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Predictive maturity of non-linear concrete constitutive models for impact simulation

Hogancamp, Joshua H.; Jones, Christopher

This paper explores the concept of predictive maturity for non-linear concrete constitutive models employed in the computational prediction of the structural response of reinforced concrete structures to impact from free-flying missiles. Such concrete constitutive models are widely varied in complexity. Three constitutive models were utilized within the same finite element structural model to simulate the response of the IRIS III experiment. Each of the models were individually calibrated with available material testing data and also re-calibrated assuming limited availability of test data. When full calibration is possible, more sophisticated constitutive models appear to provide more predictive maturity; however, when this data is not available (e.g. for an existing structure where representative test specimens may not be available), the expected maturity is reduced. Indeed, this hypothesis is supported by the simulations that indicate good agreement with measured experimental response quantities from the IRIS III tests with complex constitutive models and full calibration, and accordingly poor predictions when less complex models are used or when the more sophisticated models are poorly calibrated. Thus, predictions of structural response where complete material testing data is not obtainable should be understood as less predictive.