Publications Details
Simulation and Analysis of North American natural gas Supply and Delivery during a Winter High-Demand Event with Loss of Marcellus Production
This report presents analyses of the predicted response of the North American natural gas system to extremely high natural gas demand during the winter seasons of 2015 and 2030. These high-demand scenarios were simulated both with and without freeze- off of a fraction of Appalachia shale gas wells in January 2015 and 2030 that cause a loss of approximately 3% of total national production. Profiles of gas consumption, supply, price, and storage results are compared with those expected during normal conditions. The impacts of increased demand, with and without Appalachia production loss, are described for the United States and for its nine census regions.