Publications Details

Importance of treating correlations in the uncertainty quantification of radiation damage metrics

Griffin, Patrick J.; Koning, Arjan; Rochman, Dimitri

The radiation effects community embraces the importance of quantifying uncertainty in model predictions and the importance of propagating this uncertainty into the integral metrics used to validate models, but they are not always aware of the importance of addressing the energy- and reaction-dependent correlations in the underlying uncertainty contributors. This paper presents a rigorous high-fidelity Total Monte Carlo approach that addresses the correlation in the underlying uncertainty components and quantifies the role of both energy and reaction-dependent correlations in a sample application that addresses the damage metrics relevant to silicon semiconductors.