Publications

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Induced seismicity is an inherent risk associated with geologic carbon storage (GCS) in deep rock formations that could contain undetected faults prone to failure. Modeling-based risk assessment has been implemented to quantify the potential of injection-induced seismicity, but typically simplified multiscale geologic features or neglected multiphysics coupled mechanisms because of the uncertainty in field data and computational cost of field-scale simulations, which may limit the reliable prediction of seismic hazard caused by industrial-scale CO2 storage. The degree of lateral continuity of the stratigraphic interbedding below the reservoir and depth-dependent fault permeability can enhance or inhibit pore-pressure diffusion and corresponding poroelastic stressing along a basement fault. This study presents a rigorous modeling scheme with optimal geological and operational parameters needed to be considered in seismic monitoring and mitigation strategies for safe GCS.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Polymer concrete (PC) has been used to replace cement concrete when harsh service conditions exist. Polymers have a high carbon footprint when considering their life cycle analysis, and with increased climate change concerns and the need to reduce greenhouse gas emission, bio-based polymers could be used as a sustainable alternative binder to produce PC. This paper examines the development and characterization of a novel bio-polymer concrete (BPC) using bio-based polyurethane used as the binder in lieu of cement, modified with benzoic acid and carboxyl-functionalized multi-walled carbon nanotubes (MWCNTs). The mechanical performance, durability, microstructure, and chemical properties of BPC are investigated. Moreover, the effect of the addition of benzoic acid and MWCNTs on the properties of BPC is studied. The new BPC shows relatively low density, appreciable compressive strength between 20–30 MPa, good tensile strength of 4 MPa, and excellent durability resistance against aggressive environments. The new BPC has a low carbon footprint, 50% lower than ordinary Portland cement concrete, and can provide a sustainable concrete alternative in infrastructural applications.

This study presents a method for constructing machine learning-based reduced order models (ROMs) that accurately simulate nonlinear contact problems while quantifying epistemic uncertainty. These purely non-intrusive ROMs significantly lower computational costs compared to traditional full order models (FOMs). The technique utilizes adversarial training combined with an ensemble of Barlow twins reduced order models (BT-ROMs) to maximize the information content of the nonlinear reduced manifolds. These lower-dimensional manifolds are equipped with Gaussian error estimates, allowing for quantifying epistemic uncertainty in the ROM predictions. The effectiveness of these ROMs, referred to as UQ-BT-ROMs, is demonstrated in the context of contact between a rigid indenter and a hyperelastic substrate under finite deformations. The ensemble of BT-ROMs improves accuracy and computational efficiency compared to existing alternatives. The relative error between the UQ-BT-ROM and FOM solutions ranges from approximately 3% to 8% across all benchmarks. Remarkably, this high level of accuracy is achieved at a significantly reduced computational cost compared to FOMs. For instance, the online phase of the UQ-BT-ROM takes only 0.001 seconds, while a single FOM evaluation requires 63 seconds. Furthermore, the error estimate produced by the UQ-BT-ROMs reasonably captures the errors in the ROMs, with increasing accuracy as training data increases. The ensemble approach improves accuracy and computational efficiency compared to existing alternatives. The UQ-BT-ROMs provide a cost-effective solution with significantly reduced computational times while maintaining a high level of accuracy.

Characterization of geologic heterogeneity at an enhanced geothermal system (EGS) is crucial for cost-effective stimulation planning and reliable heat production. With recent advances in computational power and sensor technology, large-scale fine-resolution simulations of coupled thermal-hydraulic-mechanical (THM) processes have been available. However, traditional large-scale inversion approaches have limited utility for sites with complex subsurface structures unless one can afford high, often computationally prohibitive, computations. Key computational burdens are predominantly associated with a number of large-scale coupled numerical simulations and large dense matrix multiplications derived from fine discretization of the field site domain and a large number of THM and chemical (THMC) measurements. In this work, we present deep-generative model-based Bayesian inversion methods for the computationally efficient and accurate characterization of EGS sites. Deep generative models are used to learn the approximate subsurface property (e.g., permeability, thermal conductivity, and elastic rock properties) distribution from multipoint geostatistics-derived training images or discrete fracture network models as a prior and accelerated stochastic inversion is performed on the low-dimensional latent space in a Bayesian framework. Numerical examples with synthetic permeability fields with fracture inclusions with THM data sets based on Utah FORGE geothermal site will be presented to test the accuracy, speed, and uncertainty quantification capability of our proposed joint data inversion method.

Migration of seismic events to deeper depths along basement faults over time has been observed in the wastewater injection sites, which can be correlated spatially and temporally to the propagation or retardation of pressure fronts and corresponding poroelastic response to given operation history. The seismicity rate model has been suggested as a physical indicator for the potential of earthquake nucleation along faults by quantifying poroelastic response to multiple well operations. Our field-scale model indicates that migrating patterns of 2015–2018 seismicity observed near Venus, TX are likely attributed to spatio-temporal evolution of Coulomb stressing rate constrained by the fault permeability. Even after reducing injection volumes since 2015, pore pressure continues to diffuse and steady transfer of elastic energy to the deep fault zone increases stressing rate consistently that can induce more frequent earthquakes at large distance scales. Sensitivity tests with variation in fault permeability show that (1) slow diffusion along a low-permeability fault limits earthquake nucleation near the injection interval or (2) rapid relaxation of pressure buildup within a high-permeability fault, caused by reducing injection volumes, may mitigate the seismic potential promptly.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Cement production for concrete has been responsible for ~7–8% of global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and nearly equally contribution for steel production processes (EPA, 2020). In order to achieve carbon neutrality by 2050, a novel solution has to be investigated. This project aims to develop fundamental mechanistic understanding and experimental characterization to create a 3D printable biopolymer concrete using plant-based polyurethane as an innovative and sustainable alternative for Portland cement concrete, with significantly low carbon footprint. Future construction will utilize the advances in digital additive manufacturing (3D printing) to produce optimal geometries with a minimum waste of materials. Understanding the polymerization process, factors impacting the composite rheology, and the structural behavior of this biopolymer concrete will enable us to engineer the next generation of concrete structures with low carbon footprint. This project aims to improve the nation’s ability to control Greenhouse Gas emission neutrality for the set goal of 2050 via introducing a structurally viable bio-based polymer concrete.

Accurate estimation of greenhouse gases (GHGs) emissions is very important for developing mitigation strategies to climate change by controlling and reducing GHG emissions. This project aims to develop multiple deep learning approaches to estimate anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions using multiple types of satellite data. NO2 concentration is chosen as an example of GHGs to evaluate the proposed approach. Two sentinel satellites (sentinel-2 and sentinel-5P) provide multiscale observations of GHGs from 10-60m resolution (sentinel-2) to ~kilometer scale resolution (sentinel-5P). Among multiple deep learning (DL) architectures evaluated, two best DL models demonstrate that key features of spatio-temporal satellite data and additional information (e.g., observation times and/or coordinates of ground stations) can be extracted using convolutional neural networks and feed forward neural networks, respectively. In particular, irregular time series data from different NO₂ observation stations limit the flexibility of long short-term memory architecture, requiring zero-padding to fill in missing data. However, deep neural operator (DNO) architecture can stack time-series data as input, providing the flexibility of input structure without zero-padding. As a result, the DNO outperformed other deep learning architectures to account for time-varying features. Overall, temporal patterns with smooth seasonal variations were predicted very well, while frequent fluctuation patterns were not predicted well. In addition, uncertainty quantification using conformal inference method is performed to account for prediction ranges. Overall, this research will lead to a new groundwork for estimating greenhouse gas concentrations using multiple satellite data to enhance our capability of tracking the cause of climate change and developing mitigation strategies.

Prediction of flow, transport, and deformation in fractured and porous media is critical to improving our scientific understanding of coupled thermal-hydrological-mechanical processes related to subsurface energy storage and recovery, nonproliferation, and nuclear waste storage. Especially, earth rock response to changes in pressure and stress has remained a critically challenging task. In this work, we advance computational capabilities for coupled processes in fractured and porous media using Sandia Sierra Multiphysics software through verification and validation problems such as poro-elasticity, elasto-plasticity and thermo-poroelasticity. We apply Sierra software for geologic carbon storage, fluid injection/extraction, and enhanced geothermal systems. We also significantly improve machine learning approaches through latent space and self-supervised learning. Additionally, we develop new experimental technique for evaluating dynamics of compacted soils at an intermediate scale. Overall, this project will enable us to systematically measure and control the earth system response to changes in stress and pressure due to subsurface energy activities.

Accurate modeling of subsurface flow and transport processes is vital as the prevalence of subsurface activities such as carbon sequestration, geothermal recovery, and nuclear waste disposal increases. Computational modeling of these problems leverages poroelasticity theory, which describes coupled fluid flow and mechanical deformation. Although fully coupled monolithic schemes are accurate for coupled problems, they can demand significant computational resources for large problems. In this work, a fixed stress scheme is implemented into the Sandia Sierra Multiphysics toolkit. Two implementation methods, along with the fully coupled method, are verified with one-dimensional (1D) Terzaghi, 2D Mandel, and 3D Cryer sphere benchmark problems. The impact of a range of material parameters and convergence tolerances on numerical accuracy and efficiency was evaluated. Overall the fixed stress schemes achieved acceptable numerical accuracy and efficiency compared to the fully coupled scheme. However, the accuracy of the fixed stress scheme tends to decrease with low permeable cases, requiring the finer tolerance to achieve a desired numerical accuracy. For the fully coupled scheme, high numerical accuracy was observed in most of cases except a low permeability case where an order of magnitude finer tolerance was required for accurate results. Finally, a two-layer Terzaghi problem and an injection–production well system were used to demonstrate the applicability of findings from the benchmark problems for more realistic conditions over a range of permeability. Simulation results suggest that the fixed stress scheme provides accurate solutions for all cases considered with the proper adjustment of the tolerance. This work clearly demonstrates the robustness of the fixed stress scheme for coupled poroelastic problems, while a cautious selection of numerical tolerance may be required under certain conditions with low permeable materials.

Abstract not provided.

Machine learning-based data-driven modeling can allow computationally efficient time-dependent solutions of PDEs, such as those that describe subsurface multiphysical problems. In this work, our previous approach (Kadeethum et al., 2021d) of conditional generative adversarial networks (cGAN) developed for the solution of steady-state problems involving highly heterogeneous material properties is extended to time-dependent problems by adopting the concept of continuous cGAN (CcGAN). The CcGAN that can condition continuous variables is developed to incorporate the time domain through either element-wise addition or conditional batch normalization. Moreover, this framework can handle training data that contain different timestamps and then predict timestamps that do not exist in the training data. As a numerical example, the transient response of the coupled poroelastic process is studied in two different permeability fields: Zinn & Harvey transformation and a bimodal transformation. The proposed CcGAN uses heterogeneous permeability fields as input parameters while pressure and displacement fields over time are model output. Our results show that the model provides sufficient accuracy with computational speed-up. This robust framework will enable us to perform real-time reservoir management and robust uncertainty quantification in poroelastic problems.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Large-scale CO2 sequestration into geological formations has been suggested to reduce CO2 emissions from industrial activities. However, much like enhanced geothermal stimulation and wastewater injection, CO2 sequestration has a potential to induce earthquake along weak faults, which can be considered a negative impact on safety and public opinion. This study shows the physical mechanisms of potential seismic hazards along basement faults driven by CO2 sequestration under variation in geological and operational constraints. Specifically we compare the poroelastic behaviors between multiphase flow and single-phase flow cases, highlighting specific needs of evaluating induced seismicity associated with CO2 sequestration. In contrast to single-phase injection scenario, slower migration of the CO2 plume than pressure pulse may delay accumulation of pressure and stress along basement faults that may not be mitigated immediately by shut-in of injection. The impact of multiphase flow system, therefore, needs to be considered for proper monitoring and mitigation strategies.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Natural convection in porous media is a highly nonlinear multiphysical problem relevant to many engineering applications (e.g., the process of CO₂ sequestration). Here, we extend and present a non-intrusive reduced order model of natural convection in porous media employing deep convolutional autoencoders for the compression and reconstruction and either radial basis function (RBF) interpolation or artificial neural networks (ANNs) for mapping parameters of partial differential equations (PDEs) on the corresponding nonlinear manifolds. To benchmark our approach, we also describe linear compression and reconstruction processes relying on proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) and ANNs. Further, we present comprehensive comparisons among different models through three benchmark problems. The reduced order models, linear and nonlinear approaches, are much faster than the finite element model, obtaining a maximum speed-up of 7 × 10⁶ because our framework is not bound by the Courant–Friedrichs–Lewy condition; hence, it could deliver quantities of interest at any given time contrary to the finite element model. Our model’s accuracy still lies within a relative error of 7% in the worst-case scenario. We illustrate that, in specific settings, the nonlinear approach outperforms its linear counterpart and vice versa. We hypothesize that a visual comparison between principal component analysis (PCA) and t-Distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE) could indicate which method will perform better prior to employing any specific compression strategy.

Injecting CO2 into a deep geological formation (i.e., geological carbon storage, GCS) can induce earthquakes along preexisting faults in the earth's upper crust. Seismic survey and regional geo-structure analysis are typically employed to map the faults prone to earthquakes prior to injection. However, earthquakes induced by fluid injection from other subsurface energy storage and recovery activities show that systematic evaluation of the potential of induced seismicity associated with GCS is necessary. This study mechanistically investigates how multiphysical interaction among injected CO2, preexisting pore fluids and rock matrix alters stress states on faults and which physical mechanisms can nucleate earthquakes along the faults. Increased injection pressure is needed to overcome capillary entry pressure of the fault zone, driven by the contrast of fluids' wetting characteristics. Accumulated CO2 within the reservoir delays post shut-in reduction in pressure and stress fields along the fault that may enhance the potential for earthquake nucleation after terminating injection operations. Elastic energy generated by coupled processes transfers to low-permeability or hydraulically isolated basement faults, which can initiate slip of the faults. Our findings from generic studies suggest that geomechanical simulations integrated with multiphase flow system are essential to detect deformation-driven signals and mitigate potential seismic hazards associated with CO2 injection.

We propose the use of balanced iterative reducing and clustering using hierarchies (BIRCH) combined with linear regression to predict the reduced Young's modulus and hardness of highly heterogeneous materials from a set of nanoindentation experiments. We first use BIRCH to cluster the dataset according to its mineral compositions, which are derived from the spectral matching of energy-dispersive spectroscopy data through the modular automated processing system (MAPS) platform. We observe that grouping our dataset into five clusters yields the best accuracy as well as a reasonable representation of mineralogy in each cluster. Subsequently, we test four types of regression models, namely linear regression, support vector regression, Gaussian process regression, and extreme gradient boosting regression. The linear regression and Gaussian process regression provide the most accurate prediction, and the proposed framework yields R2 = 0.93 for the test set. Although the study is needed more comprehensively, our results shows that machine learning methods such as linear regression or Gaussian process regression can be used to accurately estimate mechanical properties with a proper number of grouping based on compositional data.

Abstract not provided.

The earth texture with complex morphological geometry and compositions such as shale and carbonate rocks, is typically characterized with sparse field samples because of an expensive and time-consuming characterization process. Accordingly, generating arbitrary large size of the geological texture with similar topological structures at a low computation cost has become one of the key tasks for realistic geomaterial reconstruction and subsequent hydro-mechanical evaluation for science and engineering applications. Recently, generative adversarial neural networks (GANs) have demonstrated a potential of synthesizing input textural images and creating equiprobable geomaterial images for stochastic analysis of hydrogeological properties, for example, the feasibility of CO2 storage sites and exploration of unconventional resources. However, the texture synthesis with the GANs framework is often limited by the computational cost and scalability of the output texture size. In this study, we proposed a spatially assembled GANs (SAGANs) that can generate output images of an arbitrary large size regardless of the size of training images with computational efficiency. The performance of the SAGANs was evaluated with two and three dimensional (2D and 3D) rock image samples widely used in geostatistical reconstruction of the earth texture and Lattice-Boltzmann (LB) simulations were performed to compare pore-scale flow patterns and upscaled permeabilities of training and generated geomaterial images. We demonstrate SAGANs can generate the arbitrary large size of statistical realizations with connectivity and structural properties and flow characteristics similar to training images, and also can generate a variety of realizations even on a single training image. In addition, the computational time was significantly improved compared to standard GANs frameworks.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Stochastic network modeling is often limited by high computational costs to generate a large number of networks enough for meaningful statistical evaluation. In this study, Deep Convolutional Generative Adversarial Networks (DCGANs) were applied to quickly reproduce drainage networks from the already generated network samples without repetitive long modeling of the stochastic network model, Gibb’s model. In particular, we developed a novel connectivity-informed method that converts the drainage network images to the directional information of flow on each node of the drainage network, and then transforms it into multiple binary layers where the connectivity constraints between nodes in the drainage network are stored. DCGANs trained with three different types of training samples were compared; (1) original drainage network images, (2) their corresponding directional information only, and (3) the connectivity-informed directional information. A comparison of generated images demonstrated that the novel connectivity-informed method outperformed the other two methods by training DCGANs more effectively and better reproducing accurate drainage networks due to its compact representation of the network complexity and connectivity. This work highlights that DCGANs can be applicable for high contrast images common in earth and material sciences where the network, fractures, and other high contrast features are important.

Greater utilization of subsurface reservoirs perturbs in-situ chemical-mechanical conditions with wide ranging consequences from decreased performance to project failure. Understanding the chemical precursors to rock deformation is critical to reducing the risks of these activities. To address this need, we investigated the coupled flow-dissolution- precipitation-adsorption reactions involving calcite and environmentally-relevant solid phases. Experimentally, we quantified (1) stable isotope fractionation processes for strontium during calcite nucleation and growth, and during reactive fluid flow; (2) consolidation behavior of calcite assemblages in the common brines. Numerically, we quantified water weakening of calcite using molecular dynamics simulations; and quantified the impact of calcite dissolution rate on macroscopic fracturing using finite element models. With microfluidic experiments and modeling, we show the effect of local flow fields on the dissolution kinetics of calcite. Taken together across a wide range of scales and methods, our studies allow us to separate the effects of reaction, flow, and transport, on calcite fracturing and the evolution of strontium isotopic signatures in the reactive fluids.

Subsurface energy activities such as unconventional resource recovery, enhanced geothermal energy systems, and geologic carbon storage require fast and reliable methods to account for complex, multiphysical processes in heterogeneous fractured and porous media. Although reservoir simulation is considered the industry standard for simulating these subsurface systems with injection and/or extraction operations, reservoir simulation requires spatio-temporal “Big Data” into the simulation model, which is typically a major challenge during model development and computational phase. In this work, we developed and applied various deep neural network-based approaches to (1) process multiscale image segmentation, (2) generate ensemble members of drainage networks, flow channels, and porous media using deep convolutional generative adversarial network, (3) construct multiple hybrid neural networks such as convolutional LSTM and convolutional neural network-LSTM to develop fast and accurate reduced order models for shale gas extraction, and (4) physics-informed neural network and deep Q-learning for flow and energy production. We hypothesized that physicsbased machine learning/deep learning can overcome the shortcomings of traditional machine learning methods where data-driven models have faltered beyond the data and physical conditions used for training and validation. We improved and developed novel approaches to demonstrate that physics-based ML can allow us to incorporate physical constraints (e.g., scientific domain knowledge) into ML framework. Outcomes of this project will be readily applicable for many energy and national security problems that are particularly defined by multiscale features and network systems.

Using a combination of geospatial machine learning prediction and sediment thermodynamic/physical modeling, we have developed a novel software workflow to create probabilistic maps of geoacoustic and geomechanical sediment properties of the global seabed. This new technique for producing reliable estimates of seafloor properties can better support Naval operations relying on sonar performance and seabed strength, can constrain models of shallow tomographic structure important for nuclear treaty compliance monitoring/detection, and can provide constraints on the distribution and inventory of shallow methane gas and gas hydrate accumulations on the continental shelves.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

High and low salinity water flooding are common oil recovery processes performed in the oil fields for extracting crude oil from the reservoir. These processes are often performed sequentially, naturally establishing non-uniform salinity in the porous subsurface. In this article, we investigate oil transport in porous media induced by salinity change upon flooding with high and low salinity water. As we observe a large number of impervious dead-ends from three-dimensional imaging of the actual reservoir, we identify that these areas play an important role in oil recovery where the oil transport is governed by the salinity change rather than hydrodynamics. The salinity gradients induced upon high salinity water flooding provide pathways to enhance the transport of oil drops trapped in the dead-end regions via non-equilibrium effects. However, above a critical salinity, we observe a rapid aggregation of drops that lead to the complete blockage of the pore space, thereby inhibiting oil recovery. We also find that, at an intermediate salinity where the drop aggregation is modest, the aggregation rather promotes the oil recovery. Our observations suggest that there exist optimal salinity conditions for maximizing oil recovery during chemical flooding.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Estimation of permeability in porous media is fundamental to understanding coupled multi-physics processes critical to various geoscience and environmental applications. Recent emerging machine learning methods with physics-based constraints and/or physical properties can provide a new means to improve computational efficiency while improving machine learning-based prediction by accounting for physical information during training. Here we first used three-dimensional (3D) real rock images to estimate permeability of fractured and porous media using 3D convolutional neural networks (CNNs) coupled with physics-informed pore topology characteristics (e.g., porosity, surface area, connectivity) during the training stage. Training data of permeability were generated using lattice Boltzmann simulations of segmented real rock 3D images. Our preliminary results show that neural network architecture and usage of physical properties strongly impact the accuracy of permeability predictions. In the future we can adjust our methodology to other rock types by choosing the appropriate architecture and proper physical properties, and optimizing the hyperparameters.

Anisotropy in the mechanical properties of rock is often attributed to bedding and mineral texture. Here, we use 3D printed synthetic rock to show that, in addition to bedding layers, mineral fabric orientation governs sample strength, surface roughness and fracture path under mixed mode I and II three point bending tests (3PB). Arrester (horizontal layering) and short traverse (vertical layering) samples were printed with different notch locations to compare pure mode I induced fractures to mixed mode I and II fracturing. For a given sample type, the location of the notch affected the intensity of mode II loading, and thus affected the peak failure load and fracture path. When notches were printed at the same location, crack propagation, peak failure load and fracture surface roughness were found to depend on both the layer and mineral fabric orientations. The uniqueness of the induced fracture path and roughness is a potential method for the assessment of the orientation and relative bonding strengths of minerals in a rock. With this information, we will be able to predict isotropic or anisotropic flow rates through fractures which is vital to induced fracturing, geothermal energy production and CO2 sequestration.

Anisotropy in the mechanical properties of rock is often attributed to bedding and mineral texture. Here, we use 3D printed synthetic rock to show that, in addition to bedding layers, mineral fabric orientation governs sample strength, surface roughness and fracture path under mixed mode I and II three point bending tests (3PB). Arrester (horizontal layering) and short traverse (vertical layering) samples were printed with different notch locations to compare pure mode I induced fractures to mixed mode I and II fracturing. For a given sample type, the location of the notch affected the intensity of mode II loading, and thus affected the peak failure load and fracture path. When notches were printed at the same location, crack propagation, peak failure load and fracture surface roughness were found to depend on both the layer and mineral fabric orientations. The uniqueness of the induced fracture path and roughness is a potential method for the assessment of the orientation and relative bonding strengths of minerals in a rock. With this information, we will be able to predict isotropic or anisotropic flow rates through fractures which is vital to induced fracturing, geothermal energy production and CO2 sequestration.

Abstract not provided.

Coupled poroelastic stressing and pore-pressure accumulation along pre-existing faults in deep basement contribute to recent occurrence of seismic events at subsurface energy exploration sites. Our coupled fluid-flow and geomechanical model describes the physical processes inducing seismicity corresponding to the sequential stimulation operations in Pohang, South Korea. Simulation results show that prolonged accumulation of poroelastic energy and pore pressure along a fault can nucleate seismic events larger than Mw3 even after terminating well operations. In particular the possibility of large seismic events can be increased by multiple-well operations with alternate injection and extraction that can enhance the degree of pore-pressure diffusion and subsequent stress transfer through a rigid and low-permeability rock to the fault. This study demonstrates that the proper mechanistic model and optimal well operations need to be accounted for to mitigate unexpected seismic hazards in the presence of the site-specific uncertainty such as hidden/undetected faults and stress regime.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.

Recent observations of seismic events at the subsurface energy exploration sites show that spatial and temporal correlations sometimes do not match the spatial order of the known or detected fault location from the injection well. This study investigates the coupled flow and geomechanical control on the patterns of induced seismicity along multiple basement faults that show an unusual spatiotemporal relation with induced seismicity occurring in the far field first, followed by the near field. Two possible geological scenarios considered are (1) the presence of conductive hydraulic pathway within the basement connected to the distant fault (hydraulic connectivity) and (2) no hydraulic pathway, but the coexistence of faults with mixed polarity (favorability to slip) as observed at Azle, TX. Based on the Coulomb stability analysis and seismicity rate estimates, simulation results show that direct pore pressure diffusion through a hydraulic pathway to the distant fault can generate a larger number of seismicity than along the fault close to the injection well. Prior to pore pressure diffusion, elastic stress transfer can initiate seismic activity along the favorably oriented fault, even at the longer distance to the well, which may explain the deep 2013–2014 Azle earthquake sequences. This study emphasizes that hydrological and geomechanical features of faults will locally control poroelastic coupling mechanisms, potentially influencing the spatiotemporal pattern of injection-induced seismicity, which can be used to infer subsurface architecture of fault/fracture networks.