Image-based simulation, the use of 3D images to calculate physical quantities, relies on image segmentation for geometry creation. However, this process introduces image segmentation uncertainty because different segmentation tools (both manual and machine-learning-based) will each produce a unique and valid segmentation. First, we demonstrate that these variations propagate into the physics simulations, compromising the resulting physics quantities. Second, we propose a general framework for rapidly quantifying segmentation uncertainty. Through the creation and sampling of segmentation uncertainty probability maps, we systematically and objectively create uncertainty distributions of the physics quantities. We show that physics quantity uncertainty distributions can follow a Normal distribution, but, in more complicated physics simulations, the resulting uncertainty distribution can be surprisingly nontrivial. We establish that bounding segmentation uncertainty can fail in these nontrivial situations. While our work does not eliminate segmentation uncertainty, it improves simulation credibility by making visible the previously unrecognized segmentation uncertainty plaguing image-based simulation.
Understanding the influence of environmental factors on soil organic carbon (SOC) is critical for quantifying and reducing the uncertainty in carbon climate feedback projections under changing environmental conditions. We explored the effect of climatic variables, land cover types, topographic attributes, soil types and bedrock geology on SOC stocks of top 1 m depth across conterminous United States (US) ecoregions. Using 4559 soil profile observations and high-resolution data of environmental factors, we identified dominant environmental controllers of SOC stocks in 21 US ecoregions using geographically weighted regression. We used projected climatic data of SSP126 and SSP585 scenarios from GFDL-ESM 4 Earth System Model of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 to predict SOC stock changes across continental US between 2030 and 2100. Both baseline and predicted changes in SOC stocks were compared with SOC stocks represented in GFDL-ESM4 projections. Among 56 environmental predictors, we found 12 as dominant controllers across all ecoregions. The adjusted geospatial model with the 12 environmental controllers showed an R2 of 0.48 in testing dataset. Higher precipitation and lower temperatures were associated with higher levels of SOC stocks in majority of ecoregions. Changes in land cover types (vegetation properties) was important in drier ecosystem as North American deserts, whereas soil types and topography were more important in American prairies. Wetlands of the Everglades was highly sensitive to projected temperature changes. The SOC stocks did not change under SSP126 until 2100, however SOC stocks decreased up to 21% under SSP585. Our results, based on environmental controllers of SOC stocks, help to predict impacts of changing environmental conditions on SOC stocks more reliably and may reduce uncertainties found in both, geospatial and Earth System Models. In addition, the description of different environmental controllers for US ecoregions can help to describe the scope and importance of global and local models.
A 3 foot x 3 foot x 3 foot aluminum solar collector was manufactured using computer numerical control. The interior of the device included six triangular dimpled fins for enhanced heat transfer. The interior vertical wall on the south side was also dimpled. The solar collector working fluid was based on water, and the collector consisted solely of passive heat transfer mechanisms (no moving parts), making it ideal for off-the-grid and rural applications. Two types of heat transfer experiments were conducted. One experiment had external flat heaters attached on the top and the front side, while the other four sides were insulated. Except for the bottom surface, the second experiment had all its exterior surfaces sprayed with black solar paint to collect as much solar heat as possible. Temperature data as a function of time was collected using 14 thermocouples spread strategically throughout the solar collector. In addition, computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulations were conducted using the dynamic Smagorinsky large eddy simulation turbulence model. The first simulation considered that both the top and front surfaces were exposed to a fixed temperature of 313.7 K (105 °F), while the remaining four surfaces were insulated. For the second simulation, all conditions were the same, except that the temperature for both heated surfaces was raised to 350 K (170.3 °F). The two temperatures are expected to bound the solar collector operational temperature during the late- Spring, Summer, and early-Fall months. The solar collector design, experimental data, CFD output, and a discussion of five manufacturing approaches and costs are documented in this report.
Local-to-nonlocal (LtN) coupling refers to a class of methods aimed at combining nonlocal and local modeling descriptions of a given system into a unified coupled representation. This allows to consolidate the accuracy of nonlocal models with the computational expediency of their local counterparts, while often simultaneously removing nonlocal modeling issues such as surface effects. The number and variety of proposed LtN coupling approaches have significantly grown in recent years, yet the field of LtN coupling continues to grow and still has open challenges. This review provides an overview of the state of the art of LtN coupling in the context of nonlocal diffusion and nonlocal mechanics, specifically peridynamics. Furthermore, we present a classification of LtN coupling methods and discuss common features and challenges. The goal of this review is not to provide a preferred way to address LtN coupling but to present a broad perspective of the field, which would serve as guidance for practitioners in the selection of appropriate LtN coupling methods based on the characteristics and needs of the problem under consideration.