Publications

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A linear performance drop is generally assumed during the photovoltaic (PV) lifetime. However, operational data demonstrate that the PV module degradation rate (Rd) is often nonlinear, which, if neglected, may increase the financial uncertainty. Although nonlinear behavior has been the subject of numerous publications, it was only recently that statistical models able to detect change-points and extract multiple Rd values from PV performance time-series were introduced. A comparative analysis of six open-source libraries, which can detect change-points and calculate nonlinear Rd, is presented in this article. Since the real Rd and change-point locations are unknown in field data, 960 synthetic datasets from six locations and two PV module technologies have been generated using different aggregation and normalization decisions and nonlinear degradation rate patterns. The results demonstrated that coarser temporal aggregation (i.e., monthly vs. weekly), temperature correction, and both PV module technologies and climates with lower seasonality can benefit the change-point detection and Rd extraction. This also raises a concern that statistical models typically deployed for Rd analysis may be highly climatic-and technology-dependent. The comparative analysis of the six approaches demonstrated median mean absolute errors (MAE) ranging from 0.06 to 0.26%/year, given a maximum absolute Rd of 2.9%/year. The median MAE in change-point position detection varied from 3.5 months to 6 years.

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Reverse engineering (RE) analysts struggle to address critical questions about the safety of binary code accurately and promptly, and their supporting program analysis tools are simply wrong sometimes. The analysis tools have to approximate in order to provide any information at all, but this means that they introduce uncertainty into their results. And those uncertainties chain from analysis to analysis. We hypothesize that exposing sources, impacts, and control of uncertainty to human binary analysts will allow the analysts to approach their hardest problems with high-powered analytic techniques that they know when to trust. Combining expertise in binary analysis algorithms, human cognition, uncertainty quantification, verification and validation, and visualization, we pursue research that should benefit binary software analysis efforts across the board. We find a strong analogy between RE and exploratory data analysis (EDA); we begin to characterize sources and types of uncertainty found in practice in RE (both in the process and in supporting analyses); we explore a domain-specific focus on uncertainty in pointer analysis, showing that more precise models do help analysts answer small information flow questions faster and more accurately; and we test a general population with domain-general sudoku problems, showing that adding "knobs" to an analysis does not significantly slow down performance. This document describes our explorations in uncertainty in binary analysis.

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This project will test the coupling of light emitted from silicon vacancy and nitrogen vacancy defects in diamond into additively manufactured photonic wire bonds toward integration into an "on-chip quantum photonics platform". These defects offer a room-temperature solid state solution for quantum information technologies but suffer from issues such as low activation rate and variable local environments. Photonic wire bonding will allow entanglement of pre-selected solid-state defects alleviating some of these issues and enable simplified integration with other photonic devices. These developments could prove to be key technologies to realize quantum secured networks for national security applications.

Simultaneous data of the quasi-static compaction and electrical conductivity of porous, binary powder mixtures have been collected as a function of bulk density. The powder mixtures consist of a metal conductor, either titanium or iron, an insulator, and pores filled with ambient air. The data show a dependency of the conductivity in terms of relative bulk density and metal volume fraction on conductor type and conductor particle characteristics of size and shape. Finite element models using particle domains generated by discrete element method are used to simulate the bulk conductivity near its threshold while the general effective media equation is used to model the conductivity across the compression regime.

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Spray-formed materials have complex microstructures which pose challenges for microscale and mesoscale modeling. To constrain these models, experimental measurements of wave profiles when subjecting the material to dynamic compression are necessary. The use of a gas gun to launch a shock into a material is a traditional method to understand wave propagation and provide information of time-dependent stress variations due to complex microstructures. This data contains information on wave reverberations within a material and provides a boundary condition for simulation. Here we present measurements of the wavespeed and wave profile at the rear surface of tantalum, niobium, and a tantalum/niobium blend subjected to plate impact. Measurements of the Hugoniot elastic limit are compared to previous work and wavespeeds are compared to longitudinal sound velocity measurements to examine wave damping due to the porous microstructure.

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