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Risk assessment of climate systems for national security

Brown, Theresa J.; Villa, Daniel V.; Tidwell, Vincent C.; Kalinina, Elena A.; Parks, Mancel J.; Boslough, Mark B.

Climate change, through drought, flooding, storms, heat waves, and melting Arctic ice, affects the production and flow of resource within and among geographical regions. The interactions among governments, populations, and sectors of the economy require integrated assessment based on risk, through uncertainty quantification (UQ). This project evaluated the capabilities with Sandia National Laboratories to perform such integrated analyses, as they relate to (inter)national security. The combining of the UQ results from climate models with hydrological and economic/infrastructure impact modeling appears to offer the best capability for national security risk assessments.

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TYPE SAND Report YEAR 2012
DOIOSTI

Methods for modeling impact-induced reactivity changes in small reactors

Smith, J.A.; Villa, Daniel V.; Radel, Ross R.; Radel, Tracy R.; Tallman, Tyler N.; Lipinski, Ronald J.

This paper describes techniques for determining impact deformation and the subsequent reactivity change for a space reactor impacting the ground following a potential launch accident or for large fuel bundles in a shipping container following an accident. This technique could be used to determine the margin of subcriticality for such potential accidents. Specifically, the approach couples a finite element continuum mechanics model (Pronto3D or Presto) with a neutronics code (MCNP). DAGMC, developed at the University of Wisconsin-Madison, is used to enable MCNP geometric queries to be performed using Pronto3D output. This paper summarizes what has been done historically for reactor launch analysis, describes the impact criticality analysis methodology, and presents preliminary results using representative reactor designs.

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TYPE SAND Report YEAR 2010
DOIOSTI

Challenges in structural analysis for deformed nuclear reactivity assessments

Villa, Daniel V.; Tallman, Tyler N.

Launch safety calculations for past space reactor concepts have usually been limited to immersion of the reactor in water and/or sand, using nominal system geometries or in some cases simplified compaction scenarios. Deformation of the reactor core by impact during the accident sequence typically has not been considered because of the complexity of the calculation. Recent advances in codes and computing power have made such calculations feasible. The accuracy of such calculations depends primarily on the underlying structural analysis. Even though explicit structural dynamics is a mature field, nuclear reactors present significant challenges to obtain accurate deformation predictions. The presence of a working fluid is one of the primary contributors to challenges in these predictions. The fluid-structure interaction cannot be neglected because the fluid surrounds the nuclear fuel which is the most important region in the analysis. A detailed model of a small eighty-five pin reactor was built with the working fluid modeled as smoothed particle hydrodynamic (SPH) elements. Filling the complex volume covered by the working fluid with SPH elements required development of an algorithm which eliminates overlaps between hexahedral and SPH elements. The results with and without the working fluid were found to be considerably different with respect to reactivity predictions.

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TYPE Conference YEAR 2010
OSTI
Results 51–72 of 72
Results 51–72 of 72