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Post Moore's Law Report

DeBenedictis, Erik; Lentine, Anthony L.; Marinella, Matthew J.; Williams, R.S.; Conte, Thomas M.; Gargini, Paolo

Moore's law is driving an information revolution, worldwide economic growth, and is a tool for national security. This report explains how dire proclamations that "Moore's law is ending" are due to a natural redefinition of the phrase, but computing remains positioned to both drive economic growth and support national security. The computer industry used to be led by the semiconductor companies that made ever faster microprocessors with larger memories. However, control is shifting to new ways of designing computers, notably based on 3D chips and new analog and digital architectures. While artificial intelligence and quantum computing research have become mainstream pursuits, these latter two areas seem destined split off from Moore's law rather than become a part of it. We include a discussion of recent developments and opportunities in optical communications and computing.