Publications

We explore the use of reduced physics models for efficient kinetic particle simulations of space charge limited (SCL) emission in inner magnetically insulated transmission lines (inner MITLs), with application to Sandia National Laboratories' Z machine. We propose a drift kinetic (guiding center) model of electron motion in place of a fully kinetic model and electrostatic-magnetostatic fields in place of electromagnetic fields. The validity of these approximations is suggested by the operational parameters of the Z machine, namely, current pulse lengths of order 100 ns compared with Larmor periods typically smaller than 10-11 s, typical Larmor radii of a few (tens) of microns (magnetic fields of tens to hundreds of Tesla) compared with MITL dimensions of a few centimeters, and transient time of light waves along the inner MITL of order a fraction of a nanosecond. Guiding center orbits eliminate the fast electron gyromotion, which enables the use of tens to hundreds of times larger time steps in the numerical particle advance. Electrostatic-magnetostatic fields eliminate the Courant-Friedrichs-Lewy (CFL) numerical stability limit on the time step and allow the use of higher grid resolutions or, alternatively, larger time steps in the fields advance. Overall, potential computational cost savings of tens to hundreds of times exists. The applicability of the reduced physics models is examined on two problems. First, in the simulation of space charge limited emission of electrons from the cathode surface due to high electric fields in a radial inner MITL geometry with a short load. In particular, it is shown that a drift kinetic-based particle-in-cell (PIC) model with electrostatic-magnetostatic fields is able to accurately reproduce well-known physics of electron vortex formation, spatially and temporally. Second, deeper understanding is gained of the mechanism behind vortex formation in this MITL geometry by considering an exemplar problem of an electron block of charge. This simpler setup reveals that the main mechanism of vortex formation can be attributed to pure drift motion of the electrons, that is, the (fully kinetic) gyromotion of the electrons is inessential to the process. This exemplar problem also suggests a correlation of the spatial dimensions of vortices to the thickness of the electron layer, as observed in SCL simulations. It also confirms that the electromagnetic nature of the fields does not play an essential role. Finally, an improved hybrid fully kinetic and drift kinetic model for electron motion is proposed, as means of capturing finite Larmor radius (FLR) effects; the particular FLR physics that is missed by the drift kinetic model is the particle-wall interaction. By initializing SCL emitted electrons as fully kinetic and later transitioning them to drift kinetic, according to simple criteria, the accuracy of SCL simulations can be improved, while preserving the potential for computational efficiency.

Although visualizations are a useful tool for helping people to understand information, they can also have unintended effects on human cognition. This is especially true for uncertain information, which is difficult for people to understand. Prior work has found that different methods of visualizing uncertain information can produce different patterns of decision making from users. However, uncertainty can also be represented via text or numerical information, and few studies have systematically compared these types of representations to visualizations of uncertainty. We present two experiments that compared visual representations of risk (icon arrays) to numerical representations (natural frequencies) in a wildfire evacuation task. Like prior studies, we found that different types of visual cues led to different patterns of decision making. In addition, our comparison of visual and numerical representations of risk found that people were more likely to evacuate when they saw visualizations than when they saw numerical representations. These experiments reinforce the idea that design choices are not neutral: seemingly minor differences in how information is represented can have important impacts on human risk perception and decision making.

Deep learning (DL) models have enjoyed increased attention in recent years because of their powerful predictive capabilities. While many successes have been achieved, standard deep learning methods suffer from a lack of uncertainty quantification (UQ). While the development of methods for producing UQ from DL models is an active area of current research, little attention has been given to the quality of the UQ produced by such methods. In order to deploy DL models to high-consequence applications, high-quality UQ is necessary. This report details the research and development conducted as part of a Laboratory Directed Research and Development (LDRD) project at Sandia National Laboratories. The focus of this project is to develop a framework of methods and metrics for the principled assessment of UQ quality in DL models. This report presents an overview of UQ quality assessment in traditional statistical modeling and describes why this approach is difficult to apply in DL contexts. An assessment on relatively simple simulated data is presented to demonstrate that UQ quality can differ greatly between DL models trained on the same data. A method for simulating image data that can then be used for UQ quality assessment is described. A general method for simulating realistic data for the purpose of assessing a model’s UQ quality is also presented. A Bayesian uncertainty framework for understanding uncertainty and existing metrics is described. Research that came out of collaborations with two university partners are discussed along with a software toolkit that is currently being developed to implement the UQ quality assessment framework as well as serve as a general guide to incorporating UQ into DL applications.

Traditionally, electric grid planning seeks to maintain safe, reliable, efficient, and affordable service for current and future customers. As policies, expectations of the energy system, and the threat landscape evolve, additional objectives for power system planners are emerging, including decarbonization, resilience, and equity. Renewable and clean energy goals, especially in the context of deep decarbonization strategies, are changing the mix of resources on the electric grid and prompting new considerations for grid architecture. The increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events over the last two decades, coupled with cybersecurity concerns, have elevated resilience as a key system need. More recently, there has been greater focus on equity and energy justice in grid planning to ensure that disadvantaged communities are not adversely affected by grid modernization and have equal access to its benefits. In response, new thinking around multi-objective decision planning is exploring improvements in grid planning processes to better integrate approaches to meet decarbonization, resilience, and equity objectives. To provide a foundation for this work, a series of white papers was produced to summarize these emerging objectives.

Distributed acoustic sensing (DAS) has a demonstrated potential for wide-scale and continuous in situ monitoring of near-surface environmental and anthropogenic processes. DAS is attractive for development as a multi-geophysical observatory due to the prevalence of existing fiber infrastructure in regions with environmental, cultural, or strategic significance. To evaluate the efficacy of this technology for monitoring of polar environmental processes, we collected DAS data from a 37-km long section of seafloor telecommunications fiber located on the continental shelf of the Beaufort Sea, Alaska. This experiment spanned eight, one-week, seasonally-distributed periods across two years. This was the first ever deployment of seafloor DAS beneath sea ice, and the first deployment in any marine environment to span multiple seasons. We recorded a variety of environmental and anthropogenic signals with demonstrable utility for the study of sea ice dynamics and tracking of ocean vessels and ice-traversing vehicles.

The carbon phase diagram is rich with polymorphs which possess very different physical and optical properties ideal for different scientific and engineering applications. An understanding of the dynamically driven phase transitions in carbon is particularly important for applications in inertial confinement fusion, as well as planetary and meteorite impact histories. Experiments on the Z Pulsed Power Facility at Sandia National Laboratories generate dynamically compressed high-pressure states of matter with exceptional uniformity, duration, and size that are ideal for investigations of fundamental material properties. X-ray diffraction (XRD) is an important material physics measurement because it enables direct observation of the strain and compression of the crystal lattice, and it enables the detection and identification of phase transitions. Several unique challenges of dynamic compression experiments on Z prevent using XRD systems typically utilized at other dynamic compression facilities, so novel XRD diagnostics have been designed and implemented. We performed experiments on Z to shock compress carbon (pyrolytic graphite) samples to pressures of 150–320 GPa. The Z-Beamlet Laser generated Mn-Heα (6.2 keV) X-rays to probe the shock-compressed carbon sample, and the new XRD diagnostics measured changes in the diffraction pattern as the carbon transformed into its high-pressure phases. Quantitative analysis of the dynamic XRD patterns in combination with continuum velocimetry information constrained the stability fields and melting of high-pressure carbon polymorphs.

Traditionally, electric grid planning seeks to maintain safe, reliable, efficient, and affordable service for current and future customers. As policies, expectations of the energy system, and the threat landscape evolve, additional objectives for power system planners are emerging, including decarbonization, resilience, and equity. Renewable and clean energy goals, especially in the context of deep decarbonization strategies, are changing the mix of resources on the electric grid and prompting new considerations for grid architecture. The increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events over the last two decades, coupled with cybersecurity concerns, have elevated resilience as a key system need. More recently, there has been greater focus on equity and energy justice in grid planning to ensure that disadvantaged communities are not adversely affected by grid modernization and have equal access to its benefits. In response, new thinking around multi-objective decision planning is exploring improvements in grid planning processes to better integrate approaches to meet decarbonization, resilience, and equity objectives. To provide a foundation for this work, a series of white papers was produced to summarize these emerging objectives.

Experimental studies and ab initio quantum chemistry calculations were combined to investigate the process by which a Fenton reaction breaks down polystyrene sulfonate. The experimental results show that both molecular weight reduction and loss of aromaticity occur nearly simultaneously, a finding that is supported by the calculations. The results show that more than half of the material is broken down to low molecular weight compounds (< 500 g/mol) with two molar equivalents of H2O2 per styrene monomer. The calculations provide insights into the reaction pathways and indicate that at least two hydroxyl radicals are required to cleave backbone C–C bonds or to eliminate aromaticity. The calculations also show that, of the aromatic carbons, hydroxyl radical is most likely to add to the carbon bonded to sulfur. This finding explains the loss of hydrogen sulfite anion early in the process and also the efficient reduction of Fe(III) to Fe(II) through semiquinone formation. Taken together the experimental and computational results indicate that the reaction is very efficient and that very little H2O2 is lost to unproductive reactions. This high efficiency is attributed to the close association of Fe atoms with the sulfonate group such that hydroxyl radicals are generated near the polymer chains.

In this work, thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) was performed on samples of a carbon fiber epoxy composite, a glass fiber epoxy composite, and a mixed carbon fiber/glass fiber epoxy composite, as well on each constituent material (polymer epoxy, carbon fibers and glass fibers). TGA was conducted for heating rates from 1-20 C/min with purified purge gases of nitrogen and dry air. For the fiberglass composite, we find that ~70% of the material remains after heating in air to 1200 C. For the carbon fiber epoxy composite, we observe greater mass loss as the carbon fibers can oxidize, leaving little material by the end of the test. The mixed composite, which has a 2:1 ratio of glass fibers to carbon fibers, experienced a total mass loss between the two other composites. By determining the relationship between the thermal decomposition of a composite material and its constituent materials, we can predict the fire behavior of novel composites during the material design phase.

Traditionally, electric grid planning seeks to maintain safe, reliable, efficient, and affordable service for current and future customers. As policies, expectations of the energy system, and the threat landscape evolve, additional objectives for power system planners are emerging, including decarbonization, resilience, and equity. Renewable and clean energy goals, especially in the context of deep decarbonization strategies, are changing the mix of resources on the electric grid and prompting new considerations for grid architecture. The increased frequency and severity of extreme weather events over the last two decades, coupled with cybersecurity concerns, have elevated resilience as a key system need. More recently, there has been greater focus on equity and energy justice in grid planning to ensure that disadvantaged communities are not adversely affected by grid modernization and have equal access to its benefits. In response, new thinking around multi-objective decision planning is exploring improvements in grid planning processes to better integrate approaches to meet decarbonization, resilience, and equity objectives. To provide a foundation for this work, a series of white papers was produced to summarize these emerging objectives.

Previous studies have shown that selective laser flash sintering (SLFS) can be initiated in dielectrics that exhibit ionic or electronic conduction at high temperature. These materials required high laser powers to reach the temperatures where electrical conduction is sufficient to initiate SLFS. In this study, SLFS in lanthanum chromite (LC), an intrinsic electronic conductor with high conductivity, and lanthanum strontium chromite (LSC), which is doped to further increase electronic conductivity, were investigated with a focus on understanding the initiation mechanisms. Results show that the initiation of SLFS in LC and LSC occurs when electronic charge carriers are activated and flow to the electrode where the current is measured. A combination of carriers produced at the electrode, temperature-activated intrinsic charge carriers, and extrinsic charge carriers present in LSC due to doping are responsible for the facile initiation of SLFS.

Scientific software (SciSoft) is complex, often containing a mixture of production capabilities co-mingled with features under active research and development. Furthermore, SciSoft is often developed over decades by non-computer scientists who may not have a strong background in or prioritize software architecture design, testing, and quality (e.g., test coverage). These conditions lead to difficulty in understanding which software components or functions implement what user-facing features and therefore those features’ software quality pedigree. This lack of understanding poses challenges in assessing readiness and credibility of user features, and often relies on a SciSoft subject matter expert’s (SME) laborious investigation and assertion. This final report of a one-year Computing and Information Sciences Lab Directed Research and Development project presents a general framework for modeling SciSoft architecture as a direct relationship between user features and the software components/functions that implement them. Our approach leverages automated labeling of the SciSoft’s regression test suite and employs machine learning algorithms to construct the architecture model. We demonstrate this framework on the Solid Mechanics component of the SIERRA multi-physics engineering analysis suite developed at Sandia National Laboratories.

Distribution system model calibration is a key enabling task for incipient failure identification within the distribution system. This report summarizes the work and publications by Sandia National Laboratories on the GMLC project titled “Incipient Failure Identification for Common Grid Asset Classes”. This project was a joint effort between Sandia National Laboratories, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, National Energy Technology Laboratory, and Oak Ridge National Laboratory. The included work covers distribution system topology identification, transformer groupings, phase identification, regulator and tap position estimation, and the open-source release and implementation of the developed algorithms.

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The Canada-US Blended Cyber-Physical Exercise was a successful, first of its kind, multiorganization and multi-laboratory exercise that culminated years of complex system development and planning. The project aimed to answer three driving research questions, (1) How do cyberattacks support malicious acts leading to theft or sabotage [at a nuclear site]? (2) What are aspects of an effective combined cyber-physical response? (3) How to evaluate effectiveness of that response? Which derived the following primary objectives, 1. The May 2023 Cyber-Physical Exercise shall present a cyber-attack scenario that supports malicious acts leading to theft or sabotage. 2. The May 2023 Cyber-Physical Exercise shall define aspects of an effective combined cyber-physical response. 3. Analysis of the May 2023 Cyber-Physical Exercise shall evaluate the effectiveness of the incident response against pre-established exercise evaluation criteria. 4. Analysis of the May 2023 Cyber-Physical Exercise shall assess the effectiveness of the evaluation criteria itself. 5. Exercises shall be performed in a real-life environment. The team believes these objectives were met, and the evidence will be presented in this report. Due to the novelty of the exercise, there were several lessons learned that will be presented in this report.

The understanding of power flow plasmas is important as we look towards next generation pulsed power (NGPP) as current losses could prohibit the goals of that facility. Therefore, it is important to have accurate diagnostics of the plasma parameters on the current machines, which can be used to help inform and improve simulations. Having these plasma parameters will help validate models and simulations to provide confidence when they are expanded to conditions relevant to NGPP. One important plasma parameter that can be measured is the electron density, which can be measured by photonic Doppler velocimetry (PDV). A PDV system has several key advantages over other interferometers by measuring relatively low densities (> 1 × 10¹⁵ cm^-2) with both spatial and temporal resolution. Experiments were performed on the Mykonos pulsed power machine, which is a 1 MA sub scale machine in which recent platforms have been developed to explore current densities relevant to the inner magnetically insulated transmission line (MITL) on the Z machine. Experiments were performed on two different platforms, the thin foil platform and the Mykonos parallel plate platform (MP3). In addition, a combination of both single-point and multi-point measurements were used. The single-point measurements proved to be very promising, providing a clear increase in density at about 70 ns into the current rise on thin foil experiments up to about 5 × 10¹⁷ cm^-3 before the probe stopped providing signal. While we did also see returns from multi-point measurements on both platforms, the signals were not as easy to interpret due to strong background effects. However, they do show initial promise for this diagnostic to measure density at several points across a 1 mm gap. These measurements provide insights in how to improve the diagnostic so that it can provide useful information on power flow relevant experiments.

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This report documents the generation of a mechanism to predict the inclusion of carbon soot particles in a high explosive flow. The mechanism includes gasification and oxidation reactions, formation, sublimation, radiation, and agglomeration. Each part of the mechanism is derived from properties in the literature. The influence of each part of the mechanism is explored using simple, example simulations consisting of a 12 mm diameter 2,4,6-Trinitrotoluene charge detonated in ambient air. The mechanism has not been quantitatively compared to experiments. Additional efforts will be required to tune and validate it, which will require continued advancements in experimental diagnostics and simulation techniques.

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This report summarizes FY23 activities to improve mechanistic source term modeling for MSR concepts. Relevant MELCOR capability enhancements made during FY23 are summarized including development of a flexible python-based EOS generator (MELEOS), porous domain modeling capabilities for validation applications, and development of a MELCOR model for the LSTL facility in anticipation of upcoming molten salt experiments.

A discussion of systems like ChatGPT, what their legal issues may be, how they are affecting society, and what the ethical considerations of their existence and use are.