, Michael A.; Dallman, Ann R.; Wiemann, Dora K.; Settecerri, Taylor S.

Two material types identified by Sew-EZ were tested in various configurations, and under various conditions, by Sandia National Laboratories (SNL). The primary focus of this study was to assess the filtration performance of these two materials and identify if they perform similarly to certified N95 respirators. Testing was conducted on two systems which use distinctly different techniques to characterize the aerosol penetration characteristics of materials: a) R&D Filtration System: A large-scale R&D filtration system was used with testing parameters that mimicked NIOSH guidelines, where possible. Efficiency data as a function of particle size was attained using NaC1 as the test aerosol and a Scanning Mobility Particle Sizer (SMPS) for measurements. A more detailed system description can be found in Omana et al. 2020. b) Automated Tester: A commercial, automated filter tester (100Xs, Air Techniques International) was used to provide penetration/efficiency data for Sew EZ materials. The 100Xs aerosolizes a polydisperse NaC1 aerosol with a consistent concentration and size profile. The 100Xs manual (Air Techniques International 2018) states, "The aerosol particle size and distribution are designed to meet all requirements as defined in the relevant sections of NIOSH 42 CFR, Part 84 (pg. 32)."

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Filtration Performance Results: Sierra Peaks Material No. 4

Omana, Michael A.; Wiemann, Dora K.; Settecerri, Taylor S.; Dallman, Ann R.

Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) assessed the filtration performance of materials from Sierra Peaks to identify alternatives which may perform similarly to materials used in FDA-approved N95 respirators. This work is meant to characterize the aerosol performance of materials to give Sierra Peaks information for them to determine if they elect to submit masks made using these materials for follow-on N95 certification testing at an accredited facility. The R&D testbed used is a large-scale filtration system designed to test commercial filter boxes. System modifications were performed to simulate, where possible, parameters defined by the National Institute for Occupational Safety and Health (NIOSH) for certification of filter materials for N95 respirators (NIOSH 2019). The system is a pull-through design. Air enters through a Laminar Flow Element (LFE) and the volumetric flow is measured based on the pressure drop across the LFE. Pressure is measured via a Pressure Transducer (PT). The air then passes through a High Efficiency Particulate Air (HEPA) filter to purge the air of ambient airborne particulates. Test aerosol is injected into the flow shortly after and mixing is induced via a coarse mesh. The airflow is allowed to fully develop prior to arriving at the test section. The aerosol then passes through the test material mounted in a box in the test section. Pressure drop across the test article is measured and aerosol sampling probes measure the aerosol concentrations upstream and downstream of the sample. The air passes through a second HEPA filter prior to being exhausted to ambient by a blower. A Topas aerosol generator is used to produce the test aerosol from Sodium Chloride (NaC1) dissolved in deionized (DI) water. Generated aerosol passes through a heated mixing chamber and a desiccant dryer to produce nanosized solid-state particulates. A dilution loop allows for the aerosol concentration to be regulated. The aerosol sampling probes upstream and downstream of the test section are aligned with the flow path. These are ducted directly to the aerosol sizing and counting instruments. A Laser Aerosol Spectrometer (LAS) was used for data collection in the original configuration of the system and was also used for initial testing in this project. Because the lower measurement range for the LAS is 90 nanometers (nm), the LAS was switched out for a more complicated Scanning Mobility Particle Sizer (SMPS) spectrometer system. The SMPS is comprised of an Electrostatic Classifier (EC), Differential Mobility Analyzer (DMA), and a Condensation Particle Counter (CPC). This enabled data collection at 75 nm, the particle size called out in the NIOSH guidelines.

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Wave data assimilation in support of wave energy converter powerprediction: Yakutat, Alaska case study

Proceedings of the Annual Offshore Technology Conference

Dallman, Ann R.; Khalil, Mohammad K.; Raghukumar, Kaus; Jones, Craig; Kasper, Jeremy; Flanary, Christopher; Chang, Grace; Roberts, Jesse D.

Integration of renewable power sources into grids remains an active research and development area,particularly for less developed renewable energy technologies such as wave energy converters (WECs).WECs are projected to have strong early market penetration for remote communities, which serve as naturalmicrogrids. Hence, accurate wave predictions to manage the interactions of a WEC array with microgridsis especially important. Recently developed, low-cost wave measurement buoys allow for operationalassimilation of wave data at remote locations where real-time data have previously been unavailable. This work includes the development and assessment of a wave modeling framework with real-time dataassimilation capabilities for WEC power prediction. The availability of real-time wave spectral componentsfrom low-cost wave measurement buoys allows for operational data assimilation with the Ensemble Kalmanfilter technique, whereby measured wave conditions within the numerical wave forecast model domain areassimilated onto the combined set of internal and boundary grid points while taking into account model andobservation error covariances. The updated model state and boundary conditions allow for more accuratewave characteristic predictions at the locations of interest. Initial deployment data indicated that measured wave data from one buoy that were assimilated intothe wave modeling framework resulted in improved forecast skill for a case where a traditional numericalforecast model (e.g., Simulating WAves Nearshore; SWAN) did not well represent the measured conditions.On average, the wave power forecast error was reduced from 73% to 43% using the data assimilationmodeling with real-time wave observations.

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Wave data assimilation in support of wave energy converter powerprediction: Yakutat, Alaska case study

Proceedings of the Annual Offshore Technology Conference

Dallman, Ann R.; Khalil, Mohammad K.; Raghukumar, Kaus; Jones, Craig; Kasper, Jeremy; Flanary, Christopher; Chang, Grace; Roberts, Jesse D.

Integration of renewable power sources into grids remains an active research and development area,particularly for less developed renewable energy technologies such as wave energy converters (WECs).WECs are projected to have strong early market penetration for remote communities, which serve as naturalmicrogrids. Hence, accurate wave predictions to manage the interactions of a WEC array with microgridsis especially important. Recently developed, low-cost wave measurement buoys allow for operationalassimilation of wave data at remote locations where real-time data have previously been unavailable. This work includes the development and assessment of a wave modeling framework with real-time dataassimilation capabilities for WEC power prediction. The availability of real-time wave spectral componentsfrom low-cost wave measurement buoys allows for operational data assimilation with the Ensemble Kalmanfilter technique, whereby measured wave conditions within the numerical wave forecast model domain areassimilated onto the combined set of internal and boundary grid points while taking into account model andobservation error covariances. The updated model state and boundary conditions allow for more accuratewave characteristic predictions at the locations of interest. Initial deployment data indicated that measured wave data from one buoy that were assimilated intothe wave modeling framework resulted in improved forecast skill for a case where a traditional numericalforecast model (e.g., Simulating WAves Nearshore; SWAN) did not well represent the measured conditions.On average, the wave power forecast error was reduced from 73% to 43% using the data assimilationmodeling with real-time wave observations.

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Reducing variability in the cost of energy of ocean energy arrays

Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews

Topper, Mathew B.R.; Nava, Vincenzo; Collin, Adam J.; Bould, David; Ferri, Francesco; Olson, Sterling S.; Dallman, Ann R.; Roberts, Jesse D.; Jeffrey, Henry F.

Variability in the predicted cost of energy of an ocean energy converter array is more substantial than for other forms of energy generation, due to the combined stochastic action of weather conditions and failures. If the variability is great enough, then this may influence future financial decisions. This paper provides the unique contribution of quantifying variability in the predicted cost of energy and introduces a framework for investigating reduction of variability through investment in components. Following review of existing methodologies for parametric analysis of ocean energy array design, the development of the DTOcean software tool is presented. DTOcean can quantify variability by simulating the design, deployment and operation of arrays with higher complexity than previous models, designing sub-systems at component level. A case study of a theoretical floating wave energy converter array is used to demonstrate that the variability in levelised cost of energy (LCOE) can be greatest for the smallest arrays and that investment in improved component reliability can reduce both the variability and most likely value of LCOE. A hypothetical study of improved electrical cables and connectors shows reductions in LCOE up to 2.51% and reductions in the variability of LCOE of over 50%; these minima occur for different combinations of components.

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Existing Ocean Energy Performance Metrics

Dallman, Ann R.; Weber, Jochem; Schoenwald, David A.; Moraski, Lauren; Jenne, Dale S.

This document summarizes existing Marine and Hydrokinetic (MHK) performance metrics known to the United States Department of Energy and national laboratories. This document was updated based on feedback from the MHK Energy community, however, this summary still may not be exhaustive. There are a wide variety of needs and uses for metrics. All stakeholders, such as developers, funding agencies, investors, and researchers, have a need for metrics and their many uses. It is evident that the sector will benefit from clear techno economic performance metrics to guide development towards success. There are international efforts underway to bring the community together to (1) understand what metrics/approaches are being used currently and (2) reach a global framework on the approach to the measurement of success. This document serves to list existing metrics known to the U.S. at the present, and is not meant to represent international efforts or consensus.

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Assessment of wave energy resources and factors affecting conversion

Proceedings of the Annual Offshore Technology Conference

Jones, Craig; Chang, Grace; Dallman, Ann R.; Roberts, Jesse D.; Raghukumar, Kaustubha; Mcwilliams, Sam

The wave energy resource for U.S. coastal regions has been estimated at approximately 1,200 TWh/ yr (EPRI 2011). The magnitude is comparable to the natural gas and coal energy generation. Although the wave energy industry is relatively new from a commercial perspective, wave energy conversion (WEC) technology is developing at an increasing pace. Ramping up to commercial scale deployment of WEC arrays requires demonstration of performance that is economically competitive with other energy generation methods. The International Electrotechnical Commission has provided technical specifications for developing wave energy resource assessments and characterizations, but it is ultimately up to developers to create pathways for making a specific site competitive. The present study uses example sites to evaluate the annual energy production using different wave energy conversion strategies and examines pathways available to make WEC deployments competitive. The wave energy resource is evaluated for sites along the U.S. coast and combinations of wave modeling and basic resource assessments determine factors affecting the cost of energy at these sites. The results of this study advance the understanding of wave resource and WEC device assessment required to evaluate commercial-scale deployments.

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Improved Wave Energy Production Forecasts for Smart Grid Integration

Dallman, Ann R.; Khalil, Mohammad K.; Raghukumar, Kaus; Kasper, Jeremy; Jones, Craig; Roberts, Jesse D.

Integration of renewable power sources into electrical grids remains an active research and development area, particularly for less developed renewable energy technologies, such as wave energy converters (WECs). High spatio-temporal resolution and accurate wave forecasts at a potential WEC (or WEC array) lease area are needed to improve WEC power prediction and to facilitate grid integration, particularly for microgrid locations. The availability of high quality measurement data from recently developed low-cost buoys allows for operational assimilation of wave data into forecast models at remote locations where real-time data have previously been unavailable. This work includes the development and assessment of a wave modeling framework with real-time data assimilation capabilities for WEC power prediction. Spoondrift wave measurement buoys were deployed off the coast of Yakutat, Alaska, a microgrid site with high wave energy resource potential. A wave modeling framework with data assimilation was developed and assessed, which was most effective when the incoming forecasted boundary conditions did not represent the observations well. For that case, assimilation of the wave height data using the ensemble Kalman filter resulted in a reduction of wave height forecast normalized root mean square error from 27% to an average of 16% over a 12-hour period. This results in reduction of wave power forecast error from 73% to 43%. In summary, the use of the low-cost wave buoy data assimilated into the wave modeling framework improved the forecast skill and will provide a useful development tool for the integration of WECs into electrical grids.

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Results 1–25 of 41
Results 1–25 of 41