All freely available plane-of-array (POA) transposition models and photovoltaic (PV) temperature and performance models in pvlib-python and pvpltools-python were examined against multiyear field data from Albuquerque, New Mexico. The data include different PV systems composed of crystalline silicon modules that vary in cell type, module construction, and materials. These systems have been characterized via IEC 61853-1 and 61853-2 testing, and the input data for each model were sourced from these system-specific test results, rather than considering any generic input data (e.g., manufacturer's specification [spec] sheets or generic Panneau Solaire [PAN] files). Six POA transposition models, 7 temperature models, and 12 performance models are included in this comparative analysis. These freely available models were proven effective across many different types of technologies. The POA transposition models exhibited average normalized mean bias errors (NMBEs) within ±3%. Most PV temperature models underestimated temperature exhibiting mean and median residuals ranging from −6.5°C to 2.7°C; all temperature models saw a reduction in root mean square error when using transient assumptions over steady state. The performance models demonstrated similar behavior with a first and third interquartile NMBEs within ±4.2% and an overall average NMBE within ±2.3%. Although differences among models were observed at different times of the day/year, this study shows that the availability of system-specific input data is more important than model selection. For example, using spec sheet or generic PAN file data with a complex PV performance model does not guarantee a better accuracy than a simpler PV performance model that uses system-specific data.
Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) are emerging photovoltaic (PV) technologies capable of matching power conversion efficiencies (PCEs) of current PV technologies in the market at lower manufacturing costs, making perovskite solar modules (PSMs) cost competitive if manufactured at scale and perform with minimal degradation. PSCs with the highest PCEs, to date, are lead halide perovskites. Lead presents potential environmental and human health risks if PSMs are to be commercialized, as the lead in PSMs are more soluble in water compared to other PV technologies. Therefore, prior to commercialization of PSMs, it is important to highlight, identify, and establish the potential environmental and human health risks of PSMs as well as develop methods for assessing the potential risks. Here, we identify and discuss a variety of international standards, U.S. regulations, and permits applicable to PSM deployment that relate to the potential environmental and human health risks associated with PSMs. The potential risks for lead and other hazardous material exposures to humans and the environment are outlined which include water quality, air quality, human health, wildlife, land use, and soil contamination, followed by examples of how developers of other PV technologies have navigated human health and environmental risks previously. Potential experimentation, methodology, and research efforts are proposed to elucidate and characterize potential lead leaching risks and concerns pertaining to fires, in-field module damage, and sampling and leach testing of PSMs at end of life. Lastly, lower technology readiness level solutions to mitigate lead leaching, currently being explored for PSMs, are discussed. PSMs have the potential to become a cost competitive PV technology for the solar industry and taking steps toward understanding, identifying, and creating solutions to mitigate potential environmental and human health risks will aid in improving their commercial viability.
Different data pipelines and statistical methods are applied to photovoltaic (PV) performance datasets to quantify the performance loss rate (PLR). Since the real values of PLR are unknown, a variety of unvalidated values are reported. As such, the PV industry commonly assumes PLR based on statistically extracted ranges from the literature. However, the accuracy and uncertainty of PLR depend on several parameters including seasonality, local climatic conditions, and the response of a particular PV technology. In addition, the specific data pipeline and statistical method used affect the accuracy and uncertainty. To provide insights, a framework of (≈200 million) synthetic simulations of PV performance datasets using data from different climates is developed. Time series with known PLR and data quality are synthesized, and large parametric studies are conducted to examine the accuracy and uncertainty of different statistical approaches over the contiguous US, with an emphasis on the publicly available and “standardized” library, RdTools. In the results, it is confirmed that PLRs from RdTools are unbiased on average, but the accuracy and uncertainty of individual PLR estimates vary with climate zone, data quality, PV technology, and choice of analysis workflow. Best practices and improvement recommendations based on the findings of this study are provided.
The Photovoltaic (PV) Performance Modeling Collaborative (PVPMC) organized a blind PV performance modeling intercomparison to allow PV modelers to blindly test their models and modeling ability against real system data. Measured weather and irradiance data were provided along with detailed descriptions of PV systems from two locations (Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA, and Roskilde, Denmark). Participants were asked to simulate the plane-of-array irradiance, module temperature, and DC power output from six systems and submit their results to Sandia for processing. The results showed overall median mean bias (i.e., the average error per participant) of 0.6% in annual irradiation and −3.3% in annual energy yield. While most PV performance modeling results seem to exhibit higher precision and accuracy as compared to an earlier blind PV modeling study in 2010, human errors, modeling skills, and derates were found to still cause significant errors in the estimates.
The accurate quantification of the performance loss rate of photovoltaic systems is critical for project economics. Following the current research activities in the photovoltaic performance and reliability field, this work presents a comparative assessment between common change point methods for performance loss rate estimation of fielded photovoltaic installations. An extensive testing campaign was thus performed to evaluate time series analysis approaches for performance loss rate evaluation of photovoltaic systems. Historical electrical data from eleven photovoltaic systems installed in Nicosia, Cyprus, and the locations’ meteorological measurements over a period of 8 years were used for this investigation. The application of change point detection algorithms on the constructed monthly photovoltaic performance ratio series revealed that the obtained trend might not always be linear. Specifically, thin film photovoltaic systems showed nonlinear behavior, while nonlinearities were also detected for some crystalline silicon photovoltaic systems. When applying several change point techniques, different numbers and locations of changes were detected, resulting in different performance loss rate values (varying by up to 0.85%/year even for the same number of change points). The results highlighted the importance of the application of nonlinear techniques and the need to extract a robust nonlinear model for detecting significant changes in time series data and estimating accurately the performance loss rate of photovoltaic installations.
This document provides the instructions for participating in the 2021 blind photovoltaic (PV) modeling intercomparison organized by the PV Performance Modeling Collaborative (PVPMC). It describes the system configurations, metadata, and other information necessary for the modeling exercise. The practical details of the validation datasets are also described. The datasets were published online in open access in April 2023, after completing the analysis of the results.
This report describes the structure and content of an open dataset created for the purpose of testing and validating PV module temperature prediction models and their parameters. The dataset contains the main environmental parameters that affect temperature: irradiance, ambient temperature, wind speed and down-welling infrared radiation, as well as measured back-of-module temperature.
This report describes the creation process and final content of a spectral irradiance dataset for Albuquerque, New Mexico accompanied by a set of spectral response measurements for modules deployed at the same location. The spectral irradiance measurements were made using horizontally mounted spectroradiometers; therefore, they represent global horizontal irradiance. The dataset combines non-continuous spectroradiometer and weather measurements from a two-year period into a single calendar year. The data files are accompanied by extensive metadata as well as example calculations and graphs to demonstrate the potential uses of this database. The spectral response measurements were carried out by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory using 12 commercial silicon modules types that are undergoing long-term evaluation at Sandia National Laboratories in Albuquerque.
The cost of photovoltaic (PV) modules has declined by 85% since 2010. To achieve this reduction, manufacturers altered module designs and bill of materials; changes that could affect module durability and reliability. To determine if these changes have affected module durability, we measured the performance degradation of 834 fielded PV modules representing 13 module types from 7 manufacturers in 3 climates over 5 years. Degradation rates (Rd) are highly nonlinear over time, and seasonal variations are present in some module types. Mean and median degradation rate values of −0.62%/year and −0.58%/year, respectively, are consistent with rates measured for older modules. Of the 23 systems studied, 6 have degradation rates that will exceed the warranty limits in the future, whereas 13 systems demonstrate the potential of achieving lifetimes beyond 30 years, assuming Rd trends have stabilized.
Torrence, Christa E.; Libby, Cara S.; Nie, Wanyi; Stein, Joshua S.
Perovskite solar cells (PSCs) promise high efficiencies and low manufacturing costs. Most formulations, however, contain lead, which raises health and environmental concerns. In this review, we use a risk assessment approach to identify and evaluate the technology risks to the environment and human health. We analyze the risks by following the technology from production to transportation to installation to disposal and examine existing environmental and safety regulations in each context. We review published data from leaching and air emissions testing and highlight gaps in current knowledge and a need for more standardization. Methods to avoid lead release through introduction of absorbing materials or use of alternative PSC formulations are reviewed. We conclude with the recommendation to develop recycling programs for PSCs and further standardized testing to understand risks related to leaching and fires.
Photovoltaic (PV) performance is affected by reversible and irreversible losses. These can typically be mitigated through responsive and proactive operations and maintenance (O&M) activities. However, to generate profit, the cost of O&M must be lower than the value of the recovered electricity. This value depends both on the amount of recovered energy and on the electricity prices, which can vary significantly over time in spot markets. The present work investigates the impact of the electricity price variability on the PV profitability and on the related O&M activities in Italy, Portugal, and Spain. It is found that the PV revenues varied by 1.6 × to 1.8 × within the investigated countries in the last 5 years. Moreover, forecasts predict higher average prices in the current decade compared to the previous one. These will increase the future PV revenues by up to 60% by 2030 compared to their 2015–2020 mean values. These higher revenues will make more funds available for better maintenance and for higher quality components, potentially leading to even higher energy yield and profits. Linearly growing or constant price assumptions cannot fully reproduce these expected price trends. Furthermore, significant price fluctuations can lead to unexpected scenarios and alter the predictions.
Irradiance transposition models seem to perform well, except the Isotropic with -11.25 W/m2 underestimation. Most temperature models could not capture behavior when ΔΤ between module and ambient is negative. Uncertainties due to derate factors: modelers overbudgeted resulting in significant power underestimation; maybe ~10% is appropriate for commercial systems but not lab-scale? Most software and models cluster together showing good reproducibility among participants. Modeler’s skills seem to be more important than the PV model itself (flat efficiency with irradiance, positive power temperature coefficients, etc.). Results and best practices will be communicated in a journal article.
PV module operating temperature is the second-most important factor influencing PV system yield–after irradiance–and a substantial contributor to uncertainty in energy system yield predictions. Models commonly used to predict operating temperature in system simulations are based on a simplified energy balance that lumps together different heat loss mechanisms–including radiation–and assumes an overall linear behavior. Radiative heat loss to the sky is usually substantial, but modeling it accurately requires additional information about down-welling long-wave radiation or sky temperature and increases the complexity of temperature model equations. In this work we show how radiative losses to the sky can be separated into two parts to improve the accuracy of modeling without additional complexity. We also predict and demonstrate the variation of these losses at different tilt angles and show that the effective view factor is reduced by the non- isotropic distribution of down-welling long-wave radiation. Finally, we demonstrate substantial reduction in bias (MBE) and scatter (RMSE) when the new radiative loss term is added to the Faiman model using one year of measurements at Sandia National Labs.
Fault detection and classification in photovoltaic (PV) systems through real-time monitoring is a fundamental task that ensures quality of operation and significantly improves the performance and reliability of operating systems. Different statistical and comparative approaches have already been proposed in the literature for fault detection; however, accurate classification of fault and loss incidents based on PV performance time series remains a key challenge. Failure diagnosis and trend-based performance loss routines were developed in this work for detecting PV underperformance and accurately identifying the different fault types and loss mechanisms. The proposed routines focus mainly on the differentiation of failures (e.g., inverter faults) from irreversible (e.g., degradation) and reversible (e.g., snow and soiling) performance loss factors based on statistical analysis. The proposed routines were benchmarked using historical inverter data obtained from a 1.8 MWp PV power plant. The results demonstrated the effectiveness of the routines for detecting failures and loss mechanisms and the capability of the pipeline for distinguishing underperformance issues using anomaly detection and change-point (CP) models. Finally, a CP model was used to extract significant changes in time series data, to detect soiling and cleaning events and to estimate both the performance loss and degradation rates of fielded PV systems.
The purpose of this protocol is to use accelerated stress testing to assess the durability of metal halide perovskite (MHP) photovoltaic (PV) modules. The protocol aims to apply field relevant stressors to packaged MHP modules to screen for early failures that may be observed in the field. The current protocol has been designed with a glass/glass-PIB edge seal, no encapsulant package in mind. PACT anticipates adding additional testing sequences to evaluate additional stressors (e.g., PID, reverse bias) in the future.
For the PACT center to both develop testing protocols and provide service to the metal halide perovskite (MHP) PV community, PACT will seek modules (mini and full-sized) for testing purposes. To ensure both safety and high-quality samples PACT publishes acceptance criteria to define the minimum characteristics of modules the center will accept for testing. These criteria help to ensure we are accepting technologies that are compatible with our technical facilities and testing equipment and can transition to large scale commercial manufacturing. This module design acceptance criteria document is for industry partners and is different from the acceptance criteria for research partners (academia, national laboratories) partners.
The purpose of this protocol is to bring metal halide perovskite (MHP) modules to a repeatable and relevant state prior to making a performance measurement. Performance measurements are made before and after a stressor has been applied to the module to quantify the degree of loss resulting from the stressor. This procedure is intended to be carried out both before and after the accelerated test.
For the PACT center to both develop testing protocols and provide service to the metal halide perovskite (MHP) PV community, PACT will seek modules (mini and full-sized) for testing purposes. To ensure both safety and high-quality samples PACT publishes acceptance criteria to define the minimum characteristics of modules the center will accept for testing. These criteria help to ensure we are accepting technologies that are compatible with our technical facilities and testing equipment and can transition to large scale commercial manufacturing. This module design acceptance criteria document is for research partners (academia, national laboratories) and is different from the acceptance criteria for industry partners.
Romero-Fiances, Irene; Livera, Andreas; Theristis, Marios; Makrides, George; Stein, Joshua S.; Nofuentes, Gustavo; De La Casa, Juan; Georghiou, George E.
Accurate quantification of photovoltaic (PV) system degradation rate (RD) is essential for lifetime yield predictions. Although RD is a critical parameter, its estimation lacks a standardized methodology that can be applied on outdoor field data. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of time period duration and missing data on RD by analyzing the performance of different techniques applied to synthetic PV system data at different linear RD patterns and known noise conditions. The analysis includes the application of different techniques to a 10-year synthetic dataset of a crystalline Silicon PV system, with emulated degradation levels and imputed missing data. The analysis demonstrated that the accuracy of ordinary least squares (OLS), year-on-year (YOY), autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) and robust principal component analysis (RPCA) techniques is affected by the evaluation duration with all techniques converging to lower RD deviations over the 10-year evaluation, apart from RPCA at high degradation levels. Moreover, the estimated RD is strongly affected by the amount of missing data. Filtering out the corrupted data yielded more accurate RD results for all techniques. It is proven that the application of a change-point detection stage is necessary and guidelines for accurate RD estimation are provided.
This article presents a notable advance toward the development of a new method of increasing the single-axis tracking photovoltaic (PV) system power output by improving the determination and near-term prediction of the optimum module tilt angle. The tilt angle of the plane receiving the greatest total irradiance changes with Sun position and atmospheric conditions including cloud formation and movement, aerosols, and particulate loading, as well as varying albedo within a module's field of view. In this article, we present a multi-input convolutional neural network that can create a profile of plane-of-array irradiance versus surface tilt angle over a full 180^{\circ } arc from horizon to horizon. As input, the neural network uses the calculated solar position and clear-sky irradiance values, along with sky images. The target irradiance values are provided by the multiplanar irradiance sensor (MPIS). In order to account for varying irradiance conditions, the MPIS signal is normalized by the theoretical clear-sky global horizontal irradiance. Using this information, the neural network outputs an N-dimensional vector, where N is the number of points to approximate the MPIS curve via Fourier resampling. The output vector of the model is smoothed with a Gaussian kernel to account for error in the downsamping and subsequent upsampling steps, as well as to smooth the unconstrained output of the model. These profiles may be used to perform near-term prediction of angular irradiance, which can then inform the movement of a PV tracker.
Operation and maintenance (OM) and monitoring strategies are important for safeguarding optimum photovoltaic (PV) performance while also minimizing downtimes due to faults. An OM decision support system (DSS) was developed in this work for providing recommendations of actionable decisions to resolve fault and performance loss events. The proposed DSS operates entirely on raw field measurements and incorporates technical asset and financial management features. Historical measurements from a large-scale PV system installed in Greece were used for the benchmarking procedure. The results demonstrated the financial benefits of performing mitigation actions in case of near zero power production incidents. Stochastic simulations that consider component malfunctions and failures exhibited a net economic gain of approximately 4.17 €/kW/year when performing OM actions. For an electricity price of 59.98 €/MWh, a minimum of 8.4% energy loss per year is required for offsetting the annualized OM cost value of 7.45 €/kW/year calculated by the SunSpec/National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) PV OM Cost Model.
We evaluate the use of reference modules for monitoring effective irradiance in PV power plants, as compared with traditional plane-of-array (POA) irradiance sensors, for PV monitoring and capacity tests. Common POA sensors such as pyranometers and reference cells are unable to capture module-level irradiance nonuniformity and require several correction factors to accurately represent the conditions for fielded modules. These problems are compounded for bifacial systems, where the power loss due to rear side shading and rear-side plane-of-array (RPOA) irradiance gradients are greater and more difficult to quantify. The resulting inaccuracy can have costly real-world consequences, particularly when the data are used to perform power ratings and capacity tests. Here we analyze data from a bifacial single-axis tracking PV power plant, (175.6 MWdc) using 5 meteorological (MET) stations, located on corresponding inverter blocks with capacities over 4 MWdc. Each MET station consists of bifacial reference modules as well pyranometers mounted in traditional POA and RPOA installations across the PV power plant. Short circuit current measurements of the reference modules are converted to effective irradiance with temperature correction and scaling based on flash test or nameplate short circuit values. Our work shows that bifacial effective irradiance measured by pyranometers averages 3.6% higher than the effective irradiance measured by bifacial reference modules, even when accounting for spectral, angle of incidence, and irradiance nonuniformity. We also performed capacity tests using effective irradiance measured by pyranometers and reference modules for each of the 5 bifacial single-axis tracking inverter blocks mentioned above. These capacity tests evaluated bifacial plant performance at ∼3.9% lower when using bifacial effective irradiance from pyranometers as compared to the same calculation performed with reference modules.
We evaluate the use of reference modules for monitoring effective irradiance in PV power plants, as compared with traditional plane-of-array (POA) irradiance sensors, for PV monitoring and capacity tests. Common POA sensors such as pyranometers and reference cells are unable to capture module-level irradiance nonuniformity and require several correction factors to accurately represent the conditions for fielded modules. These problems are compounded for bifacial systems, where the power loss due to rear side shading and rear-side plane-of-array (RPOA) irradiance gradients are greater and more difficult to quantify. The resulting inaccuracy can have costly real-world consequences, particularly when the data are used to perform power ratings and capacity tests. Here we analyze data from a bifacial single-axis tracking PV power plant, (175.6 MWdc) using 5 meteorological (MET) stations, located on corresponding inverter blocks with capacities over 4 MWdc. Each MET station consists of bifacial reference modules as well pyranometers mounted in traditional POA and RPOA installations across the PV power plant. Short circuit current measurements of the reference modules are converted to effective irradiance with temperature correction and scaling based on flash test or nameplate short circuit values. Our work shows that bifacial effective irradiance measured by pyranometers averages 3.6% higher than the effective irradiance measured by bifacial reference modules, even when accounting for spectral, angle of incidence, and irradiance nonuniformity. We also performed capacity tests using effective irradiance measured by pyranometers and reference modules for each of the 5 bifacial single-axis tracking inverter blocks mentioned above. These capacity tests evaluated bifacial plant performance at ∼3.9% lower when using bifacial effective irradiance from pyranometers as compared to the same calculation performed with reference modules.
Geographic analysis of photovoltaic (PV) performance factors across large regions can help relevant stakeholders make informed, and reduced risk decisions. High temporal and spatial resolution meteorological data from the National Solar Radiation Database are used to investigate performance and cost as an effect of varying system characteristics such as the module temperature coefficients, mounting configurations and coatings. The results demonstrated the strong climatic dependence that these characteristics have on annual energy yield whereas the revenues were dominated by the electricity price.
The precise estimation of performance loss rate (PLR) of photovoltaic (PV) systems is vital for reducing investment risks and increasing the bankability of the technology. Until recently, the PLR of fielded PV systems was mainly estimated through the extraction of a linear trend from a time series of performance indicators. However, operating PV systems exhibit failures and performance losses that cause variability in the performance and may bias the PLR results obtained from linear trend techniques. Change-point (CP) methods were thus introduced to identify nonlinear trend changes and behaviour. The aim of this work is to perform a comparative analysis among different CP techniques for estimating the annual PLR of eleven grid-connected PV systems installed in Cyprus. Outdoor field measurements over an 8-year period (June 2006-June 2014) were used for the analysis. The obtained results when applying different CP algorithms to the performance ratio time series (aggregated into monthly blocks) demonstrated that the extracted trend may not always be linear but sometimes can exhibit nonlinearities. The application of different CP methods resulted to PLR values that differ by up to 0.85% per year (for the same number of CPs/segments).
Theristis, Marios; Livera, Andreas; Micheli, Leonardo; Ascencio-Vasquez, Julian; Makrides, George; Georghiou, George E.; Stein, Joshua S.
A linear performance drop is generally assumed during the photovoltaic (PV) lifetime. However, operational data demonstrate that the PV module degradation rate (Rd) is often nonlinear, which, if neglected, may increase the financial uncertainty. Although nonlinear behavior has been the subject of numerous publications, it was only recently that statistical models able to detect change-points and extract multiple Rd values from PV performance time-series were introduced. A comparative analysis of six open-source libraries, which can detect change-points and calculate nonlinear Rd, is presented in this article. Since the real Rd and change-point locations are unknown in field data, 960 synthetic datasets from six locations and two PV module technologies have been generated using different aggregation and normalization decisions and nonlinear degradation rate patterns. The results demonstrated that coarser temporal aggregation (i.e., monthly vs. weekly), temperature correction, and both PV module technologies and climates with lower seasonality can benefit the change-point detection and Rd extraction. This also raises a concern that statistical models typically deployed for Rd analysis may be highly climatic-and technology-dependent. The comparative analysis of the six approaches demonstrated median mean absolute errors (MAE) ranging from 0.06 to 0.26%/year, given a maximum absolute Rd of 2.9%/year. The median MAE in change-point position detection varied from 3.5 months to 6 years.
Studying the mechanical behavior of silicon cell fractures is critical for understanding changes in PV module performance. Traditional methods of detecting cell cracks, e.g., electroluminescence (EL) imaging, utilize electrical changes and defects associated with cell fracture. Therefore, these methods reveal crack locations, but do not operate at the time or length scales required to accurately measure other physical properties of cracks, such as separation width and behavior under dynamic loads.
Corrective maintenance strategies are important for safeguarding optimum photovoltaic (PV) performance while also minimizing downtimes due to failures. In this work, a complete operation and maintenance (OM) decision support system (DSS) was developed for corrective maintenance. The DSS operates entirely on field measurements and incorporates technical asset and financial management features. It was validated experimentally on a large-scale PV system installed in Greece and the results demonstrated the financial benefits of performing corrective actions in case of failures and reversible loss mechanisms. Reduced response and resolution times of corrective actions could improve the PV power production of the test PV plant by up to 2.41%. Even for 1% energy yield improvement by performing corrective actions, a DSS is recommended for large-scale PV plants (with a peak capacity of at least 250 kWp).
The advent of bifacial PV systems drives new requirements for irradiance measurement at PV projects for monitoring and assessment purposes. While there are several approaches, there is still no uniform guidance for what irradiance parameters to measure and for the optimal selection and placement of irradiance sensors at bifacial arrays. Standards are emerging to address these topics but are not yet available. In this paper we review approaches to bifacial irradiance monitoring which are being discussed in the research literature and pursued in early systems, to provide a preliminary guide and framework for developers planning bifacial projects.
The advent of bifacial PV systems drives new requirements for irradiance measurement at PV projects for monitoring and assessment purposes. While there are several approaches, there is still no uniform guidance for what irradiance parameters to measure and for the optimal selection and placement of irradiance sensors at bifacial arrays. Standards are emerging to address these topics but are not yet available. In this paper we review approaches to bifacial irradiance monitoring which are being discussed in the research literature and pursued in early systems, to provide a preliminary guide and framework for developers planning bifacial projects.
The IEA PVPS Task 13 group, experts who focus on photovoltaic performance, operation, and reliability from several leading R&D centers, universities, and industrial companies, is developing a framework for the calculation of performance loss rates of a large number of commercial and research photovoltaic (PV) power plants and their related weather data coming across various climatic zones. The general steps to calculate the performance loss rate are (i) input data cleaning and grading; (ii) data filtering; (iii) performance metric selection, corrections, and aggregation; and finally, (iv) application of a statistical modeling method to determine the performance loss rate value. In this study, several high-quality power and irradiance datasets have been shared, and the participants of the study were asked to calculate the performance loss rate of each individual system using their preferred methodologies. The data are used for benchmarking activities and to define capabilities and uncertainties of all the various methods. The combination of data filtering, metrics (performance ratio or power based), and statistical modeling methods are benchmarked in terms of (i) their deviation from the average value and (ii) their uncertainty, standard error, and confidence intervals. It was observed that careful data filtering is an essential foundation for reliable performance loss rate calculations. Furthermore, the selection of the calculation steps filter/metric/statistical method is highly dependent on one another, and the steps should not be assessed individually.
Within the framework of IEA PVPS, Task 13 aims to provide support to market actors working to improve the operation, the reliability and the quality of PV components and systems. Operational data from PV systems in different climate zones compiled within the project will help provide the basis for estimates of the current situation regarding PV reliability and performance. The general setting of Task 13 provides a common platform to summarize and report on technical aspects affecting the quality, performance, reliability and lifetime of PV systems in a wide variety of environments and applications. By working together across national boundaries we can all take advantage of research and experience from each member country and combine and integrate this knowledge into valuable summaries of best practices and methods for ensuring PV systems perform at their optimum and continue to provide competitive return on investment. Task 13 has so far managed to create the right framework for the calculations of various parameters that can give an indication of the quality of PV components and systems. The framework is now there and can be used by the industry who has expressed appreciation towards the results included in the high-quality reports. The IEA PVPS countries participating in Task 13 are Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Chile, China, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Israel, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, and the United States of America.
Within the framework of IEA PVPS, Task 13 aims to provide support to market actors working to improve the operation, the reliability and the quality of PV components and systems. Operational data from PV systems in different climate zones compiled within the project will help provide the basis for estimates of the current situation regarding PV reliability and performance. The general setting of Task 13 provides a common platform to summarize and report on technical aspects affecting the quality, performance, reliability and lifetime of PV systems in a wide variety of environments and applications. By working together across national boundaries we can all take advantage of research and experience from each member country and combine and integrate this knowledge into valuable summaries of best practices and methods for ensuring PV systems perform at their optimum and continue to provide competitive return on investment. Task 13 has so far managed to create the right framework for the calculations of various parameters that can give an indication of the quality of PV components and systems. The framework is now there and can be used by the industry who has expressed appreciation towards the results included in the high-quality reports. The IEA PVPS countries participating in Task 13 are Australia, Austria, Belgium, Canada, Chile, China, Denmark, Finland, France, Germany, Israel, Italy, Japan, the Netherlands, Norway, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Thailand, and the United States of America.
The IEC 61853 photovoltaic (PV) module energy rating standard requires measuring module power (and hence, efficiency) over a matrix of irradiance and temperature conditions. These matrix points represent nearly the full range of operating conditions encountered in the field in all but the most extreme locations and create an opportunity to develop alternative approaches for calculating system performance. In this article, a new PV module efficiency model is presented and compared with five published models using matrix data collected from four different PV module types. The results of the comparative analysis demonstrated that the new model improves on the existing ones exhibiting root-mean-square errors in normalized efficiency well below 0.01 for all cases and PV modules. The analysis also highlighted its ability to interpolate and extrapolate performance between and beyond measured matrix points of irradiance and temperature, establishing it as a robust yet relatively simple model for several applications that are detailed throughout this article.
Micheli, Leonardo; Theristis, Marios; Livera, Andreas; Stein, Joshua S.; Georghiou, George E.; Muller, Matthew; Almonacid, Florencia; Fernandez, Eduardo F.
Photovoltaic (PV) soiling profiles exhibit a sawtooth shape, where cleaning events and soiling deposition periods alternate. Generally, the rate at which soiling accumulates is assumed to be constant within each deposition period. In reality, changes in rates can occur because of sudden variations in climatic conditions, e.g., dust storms or prolonged periods of rain. The existing models used to extract the soiling profile from the PV performance data might fail to capture the change points and occasionally estimate incorrect soiling profiles. This work analyzes how the introduction of change points can be beneficial for soiling extraction. Data from nine soiling stations and a 1-MW site were analyzed by using piecewise regression and three change point detection algorithms. The results showed that accounting for change points can provide significant benefits to the modeling of soiling even if not all the change point algorithms return the same improvements. Considering change points in historical trends is found to be particularly important for studies aiming to optimize cleaning schedules.
Pike, Christopher; Whitney, Erin; Wilber, Michelle; Stein, Joshua S.
This paper presents the first systematic comparison between south-facing monofacial and bifacial photovoltaic (PV) modules, as well as between south-facing bifacial and vertical east-west facing bifacial PV modules in Alaska. The state’s solar industry, driven by the high price of energy and dropping equipment costs, is quickly growing. The challenges posed by extreme sun angles in Alaska’s northern regions also present opportunities for unique system designs. Annual bifacial gains of 21% were observed between side by side south-facing monofacial and bifacial modules. Vertical east-west bifacial modules had virtually the same annual production as south-facing latitude tilt bifacial modules, but with different energy production profiles.
Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications
Livera, Andreas; Theristis, Marios; Koumpli, Elena; Theocharides, Spyros; Makrides, George; Sutterlueti, Juergen; Stein, Joshua S.; Georghiou, George E.
Data integrity is crucial for the performance and reliability analysis of photovoltaic (PV) systems, since actual in-field measurements commonly exhibit invalid data caused by outages and component failures. The scope of this paper is to present a complete methodology for PV data processing and quality verification in order to ensure improved PV performance and reliability analyses. Data quality routines (DQRs) were developed to ensure data fidelity by detecting and reconstructing invalid data through a sequence of filtering stages and inference techniques. The obtained results verified that PV performance and reliability analyses are sensitive to the fidelity of data and, therefore, time series reconstruction should be handled appropriately. To mitigate the bias effects of 10% or less invalid data, the listwise deletion technique provided accurate results for performance analytics (exhibited a maximum absolute percentage error of 0.92%). When missing data rates exceed 10%, data inference techniques yield more accurate results. The evaluation of missing power measurements demonstrated that time series reconstruction by applying the Sandia PV Array Performance Model yielded the lowest error among the investigated data inference techniques for PV performance analysis, with an absolute percentage error less than 0.71%, even at 40% missing data rate levels. The verification of the routines was performed on historical datasets from two different locations (desert and steppe climates). The proposed methodology provides a set of standardized analytical procedures to ensure the validity of performance and reliability evaluations that are performed over the lifetime of PV systems.
This project has four main technical objectives: 1) Develop and improve bifacial performance models by adding the capability to evaluate electrical behavior and performance of bifacial modules and arrays under realistic field conditions including irradiance variability caused by racking, module frame, and position in the array. 2) Instrument and monitor performance of fielded bifacial systems to validate performance models and to measure, analyze and publish on bifacial energy gain. These should include both research and commercial bifacial systems and cover a variety of deployment applications. 3) Evaluate optimal bifacial system designs using simulations leveraging high-performance computing, and also using full sized and miniaturized experimental field deployments. 4) Establish and contribute to international test standards for bifacial system performance, testing, and safety, and work with the community to establish installation and siting best practices.
The objectives of this project are as follows: 1) Reduce uncertainty in PV performance models by developing and validating new and improved models and submodes. 2) Create and manage an open source repository of modeling functions and data. 3) Build and grow the PV Performance Modeling Collaborative 4) Represent the US in the IEA PVPS Task 13 Working group.
This report describes the creation process and final content of a spectral irradiance dataset for Albuquerque NM. The spectral irradiance measurements were made using a dual-axis tracker; therefore, they represent global normal irradiance. The dataset combines spectroradiometer and weather measurements from a two-year period into a continuous calendar year. The data files are accompanied by extensive metadata as well as example calculations and graphs to demonstrate the potential uses of this database.
The virtual bifiPV Workshop was held in July 2020 to provide the solar industry with a forum for sharing and discussing research into bifacial photovoltaic (PV) technology. This report outlines major insights from the workshop to give the reader an overview of the latest developments in bifacial PV technology worldwide, from the lab to the field. Citations are drawn from this workshop unless otherwise noted, with all proceedings available online at bifipvworkshop. com. Presentations for the bifiPV2020 Workshop focused on the following areas: bifacial power plant modeling and simulation, albedo improvements, the development of encapsulants, the durability and reliability of current bifacial technologies, performance comparisons between glass-glass and glass-transparent backsheet configurations, the future of passivated emitter and rear contact (PERC) solar cells, and the growing adoption of n-type solar cells. With 650 GW total PV installed worldwide and 1 TW to come very soon, PERC is now the standard PV cell type produced en masse. However, it is already reaching 23% efficiency, the upper limit for this type of technology. PV modules breaking the 0.5-kW barrier are starting to appear, and the costs of standard PERC technology are already below 0.2 USD/Wp. In 2019, five GW of bifacial PV were installed worldwide. In 2020, the majority of bifacial installations are expected to be located in the United States, China, and Middle East and North Africa (MENA) states. N-type bifacial technologies are becoming increasingly viable and have huge potential to dominate the market in the coming years. With bifacial technology mounted on horizontal single-axis trackers (HSAT), bids below 10 USD/MWh will soon be observed in the MENA region, and later in Chile and the United States. Factory audits and reliability testing can reduce field failures by helping buyers to select producers that follow rigorous quality assurance and quality control processes.
Rodriguez-Gallegos, Carlos D.; Liu, Haohui; Singh, Jai P.; Krishnamurthy, Vijay; Kumar, Abhishek; Stein, Joshua S.; Wang, Shitao; Li, Li; Reindl, Thomas
This work presents a worldwide analysis on the yield potential and cost effectiveness of photovoltaic farms composed of monofacial fixed-tilt and single/dual (1T/2T) tracker installations, as well as their bifacial counterparts. Our approach starts by estimating the irradiance reaching both the front and rear surfaces of the modules for the different system designs (validated based on data from real photovoltaic systems and results from the literature) to estimate their energy production. Subsequently, the overall system cost during their 25-year lifetime is factored in, and the levelized cost of electricity (LCOE) is obtained. The results reveal that bifacial-1T installations increase energy yield by 35% and reach the lowest LCOE for the majority of the world (93.1% of the land area). Although dual-axis trackers achieve the highest energy generation, their costs are still too high and are therefore not as cost effective. Sensitivity analyses are also provided to show the general robustness of our findings. This work performs a comprehensive techno-economic analysis worldwide for photovoltaic systems using a combination of bifacial modules and single- and dual-axis trackers. We find that single-axis trackers with bifacial modules achieve the lowest LCOE in the majority of locations (16% reduction on average). Yield is boosted by 35% by using bifacial modules with single-axis trackers and by 40% in combination with dual-axis trackers. Energy production of photovoltaic (PV) modules can be increased not only by solar cells that are more efficient but also by innovative system concepts. In this study, we explore two such concepts in combination: tracking and bifacial modules. A tracking setup increases energy production by moving a PV module over the course of a day, so that it always faces the sun. Bifacial modules use special solar cells and a transparent cover to collect light not only from the front but also from the rear. Through recent advances, both concepts have seen price reductions that enable them to produce electricity cheaper than conventional PV systems. Here, we analyze the technical and economic aspects of combinations of these two concepts worldwide. We find that a combination of bifacial modules with one-axis trackers produces the cheapest electricity (LCOE 16% lower than conventional systems) by significantly boosting energy production (35% more than conventional systems).
The objectives of this project are as follows: 1. Reduce uncertainty in PV performance models by developing and validating new and improved models and submodes. 2. Create and manage an open source repository of modeling functions and data. 3. Build and grow the PV Performance Modeling Collaborative; and, 4. Represent the US in the IEA PVPS Task 13 Working group.
This project has four main technical objectives. Develop and improve bifacial performance models by adding the capability to evaluate electrical behavior and performance of bifacial modules and arrays under realistic field conditions including irradiance variability caused by racking, module frame, and position in the array. Instrument and monitor performance of fielded bifacial systems to validate performance models and to measure, analyze and publish on bifacial energy gain. These should include both research and commercial bifacial systems and cover a variety of deployment applications. Evaluate optimal bifacial system designs using simulations leveraging high performance computing, and also using full sized and miniaturized experimental field deployments. Establish and contribute to international test standards for bifacial system performance, testing, and safety, and work with the community to establish installation and siting best practices.
Although common practice for estimating photovoltaic (PV) degradation rate (RD) assumes a linear behavior, field data have shown that degradation rates are frequently nonlinear. This article presents a new methodology to detect and calculate nonlinear RD based on PV performance time-series from nine different systems over an eight-year period. Prior to performing the analysis and in order to adjust model parameters to reflect actual PV operation, synthetic datasets were utilized for calibration purposes. A change-point analysis is then applied to detect changes in the slopes of PV trends, which are extracted from constructed performance ratio (PR) time-series. Once the number and location of change points is found, the ordinary least squares method is applied to the different segments to compute the corresponding rates. The obtained results verified that the extracted trends from the PR time-series may not always be linear and therefore, 'nonconventional' models need to be applied. All thin-film technologies demonstrated nonlinear behavior whereas nonlinearity detected in the crystalline silicon systems is thought to be due to a maintenance event. A comparative analysis between the new methodology and other conventional methods demonstrated levelized cost of energy differences of up to 6.14%, highlighting the importance of considering nonlinear degradation behavior.
Accurate modeling of photovoltaic (PV) performance requires the precise calculation of module temperature. Currently, most temperature models rely on steady-state assumptions that do not account for the transient climatic conditions and thermal mass of the module. On the other hand, complex physics-based transient models are computationally expensive and difficult to parameterize. In order to address this, a new approach to transient thermal modeling was developed, in which the steady-state predictions from previous timesteps are weighted and averaged to accurately predict the module temperature at finer time scales. This model is informed by 3-D finite-element analyses, which are used to calculate the effect of wind speed and module unit mass on module temperature. The model, in application, serves as an added filter over existing steady-state models that smooths out erroneous values that are a result of intermittency in solar resource. Validation of this moving-Average model has shown that it can improve the overall PV energy performance model accuracy by as much as 0.58% over steady-state models based on mean absolute error improvements and can significantly reduce the variability between the model predictions and measured temperature times series data.
It is a common approach to assume a constant performance drop during the photovoltaic (PV) lifetime. However, operational data demonstrated that PV degradation rate (R_{D}) may exhibit nonlinear behavior, which neglecting it may increase financial risks. This study presents and compares three approaches, based on open-source libraries, which are able to detect and calculate nonlinear R_{D}. Two of these approaches include trend extraction and change-point detection methods, which are frequently used statistical tools. Initially, the processed monthly PV performance ratio (PR) time-series are decomposed in order to extract the trend and change-point analysis techniques are applied to detect changes in the slopes. Once the number of change-points is optimized by each model, the ordinary least squares (OLS) method is applied on the different segments to compute the corresponding rates. The third methodology is a regression analysis method based on simultaneous segmentation and slope extraction. Since the 'real' R_{D} value is an unknown parameter, this investigation was based on synthetic datasets with emulated two-step degradation rates. As such, the performance of the three approaches was compared exhibiting mean absolute errors ranging from 0 to 0.46%/year whereas the change-point position detection differed from 0 to 10 months.
Optimum and reliable photovoltaic (PV) plant performance requires accurate diagnostics of system losses and failures. Data-driven approaches can classify such losses however, the appropriate PV data features required for accurate classification remains unclear. To avoid misclassification, this study reviews the potential issues associated with inabilities to separate fault conditions that overlap using certain data features. Feature selection techniques that define each feature's importance and identify the set of features necessary for producing the most accurate results are also explored. The experiment quantified the amount of overlap using both maximum power point (MPP) and current and voltage (I-V) curve data sets. The I -V data provided an overall increase in classification accuracy of 8% points above the case where only MPP was available.
Dust accumulation significantly affects the performance of photovoltaic modules and its impact can be mitigated by various cleaning methods. Optimizing the cleaning frequency is essential to minimize the soiling losses and, at the same time, the costs. However, the effectiveness of cleaning lowers with time because of the reduced energy yield due to degradation. Additionally, economic factors such as the escalation in electricity price and inflation can compound or counterbalance the effect of degradation on the soiling mitigation profits. The present study analyzes the impact of degradation, escalation in electricity price and inflation on the revenues and costs of cleanings and proposes a methodology to maximize the profits of soiling mitigation of any system. The energy performance and soiling losses of a 1 MW system installed in southern Spain were analyzed and integrated with theoretical linear and nonlinear degradation rate patterns. The Levelized Cost of Energy and Net Present Value were used as criteria to identify the optimum cleaning strategies. The results showed that the two metrics convey distinct cleaning recommendations, as they are influenced by different factors. For the given site, despite the degradation effects, the optimum cleaning frequency is found to increase with time of operation.
The IEC 61853 PV module energy rating standard requires measuring module power (and hence efficiency) over a matrix of irradiance and temperature conditions. These matrix points represent nearly the full range of operating conditions encountered in the field in all but the most extreme locations, and create an opportunity to develop alternative approaches to existing modelssuch as the single-diode models and the Sandia Array Performance Modelfor calculating system performance. This report begins by discussing the bilinear interpolation and extrapolation method from IEC 61853-3, and then describes four existing model-based methods that could be used with matrix measurements. Then a new model is developed and all options are compared according to seven objective criteria using the matrix measurements of four PV modules of different technologies. The results show that the new model is an excellent candidate for launching power matrix-based PV system simulations.
The key objectives of this project were to increase meaningful stakeholder engagement in photovoltaic performance modeling and reliability areas. We did this by hosting six workshop over the past three years, giving conference and workshop presentations and contributing to technical standards committees. Our efforts have made positive contributions by increasing the sharing of information and best practices and by creating and sustaining a technical community in PV Performance Modeling. This community has worked together over the past three years and has improved its practice and decreased performance modeling uncertainties.
This project has three main objectives: (1) to field and collect performance data from bifacial PV systems and share this information with the stakeholder community; (2) to develop and validate bifacial performance models and deployment guides that will allow users to accurately predict and assess the use of bifacial PV as compared with monofacial technologies and (3) to help develop international power rating standards for bifacial PV modules.
Started in 2016, the PV Lifetime Project is measuring PV module and system degradation profiles over time with the aim of distinguishing different module types and technology. Outdoor energy monitoring in different climates is supplemented with regular testing under repeatable test conditions indoors. The focus is on the PV module, as well as other hardware components (junction boxes, bypass diodes, and module-level electronics) attached to it. Hardware is installed at Sandia National Laboratories in New Mexico, at the National Renewable Energy Laboratory in Colorado, and at the University of Central Florida. The systems are continuously monitored for DC current and voltage, as well as periodic I-V curves at the string level. In the future, once degradation trends have been identified with more certainty, results will be made available to the public online. This data is expected to enable an increase in the accuracy and precision of degradation profiles used in yield assessments that support investments made in new PV plants. Current practice is to assume that degradation is constant over the life of the system. Forthcoming results in the next few years will help to determine whether this assumption is still appropriate.
In this paper, we present the effect of installation parameters (tilt angle, height above ground, and albedo) on the bifacial gain and energy yield of three south-facing photovoltaic (PV) system configurations: a single module, a row of five modules, and five rows of five modules utilizing RADIANCE-based ray tracing model. We show that height and albedo have a direct impact on the performance of bifacial systems. However, the impact of the tilt angle is more complicated. Seasonal optimum tilt angles are dependent on parameters such as height, albedo, size of the system, weather conditions, and time of the year. For a single bifacial module installed in Albuquerque, NM, USA (35 °N) with a reasonable clearance (∼1 m) from the ground, the seasonal optimum tilt angle is lowest (∼5°) for the summer solstice and highest (∼65°) for the winter solstice. For larger systems, seasonal optimum tilt angles are usually higher and can be up to 20° greater than that for a single module system. Annual simulations also indicate that for larger fixed-tilt systems installed on a highly reflective ground (such as snow or a white roofing material with an albedo of ∼81%), the optimum tilt angle is higher than the optimum angle of the smaller size systems. We also show that modules in larger scale systems generate lower energy due to horizon blocking and large shadowing area cast by the modules on the ground. For albedo of 21%, the center module in a large array generates up to 7% less energy than a single bifacial module. To validate our model, we utilize measured data from Sandia National Laboratories' fixed-tilt bifacial PV testbed and compare it with our simulations.
The U.S. DOE Regional Test Center for Solar Technologies program was established to validate photovoltaic (PV) technologies installed in a range of different climates. The program is funded by the Energy Department's SunShot Initiative. The initiative seeks to make solar energy cost competitive with other forms of electricity by the end of the decade. Sandia National Laboratory currently manages four different sites across the country. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory manages a fifth site in Colorado. The entire PV portfolio currently includes 20 industry partners and almost 500 kW of installed systems. The program follows a defined process that outlines tasks, milestones, agreements, and deliverables. The process is broken out into four main parts: 1) planning and design, 2) installation, 3) operations, and 4) decommissioning. This operations manual defines the various elements of each part.
This report provides a preliminary (three month) analysis for the SolarWorld system installed at the New Mexico Regional Test Center (RTC.) The 8.7kW, four-string system consists of four module types): bifacial, mono-crystalline, mono-crystalline glass-glass and polycrystalline. Overall, the SolarWorld system has performed well to date: most strings closely match their specification-sheet module temperature coefficients and Sandia 's f lash tests show that Pmax values are well within expectations. Although the polycrystalline modules underperformed, the results may be a function of light exposure, as well as mismatch within the string, and not a production flaw. The instantaneous bifacial gains for SolarWorld 's Bisun modules were modest but it should be noted that the RTC racking is not optimized for bifacial modules, nor is albedo optimized at the site. Additional analysis, not only of the SolarWorld installation in New Mexico but of the SolarWorld installations at the Vermont and Florida RTCs will be provide much more information regarding the comparative performance of the four module types.
A 9.6 kW test array of Prism bifacial modules and reference monofacial modules installed in February 2016 at the New Mexico Regional Test Center has produced one year of performance data. The data reveal that the Prism modules are out-performing the monofacial modules, with bifacial gains in energy over the twelve-month period ranging from 17% to 132%, depending on the orientation and ground albedo. These measured bifacial gains were found to be in good agreement with modeled bifacial gains using equations previously published by Prism Solar. The most dramatic increase in performance was seen among the vertically mounted, west-facing modules, where the bifacial modules produced more than double the energy of monofacial modules in the same orientation. Because peak energy generation (mid- morning and mid-afternoon) for these bifacial modules may best match load on the electric grid, the west-facing orientation may be more economically desirable than traditional south-facing module orientations (which peak at solar noon).
The US Department of Energy’s Regional Test Center (RTC) program provides outdoor validation and bankability data for innovative solar technologies at five sites across the US representing a range of climate conditions. Data helps get new technologies to market faster and improves US industry competitiveness. Managed by Sandia National Laboratories and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), the RTC program partners with US manufacturers of photovoltaic (PV) technologies, including modules, inverters, and balance-of-system equipment. The study is collaborative, with manufacturers (also known as RTC industry partners) and the national labs working together on a system design and validation strategy that meets a clearly defined set of performance and reliability objectives.
In 2014, the IEA PVPS Task 13 added the PVPMC as a formal activity to its technical work plan for 2014-2017. The goal of this activity is to expand the reach of the PVPMC to a broader international audience and help to reduce PV performance modeling uncertainties worldwide. One of the main deliverables of this activity is to host one or more PVPMC workshops outside the US to foster more international participation within this collaborative group. This report reviews the results of the first in a series of these joint IEA PVPS Task 13/PVPMC workshops. The 4th PV Performance Modeling Collaborative Workshop was held in Cologne, Germany at the headquarters of TÜV Rheinland on October 22-23, 2015.
We describe and compare two methods for modeling irradiance on the back surface of rack-mounted bifacial PV modules: view factor models and ray-tracing simulations. For each method we formulate one or more models and compare each model with irradiance measurements and short circuit current for a bifacial module mounted a fixed tilt rack with three other similarly sized modules. Our analysis illustrates the computational requirements of the different methods and provides insight into their practical applications. We find a level of consistency among the models which indicates that consistent models may be obtained by parameter calibrations.
PVLIB is a set of open source modeling functions that allow users to simulate most aspects of PV system performance. The functions, in Matlab and Python, are freely available under a BSD 3 clause open source license. The Matlab version is maintained by Sandia and is available on the PV Performance Modeling Collaborative (PVPMC) website (pvpmc.sandia.gov). The Python version is available on GitHub with packages easily installable through conda and pip. New functions were released on the Matlab version 1.3 in January 2016 and are actively being ported to Python.
Photovoltaic system monitoring can generate vast amounts of data. Analytical methods are required to post-process this data into useful information. Pecos is open source software designed to address this need. The software was developed at Sandia National Laboratories and is compatible with performance models in PVLIB-Python. The software can be used to automatically run a series of quality control tests and generate reports which include performance metrics, test results, and graphics.
Current-voltage (I-V) curve traces of photovoltaic (PV) systems can provide detailed information for diagnosing fault conditions. The present work implemented an in situ, automatic I-V curve tracer system coupled with Support Vector Machine and a Gaussian Process algorithms to classify and estimate abnormal and normal PV performance. The approach successfully identified normal and fault conditions. In addition, the Gaussian Process regression algorithm was used to estimate ideal I-V curves based on a given irradiance and temperature condition. The estimation results were then used to calculate the lost power due to the fault condition.
Monitoring of photovoltaic (PV) systems can maintain efficient operations. However, extensive monitoring of large quantities of data can be a cumbersome process. The present work introduces a simple, inexpensive, yet effective data monitoring strategy for detecting faults and determining lost revenues automatically. This was achieved through the deployment of Raspberry Pi (RPI) device at a PV system's combiner box. The RPI was programmed to collect PV data through Modbus communications, and store the data locally in a MySQL database. Then, using a Gaussian Process Regression algorithm the RPI device was able to accurately estimate string level current, voltage, and power values. The device could also detect system faults using a Support Vector Novelty Detection algorithm. Finally, the RPI was programmed to output the potential lost revenue caused by the abnormal condition. The system analytics information was then displayed on a user interface. The interface could be accessed by operations personal to direct maintenance activity so that critical issues can be solved quickly.
This report provides performance data and analysis for two Stion copper indium gallium selenide (CIGS) module types, one framed, the other frameless, and installed at the New Mexico, Florida and Vermont RTCs. Sandia looked at data from both module types and compared the latter with data from an adjacent monocrystalline baseline array at each RTC. The results indicate that the Stion modules are slightly outperforming their rated power, with efficiency values above 100% of rated power, at 25degC cell temperatures. In addition, Sandia sees no significant performance differences between module types, which is expected because the modules differ only in their framing. In contrast to the baseline systems, the Stion strings showed increasing efficiency with increasing irradiance, with the greatest increase between zero and 400 Wm -2 but still noticeable increases at 1000 Wm -2 . Although baseline data availability in Vermont was spotty and therefore comparative trends are difficult to discern, the Stion modules there may offer snow- shedding advantages over monocrystalline-silicon modules but these findings are preliminary.
To address the lack of knowledge of local solar variability, we have developed and deployed a low-cost solar variability datalogger (SVD). While most currently used solar irradiance sensors are expensive pyranometers with high accuracy (relevant for annual energy estimates), low-cost sensors display similar precision (relevant for solar variability) as high-cost pyranometers, even if they are not as accurate. In this work, we present evaluation of various low-cost irradiance sensor types, describe the SVD, and present validation and comparison of the SVD collected data. The low cost and ease of use of the SVD will enable a greater understanding of local solar variability, which will reduce developer and utility uncertainty about the impact of solar photovoltaic (PV) installations and thus will encourage greater penetrations of solar energy.
A 9.6 kW test array of Prism bifacial modules and reference monofacial modules installed in February 2016 at the New Mexico Regional Test Center has produced six months of performance data. The data reveal that the Prism modules are out-performing the monofacial modules, with bifacial gains in energy over the six-month period ranging from 18% to 136%, depending on the orientation and ground albedo. These measured bifacial gains were found to be in good agreement with modeled bifacial gains using equations previously published by Prism. The most dramatic increase in performance was seen among the vertically tilted, west-facing modules, where the bifacial modules produced more than double the energy of monofacial modules and more energy than monofacial modules at any orientation. Because peak energy generation (mid-morning and mid-afternoon) for these bifacial modules may best match load on the electric grid, the west-facing orientation may be more economically desirable than traditional south-facing module orientations (which peak at solar noon).
The Regional Test Centers are a group of several sites around the US for testing photovoltaic systems and components related to photovoltaic systems. The RTCs are managed by Sandia National Laboratories. The data collected by the RTCs must be transmitted to Sandia for storage, analysis, and reporting. This document describes the methods that transfer the data between remote sites and Sandia as well as data movement within Sandia’s network. The methods described are in force as of September, 2016.
Advances in sensor technology have rapidly increased our ability to monitor natural and human-made physical systems. In many cases, it is critical to process the resulting large volumes of data on a regular schedule and alert system operators when the system has changed. Automated quality control and performance monitoring can allow system operators to quickly detect performance issues. Pecos is an open source python package designed to address this need. Pecos includes built-in functionality to monitor performance of time series data. The software can be used to automatically run a series of quality control tests and generate customized reports which include performance metrics, test results, and graphics. The software was developed specifically for solar photovoltaic system monitoring, and is intended to be used by industry and the research community. The software can easily be customized for other applications. The following Pecos documentation includes installation instructions and examples, description of software features, and software license. It is assumed that the reader is familiar with the Python Programming Language. References are included for additional background on software components.
To address the lack of knowledge of local solar variability, we have developed, deployed, and demonstrated the value of data collected from a low-cost solar variability sensor. While most currently used solar irradiance sensors are expensive pyranometers with high accuracy (relevant for annual energy estimates), low-cost sensors display similar precision (relevant for solar variability) as high-cost pyranometers, even if they are not as accurate. In this work, we list variability sensor requirements, describe testing of various low-cost sensor components, present a validation of an alpha prototype, and show how the variability sensor collected data can be used for grid integration studies. The variability sensor will enable a greater understanding of local solar variability, which will reduce developer and utility uncertainty about the impact of solar photovoltaic installations and thus will encourage greater penetrations of solar energy.
To address the lack of knowledge of local solar variability, we have developed, deployed, and demonstrated the value of data collected from a low-cost solar variability sensor. While most currently used solar irradiance sensors are expensive pyranometers with high accuracy (relevant for annual energy estimates), low-cost sensors display similar precision (relevant for solar variability) as high-cost pyranometers, even if they are not as accurate. In this work, we list variability sensor requirements, describe testing of various low-cost sensor components, present a validation of an alpha prototype, and show how the variability sensor collected data can be used for grid integration studies. The variability sensor will enable a greater understanding of local solar variability, which will reduce developer and utility uncertainty about the impact of solar photovoltaic installations and thus will encourage greater penetrations of solar energy.
The current state of PV module monitoring is in need of improvements to better detect, diagnose, and locate abnormal module conditions. Detection of common abnormalities is difficult with current methods. The value of optimal system operation is a quantifiable benefit, and cost-effective monitoring systems will continue to evolve for this reason. Sandia National Laboratories performed a practicality and monitoring investigation on a testbed of 15 in-situ module-level I-V curve tracers. Shading and series resistance tests were performed and examples of using I-V curve interpretation and the Loss Factors Model parameters for detection of each is presented.
PV project investments need comprehensive plant monitoring data in order to validate performance and to fulfil expectations. Algorithms from PV-LIB and Loss Factors Model are being combined to quantify their prediction improvements at Gantner Instruments' Outdoor Test facility at Tempe AZ on multiple Tier 1 technologies. The validation of measured vs. predicted long term performance will be demonstrated to quantify the potential of IV scan monitoring. This will give recommendations on what parameters and methods should be used by investors, test labs, and module producers.