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Energy Resilience for Mission Assurance: Case Study Scoping Document

Eddy, John P.; Garrett, Richard A.; Scott, Heather R.; Jenket, Donald; Zlotnik, Anatoly; Carvallo, Juan P.; Khair, Lauren K.; Hart, David

The Energy Resilience for Mission Assurance (ERMA) project—a Department of Energy Grid Modernization Lab Consortium effort carried out via a partnership among five national laboratories— seeks to develop metrics to quantify how improvements to energy system resilience translate to improved Department of Defense (DoD) mission assurance (MA) during wide-scale, long-duration outages of the bulk power system. DoD missions are integral to national security and highly dependent on electric power. However, energy system planners—both civilian and military—lack a clear and quantifiable mapping between electric power system resilience and MA, leaving a gap in their ability to understand and consider national security outcomes within their planning efforts. The ERMA project seeks to fill this gap, providing stakeholders with new capabilities to understand the impact of electric power system resilience on MA during hazard scenarios.

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2023 Annual Report of Available Drawdowns for Each Oil Storage Cavern in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve

Hart, David

DOE maintains an up-to-date documentation of the number of available full drawdowns of each of the caverns at the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). This information is important for assessing the SPR’s ability to deliver oil to domestic oil companies expeditiously if national or world events dictate a rapid sale and deployment of the oil reserves. Sandia was directed to develop and implement a process to continuously assess and report the evolution of drawdown capacity, the subject of this report. This report covers impacts on drawdown availability due to SPR operations during Calendar Year 2022. A cavern has an available drawdown if, after that drawdown, the long-term stability of the cavern, the cavern field, or the oil quality are not compromised. Thus, determining the number of available drawdowns requires the consideration of several factors regarding cavern and wellbore integrity and stability, including stress states caused by cavern geometry and operations, salt damage caused by dilatant and tensile stresses, the effect of enhanced creep on wellbore integrity, and the sympathetic stress effect of operations on neighboring caverns. Finite-element geomechanical models have been used to determine the stress states in the pillars following successive drawdowns. By computing the tensile and dilatant stresses in the salt, areas of potential structural instability can be identified that may represent red flags for additional drawdowns. These analyses have found that many caverns will maintain structural integrity even when grown via drawdowns to dimensions resulting in a pillar-to-diameter ratio of less than 1.0. The analyses have also confirmed that certain caverns should only be completely drawn down one time. As the SPR caverns are utilized and partial drawdowns are performed to remove oil from the caverns (e.g., for oil sales, purchases, or exchanges authorized by the Congress or the President), the changes to the cavern caused by these procedures must be tracked and accounted for so that an ongoing assessment of the cavern’s drawdown capacity may be continued. A methodology for assessing and tracking the available drawdowns for each cavern is reiterated. This report is the latest in a series of annual reports, and it includes the baseline available drawdowns for each cavern, and the most recent assessment of the evolution of drawdown expenditures. A total of 222 million barrels of oil were released in calendar-year 2022. A nearly-equal amount of raw water was injected, resulting in an estimated 34 million barrels of cavern leaching. Twenty caverns have now expended a full drawdown. Cavern BC 18 has expended all its baseline available drawdowns, and has no drawdowns remaining. Cavern BM 103 has expended one of its two baseline drawdowns, and is now a single-drawdown cavern. All other caverns with an expenditure went from at-least-5 to at-least-4 remaining drawdowns.

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Wellbore cement fracture permeability as a function of confining stress and pore pressure

Geomechanics for Energy and the Environment

Hatambeigi, Mahya; Anwar, Ishiaque; Lord, David; Hart, David; Taha, Mahmoud R.; Stormont, John

Cemented annulus fractures are a major leakage path in a wellbore system, and their permeability plays an important role in the behavior of fluid flow through a leaky wellbore. The permeability of these fractures is affected by changing conditions including the external stresses acting on the fracture and the fluid pressure within the fracture. Laboratory gas flow experiments were conducted in a triaxial cell to evaluate the permeability of a wellbore cement fracture under a wide range of confining stress and pore pressure conditions. For the first time, an effective stress law that considers the simultaneous effect of confining stress and pore pressure was defined for the wellbore cement fracture permeability. Here the results showed that the effective stress coefficient (λ) for permeability increased linearly with the Terzaghi effective stress ( -p) with an average of λ = 1 in the range of applied pressures. The relationship between the effective stress and fracture permeability was examined using two physical-based models widely used for rock fractures. The results from the experimental work were incorporated into numerical simulations to estimate the impact of effective stress on the interpreted hydraulic aperture and leakage behavior through a fractured annular cement. Accounting for effective stress-dependent permeability through the wellbore length significantly increased the leakage rate at the wellhead compared with the assumption of a constant cemented annulus permeability.

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Strategic Petroleum Reserve Cavern Leaching Monitoring CY21

Zeitler, Todd Z.; Ross, Tonya S.A.; Valdez, Raquel; Maurer, Hannah G.; Hart, David

Th e U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is a crude oil storage system administered by the U.S. Department of Energy. The reserve consists of 60 active storage caverns located in underground salt domes spread across four sites in Louisiana and Texas, near the Gulf of Mexico. Beginning in 2016, the SPR started executing C ongressionally mandated oil sales. The configuration of the reserve, with a total capacity of greater than 700 million barrels ( MMB ) , re quires that unsaturated water (referred to herein as ?raw? water) is injected into the storage caverns to displace oil for sales , exchanges, and drawdowns . As such, oil sales will produce cavern growth to the extent that raw water contacts the salt cavern walls and dissolves (leaches) the surrounding salt before reaching brine saturation. SPR injected a total of over 45 MMB of raw water into twenty - six caverns as part of oil sales in CY21 . Leaching effects were monitored in these caverns to understand how the sales operations may impact the long - term integrity of the caverns. While frequent sonars are the most direct means to monitor changes in cavern shape, they can be resource intensive for the number of caverns involved in sales and exchanges. An interm ediate option is to model the leaching effects and see if any concerning features develop. The leaching effects were modeled here using the Sandia Solution Mining Code , SANSMIC . The modeling results indicate that leaching - induced features do not raise co ncern for the majority of the caverns, 15 of 26. Eleven caverns, BH - 107, BH - 110, BH - 112, BH - 113, BM - 109, WH - 11, WH - 112, WH - 114, BC - 17, BC - 18, and BC - 19 have features that may grow with additional leaching and should be monitored as leaching continues in th ose caverns. Additionally, BH - 114, BM - 4, and BM - 106 were identified in previous leaching reports for recommendation of monitoring. Nine caverns had pre - and post - leach sonars that were compared with SANSMIC results. Overall, SANSMIC was able to capture the leaching well. A deviation in the SANSMIC and sonar cavern shapes was observed near the cavern floor in caverns with significant floor rise, a process not captured by SANSMIC. These results validate that SANSMIC continues to serve as a useful tool for mon itoring changes in cavern shape due to leaching effects related to sales and exchanges.

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Modifications to Sandia's MDT and WNTR tools for ERMA

Eddy, John P.; Klise, Katherine A.; Hart, David

ERMA is leveraging Sandia’s Microgrid Design Toolkit (MDT) [1] and adding significant new features to it. Development of the MDT was primarily funded by the Department of Energy, Office of Electricity Microgrid Program with some significant support coming from the U.S. Marine Corps. The MDT is a software program that runs on a Microsoft Windows PC. It is an amalgamation of several other software capabilities developed at Sandia and subsequently specialized for the purpose of microgrid design. The software capabilities include the Technology Management Optimization (TMO) application for optimal trade-space exploration, the Microgrid Performance and Reliability Model (PRM) for simulation of microgrid operations, and the Microgrid Sizing Capability (MSC) for preliminary sizing studies of distributed energy resources in a microgrid.

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Available Drawdowns for Each Oil Storage Cavern in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (2022 Annual Report)

Hart, David; Zeitler, Todd Z.; Sobolik, Steven

The Department of Energy maintains an up-to-date documentation of the number of available full drawdowns of each of the caverns owned by the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). This information is important for assessing the SPR's ability to deliver oil to domestic oil companies expeditiously if national or world events dictate a rapid sale and deployment of the oil reserves. Sandia was directed to develop and implement a process to continuously assess and report the evolution of drawdown capacity, the subject of this report. A cavern has an available drawdown if after that drawdown, the long-term stability of the cavern, the cavern field, or the oil quality are not compromised. Thus, determining the number of a vailable drawdowns requires the consideration of several factors regarding cavern and wellbore integrity and stability, including stress states caused by cavern geometry and operations, salt damage caused by dilatant and tensile stresses, the effect of enhanced creep on wellbore integrity, and the sympathetic stress effect of operations on neighboring caverns. A consensus has now been built regarding the assessment of drawdown capabilities and risks for the SPR caverns (Sobolik et al., 2014; Sobolik 2016). The process involves an initial assessment of the pillar-to-diameter (P/D) ratio for each cavern with respect to neighboring caverns. A large pillar thickness between adjacent caverns should be strong enough to withstand the stresses induced by closure of the caverns due to salt creep. The first evaluation of P/D includes a calculation of the evolution of P/D after a number of full cavern drawdowns. The most common storage industry standard is to keep this value greater than 1.0, which should ensure a pillar thick enough to prevent loss of fluids to the surrounding rock mass. However, many of the SPR caverns currently have a P/D less than 1.0 or will likely have a low P/D after one or two full drawdowns. For these caverns, it is important to examine the s tructural integrity with more detail using geomechanical models. Finite - element geomechanical models have been used to determine the stress states in the pillars following successive drawdowns. By computing the tensile and dilatant stresses in the salt, areas of potential structural instability can be identified that may represent "red flags" for additional drawdowns. These analyses have found that many caverns will maintain structural integrity even when grown via drawdowns to dimensions resulting in a P/D of less than 1.0. The analyses have also confirmed that certain caverns should only be completely drawn down one time. As the SPR caverns are utilized and partial drawdowns are performed to remove oil from the caverns (e.g., for occasional oil sales , purchases, or exchanges authorized by the Congress or the President), the changes to the cavern caused by these procedures must be tracked and accounted for so that an ongoing assessment of the cavern's drawdown capacity may be continued. A proposed methodology for assessing and tracking the available drawdowns for each cavern was presented in Sobolik et al. (2018). This report is the latest in a series of annual reports, and it includes the baseline available drawdowns for each cavern, and the most recent assessment of the evolution of drawdown expenditure for several caverns.

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Strategic Petroleum Reserve Cavern Leaching Monitoring CY20

Zeitler, Todd Z.; Valdez, Raquel; Hart, David

The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve is a crude oil storage system run by the U.S. Department of Energy. The reserve consists of 60 active storage caverns spread across four sites in Louisiana and Texas, near the Gulf of Mexico. Beginning in 2016, the SPR began executing U.S. congressionally mandated oil sales. The configuration of the reserve, with a total capacity of greater than 700 MMB, requires raw water to be used instead of saturated brine for oil withdrawals such as for sales. All sales will produce leaching within the caverns used for oil delivery. Twenty-five caverns had a combined total of over 39 MMB of water injected in CY 20 as part of the Exchange for Storage program; oil was withdrawn in the same manner as for congressionally mandated sales. Leaching effects were monitored in these caverns to understand how the oil withdrawals may impact the long-term integrity of the caverns. While frequent sonars are the best way to monitor changes in cavern shape, they can be resource intensive for the number of caverns involved in sales and exchanges. An intermediate option is to model the leaching effects and see if any concerning features develop. The leaching effects were modeled here using the Sandia Solution Mining Code (SANSMIC) . The results indicate that leaching induced features are not of concern in the majority of the caverns, 19 of 25. Six caverns, BH-107, BH-113, BH-114, BM-4, BM-106, and WH-114 have features that may grow with additional leaching and should be monitored as leaching continues in those caverns. Ten caverns had post sale sonars that were compared with SANSMIC results. SANSMIC was able to capture the leaching well , particularly the formation of shelves and flares. A deviation in the SANSMIC and sonar cavern shapes was observed near the cavern floor in caverns with significant floor rise, a process not captured by SANSMIC. These results suggest SANSMIC is a useful tool for monitoring changes in cavern shape due to leaching effects related to sales and exchanges.

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Cavern Leaching Monitoring CY18 And CY19

Chojnicki, Kirsten; Valdez, Raquel; Hart, David

The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) is a crude oil storage system run by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE). The reserve consists of 60 active storage caverns spread across four sites in Louisiana and Texas, near the Gulf of Mexico. Beginning in 2016, the SPR began executing U.S. congressionally mandated oil sales. The configuration of the reserve, with a total capacity of greater than 700 MMB, requires raw water to be used instead of saturated brine for oil withdrawals such as for sales. All sales will produce leaching within the caverns used for oil delivery. Thirty-six caverns had a combined total of over 29 MMB of water injected from CY18-CY19 for mandatory sales. Leaching effects were monitored in these caverns to understand how the sales operations may impact the long-term integrity of the caverns. While frequent sonars are the best way to monitor changes in cavern shape, they can be resource intensive for the number of caverns involved in sales and exchanges. An intermediate option is to model the leaching effects and see if any concerning features develop. The leaching effects were modeled here using the Sandia Solution Mining Code (SANSMIC). The results indicate that leaching induced features are not of concern in the majority of the caverns, 32 of 36. Four caverns, BH-107, BH-108, BH-114 and WH-114 have features that may grow with additional leaching and should be monitored as leaching continues in those caverns. Six caverns had post sale sonars which were compared with SANSMIC results. SANSMIC was able to capture the leaching well. A deviation in the SANSMIC and sonar cavern shapes was observed near the cavern floor in caverns with significant floor rise, a process not captured by SANSMIC. These results suggest SANSMIC is a useful tool for monitoring changes in cavern shape due to leaching effects related to sales and exchanges.

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Available Drawdowns for Each Oil Storage Cavern in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (2021 Annual Report)

Hart, David; Sobolik, Steven; Zeitler, Todd Z.

The Department of Energy maintains an up-to-date documentation of the number of available full drawdowns of each of the caverns owned by the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). This information is important for assessing the SPRs ability to deliver oil to domestic oil companies expeditiously if national or world events dictate a rapid sale and deployment of the oil reserves. Sandia was directed to develop and implement a process to continuously assess and report the evolution of drawdown capacity, the subject of this report. A cavern has an available drawdown if after that drawdown, the long-term stability of the cavern, the cavern field, or the oil quality are not compromised. Thus, determining the number of available drawdowns requires the consideration of several factors regarding cavern and wellbore integrity and stability, including stress states caused by cavern geometry and operations, salt damage caused by dilatant and tensile stresses, the effect of enhanced creep on wellbore integrity, and the sympathetic stress effect of operations on neighboring caverns. A consensus has now been built regarding the assessment of drawdown capabilities and risks for the SPR caverns (Sobolik et al., 2014; Sobolik 2016). The process involves an initial assessment of the pillar - to - diameter (P/D) ratio for each cavern with respect to neighboring caverns. A large pillar thickness between adjacent caverns should be strong enough to withstand the stresses induced by closure of the caverns due to salt creep. The first evaluation of P/D includes a calculation of the evolution of P/D after a number of full cavern drawdowns. The most common storage industry standard is to keep this value greater than 1.0, which should ensure a pillar thick enough to prevent loss of fluids to the surrounding rock mass. However, many of the SPR caverns currently have a P/D less than 1.0 or will likely have a low P/D after one or two full drawdowns. For these caverns, it is important to examine the structural integrity with more detail using geomechanical models. Finite-element geomechanical models have been used to determine the stress states in the pillars following successive drawdowns. By computing the tensile and dilatant stresses in the salt, areas of potential structural instability can be identified that may represent red flags for additional drawdowns. These analyses have found that many caverns will maintain structural integrity even when grown via drawdowns to dimensions resulting in a P/D of less than 1.0. The analyses have also confirmed that certain caverns should only be completely drawn down one time. As the SPR caverns are utilized and partial drawdowns are performed to remove oil from the caverns (e.g., for occasional oil sales , purchases, or exchanges authorized by the Congress or the President), the changes to the cavern caused by these procedures must be tracked and accounted for so that an ongoing assessment of the caverns drawdown capacity may be continued. A proposed methodology for assessing and tracking the available drawdowns for each cavern was presented in Sobolik et al. (2018). This report is the latest in a series of annual reports, and it includes the baseline available drawdowns for each cavern, and the most recent assessment of the evolution of drawdown expenditure for several caverns .

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2020 Annual Report of Available Drawdowns for Each Oil Storage Cavern in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve

Hart, David; Chojnicki, Kirsten; Sobolik, Steven; Park, Byoung

The Department of Energy maintains an up-to-date documentation of the number of available full drawdowns of each of the caverns owned by the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). This information is important for assessing the SPR's ability to deliver oil to domestic oil companies expeditiously if national or world events dictate a rapid sale and deployment of the oil reserves. Sandia was directed to develop and implement a process to continuously assess and report the evolution of drawdown capacity, the subject of this report. A cavern has an available drawdown if after that drawdown, the long-term stability of the cavern, the cavern field, or the oil quality are not compromised. Thus, determining the number of available drawdowns requires the consideration of several factors regarding cavern and wellbore integrity and stability, including stress states caused by cavern geometry and operations, salt damage caused by dilatant and tensile stresses, the effect of enhanced creep on wellbore integrity, and the sympathetic stress effect of operations on neighboring caverns. A consensus has now been built regarding the assessment of drawdown capabilities and risks for the SPR caverns. The process involves an initial assessment of the pillar-to-diameter (P/D) ratio for each cavern with respect to neighboring caverns. A large pillar thickness between adjacent caverns should be strong enough to withstand the stresses induced by closure of the caverns due to salt creep. The first evaluation of P/D includes a calculation of the evolution of P/D after a number of full cavern drawdowns. The most common storage industry standard is to keep this value greater than 1.0, which should ensure a pillar thick enough to prevent loss of fluids to the surrounding rock mass. However, many of the SPR caverns currently have a P/D less than 1.0 or will likely have a low P/D after one or two full drawdowns. For these caverns, it is important to examine the structural integrity with more detail using geomechanical models. Finite-element geomechanical models have been used to determine the stress states in the pillars following successive drawdowns. By computing the tensile and dilatant stresses in the salt, areas of potential structural instability can be identified that may represent "red flags" for additional drawdowns. These analyses have found that many caverns will maintain structural integrity even when grown via drawdowns to dimensions resulting in a P/D of less than 1.0. The analyses have also confirmed that certain caverns should only be completely drawn down one time. As the SPR caverns are utilized and partial drawdowns are performed to remove oil from the caverns (e.g., for occasional oil sales authorized by the Congress or the President), the changes to the cavern caused by these procedures must be tracked and accounted for so that an ongoing assessment of the cavern's drawdown capacity may be continued. A proposed methodology for assessing and tracking the available drawdowns for each cavern was presented in Sobolik et al. (2018). This report includes an update to the baseline drawdowns for each cavern, and provides an initial assessment of the evolution of drawdown expenditure for several caverns

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Treatment of Tilted Sonar Data for Salt Cavern Analysis

Hart, David; Roberts, Barry L.

Structural modeling and visualization of salt caverns requires three-dimensional representations. These representations are typically produced from sonar surveys conducted by companies that then produce a report of depths, distances, and volumes. There are multiple formats that are vendor dependent, and, as technology improves, there have been changes from only horizontal surveys to inclined shots for ceilings and floors to mid-cavern inclined shots. For geomechanical modeling, leaching predictions, and cavern stability visualizations, Sandia has previously written in-house software, called SONAR8, that created a consistent geometry format from the processed sonar reports. However, the increase in the need for mid-cavern inclined surveys led to the discovery of certain limitations in that code. This report describes methods used to process the multiple different formats to handle inclined shots in a consistent and accurate manner in our modeling efforts. A set of file formats and a database schema that was developed for this work is also documented in the appendices.

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2019 Annual Report of Available Drawdowns for Each Oil Storage Cavern in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve

Sobolik, Steven; Hart, David; Chojnicki, Kirsten; Park, Byoung

The Department of Energy maintains an up-to-date documentation of the number of available full drawdowns of each of the caverns owned by the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). This information is important for assessing the SPR's ability to deliver oil to domestic oil companies expeditiously if national or world events dictate a rapid sale and deployment of the oil reserves. Determining the number of drawdowns requires the consideration of several factors regarding cavern and wellbore integrity and stability, including stress states caused by cavern geometry and operations, salt damage caused by dilatant and tensile stresses, the effect of enhanced creep on wellbore integrity, and the sympathetic stress effect of operations on neighboring caverns. A consensus has now been built regarding the assessment of drawdown capabilities and risks for the SPR caverns (Sobolik et al., 2014; Sobolik 2016). The process involves an initial assessment of the pillar-to-diameter (P/D) ratio for each cavern with respect to neighboring caverns. Ideally, it is desired to keep this value greater than 1.0, which is in line with most industry design standards and should ensure cavern integrity and prevent loss of fluids to the surrounding rock mass. However, many of the SPR caverns currently have a P/D less than 1.0 or will likely have a low P/D after one or two full drawdowns. For these caverns, it is important to examine the structural integrity with more detail using geomechanical models. Finite-element geomechanical models have been used to determine the stress states in the pillars following successive drawdowns. By computing the tensile and dilatant stresses in the salt, areas of potential structural instability can be identified that may represent "red flags" for additional drawdowns. These analyses have found that many caverns will maintain structural integrity even when grown via drawdowns to dimensions resulting in a P/D of less than 1.0. The analyses have also confirmed that certain caverns should only be completely drawn down one time. As the SPR caverns are utilized and partial drawdowns are performed to remove oil from the caverns (e.g., for occasional oil sales authorized by the Congress or the President), the changes to the cavern volumes caused by these procedures must be tracked and accounted for so that an ongoing assessment of the cavern's drawdown capacity may be continued. A proposed methodology for assessing and tracking the available drawdowns for each cavern was presented in Sobolik et al. (2018). This report includes an update to the baseline drawdowns for each cavern, and provides an initial assessment of the evolution of drawdown expenditure for several caverns

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Proposed Methodology for Assessing Available Drawdowns for Each Oil Storage Cavern in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve

Sobolik, Steven; Hart, David; Park, Byoung; Chojnicki, Kirsten

The Department of Energy maintains an up-to-date documentation of the number of available full drawdowns of each of the caverns owned by the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR). This information is important for assessing the SPR's ability to deliver oil to domestic oil companies expeditiously if national or world events dictate a rapid sale and deployment of the oil reserves. What factors go into assessing available drawdowns? Determining the number of drawdowns requires the consideration of several factors regarding cavern and wellbore integrity and stability, including stress states caused by cavern geometry and operations, salt damage caused by dilatant and tensile stresses, the effect of enhanced creep on wellbore integrity, and the sympathetic stress effect of operations on neighboring caverns. A consensus has now been built regarding the assessment of drawdown capabilities and risks for the SPR caverns. The process involves an initial assessment of the pillar-to-diameter (P/D) ratio for each cavern with respect to neighboring caverns. Ideally, it is desired to keep this value greater than 1.0, which is in line with most industry design standards and should ensure cavern integrity and prevent loss of fluids to the surrounding rock mass. However, many of the SPR caverns currently have a P/D less than 1.0, or will likely have a low P/D after one or two full drawdowns. For these caverns, it is important to examine the structural integrity with more detail using geomechanical models. Finite-element geomechanical models have been used to determine the stress states in the pillars following successive drawdowns. By computing the tensile and dilatant stresses in the salt, areas of potential structural instability can be identified that may represent "red flags" for additional drawdowns. These analyses have found that many caverns will maintain structural integrity even when grown via drawdowns to dimensions resulting in a P/D of less than 1.0. The analyses have also confirmed that certain caverns should only be completely drawn down one time. As the SPR caverns are utilized and partial drawdowns are performed to remove oil from the caverns (e.g., for occasional oil sales authorized by the Congress or the President), the changes to the cavern volumes casused by these procedures must be tracked and accounted for so that an ongoing assessment of the cavern's drawdown capacity may be continued. A proposed methodology for assessing and tracking the available drawdowns for each cavern is presented in this report.

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Quantifying hydraulic and water quality uncertainty to inform sampling of drinking water distribution systems

Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management

Hart, David; Rodriguez, J.S.; Burkhardt, Jonathan; Borchers, Brian; Laird, Carl; Murray, Regan; Klise, Katherine A.; Haxton, Terranna

Sampling of drinking water distribution systems is performed to ensure good water quality and protect public health. Sampling also satisfies regulatory requirements and is done to respond to customer complaints or emergency situations. Water distribution system modeling techniques can be used to plan and inform sampling strategies. However, a high degree of accuracy and confidence in the hydraulic and water quality models is required to support real-time response. One source of error in these models is related to uncertainty in model input parameters. Effective characterization of these uncertainties and their effect on contaminant transport during a contamination incident is critical for providing confidence estimates in model-based design and evaluation of different sampling strategies. In this paper, the effects of uncertainty in customer demand, isolation valve status, bulk reaction rate coefficient, contaminant injection location, start time, duration, and rate on the size and location of the contaminant plume are quantified for two example water distribution systems. Results show that the most important parameter was the injection location. The size of the plume was also affected by the reaction rate coefficient, injection rate, and injection duration, whereas the exact location of the plume was additionally affected by the isolation valve status. Uncertainty quantification provides a more complete picture of how contaminants move within a water distribution system and more information when using modeling results to select sampling locations.

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An Analysis of Possible Salt Fall Events in Historical Pressure Data from the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve

Hart, David

The U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) stores crude oil in underground storage caverns that have been solution mined from salt domes. Salt falls from the sides or top of a cavern pose a potential threat to cavern and well integrity and to operational readiness. Underground storage caverns require a suspended casing, or hanging string, to extend into the bottom part of the cavern for brine injection in order to remove oil from the top of the cavern; salt falls can break hanging strings, leaving the cavern inaccessible until a well workover is performed to replace or extend the string. Detecting salt falls is difficult, as string breaks may not occur and surface pressure signals are similar to operationally induced signals. SONAR based detection is possible, but SONAR surveys are expensive and conducted infrequently. Historical records from the SPR were examined to look for possible correlations to geographic or operational causes. A library of salt fall and operational signals was developed and three case studies are presented.

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Water Network Tool for Resilience (WNTR) User Manual

Klise, Katherine A.; Hart, David; Moriarty, Dylan M.; Bynum, Michael L.; Murray, Regan; Burkhardt, Jonathan; Haxton, Terra

Drinking water systems face multiple challenges, including aging infrastructure, water quality concerns, uncertainty in supply and demand, natural disasters, environmental emergencies, and cyber and terrorist attacks. All of these have the potential to disrupt a large portion of a water system causing damage to infrastructure and outages to customers. Increasing resilience to these types of hazards is essential to improving water security. As one of the United States (US) sixteen critical infrastructure sectors, drinking water is a national priority. The National Infrastructure Advisory Council defined infrastructure resilience as “the ability to reduce the magnitude and/or duration of disruptive events. The effectiveness of a resilient infrastructure or enterprise depends upon its ability to anticipate, absorb, adapt to, and/or rapidly recover from a potentially disruptive event”. Being able to predict how drinking water systems will perform during disruptive incidents and understanding how to best absorb, recover from, and more successfully adapt to such incidents can help enhance resilience.

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Effects of Depressurization on Cavern and Well Integrity

Hart, David; Bettin, Giorgia; Lord, Anna S.

Crude oil storage caverns at the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve are depressurized for well workovers . The depressurization changes the forces within the salt around the cavern resulting in increased cavern closure rate, changes in neighboring cavern behaviors, and possible surface subsidence. These effects are all associated with changes within the salt around the cavern. Conclusions about the effects at the Strategic Petroleum Reserve include: the majority of cavern volume is lost at the start of a workover; two behaviors, one an increase in pressurization rate and one a tracking of the workover cavern pressure, are seen in neighboring caverns; surface subsidence must take into account recent workovers for accurate site-wide evaluation. Impacts on cavern integrity and well integrity were not assessed at this time, modeling for integrity will be informed by the results of this study.

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Ab initio molecular dynamics determination of competitive O2 vs. N2 adsorption at open metal sites of M2 (dobdc)

Physical Chemistry Chemical Physics. PCCP

Parkes, Marie V.; Greathouse, Jeffery A.; Hart, David; Gallis, Dorina F.S.; Nenoff, Tina M.

The separation of oxygen from nitrogen using metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) is of great interest for potential pressure-swing adsorption processes for the generation of purified O2 on industrial scales. This study uses ab initio molecular dynamics (AIMD) simulations to examine for the first time the pure-gas and competitive gas adsorption of O2 and N2 in the M2(dobdc) (M = Cr, Mn, Fe) MOF series with coordinatively unsaturated metal centers. Effects of metal, temperature, and gas composition are explored. Lastly, this unique application of AIMD allows us to study in detail the adsorption/desorption processes and to visualize the process of multiple guests competitively binding to coordinatively unsaturated metal sites of a MOF.

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Methane Hydrate Formation on Clay Mineral Surfaces: Thermodynamic Stability and Heterogeneous Nucleation Mechanisms

Teich-Mcgoldrick, Stephanie; Hart, David; Gordon, Margaret; Meserole, Stephen; Rodriguez, Mark A.; Thurmer, Konrad; Cygan, Randall T.; Yuan, Chunqing; Kimmel, Greg A.; Kay, Bruce D.; Smith, R.S.

Heterogeneous nucleation of methane hydrates has been examined using molecular simulation, experimental bulk synthesis, and scanning probe microscopy. Theoretical nucleation rates were determined using molecular dynamics simulations as a function of clay surface represented by hydrophobic and hydrophilic systems. Methane hydrates were synthesized with and without Na-montmorillonite in a bulk reactor pressure assembly. X-ray diffraction and Raman spectroscopy confirm the nucleation and growth of the synthesized hydrates. Various kinetic pathways were explored to produce methane or isobutene clathrates in an ultra-high vacuum apparatus at very low temperatures but scanning probe microscopy only indicates the formation of ice.

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Molecular Simulation of Structure and Diffusion at Smectite-Water Interfaces: Using Expanded Clay Interlayers as Model Nanopores

Journal of Physical Chemistry C

Greathouse, Jeffery A.; Hart, David; Bowers, Geoffrey M.; Kirkpatrick, R.J.; Cygan, Randall T.

In geologic settings relevant to a number of extraction and potential sequestration processes, nanopores bounded by clay mineral surfaces play a critical role in the transport of aqueous species. Solution structure and dynamics at clay-water interfaces are quite different from their bulk values, and the spatial extent of this disruption remains a topic of current interest. We have used molecular dynamics simulations to investigate the structure and diffusion of aqueous solutions in clay nanopores approximately 6 nm thick, comparing the effect of clay composition with model Na-hectorite and Na-montmorillonite surfaces. In addition to structural properties at the interface, water and ion diffusion coefficients were calculated within each aqueous layer at the interface, as well as in the central bulk-like region of the nanopore. The results show similar solution structure and diffusion properties at each surface, with subtle differences in sodium adsorption complexes and water structure in the first adsorbed layer due to different arrangements of layer hydroxyl groups in the two clay models. Interestingly, the extent of surface disruption on bulk-like solution structure and diffusion extends to only a few water layers. A comparison of sodium ion residence times confirms similar behavior of inner-sphere and outer-sphere surface complexes at each clay surface, but 1% of sodium ions adsorb in ditrigonal cavities on the hectorite surface. The presence of these anhydrous ions is consistent with highly immobile anhydrous ions seen in previous nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopic measurements of hectorite pastes.

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Results 1–50 of 92
Results 1–50 of 92