Publications Details

Example Implementation for Cascading Leaks in Large-Scale Hydrogen Storage Risk Assessments

Louie, Melissa S.; Ehrhart, Brian D.; Schroeder, Benjamin B.

Leaks in a hydrogen system can have destructive effects on other components within the system, leading to cascading leaks. The risk of cascading leaks is not currently quantified in many existing risk frameworks, but the prevalence of cascading failures in historical hydrogen facility accidents necessitates further study. A method for quantifying the probability, frequency, and risk of cascaded leaks is proposed. The method provides example scenarios of metrics that would set off cascading failures from each physical effect, including a jet fire melting the O-ring of another component, and an overpressure event from an initial explosion shearing off another component from the system. Cascading leak frequencies and individual risk are calculated for an example hypothetical system. While cascading leaks are quantitatively demonstrated to add to the overall risk, their contributions are small and may not add value to a risk assessment when analyzed in this rigorous quantitative framework.