This project has developed models of variability of performance to enable robust design and certification. Material variability originating from microstructure has significant effects on component behavior and creates uncertainty in material response. The outcomes of this project are uncertainty quantification (UQ) enabled analysis of material variability effects on performance and methods to evaluate the consequences of microstructural variability on material response in general. Material variability originating from heterogeneous microstructural features, such as grain and pore morphologies, has significant effects on component behavior and creates uncertainty around performance. Current engineering material models typically do not incorporate microstructural variability explicitly, rather functional forms are chosen based on intuition and parameters are selected to reflect mean behavior. Conversely, mesoscale models that capture the microstructural physics, and inherent variability, are impractical to utilize at the engineering scale. Therefore, current efforts ignore physical characteristics of systems that may be the predominant factors for quantifying system reliability. To address this gap we have developed explicit connections between models of microstructural variability and component/system performance. Our focus on variability of mechanical response due to grain and pore distributions enabled us to fully probe these influences on performance and develop a methodology to propagate input variability to output performance. This project is at the forefront of data-science and material modeling. We adapted and innovated from progressive techniques in machine learning and uncertainty quantification to develop a new, physically-based methodology to address the core issues of the Engineering Materials Reliability (EMR) research challenge in modeling constitutive response of materials with significant inherent variability and length-scales.
The advent of fabrication techniques such as additive manufacturing has focused attention on the considerable variability of material response due to defects and other microstructural aspects. This variability motivates the development of an enhanced design methodology that incorporates inherent material variability to provide robust predictions of performance. In this work, we develop plasticity models capable of representing the distribution of mechanical responses observed in experiments using traditional plasticity models of the mean response and recently developed uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques. To account for material response variability through variations in physical parameters, we adapt a recent Bayesian embedded modeling error calibration technique. We use Bayesian model selection to determine the most plausible of a variety of plasticity models and the optimal embedding of parameter variability. To expedite model selection, we develop an adaptive importance-sampling-based numerical integration scheme to compute the Bayesian model evidence. In conclusion, we demonstrate that the new framework provides predictive realizations that are superior to more traditional ones, and how these UQ techniques can be used in model selection and assessing the quality of calibrated physical parameters.
We begin by presenting an overview of the general philosophy that is guiding the novel DARMA developments, followed by a brief reminder about the background of this project. We finally present the FY19 design requirements. As the Exascale era arises, DARMA is uniquely positioned at the forefront of asychronous many-task (AMT) research and development (R&D) to explore emerging programming model paradigms for next-generation HPC applications at Sandia, across NNSA labs, and beyond. The DARMA project explores how to fundamentally shift the expression(PM) and execution(EM)of massively concurrent HPC scientific algorithms to be more asynchronous, resilient to executional aberrations in heterogeneous/unpredictable environments, and data-dependency conscious—thereby enabling an intelligent, dynamic, and self-aware runtime to guide execution.
The advent of fabrication techniques like additive manufacturing has focused attention on the considerable variability of material response due to defects and other micro-structural aspects. This variability motivates the development of an enhanced design methodology that incorporates inherent material variability to provide robust predictions of performance. In this work, we develop plasticity models capable of representing the distribution of mechanical responses observed in experiments using traditional plasticity models of the mean response and recently developed uncertainty quantification (UQ) techniques. Lastly, we demonstrate that the new method provides predictive realizations that are superior to more traditional ones, and how these UQ techniques can be used in model selection and assessing the quality of calibrated physical parameters.
This report is an outcome of the ASC ATDM Level 2 Milestone 6015: Asynchronous Many-Task Software Stack Demonstration. It comprises a summary and in depth analysis of DARMA and a DARMA-compliant Asynchronous Many-Task (AMT) runtime software stack. Herein performance and productivity of the over- all approach are assessed on benchmarks and proxy applications representative of the Sandia ATDM applications. As part of the effort to assess the perceived strengths and weaknesses of AMT models compared to more traditional methods, experiments were performed on ATS-1 (Advanced Technology Systems) test bed machines and Trinity. In addition to productivity and performance assessments, this report includes findings on the generality of DARMAs backend API as well as findings on interoperability with node- level and network-level system libraries. Together, this information provides a clear understanding of the strengths and limitations of the DARMA approach in the context of Sandias ATDM codes, to guide our future research and development in this area.
In this document, we provide the specifications for DARMA (Distributed Asynchronous Resilient Models and Applications), a co-design research vehicle for asynchronous many-task (AMT) programming models that serves to: 1) insulate applications from runtime system and hardware idiosyncrasies, 2) improve AMT runtime programmability by co-designing an application programmer interface (API) directly with application developers, 3) synthesize application co-design activities into meaningful requirements for runtime systems, and 4) facilitate AMT design space characterization and definition, accelerating the development of AMT best practices.