Publications

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Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) requires precision mirrors, and these in turn require metrology systems to measure their optical slope. In this project we studied a color-based approach to the correspondence problem, which is the association of points on an optical target with their corresponding points seen in a reflection. This is a core problem in deflectometry-based metrology, and a color solution would enable important new capabilities. We modeled color as a vector in the [R,G,B] space measured by a digital camera, and explored a dual-image approach to compensate for inevitable changes in illumination color. Through a series of experiments including color target design and dual-image setups both indoors and outdoors, we collected reference/measurement image pairs for a variety of configurations and light conditions. We then analyzed the resulting image pairs by selecting example [R,G,B] pixels in the reference image, and seeking matching [R,G,B] pixels in the measurement image. Modulating a tolerance threshold enabled us to assess both match reliability and match ambiguity, and for some configurations, orthorectification enabled us to assess match accuracy. Using direct-direct imaging, we demonstrated color correspondence achieving average match accuracy values of 0.004 h, where h is the height of the color pattern. We found that wide-area two-dimensional and linear one-dimensional color targets outperformed hybrid linear/lateral gradient targets in the cases studied. Introducing a mirror degraded performance under our current techniques, and we did not have time to evaluate whether matches could be reliably achieved despite varying light conditions. Nonetheless, our results thus far are promising.

In the framework of SFERA-III WP10 Task3, ENEA has organized the 3D-shape round-robin (RR); the purpose is to compare the main geometrical parameters of 3D shape measurement of parabolic-trough (PT) reflective panels evaluated with the instruments adopted by each participant among: ENEA, DLR, F-ISE, NREL, and SANDIA. The last two institutions are outside of the EU, but benefited from the Transnational Access institute to visit several European laboratories, including the ENEA Casaccia research center where they accomplished some measurements with a portable experimental set-up. RR is based on the inter-laboratory circulation of 3 inner plus 3 outer PT panels. The start of the RR was delayed by the covid pandemic, then the circulation of the specimen-set and their measurement took more than one year. At the time of drafting this deliverable at the end of SFERA-III project, NREL has not yet completed the analysis of the measurements, making available only the deviations of the slopes. Therefore here will be reported only the preliminary results. The full comparison will be published as soon as possible, maybe in the open access venue Open Research Europe.

This paper summarizes findings from a small, mixed-method research study examining industry perspectives on the potential for new forms of automation to invigorate the concentrating solar power (CSP) industry. In Fall 2021, the Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) of the United States Department of Energy (DOE) funded Sandia National Laboratories to elicit industry stakeholder perspectives on the potential role of automated systems in CSP operations. We interviewed eleven CSP professionals from five countries, using a combination of structured and open comment response modes. Respondents indicated a preference for automated systems that support heliostat manufacturing and installation, calibration, and responsiveness to shifting weather conditions. This pilot study demonstrates the importance of engaging industry stakeholders in discussions of technology research and development, to promote adoptable, useful innovation.

This paper summarizes findings from a small, mixed-method research study examining industry perspectives on the potential for new forms of automation to invigorate the concentrating solar power (CSP) industry. In Fall 2021, the Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) of the United States Department of Energy (DOE) funded Sandia National Laboratories to elicit industry stakeholder perspectives on the potential role of automated systems in CSP operations. We interviewed eleven CSP professionals from five countries, using a combination of structured and open comment response modes. Respondents indicated a preference for automated systems that support heliostat manufacturing and installation, calibration, and responsiveness to shifting weather conditions. This pilot study demonstrates the importance of engaging industry stakeholders in discussions of technology research and development, to promote adoptable, useful innovation.

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The Sandia Optical Fringe Analysis Slope Tool (SOFAST) is a tool that has been developed at Sandia to measure the surface slope of concentrating solar power optics. This tool has largely remained of research quality over the past few years. Since SOFAST is important to ongoing tests happening at Sandia as well as an interest to others outside Sandia, there is a desire to bring SOFAST up to professional software standards. The goal of this effort was to make progress in several broad areas including: code quality, sample data collection, and validation and testing. During the course of this effort, much progress was made in these areas. SOFAST is now a much more professional grade tool. There are, however, some areas of improvement that could not be addressed in the timeframe of this work and will be addressed in the continuation of this effort.

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We use Bayesian data analysis to predict dengue fever outbreaks and quantify the link between outbreaks and meteorological precursors tied to the breeding conditions of vector mosquitos. We use Hamiltonian Monte Carlo sampling to estimate a seasonal Gaussian process modeling infection rate, and aperiodic basis coefficients for the rate of an “outbreak level” of infection beyond seasonal trends across two separate regions. We use this outbreak level to estimate an autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model from which we extrapolate a forecast. We show that the resulting model has useful forecasting power in the 6–8 week range. The forecasts are not significantly more accurate with the inclusion of meteorological covariates than with infection trends alone.

This report summarizes the work performed under the Sandia LDRD project "Eyes on the Ground: Visual Verification for On-Site Inspection." The goal of the project was to develop methods and tools to assist an IAEA inspector in assessing visual and other information encountered during an inspection. Effective IAEA inspections are key to verifying states' compliance with nuclear non-proliferation treaties. In the course of this work we developed a taxonomy of candidate inspector assistance tasks, selected key tasks to focus on, identified hardware and software solution approaches, and made progress in implementing them. In particular, we demonstrated the use of multiple types of 3-d scanning technology applied to simulated inspection environments, and implemented a preliminary prototype of a novel inspector assistance tool. This report summarizes the project's major accomplishments, and gathers the abstracts and references for the publication and reports that were prepared as part of this work. We then describe work in progress that is not yet ready for publication. Approved for public release; further dissemination unlimited.

This report summarizes the work performed under the Sandia LDRD project "Eyes on the Ground: Visual Verification for On-Site Inspection." The goal of the project was to develop methods and tools to assist an IAEA inspector in assessing visual and other information encountered during an inspection. Effective IAEA inspections are key to verifying states' compliance with nuclear non-proliferation treaties. In the course of this work we developed a taxonomy of candidate inspector assistance tasks, selected key tasks to focus on, identified hardware and software solution approaches, and made progress in implementing them. In particular, we demonstrated the use of multiple types of 3-d scanning technology applied to simulated inspection environments, and implemented a preliminary prototype of a novel inspector assistance tool. This report summarizes the project's major accomplishments, and gathers the abstracts and references for the publication and reports that were prepared as part of this work. We then describe work in progress that is not yet ready for publication. Approved for public release; further dissemination unlimited.

This report summarizes the work performed under the Sandia LDRD project "Adverse Event Prediction Using Graph-Augmented Temporal Analysis." The goal of the project was to develop a method for analyzing multiple time-series data streams to identify precursors providing advance warning of the potential occurrence of events of interest. The proposed approach combined temporal analysis of each data stream with reasoning about relationships between data streams using a geospatial-temporal semantic graph. This class of problems is relevant to several important topics of national interest. In the course of this work we developed new temporal analysis techniques, including temporal analysis using Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques, temporal shift algorithms to refine forecasts, and a version of Ripley's K-function extended to support temporal precursor identification. This report summarizes the project's major accomplishments, and gathers the abstracts and references for the publication sub-missions and reports that were prepared as part of this work. We then describe work in progress that is not yet ready for publication.