Publications

As climate change progresses, there will be greater pressure on state and nonstate actors to mitigate associated harms. This pressure will encourage aggressive action on climate change, including more ambitious emissions reduction goals and the use of both conventional and novel environmental modification techniques. Existing international agreements—including the Paris Agreement and the Environmental Modification Convention (ENMOD)—are critical to ensuring that climate change mitigation is achieved through peaceful, meaningful, and sustainable methods. With this in mind, this paper provides an overview of the Paris Agreement and ENMOD and identifies updates required for these agreements to meet the evolving challenges of climate change.

This work describes a structured, risk-based approach for analyzing questions related to the potential deployment of a climate intervention in any user-established future scenario, and further provides a structured means for considering what the potential consequences of such interventions may be. Because the climatological, technological, and geopolitical conditions are currently not believed to be supportive of climate intervention use, the framework establishes a three-pronged approach to frame key analytical questions predicated on future scenarios of interest to the user. These three pieces are: (1) Building a scenario. (2) Assessing the likelihood of that scenario based on assumptions about an actor and their motivations for deploying a climate intervention. (3) Analyzing the potential consequences of that climate intervention. Finally, results from this consequence analysis are compared against projected consequences of unabated climate change as a complete risk analysis of deploying a climate intervention.

Abstract not provided.

Abstract not provided.