Publications

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Understanding subsurface fracture network properties at the field scale is important for a number of environmental and economic problems, including siting of spent nuclear fuel repositories, geothermal exploration, and many others. This typically encompasses large volumes of fractured rocks with the properties inferred from the observations at rock outcrops and, if available, from the measurements in exploratory boreholes, quarries, and tunnels. These data are inherently spatially limited and a stochastic model is required to extrapolate the fracture properties over the large volumes of rocks. This study (1) describes three different methods of generating fracture networks developed for use in the fractured continuum model (FCM) and (2) provides a few examples of how these methods impact the predictions of simulated groundwater transport. A detailed analysis of the transport simulations using FCM is provided in the separate paper by the same authors (to be presented at IHLRWM 2017 conference). FCM is based on the effective continuum approaches modified to represent fractures. The permeability of discrete fractures is mapped onto a regular three-dimensional grid. The x-, y-, and z effective permeability values of a grid block are calculated from the tensor. The tensor parameters are fracture aperture, dip, strike, and number of fractures in the grid block (spacing). All three methods use the fracture properties listed above to generate corresponding permeability fields. However, the assumptions and conceptual representation of fracture network from which these properties are derived are very different. The Sequential Gaussian Simulation (SGSim) method does not require an assumption regarding the fracture shape. Fracture aperture, spacing, and orientation are defined based on the field observations. Spatially correlated features (continuation of fracture in the direction of the orientation) are created using spatially correlated random numbers generated with SGSIM code. With this method an exact number of fractures cannot be generated. The Ellipsim method assumes that the fractures are two-dimensional elliptical shapes that can be described with radius and aspect ratio. The knowledge of the fracture (ellipse) radius probability distribution is required. The fracture aperture is calculated from the ellipse radius. For this option an exact number of fractures can be generated. The fracture networks generated with SGSim and Ellipsim are not necessarily connected. The connectivity is achieved indirectly via matrix permeability that can be viewed as the permeability of much smaller fractions. The discrete fracture network (DFN) generator assumes elliptical fracture shapes and requires the same parameters as Ellipsim. The principal difference is in connectivity. The DFN method creates the fracture network connectivity via an iterative process in which not connected clusters of fractures are removed. The permeability fields were generated with FCM using three different methods and the same fracture data set loosely based on the data from an existing site in granite rocks. A few examples of transport simulations are provided to demonstrate the major findings of the comparison.

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As the title suggests, this report provides a summary of the status and progress for the Preliminary Design Concepts Work Package. Described herein are design concepts and thermal analysis for crystalline and salt host media. The report concludes that thermal management of defense waste, including the relatively small subset of high thermal output waste packages, is readily achievable. Another important conclusion pertains to engineering feasibility, and design concepts presented herein are based upon established and existing elements and/or designs. The multipack configuration options for the crystalline host media pose the greatest engineering challenges, as these designs involve large, heavy waste packages that pose specific challenges with respect to handling and emplacement. Defense-related Spent Nuclear Fuel (DSNF) presents issues for post-closure criticality control, and a key recommendation made herein relates to the need for special packaging design that includes neutron-absorbing material for the DSNF. Lastly, this report finds that the preliminary design options discussed are tenable for operational and post-closure safety, owing to the fact that these concepts have been derived from other published and well-studied repository designs.

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Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) continued evaluation of total system performance assessment (TSPA) computing systems for the previously considered Yucca Mountain Project (YMP). This was done to maintain the operational readiness of the computing infrastructure (computer hardware and software) and knowledge capability for total system performance assessment (TSPA) type analysis, as directed by the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), DOE 2010. This work is a continuation of the ongoing readiness evaluation reported in Lee and Hadgu (2014) and Hadgu et al. (2015). The TSPA computing hardware (CL2014) and storage system described in Hadgu et al. (2015) were used for the current analysis. One floating license of GoldSim with Versions 9.60.300, 10.5 and 11.1.6 was installed on the cluster head node, and its distributed processing capability was mapped on the cluster processors. Other supporting software were tested and installed to support the TSPA-type analysis on the server cluster. The current tasks included verification of the TSPA-LA uncertainty and sensitivity analyses, and preliminary upgrade of the TSPA-LA from Version 9.60.300 to the latest version 11.1. All the TSPA-LA uncertainty and sensitivity analyses modeling cases were successfully tested and verified for the model reproducibility on the upgraded 2014 server cluster (CL2014). The uncertainty and sensitivity analyses used TSPA-LA modeling cases output generated in FY15 based on GoldSim Version 9.60.300 documented in Hadgu et al. (2015). The model upgrade task successfully converted the Nominal Modeling case to GoldSim Version 11.1. Upgrade of the remaining of the modeling cases and distributed processing tasks will continue. The 2014 server cluster and supporting software systems are fully operational to support TSPA-LA type analysis.

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Modeling of heat extraction in Enhanced Geothermal Systems is presented. The study builds on recent studies on the use of directional wells to improve heat transfer between doublet injection and production wells. The current study focuses on the influence of fracture orientation on production temperature in deep low permeability geothermal systems, and the effects of directional drilling and separation distance between boreholes on heat extraction. The modeling results indicate that fracture orientation with respect to the well-pair plane has significant influence on reservoir thermal drawdown. The vertical well doublet is impacted significantly more than the horizontal well doublet.

The Bureau of Land Management (BLM), US Department of the Interior has asked Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) to perform scientific studies relevant to technical issues that arise in the development of co-located resources of potash and petroleum in southeastern New Mexico in the Secretary’s Potash Area. The BLM manages resource development, issues permits and interacts with the State of New Mexico in the process of developing regulations, in an environment where many issues are disputed by industry stakeholders. The present report is a deliverable of the study of the potential for gas migration from a wellbore to a mine opening in the event of wellbore leakage, a risk scenario about which there is disagreement among stakeholders and little previous site specific analysis. One goal of this study was to develop a framework that required collaboratively developed inputs and analytical approaches in order to encourage stakeholder participation and to employ ranges of data values and scenarios. SNL presents here a description of a basic risk assessment (RA) framework that will fulfill the initial steps of meeting that goal. SNL used the gas migration problem to set up example conceptual models, parameter sets and computer models and as a foundation for future development of RA to support BLM resource development.

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At the initiation of the Used Fuel Disposition (UFD) R&D campaign, international geologic disposal programs and past work in the U.S. were surveyed to identify viable disposal concepts for crystalline, clay/shale, and salt host media. Concepts for disposal of commercial spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level waste (HLW) from reprocessing are relatively advanced in countries such as Finland, France, and Sweden. The UFD work quickly showed that these international concepts are all “enclosed,” whereby waste packages are emplaced in direct or close contact with natural or engineered materials . Alternative “open” modes (emplacement tunnels are kept open after emplacement for extended ventilation) have been limited to the Yucca Mountain License Application Design. Thermal analysis showed that if “enclosed” concepts are constrained by peak package/buffer temperature, that waste package capacity is limited to 4 PWR assemblies (or 9 BWR) in all media except salt. This information motivated separate studies: 1) extend the peak temperature tolerance of backfill materials, which is ongoing; and 2) develop small canisters (up to 4-PWR size) that can be grouped in larger multi-pack units for convenience of storage, transportation, and possibly disposal (should the disposal concept permit larger packages). A recent result from the second line of investigation is the Task Order 18 report: Generic Design for Small Standardized Transportation, Aging and Disposal Canister Systems. This report identifies disposal concepts for the small canisters (4-PWR size) drawing heavily on previous work, and for the multi-pack (16-PWR or 36-BWR).

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At the initiation of the Used Fuel Disposition (UFD) R&D campaign, international geologic disposal programs and past work in the U.S. were surveyed to identify viable disposal concepts for crystalline, clay/shale, and salt host media (Hardin et al., 2012). Concepts for disposal of commercial spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level waste (HLW) from reprocessing are relatively advanced in countries such as Finland, France, and Sweden. The UFD work quickly showed that these international concepts are all “enclosed,” whereby waste packages are emplaced in direct or close contact with natural or engineered materials . Alternative “open” modes (emplacement tunnels are kept open after emplacement for extended ventilation) have been limited to the Yucca Mountain License Application Design (CRWMS M&O, 1999). Thermal analysis showed that, if “enclosed” concepts are constrained by peak package/buffer temperature, waste package capacity is limited to 4 PWR assemblies (or 9-BWR) in all media except salt. This information motivated separate studies: 1) extend the peak temperature tolerance of backfill materials, which is ongoing; and 2) develop small canisters (up to 4-PWR size) that can be grouped in larger multi-pack units for convenience of storage, transportation, and possibly disposal (should the disposal concept permit larger packages). A recent result from the second line of investigation is the Task Order 18 report: Generic Design for Small Standardized Transportation, Aging and Disposal Canister Systems (EnergySolution, 2015). This report identifies disposal concepts for the small canisters (4-PWR size) drawing heavily on previous work, and for the multi-pack (16-PWR or 36-BWR).

Simulations of thermal-hydrology were carried out for the emplacement of spent nuclear fuel canisters and cesium and strontium capsules using the PFLOTRAN simulator. For the cesium and strontium capsules the analysis looked at disposal options such as different disposal configurations and surface aging of waste to reduce thermal effects. The simulations studied temperature and fluid flux in the vicinity of the borehole. Simulation results include temperature and vertical flux profiles around the borehole at selected depths. Of particular importance are peak temperature increases, and fluxes at the top of the disposal zone. Simulations of cesium and strontium capsule disposal predict that surface aging and/or emplacement of the waste at the top of the disposal zone reduces thermal effects and vertical fluid fluxes. Smaller waste canisters emplaced over a longer disposal zone create the smallest thermal effect and vertical fluid fluxes no matter the age of the waste or depth of emplacement.

This report examines the technical elements necessary to evaluate EBS concepts and perform thermal analysis of DOE-Managed SNF and HLW in the disposal settings of primary interest – argillite, crystalline, salt, and deep borehole. As the disposal design concept is composed of waste inventory, geologic setting, and engineered concept of operation, the engineered barrier system (EBS) falls into the last component of engineered concept of operation. The waste inventory for DOE-Managed HLW and SNF is closely examined, with specific attention to the number of waste packages, the size of waste packages, and the thermal output per package. As expected, the DOE-Managed HLW and SNF inventory has a much smaller volume, and hence smaller number of canisters, as well a lower thermal output, relative to a waste inventory that would include commercial spent nuclear fuel (CSNF). A survey of available data and methods from previous studies of thermal analysis indicates that, in some cases, thermo-hydrologic modeling will be necessary to appropriately address the problem. This report also outlines scope for FY16 work -- a key challenge identified is developing a methodology to effectively and efficiently evaluate EBS performance in each disposal setting on the basis of thermal analyses results.

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This report is one follow-on to a study of reference geologic disposal design concepts (Hardin et al. 2011a). Based on an analysis of maximum temperatures, that study concluded that certain disposal concepts would require extended decay storage prior to emplacement, or the use of small waste packages, or both. The study used nominal values for thermal properties of host geologic media and engineered materials, demonstrating the need for uncertainty analysis to support the conclusions. This report is a first step that identifies the input parameters of the maximum temperature calculation, surveys published data on measured values, uses an analytical approach to determine which parameters are most important, and performs an example sensitivity analysis. Using results from this first step, temperature calculations planned for FY12 can focus on only the important parameters, and can use the uncertainty ranges reported here. The survey of published information on thermal properties of geologic media and engineered materials, is intended to be sufficient for use in generic calculations to evaluate the feasibility of reference disposal concepts. A full compendium of literature data is beyond the scope of this report. The term “uncertainty” is used here to represent both measurement uncertainty and spatial variability, or variability across host geologic units. For the most important parameters (e.g., buffer thermal conductivity) the extent of literature data surveyed samples these different forms of uncertainty and variability. Finally, this report is intended to be one chapter or section of a larger FY12 deliverable summarizing all the work on design concepts and thermal load management for geologic disposal (M3FT-12SN0804032, due 15Aug2012).

Deep Borehole Disposal (DBD) of high-level radioactive wastes has been considered an option for geological isolation for many years (Hess et al. 1957). Recent advances in drilling technology have decreased costs and increased reliability for large-diameter (i.e., ≥50 cm [19.7”]) boreholes to depths of several kilometers (Beswick 2008; Beswick et al. 2014). These advances have therefore also increased the feasibility of the DBD concept (Brady et al. 2009; Cornwall 2015), and the current field test, introduced herein, is a demonstration of the DBD concept and these advances.

Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) conducted an evaluation of total system performance assessment (TSPA) related computing systems for the previously considered Yucca Mountain Project (YMP). This was done to maintain the operational readiness of the computing infrastructure (computer hardware and software) and knowledge capability for total system performance assessment (TSPA) type analysis, as directed by the National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), DOE 2010. This work is a continuation of the ongoing readiness evaluation reported in Lee and Hadgu (2014). The current work examined main components of the computing system identified in the previous work (Lee and Hadgu, 2014) to ensure the operational readiness of the TSPA-LA model capability on the server cluster. The TSPA computing hardware and storage system were replaced in late 2014 to maintain core capability and improve computation efficiency. One floating license of GoldSim Version 9.60.300 was installed on the upgraded cluster head node, and its distributed processing capability was mapped on the cluster processors. Other supporting software was tested and installed to support the TSPA-type analysis on the server cluster. All the TSPA-LA modeling cases were tested and verified for the model reproducibility on the upgraded 2014 server cluster (CL2014). All test runs were executed on multiple processors on the server cluster utilizing the GoldSim distributed processing capability, and all runs completed successfully. The model reproducibility verification was evaluated by two approaches: numerical value comparison and graphical comparison. The analysis demonstrated an excellent reproducibility of the TSPA-LA model runs on the upgraded server cluster. The 2014 server cluster and supporting software systems are fully operational to support TSPA- LA type analysis.

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Deep Borehole Disposal (DBD) of high-level radioactive wastes has been considered an option for geological isolation for many years (Hess et al. 1957). Recent advances in drilling technology have decreased costs and increased reliability for large-diameter (i.e., ≥50 cm [19.7”]) boreholes to depths of several kilometers (Beswick 2008). These advances have therefore also increased the feasibility of the DBD concept (Brady et al. 2009), and the current field test, introduced herein, is a demonstration of the DBD concept and these advances. The US Department of Energy (DOE) Strategy for the Management and Disposal of Used Nuclear Fuel and High-Level Radioactive Waste (DOE 2013) specifically recommended developing a research and development plan for DBD as a key strategy objective. DOE’s Assessment of Disposal Options for DOE-Managed High-Level Radioactive Waste and Spent Nuclear Fuel (DOE 2014a) concludes “effective implementation of a strategy for management and disposal of all High-Level Waste and Spent Nuclear Fuel” would include focused research on deep boreholes, especially to retain flexible options for disposal of physically smaller DOEmanaged solid radioactive waste forms. More information regarding the characteristics, quantities, and sizes of these physically smaller waste forms is in the Evaluation of Options for Permanent Geologic Disposal of Spent Nuclear Fuel and High-Level Radioactive Waste (SNL 2014).

This study has evaluated the technical feasibility of direct disposal in a geologic repository, of commercial spent nuclear fuel (SNF) in dual-purpose canisters (DPCs) of existing designs. The authors, representing several national laboratories, considered waste isolation safety, engineering feasibility, thermal management, and postclosure criticality control. The 3-year study concludes that direct disposal is technically feasible for most DPCs, depending on the repository host geology. Postclosure criticality control, and thermal management strategies that allow permanent disposal within 150 years, are two of the most challenging aspects. This document summarizes technical results from a series of previous reports, and describes additional studies that can be done especially if site-specific information becomes available from one or more prospective repository sites.

This report provides two sets of calculations not presented in previous reports on the technical feasibility of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) disposal directly in dual-purpose canisters (DPCs): 1) thermal calculations for reference disposal concepts using larger 37-PWR size DPC-based waste packages, and 2) analysis and thermal calculations for underground vault-type storage and eventual disposal of DPCs. The reader is referred to the earlier reports (Hardin et al. 2011, 2012, 2013; Hardin and Voegele 2013) for contextual information on DPC direct disposal alternatives.

Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) was tasked to conduct an evaluation of the legacy computing systems of the now-closed Yucca Mountain Project (YMP) to maintain the operational readiness of the computing infrastructure (computer hardware and software) and knowledge capability for total system performance assessment (TSPA) type analysis, in the event that the License Application (LA) review by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (NRC) is re-started and involves additional requests for information (RAIs). Six problem areas or components of the computing system were identified and subsequently resolved or improved to ensure the operational readiness of the TSPA-LA model capability on the server cluster. As part of this readiness review, the legacy TSPA computational cluster that was relocated from the SNL YMP Lead Lab Project Office in Las Vegas, Nevada to the SNL offices in Albuquerque, New Mexico was replaced with new hardware. Three floating licenses of Goldsim Version 9.60.300 were installed on the new cluster head node, and its distributed processing capability was mapped on the cluster processors. Other supporting software was tested and installed to support the TSPA- type analysis on the server cluster. TSPA-LA modeling cases were tested and verified for the model reproducibility on the current server cluster. All test runs were executed on multiple processors on the server cluster utilizing the Goldsim distributed processing capability, and all runs were completed successfully. The model reproducibility verification was evaluated by two approaches: numerical value comparison and graphical comparison, and the analysis demonstrated an excellent reproducibility of the TSPA-LA model runs on the server cluster. The current server cluster and supporting software systems are fully operational to support TSPA-LA type analysis.

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The use of integrated probabilistic risk assessment tools to evaluate the barrier capability of a natural barrier system (NBS) in a nuclear waste repository is presented. The integrated risk assessment tools encompass highly detailed process models for flow and transport, probabilistic performance assessment (PA), and database management. In this paper development of an integrated tool for the modeling of far-field radionuclide transport in a generic salt repository is discussed. The tool was developed by wrapping the flow and transport reservoir simulator (FEHM) with the uncertainty quantification and optimization code (DAKOTA).

Research on deep borehole disposal of high-level radioactive waste has indicated that the deep borehole disposal concept is a viable potential alternative to a mined repository system. Previous modeling indicates that thermally induced fluid flow associated with heat from the waste has the greatest potential for the upward transport of dissolved radionuclides. An updated thermal-hydrologic model of a deep borehole disposal system is constructed using a recently developed reference design, incorporating a more realistic heterogeneous representation of the hydrogeological system with depth-varying permeability and thermal conductivity, coupled stratification of salinity and fluid density, and arrays of up to 81 disposal boreholes. Results show that peak temperatures near the borehole occur within 20 years of disposal, with an extended period of elevated temperatures beyond 10, 000 years and a second, lower peak in temperature near the center of larger borehole arrays. Simulated vertical upward groundwater flux in the borehole and disturbed rock zone occurs in the waste disposal zone and overlying seal zone at greatest magnitude for about 100 years, but persists for an extended period of time. The persistence of simulated vertical groundwater flow beyond 1, 000 years increases with the number of disposal boreholes in the array. This persistence in flow may have important implications for the maximum number of disposal boreholes that could be safely emplaced at a single site.

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Deep boreholes have been proposed for many decades as an option for permanent disposal of high-level radioactive waste and spent nuclear fuel. Disposal concepts are straightforward, and generally call for drilling boreholes to a depth of four to five kilometers (or more) into crystalline basement rocks. Waste is placed in the lower portion of the hole, and the upper several kilometers of the hole are sealed to provide effective isolation from the biosphere. The potential for excellent long-term performance has been recognized in many previous studies. This paper reports updated results of what is believed to be the first quantitative analysis of releases from a hypothetical disposal borehole repository using the same performance assessment methodology applied to mined geologic repositories for high-level radioactive waste. Analyses begin with a preliminary consideration of a comprehensive list of potentially relevant features, events, and processes (FEPs) and the identification of those FEPs that appear to be most likely to affect long-term performance in deep boreholes. The release pathway selected for preliminary performance assessment modeling is thermally-driven flow and radionuclide transport upwards from the emplacement zone through the borehole seals or the surrounding annulus of disturbed rock. Estimated radionuclide releases from deep borehole disposal of spent nuclear fuel, and the annual radiation doses to hypothetical future humans associated with those releases, are extremely small, indicating that deep boreholes may be a viable alternative to mined repositories for disposal of both high-level radioactive waste and spent nuclear fuel. © 2012 Materials Research Society.

This work develops a new approach for generating stochastic permeability fields from complex three-dimensional fracture networks to support physical and economic performance analyses of enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). The approach represents multiple fracture sets with different dips, orientations, apertures, spacing, and lengths by homogenizing discrete fracture permeabilities onto a regular grid using continuum methods. A previously developed algorithm is used for combining multiple fracture sets at arbitrary orientations into a full anisotropic permeability tensor for every grid block. Fracture properties for each grid cell can either be independently specified or spatially correlated using a variety of probability distributions. The generated stochastic permeability fields are used in mass and heat transport models to represent a variety of complex fracture networks to provide realistic simulations of long-term thermal performance.

This work develops a new approach for generating stochastic permeability fields from complex three-dimensional fracture networks to support physical and economic performance analyses of enhanced geothermal systems (EGS). The approach represents multiple fracture sets with different dips, orientations, apertures, spacing, and lengths by homogenizing discrete fracture permeabilities onto a regular grid using continuum methods. A previously developed algorithm is used for combining multiple fracture sets at arbitrary orientations into a full anisotropic permeability tensor for every grid block. Fracture properties for each grid cell can either be independently specified or spatially correlated using a variety of probability distributions. The generated stochastic permeability fields are used in mass and heat transport models to represent a variety of complex fracture networks to provide realistic simulations of long-term thermal performance.

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