Probabilistic Model for Stress Corrosion Cracking of SNF Dry Storage Canisters
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Journal of Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification
Bison is a computational physics code that uses the finite element method to model the thermo-mechanical response of nuclear fuel. Since Bison is used to inform highconsequence decisions, it is important that its computational results are reliable and predictive. One important step in assessing the reliability and predictive capabilities of a simulation tool is the verification process, which quantifies numerical errors in a discrete solution relative to the exact solution of the mathematical model. One step in the verification process-called code verification-ensures that the implemented numerical algorithm is a faithful representation of the underlying mathematical model, including partial differential or integral equations, initial and boundary conditions, and auxiliary relationships. In this paper, the code verification process is applied to spatiotemporal heat conduction problems in Bison. Simultaneous refinement of the discretization in space and time is employed to reveal any potential mistakes in the numerical algorithms for the interactions between the spatial and temporal components of the solution. For each verification problem, the correct spatial and temporal order of accuracy is demonstrated for both first- and second-order accurate finite elements and a variety of time-integration schemes. These results provide strong evidence that the Bison numerical algorithm for solving spatiotemporal problems reliably represents the underlying mathematical model in MOOSE. The selected test problems can also be used in other simulation tools that numerically solve for conduction or diffusion.
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Proceedings of the International High-Level Radioactive Waste Management Conference, IHLRWM 2022, Embedded with the 2022 ANS Winter Meeting
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Proceedings of the International High-Level Radioactive Waste Management Conference, IHLRWM 2022, Embedded with the 2022 ANS Winter Meeting
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Sub-channel codes are one of the the modeling and simulation tools used for thermal-hydraulic analysis of nuclear reactors. A few examples of such sub-channel codes are the COolant Boiling in Rod Arrays (COBRA) family of codes. The approximations that are used to simplify the fluid conservation equations into sub-channel form, mainly that of axially-dominated flow, lead to noticeable limitations on sub-channels solvers for problems with significant flow in lateral directions. In this report, a two-dimensional Cartesian solver is developed and implemented within CTF-R, which is the residual solver in the North Carolina State University version of COBRA-TF (CTF). The new solver will enable CTF to simulate flow that is not axially-dominated. The appropriate Cartesian forms of the conservation equations are derived and implemented in the solver. Once the conservation equations are established, the process of constructing the matrix system was altered to solve a two-dimensional staggered grid system. A simple case was used to test that the two-dimensional Cartesian solver is accurate. The test problem does not include any source terms or flow in the lateral direction. The results show that the solver was able to run the simple case and converge to a steady-state solution. Future work will focus on testing existing capabilities by using test cases that include transients and equation cross-terms. Future work will also include adding additional capabilities such as enabling the solver to include cases with source terms and three dimensional cases.
Stress corrosion cracking (SCC) is an important failure degradation mechanism for storage of spent nuclear fuel. Since 2014, Sandia National Laboratories has been developing a probabilistic methodology for predicting SCC. The model is intended to provide qualitative assessment of data needs, model sensitivities, and future model development. In fiscal year 2021, improvement of the SCC model focused on the salt deposition, maximum pit size, and crack growth rate models.
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Journal of Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification
The modern scientific process often involves the development of a predictive computational model. To improve its accuracy, a computational model can be calibrated to a set of experimental data. A variety of validation metrics can be used to quantify this process. Some of these metrics have direct physical interpretations and a history of use, while others, especially those for probabilistic data, are more difficult to interpret. In this work, a variety of validation metrics are used to quantify the accuracy of different calibration methods. Frequentist and Bayesian perspectives are used with both fixed effects and mixed-effects statistical models. Through a quantitative comparison of the resulting distributions, the most accurate calibration method can be selected. Two examples are included which compare the results of various validation metrics for different calibration methods. It is quantitatively shown that, in the presence of significant laboratory biases, a fixed effects calibration is significantly less accurate than a mixed-effects calibration. This is because the mixed-effects statistical model better characterizes the underlying parameter distributions than the fixed effects model. The results suggest that validation metrics can be used to select the most accurate calibration model for a particular empirical model with corresponding experimental data.
Nuclear Engineering and Design
CTF is a thermal hydraulic subchannel code developed to predict light water reactor (LWR) core behavior. It is a version of Coolant Boiling in Rod Arrays (COBRA) developed by Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) and North Carolina State University (NCSU) and used in the Consortium for the Advanced Simulation of LWRs (CASL). In this work, the existing CTF code verification matrix is expanded, which ensures that the code is a faithful representation of the underlying mathematical model. The suite of code verification tests are mapped to the underlying conservation equations of CTF and significant gaps are addressed. As such, five new problems are incorporated: isokinetic advection, conduction, pressure drop, convection, and pipe boiling. Convergence behavior and numerical errors are quantified for each of the tests and all tests converge at the correct rate to their corresponding analytic solution. A new verification utility that generalizes the code verification process is used to incorporate these problems into the CTF automated test suite.
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The State-of-the-Art Reactor Consequence Analyses (SOARCA) project has focused on best estimate analyses and uncertainty analysis for postulated accidents at specific nuclear power plants. The consequences of these accidents are estimated using the simulation tools MELCOR and MACCS. To understand which uncertain input variables are important to determining these consequences, analysts have performed sensitivity analyses. The tool used to perform these sensitivity analyses in previous SOARCA work, CompModSA, is no longer supported. Therefore, the current work focuses on migrating these analyses to another tool and evaluating its performance. Dakota, which is a tool developed at Sandia National Laboratories, is used in this work. Sensitivity results are created for three analyses from the SOARCA Surry UA. Though CompModSA and Dakota vary slightly in their algorithms and implementation, their sensitivity results generally agree, which gives confidence in the Dakota approach and increases confidence in the original analyses. It is likely that this methodology is extendable to the rest of SOARCA analyses.
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In 2010, the U.S. Department of Energy created its first Energy Innovation Hub, which is focused on developing high-fidelity and high-resolution Modeling and Simulation (M&S) tools for modeling of Light Water Reactors (LWRs). This hub, Consortium for Advanced Simulation of LWRs (CASL), has developed an LWR simulation tool called Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA). The multi-physics capability of VERA is achieved through the coupling of single-physics codes, including BISON, CTF, MPACT, and MAMBA. BISON is a fuel performance code which models the thermo-mechanical behavior of nuclear fuel using high performance M&S. It is capable of modeling traditional LWR fuel rods, fuel plates, and TRi-structural ISOtropic (TRISO) fuel particles. It can employ three-dimensional Cartesian, two-dimensional axisymmetric cylindrical, or one-dimensional radial spherical geometry. It includes empirical models for a large variety of fuel physics: temperature- and burnup-dependent thermal properties, fuel swelling and densification, fission gas production, cladding creep, fracture, cladding plasticity, and gap/plenum models. This document details a series of code verification test problems that are used to test BISON. These problems add confidence that the BISON code is a faithful representation of its underlying mathematical model. The suite of verification tests are mapped to the underlying conservation equations solved by the code: heat conduction, mechanics, and species conservation. Twenty-two problems are added for the heat conduction solution, two for the mechanics solution, and none for species conservation. Method of Manufactured Solutions (MMS) capability is demonstrated with three problems, and temperature drops across the fuel gap are tested.
In 2010, the U.S. Department of Energy created its first Energy Innovation Hub, which is focused on developing high-fidelity and high-resolution modeling and simulation (M&S) tools for modeling of light water reactors (LWRs). This hub, the Consortium for Advanced Simulation of LWRs (CASL), has developed an LWR simulation tool called the Virtual Environment for Reactor Applications (VERA). The multi-physics capability of VERA is achieved through the coupling of single-physics codes, including CTF (the CASL version of Coolant Boiling in Rod Arrays— Three Field (COBRA-TF)), Michigan Parallel Characteristics Transport (MPACT), BISON, and Materials Performance and Optimization (MPO) Advanced Model for Boron Analysis (MAMBA). As part of its M&S efforts, CASL has identified various challenge problems, including Crud Induced Power Shift (CIPS), Crud-Induced Localized Corrosion (CILC), Pellet-Cladding Interaction (PCI), and Departure from Nucleate Boiling (DNB). This work addresses CASL milestone L2:VVI.P19.03, which focuses on uncertainty quantification of crud, which is relevant to both CIPS and CILC. This is achieved through an analysis and separate effects validation of the thermal hydraulic phenomenon known as subcooled boiling. As part of this work, various sources of experimental data are examined and compared to different options for empirical modeling of subcooled boiling. Through this analysis, a complete understanding of the underlying models and their implementation details are understood. A subset of these data are incorporated into a separate effects validation study of CTF. The Westinghouse Advanced Loop Tester (WALT) and Rohsenow experiments are modeled, and it is shown that the newly-implemented Gorenflo correlation is more accurate than the existing Chen and Thom correlations.