Publications

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In this paper, we assert the importance of uncertainty quantification for machine learning and sketch an initial research agenda. We define uncertainty in the context of machine learning, identify its sources, and motivate the importance and impact of its quantification. We then illustrate these issues with an image analysis example. The paper concludes by identifying several specific research issues and by discussing the potential long-term implications of uncertainty quantification for data analytics in general.

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This summary of PANTHER Human Analytics work describes three of the team's major work activities: research with teams to elicit and document work practices; experimental studies of visual search performance and visual attention; and the application of spatio-temporal algorithms to the analysis of eye tracking data. Our intent is to provide basic introduction to the work area and a selected set of representative HA team publications as a starting point for readers interested our team's work.

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Geospatial semantic graphs provide a robust foundation for representing and analyzing remote sensor data. In particular, they support a variety of pattern search operations that capture the spatial and temporal relationships among the objects and events in the data. However, in the presence of large data corpora, even a carefully constructed search query may return a large number of unintended matches. This work considers the problem of calculating a quality score for each match to the query, given that the underlying data are uncertain. We present a preliminary evaluation of three methods for determining both match quality scores and associated uncertainty bounds, illustrated in the context of an example based on overhead imagery data.

This issue features expanded versions of articles selected from the 2014 AAAI Conference on Innovative Applications of Artificial Intelligence held in Quebec City, Canada. We present a selection of four articles describing deployed applications plus two more articles that discuss work on emerging applications.

This report summarizes preliminary research into uncertainty quantification for pattern ana- lytics within the context of the Pattern Analytics to Support High-Performance Exploitation and Reasoning (PANTHER) project. The primary focus of PANTHER was to make large quantities of remote sensing data searchable by analysts. The work described in this re- port adds nuance to both the initial data preparation steps and the search process. Search queries are transformed from does the specified pattern exist in the data? to how certain is the system that the returned results match the query? We show example results for both data processing and search, and discuss a number of possible improvements for each.

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Visual search data describe people’s performance on the common perceptual problem of identifying target objects in a complex scene. Technological advances in areas such as eye tracking now provide researchers with a wealth of data not previously available. The goal of this work is to support researchers in analyzing this complex and multimodal data and in developing new insights into visual search techniques. We discuss several methods drawn from the statistics and machine learning literature for integrating visual search data derived from multiple sources and performing exploratory data analysis. We ground our discussion in a specific task performed by officers at the Transportation Security Administration and consider the applicability, likely issues, and possible adaptations of several candidate analysis methods.

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Inference techniques play a central role in many cognitive systems. They transform low-level observations of the environment into high-level, actionable knowledge which then gets used by mechanisms that drive action, problem-solving, and learning. This paper presents an initial effort at combining results from AI and psychology into a pragmatic and scalable computational reasoning system. Our approach combines a numeric notion of plausibility with first-order logic to produce an incremental inference engine that is guided by heuristics derived from the psychological literature. We illustrate core ideas with detailed examples and discuss the advantages of the approach with respect to cognitive systems.

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