Publications

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Understanding the impact of distributed photovoltaic (PV) resources on various elements of the distribution feeder is imperative for their cost effective integration. A year-long quasi-static time series (QSTS) simulation at 1-second granularity is often necessary to fully study these impacts. However, the significant computational burden associated with running QSTS simulations is a major challenge to their adoption. In this paper, we propose a fast scalable QSTS simulation algorithm that is based on a linear sensitivity model for estimating voltage-related PV impact metrics of a three-phase unbalanced, nonradial distribution system with various discrete step control elements including tap changing transformers and capacitor banks. The algorithm relies on computing voltage sensitivities while taking into account all the effects of discrete controllable elements in the circuit. Consequently, the proposed sensitivity model can accurately estimate the state of controllers at each time step and the number of control actions throughout the year. For the test case of a real distribution feeder with 2969 buses (5469 nodes), 6 load/PV time series power profiles, and 9 voltage regulating elements including controller delays, the proposed algorithm demonstrates a dramatic time reduction, more than 180 times faster than traditional QSTS techniques.

As PV penetration on the distribution system increases, there is growing concern about how much PV each feeder can handle. A total of 14 medium-voltage distributions feeders from two utilities have been analyzed in detail for their individual PV hosting capacity and the locational PV hosting capacity at all the buses on the feeder. This paper discusses methods for analyzing PV interconnections with advanced simulation methods to study feeder and location-specific impacts of PV to determine the locational PV hosting capacity and optimal siting of PV. Investigating the locational PV hosting capacity expands the conventional analytical methods that study only the worst-case PV scenario. Previous methods are also extended to include single-phase PV systems, especially focusing on long single-phase laterals. Finally, the benefits of smart inverters with volt-var is analyzed to demonstrate the improvements in hosting capacity.

Quasi-static time-series (QSTS) simulation provides an accurate method to determine the impact that new PV interconnections including control strategies would have on a distribution feeder. However, the QSTS computational time currently makes it impractical for use by the industry. A vector quantization approach [1- 2] leverages similarities in power flow solutions to avoid re-computing identical power flows resulting in significant time reduction. While previous work arbitrarily quantized similar power flow scenarios, this paper proposes a novel circuit-specific quantization algorithm to balance speed and accuracy. This sensitivity-based method effectively quantizes the power flow scenarios prior to running the quantized QSTS simulation. The results show vast computational time reduction while maintaining specified bounds for the error.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

High-resolution, quasi-static time series (QSTS) simulations are essential for modeling modern distribution systems with high-penetration of distributed energy resources (DER) in order to accurately simulate the time-dependent aspects of the system. Presently, QSTS simulations are too computationally intensive for widespread industry adoption. This paper proposes to simulate a portion of the year with QSTS and to use decision tree machine learning methods, random forests and boosting ensembles, to predict the voltage regulator tap changes for the remainder of the year, accurately reproducing the results of the time-consuming, brute-force, yearlong QSTS simulation. This research uses decision tree ensemble machine learning, applied for the first time to QSTS simulations, to produce high-accuracy QSTS results, up to 4x times faster than traditional methods.

Rapid and accurate quasi-static time series (QSTS) analysis is becoming increasingly important for distribution system analysis as the complexity of the distribution system intensifies with the addition of new types, and quantities, of distributed energy resources (DER). The expanding need for hosting capacity analysis, control systems analysis, photovoltaic (PV) and DER impact analysis, and maintenance cost estimations are just a few reasons that QSTS is necessary. Historically, QSTS analysis has been prohibitively slow due to the number of computations required for a full-year analysis. Therefore, new techniques are required that allow QSTS analysis to rapidly be performed for many different use cases. This research demonstrates a novel approach to doing rapid QSTS analysis for analyzing the number of voltage regulator tap changes in a distribution system with PV components. A representative portion of a yearlong dataset is selected and QSTS analysis is performed to determine the number of tap changes, and this is used as training data for a machine learning algorithm. The machine learning algorithm is then used to predict the number of tap changes in the remaining portion of the year not analyzed directly with QSTS. The predictions from the machine learning algorithms are combined with the results of the partial year simulation for a final prediction for the entire year, with the goal of maintaining an error <10% on the full-year prediction. Five different machine learning techniques were evaluated and compared with each other; a neural network ensemble, a random forest decision tree ensemble, a boosted decision tree ensemble, support vector machines, and a convolutional neural network deep learning technique. A combination of the neural network ensemble together with the random forest produced the best results. Using 20% of the year as training data, analyzed with QSTS, the average performance of the technique resulted in ~2.5% error in the yearly tap changes, while maintaining a <10% 99.9^th percentile error bound on the results. This is a 5x speedup compared to a standard, full-length QSTS simulation. These results demonstrate the potential for applying machine learning techniques to facilitate modern distribution system analysis and further integration of distributed energy resources into the power grid.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

The rapidly growing penetration levels of distributed photovoltaic (PV) systems requires more comprehensive studies to understand their impact on distribution feeders. IEEE P.1547 highlights the need for Quasi-Static Time Series (QSTS) simulation in conducting distribution impact studies for distributed resource interconnection. Unlike conventional scenario-based simulation, the time series simulation can realistically assess time-dependent impacts such as the operation of various controllable elements (e.g. voltage regulating tap changers) or impacts of power fluctuations. However, QSTS simulations are still not widely used in the industry because of the computational burden associated with running yearlong simulations at a 1-s granularity, which is needed to capture device controller effects responding to PV variability. This paper presents a novel algorithm that reduces the number of times that the non-linear 3-phase unbalanced AC power flow must be solved by storing and reassigning power flow solutions as it progresses through the simulation. Each unique power flow solution is defined by a set of factors affecting the solution that can easily be queried. We demonstrate a computational time reduction of 98.9% for a yearlong simulation at 1-s resolution with minimal errors for metrics including: number of tap changes, capacitor actions, highest and lowest voltage on the feeder, line losses, and ANSI voltage violations. The key contribution of this work is the formulation of an algorithm capable of: (i) drastically reducing the computational time of QSTS simulations, (ii) accurately modeling distribution system voltage-control elements with hysteresis, and (iii) efficiently compressing result time series data for post-simulation analysis.

Distribution system analysis with high penetrations of distributed energy resources (DER) requires quasi-static time-series (QSTS) analysis to capture the time-varying and time-dependent aspects of the system, but current QSTS algorithms are prohibitively burdensome and computationally intensive. This paper proposes a novel deviation-based algorithm to calculate the critical time periods when QSTS simulations should be solved at higher or lower time-resolution. This predetermined time-step (PT) solver is a new method of performing variable time-step simulations based solely on the input data. The PT solver demonstrates high accuracy while performing the simulation up to 20 times faster.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

The rapid increase in penetration of distributed energy resources on the electric power distribution system has created a need for more comprehensive interconnection modelling and impact analysis. Unlike conventional scenario - based studies , quasi - static time - series (QSTS) simulation s can realistically model time - dependent voltage controllers and the diversity of potential impacts that can occur at different times of year . However, to accurately model a distribution system with all its controllable devices, a yearlong simulation at 1 - second resolution is often required , which could take conventional computers a computational time of 10 to 120 hours when an actual unbalanced distribution feeder is modeled . This computational burden is a clear l imitation to the adoption of QSTS simulation s in interconnection studies and for determining optimal control solutions for utility operations . Our ongoing research to improve the speed of QSTS simulation has revealed many unique aspects of distribution system modelling and sequential power flow analysis that make fast QSTS a very difficult problem to solve. In this report , the most relevant challenges in reducing the computational time of QSTS simulations are presented: number of power flows to solve, circuit complexity, time dependence between time steps, multiple valid power flow solutions, controllable element interactions, and extensive accurate simulation analysis.

Abstract not provided.