Data-Driven Detection of Phase Changes in Evolving Distribution Systems
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This report summarizes the work performed under a project funded by U.S. DOE Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) to use grid edge measurements to calibrate distribution system models for improved planning and grid integration of solar PV. Several physics-based data-driven algorithms are developed to identify inaccuracies in models and to bring increased visibility into distribution system planning. This includes phase identification, secondary system topology and parameter estimation, meter-to-transformer pairing, medium-voltage reconfiguration detection, determination of regulator and capacitor settings, PV system detection, PV parameter and setting estimation, PV dynamic models, and improved load modeling. Each of the algorithms is tested using simulation data and demonstrated on real feeders with our utility partners. The final algorithms demonstrate the potential for future planning and operations of the electric power grid to be more automated and data-driven, with more granularity, higher accuracy, and more comprehensive visibility into the system.
2022 IEEE Texas Power and Energy Conference, TPEC 2022
The installation of digital sensors, such as advanced meter infrastructure (AMI) meters, has provided the means to implement a wide variety of techniques to increase visibility into the distribution system, including the ability to calibrate the utility models using data-driven algorithms. One challenge in maintaining accurate and up-to-date distribution system models is identifying changes and event occurrences that happen during the year, such as customers who have changed phases due to maintenance or other events. This work proposes a method for the detection of phase change events that utilizes techniques from an existing phase identification algorithm. This work utilizes an ensemble step to obtain predicted phases for windows of data, therefore allowing the predicted phase of customers to be observed over time. The proposed algorithm was tested on four utility datasets as well as a synthetic dataset. The synthetic tests showed the algorithm was capable of accurately detecting true phase change events while limiting the number of false-positive events flagged. In addition, the algorithm was able to identify possible phase change events on two real datasets.
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