Publications

Abstract not provided.

Current approaches to reliability are not adequate to keep pace with the need for faster, better and cheaper products and systems. This is especially true in high consequence of failure applications. The original proposal for the LDRD was to look at this challenge and see if there was a new paradigm that could make reliability predictions, along with a quantitative estimate of the risk in that prediction, in a way that was faster, better and cheaper. Such an approach would be based on the underlying science models that are the backbone of reliability predictions. The new paradigm would be implemented in two software tools: the Virtual Reliability Realization System (VRRS) and the Reliability Expert System (REX). The three-year LDRD was funded at a reduced level for the first year ($120K vs. $250K) and not renewed. Because of the reduced funding, we concentrated on the initial development of the expertise system. We developed an interactive semiconductor calculation tool needed for reliability analyses. We also were able to generate a basic functional system using Microsoft Siteserver Commerce Edition and Microsoft Sequel Server. The base system has the capability to store Office documents from multiple authors, and has the ability to track and charge for usage. The full outline of the knowledge model has been incorporated as well as examples of various types of content.

The rapid pace of change at Ike end of the 20th Century should continue unabated well into the 21st Century. The driver will be the marketplace imperative of "faster, better, cheaper." This imperative has already stimulated a revolution-in-engineering in design and manufacturing. In contrast, to date, reliability engineering has not undergone a similar level of change. It is critical that we implement a corresponding revolution-in-reliability-engineering as we enter the new millennium. If we are still using 20th Century reliability approaches in the 21st Century, then reliability issues will be the limiting factor in faster, better, and cheaper. At the heart of this reliability revolution will be a science-based approach to reliability engineering. Science-based reliability will enable building-in reliability, application-specific products, virtual qualification, and predictive maintenance. The purpose of this paper is to stimulate a dialogue on the future of reliability engineering. We will try to gaze into the crystal ball and predict some key issues that will drive reliability programs in the new millennium. In the 21st Century, we will demand more of our reliability programs. We will need the ability to make accurate reliability predictions that will enable optimizing cost, performance and time-to-market to meet the needs of every market segment. We will require that all of these new capabilities be in place prior to the stint of a product development cycle. The management of reliability programs will be driven by quantifiable metrics of value added to the organization business objectives.

Integrated Circuits (ICs) are being extensively used in commercial and government applications that have extreme consequences of failure. The rapid evolution of the commercial microelectronics industry presents serious technical and supplier challenges to this niche critical IC marketplace. This Roadmap was developed in conjunction with the Using ICs in Critical Applications Workshop which was held in Albuquerque, NM, November 11--12, 1997.

The unprecedented rate and scope of change in the commercial microelectronics industry presents a significant challenge to, and a significant opportunity for, achieving affordable superiority in defense electronics. A proactive approach to making the industry inherently more leveragable is discussed. Defense microelectronics is inexorably linked to the commercial semiconductor industry. This is obvious in the case of COTS (Commercial Off the Shelf parts) and MOTS (Modified--e.g., upscreened--Off the Shelf parts) as these parts are produced by the commercial industry. However, even captive defense integrated circuit lines building specialized parts are being forced by their dependence on a commercial-industry-driven supplier base to follow commercial product/process/design trends. The just released 1997 version of the Semiconductor Industry Association (SIA) National Technology Roadmap for Semiconductors (NTRS) describes the unprecedented changes occurring in the commercial industry. The industry is evolving from a more stable pre-1994 technology evolution to a discontinuous post-1997 technology evolution. The purpose of this paper is to discuss how these changes present both major challenges and major opportunities, for defense microelectronics, especially for applications involving long lifetimes, harsh environments and/or high consequences of failures.

The government electronics community faces the exciting challenge of entering into new of types of partnerships with the commercial electronics industry. Past interactions have been based primarily on the needs of government. Future interactions will be based more on the needs of industry, particularly its need to be competitive in commercial products. The most successful groups will be those most adept at forming this new type of ``win-win`` partner. Fortunately, both government and industry want to make these new partnerships successful. The government is driven by the necessity of establishing a common government/commercial manufacturing base and the desire to support US competitiveness. Industry is driven by the need to partner with government to remain competitive. Unfortunately, there are no detailed guides available to help government electronics groups and their sponsors in the Administration and Congress cross this uncharted terrain. The purpose of this paper is to share some ``lessons learned`` from the experiences of a government electronics group that has been active in establishing these new types of partnerships with industry. It is our hope that by sharing these lessons we will make it easier for other government groups to work with the commercial industry.

Sandia operated by AT&T for the US Department of Energy. Sandia has a billion dollar annual budget and over 8,000 employees. Sandia`s main sites are in Albuquerque, New Mexico; Livermore, California; and Tonopah, Nevada. Sandia has a broad base of engineering and scientific skills that supports the whole product cycle from advanced R&D through manufacturing and end-user support. Sandia`s original mission was to develop the non-nuclear portion of nuclear weapons. In the 1970s, the mission was expanded to include technical work on conventional and alternative energy sources. Recently, the mission was further expanded to include technology transfer and US competitiveness. This report describes the activities in the Component Development and Engineering Support Division 2000 (indicated by the bold lines on the organization chart). Division 2000 develops electrical, electronic, optical, explosive, mechanical, and other components that are the core products of Sandia systems. The Division also develops advanced capabilities in CAD/CAE, test, nondestructive test, programming, reliability, failure analysis, and simulation that are part of the core services required by Sandia systems. For each of the core products and services described in this brochure, there is a corresponding set of science and engineering capabilities that are Sandia`s core competencies. Also, there are systems groups that use these core products and services to develop ultra-reliable systems for Sandia`s customers. Most of these groups have literature available describing their capabilities and expertise.