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Validation of the AltRAM Physics Models for use with Compressed Natural Gas

Blaylock, Myra L.; Hecht, Ethan S.; Jordan, Cyrus J.

The Alternative Fuels Risk Assessment Models (A1tRAM) toolkit combines Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) with simulations of unignited dispersion, ignited turbulent diffusion flames, and indoor accumulation with delayed ignition of fuels. The models of the physical phenomena need to be validated for each of the fuels in the toolkit. This report shows the validation for methane which is being used as a surrogate for natural gas. For the unignited dispersion model, seven previously published experiments from credible sources were used to validate. The validation looked at gas concentrations with respect to the distance from the release point. Four of these were underexpanded jets (i.e. release velocity equal to or greater than local speed of sound) and the other three subsonic releases. The methane plume model in AltRAM matched both varieties well, with higher accuracy for the underexpanded releases. For the jet flame model, we compared the heat flux and thermal radiation data reported from five separate turbulent jet flame experiments to the quantities calculated by A1tRAM. Four of the five datasets were for underexpanded diffusion jets flames. While the results still match well enough to give a good estimate of what is occurring, the error is higher than what was seen with the plume model. For the underexpanded flames A1tRAM provided reasonable approximations, which would lead to conservative risk assessments. Some modeling errors can be attributed to environmental effects (i.e. wind) since most large scale flame experiments are conducted outdoors. A1tRAM has been shown to be a reasonably accurate tool for calculating the concentration or flame properties of natural gas releases. Improvements could still be made for the plume of subsonic releases and radiative heat fluxes to reduce the conservative nature of these predictions. These models can provide valuable information for the risk assessment of natural gas infrastructure.