The task of monitoring the Earth for nuclear explosions relies heavily on seismic data to detect, locate, and characterize suspected nuclear tests. Motivated by the need to locate suspected explosions as accurately and precisely as possible, we developed a tomographic model of the compressional wave slowness in the Earth’s mantle with primary focus on the accuracy and precision of travel-time predictions for P and Pn ray paths through the model. Path-dependent travel-time prediction uncertainties are obtained by computing the full 3D model covariance matrix and then integrating slowness variance and covariance along ray paths from source to receiver. Path-dependent travel-time prediction uncertainties reflect the amount of seismic data that was used in tomography with very low values for paths represented by abundant data in the tomographic data set and very high values for paths through portions of the model that were poorly sampled by the tomography data set. The pattern of travel-time prediction uncertainty is a direct result of the off-diagonal terms of the model covariance matrix and underscores the importance of incorporating the full model covariance matrix in the determination of travel-time prediction uncertainty. The computed pattern of uncertainty differs significantly from that of 1D distance-dependent traveltime uncertainties computed using traditional methods, which are only appropriate for use with travel times computed through 1D velocity models.
The standard seismic explosion-monitoring paradigm is based on a sparse, spatially aliased network of stations to monitor either the whole Earth or a region of interest. Under this paradigm, state-of-the-art event-detection methods are based on seismic phase picks, which are associated at multiple stations and located using 3D Earth models. Here, we revisit a concept for event-detection that does not require phase picks or 3D models and fuses detection and association into a single algorithm. Our pickless event detector exploits existing catalog and waveform data to build an empirical stack of the full regional seismic wavefield, which is subsequently used to detect and locate events at a network level using correlation techniques. We apply our detector to seismic data from Utah and evaluate our results by comparing them with the earthquake catalog published by the University of Utah Seismograph Stations. The results demonstrate that our pickless detector is a viable alternative technique for detecting events that likely requires less analyst overhead than do the existing methods.
Using template waveforms from aftershocks of the Wenchuan earthquake (12 May 2008, Ms 7.9) listed in a global bulletin and continuous data from eight regional stations, we detected more than 6000 additional events in the mainshock source region from 1 May to 12 August 2008. These new detections obey Omori’s law, extend the magnitude of completeness downward by 1.1 magnitude units, and lead to a more than fivefold increase in number of known aftershocks compared with the global bulletins published by the International Data Centre and the International Seismological Centre. Moreover, we detected more M >2 events than were listed by the Sichuan Seismograph Network. Several clusters of these detections were then relocated using the double-difference method, yielding locations that reduced travel-time residuals by a factor of 32 compared with the initial bulletin locations. Our results suggest that using waveform correlation on a few regional stations can find aftershock events very effectively and locate them with precision.
GeoTess is a model parameterization and software support library that manages the construction, population, storage, and interrogation of data stored in 2D and 3D Earth models. The software is available in Java and C++, with a C interface to the C++ library. The software has been tested on Linux, Mac, Sun, and PC platforms. It is open source and is available online (see Data and Resources).
This initial draft document contains formative data model content for select areas of Re-Engineering Phase 2 IDC System. The purpose of this document is to facilitate discussion among the stakeholders. It is not intended as a definitive proposal.