Publications Details
Performance assessment methodology demonstration: Methodology development for evaluating compliance with EPA (Environmental Protection Agency) 40 CFR 191, Subpart B, for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant
This report describes a demonstration of the performance assessment methodology for the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) to be used in assessing compliance with the Environmental Protection Agency. This demonstration incorporates development and screening of potentially disruptive scenarios. A preliminary analysis of the WIPP disposal system's response to human intrusion scenarios produces preliminary complementary cumulative distribution functions (CCDFs) used to assess the compliance of the WIPP with the Containment Requirements of the Standard. The conceptual model of the disposal system consists of geologic, hydrologic, and disposal system subsystems along with the physical and chemical processes associated with these subsystems. Parameter values defining the systems contain uncertainties and modeling approximations of such a disposal system contributes to those uncertainties. The WIPP compliance assessment methodology consists of a system of techniques and computer codes that estimate releases of radionuclides from the disposal system, incorporating analysis of the parameter uncertainties in the estimates. Demonstration CCDFs are presented, but are not yet credible enough to judge the probability of compliance of the WIPP with the EPA Standard. 60 refs., 75 figs., 30 tabs.