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A Framework to Model and Analyze Electric Grid Cascading Failures to Identify Critical Nodes

2022 17th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems, PMAPS 2022

Pierre, Brian J.; Krofcheck, Daniel J.; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.; Arguello, Bryan A.

The goal of this work is to identify critical nodes in a bulk electric system for grid resilience to a specified threat. We present a cascading outage framework and an analytical framework for identifying electric grid failure trends and critical components. We create thousands of threat scenarios to be modeled in a dynamic electric grid cascading outage model. Each threat scenario determines which major grid components are removed from service due to the threat. The cascading outage model runs transient dynamic simulations which allow for secondary transients to affect the relays/protection leading to cascading outages. The results of the cascading model feed an analytics model to identify trends and critical components whose failure is more likely to cause serious systemic effects. Information on which system components are most critical to electric grid resilience can significantly assist grid planning and reduce grid consequences of large-scale disasters.

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Potential of Solid-State Transformers to Improve Grid Resilience

IEEE Power and Energy Society General Meeting

Schoenwald, David A.; Pierre, Brian J.; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.

A methodology for the design of control systems for wide-area power systems using solid-state transformers (SSTs) as actuators is presented. Due to their ability to isolate the primary side from the secondary side, an SST can limit the propagation of disturbances, such as frequency and voltage deviations, from one side to the other. This paper studies a control strategy based on SSTs deployed in the transmission grid to improve the resilience of power grids to disturbances. The control design is based on an empirical model of an SST that is appropriate for control design in grid level applications. A simulation example illustrating the improvement provided by an SST in a large-scale power system via a reduction in load shedding due to severe disturbances are presented.

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Modeling human-technology interaction as a sociotechnical system of systems

2017 12th System of Systems Engineering Conference, SoSE 2017

Turnley, Jessica; Wachtel, Amanda; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Gauthier, John H.; Speed, Ann S.; Kittinger, Robert

As system of systems (SoS) models become increasingly complex and interconnected a new approach is needed to capture the effects of humans within the SoS. Many real-life events have shown the detrimental outcomes of failing to account for humans in the loop. This research introduces a novel and cross-disciplinary methodology for modeling humans interacting with technologies to perform tasks within an SoS specifically within a layered physical security system use case. Metrics and formulations developed for this new way of looking at SoS termed sociotechnical SoS allow for the quantification of the interplay of effectiveness and efficiency seen in detection theory to measure the ability of a physical security system to detect and respond to threats. This methodology has been applied to a notional representation of a small military Forward Operating Base (FOB) as a proof-of-concept.

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Modeling human-technology interaction as a sociotechnical system of systems

2017 12th System of Systems Engineering Conference, SoSE 2017

Turnley, Jessica; Wachtel, Amanda; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Gauthier, John H.; Speed, Ann S.; Kittinger, Robert

As system of systems (SoS) models become increasingly complex and interconnected a new approach is needed to capture the effects of humans within the SoS. Many real-life events have shown the detrimental outcomes of failing to account for humans in the loop. This research introduces a novel and cross-disciplinary methodology for modeling humans interacting with technologies to perform tasks within an SoS specifically within a layered physical security system use case. Metrics and formulations developed for this new way of looking at SoS termed sociotechnical SoS allow for the quantification of the interplay of effectiveness and efficiency seen in detection theory to measure the ability of a physical security system to detect and respond to threats. This methodology has been applied to a notional representation of a small military Forward Operating Base (FOB) as a proof-of-concept.

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Method for Determining the Sensitivity of a Physical Security System

Risk Analysis

Speed, Ann S.; Gauthier, John H.; Hoffman, Matthew J.; Wachtel, Amanda; Kittinger, Robert; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.

Modern systems, such as physical security systems, are often designed to involve complex interactions of technological and human elements. Evaluation of the performance of these systems often overlooks the human element. A method is proposed here to expand the concept of sensitivity—as denoted by d’—from signal detection theory (Green & Swets 1966; Macmillan & Creelman 2005), which came out of the field of psychophysics, to cover not only human threat detection but also other human functions plus the performance of technical systems in a physical security system, thereby including humans in the overall evaluation of system performance. New in this method is the idea that probabilities of hits (accurate identification of threats) and false alarms (saying “threat” when there is not one), which are used to calculate d’ of the system, can be applied to technologies and, furthermore, to different functions in the system beyond simple yes-no threat detection. At the most succinct level, the method returns a single number that represents the effectiveness of a physical security system; specifically, the balance between the handling of actual threats and the distraction of false alarms. The method can be automated, and the constituent parts revealed, such that given an interaction graph that indicates the functional associations of system elements and the individual probabilities of hits and false alarms for those elements, it will return the d’ of the entire system as well as d’ values for individual parts. The method can also return a measure of the response bias* of the system. One finding of this work is that the d’ for a physical security system can be relatively poor in spite of having excellent d’s for each of its individual functional elements.

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Microgrid Design Analysis Using Technology Management Optimization and the Performance Reliability Model

Stamp, Jason E.; Eddy, John P.; Jensen, Richard P.; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.

Microgrids are a focus of localized energy production that support resiliency, security, local con- trol, and increased access to renewable resources (among other potential benefits). The Smart Power Infrastructure Demonstration for Energy Reliability and Security (SPIDERS) Joint Capa- bility Technology Demonstration (JCTD) program between the Department of Defense (DOD), Department of Energy (DOE), and Department of Homeland Security (DHS) resulted in the pre- liminary design and deployment of three microgrids at military installations. This paper is focused on the analysis process and supporting software used to determine optimal designs for energy surety microgrids (ESMs) in the SPIDERS project. There are two key pieces of software, an ex- isting software application developed by Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) called Technology Management Optimization (TMO) and a new simulation developed for SPIDERS called the per- formance reliability model (PRM). TMO is a decision support tool that performs multi-objective optimization over a mixed discrete/continuous search space for which the performance measures are unrestricted in form. The PRM is able to statistically quantify the performance and reliability of a microgrid operating in islanded mode (disconnected from any utility power source). Together, these two software applications were used as part of the ESM process to generate the preliminary designs presented by SNL-led DOE team to the DOD. Acknowledgements Sandia National Laboratories and the SPIDERS technical team would like to acknowledge the following for help in the project: * Mike Hightower, who has been the key driving force for Energy Surety Microgrids * Juan Torres and Abbas Akhil, who developed the concept of microgrids for military instal- lations * Merrill Smith, U.S. Department of Energy SPIDERS Program Manager * Ross Roley and Rich Trundy from U.S. Pacific Command * Bill Waugaman and Bill Beary from U.S. Northern Command * Tarek Abdallah, Melanie Johnson, and Harold Sanborn of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Construction Engineering Research Laboratory * Colleagues from Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) for their reviews, suggestions, and participation in the work.

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Alternatives to the 15% Rule

Broderick, Robert J.; Rylander, Matthew; Reno, Matthew J.; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.; Quiroz, Jimmy E.; Smith, Jeff; Rogers, Lindsey; Dugan, Roger; Mather, Barry; Coddington, Michael; Gotseff, Peter; Ding, Fei

The third solicitation of the California Solar Initiative (CSI) Research, Development, Demonstration and Deployment (RD&D) Program established by the California Public Utility Commission (CPUC) is supporting the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), and Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) with collaboration from Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E), Southern California Edison (SCE), and San Diego Gas and Electric (SDG&E), in research to improve the Utility Application Review and Approval process for interconnecting distributed energy resources to the distribution system. Currently this process is the most time - consuming of any step on the path to generating power on the distribution system. This CSI RD&D solicitation three project has completed the tasks of collecting data from the three utilities, clustering feeder characteristic data to attain representative feeders, detailed modeling of 16 representative feeders, analysis of PV impacts to those feeders, refinement of current screening processes, and validation of those suggested refinements. In this report each task is summarized to produce a final summary of all components of the overall project.

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Methodology for Preliminary Design of Electrical Microgrids

Jensen, Richard P.; Stamp, Jason E.; Eddy, John P.; Henry, Jordan M.; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.; Abdallah, Tarek

Many critical loads rely on simple backup generation to provide electricity in the event of a power outage. An Energy Surety Microgrid TM can protect against outages caused by single generator failures to improve reliability. An ESM will also provide a host of other benefits, including integration of renewable energy, fuel optimization, and maximizing the value of energy storage. The ESM concept includes a categorization for microgrid value proposi- tions, and quantifies how the investment can be justified during either grid-connected or utility outage conditions. In contrast with many approaches, the ESM approach explic- itly sets requirements based on unlikely extreme conditions, including the need to protect against determined cyber adversaries. During the United States (US) Department of Defense (DOD)/Department of Energy (DOE) Smart Power Infrastructure Demonstration for Energy Reliability and Security (SPIDERS) effort, the ESM methodology was successfully used to develop the preliminary designs, which direct supported the contracting, construction, and testing for three military bases. Acknowledgements Sandia National Laboratories and the SPIDERS technical team would like to acknowledge the following for help in the project: * Mike Hightower, who has been the key driving force for Energy Surety Microgrids * Juan Torres and Abbas Akhil, who developed the concept of microgrids for military installations * Merrill Smith, U.S. Department of Energy SPIDERS Program Manager * Ross Roley and Rich Trundy from U.S. Pacific Command * Bill Waugaman and Bill Beary from U.S. Northern Command * Melanie Johnson and Harold Sanborn of the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Construc- tion Engineering Research Laboratory * Experts from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, Idaho National Laboratory, Oak Ridge National Laboratory, and Pacific Northwest National Laboratory

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Alternatives to the 15% Rule: Modeling and Hosting Capacity Analysis of 16 Feeders

Smith, Jeff; Rylander, Matthew; Reno, Matthew J.; Broderick, Robert J.; Mather, Barry; Quiroz, Jimmy E.; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.

This project is part of the third solicitation of the California Solar Initiative (CSI3) Research, Development, Demonstration, and Deployment Program created by the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC) in 2006 to support solar research in California. The program focuses on research to improve the utility application review and approval process for interconnecting distributed energy resources such as solar to the distribution system. The CSI3 program is supporting EPRI, National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), and Sandia National Laboratories (SNL) in their collaboration on the process with Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E), Southern California Edison (SCE), and San Diego Gas and Electric (SDG&E). At present, the application review and approval process is the most time-consuming of any step on the path to generating power for delivery through the distribution system.

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City of Hoboken Energy Surety Analysis: Preliminary Design Summary

Stamp, Jason E.; Baca, Michael J.; Eddy, John P.; Guttromson, Ross G.; Henry, Jordan M.; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.; Schenkman, Benjamin L.; Smith, Mark A.

In 2012, Hurricane Sandy devastated much of the U.S. northeast coastal areas. Among those hardest hit was the small community of Hoboken, New Jersey, located on the banks of the Hudson River across from Manhattan. This report describes a city-wide electrical infrastructure design that uses microgrids and other infrastructure to ensure the city retains functionality should such an event occur in the future. The designs ensure that up to 55 critical buildings will retain power during blackout or flooded conditions and include analysis for microgrid architectures, performance parameters, system control, renewable energy integration, and financial opportunities (while grid connected). The results presented here are not binding and are subject to change based on input from the Hoboken stakeholders, the integrator selected to manage and implement the microgrid, or other subject matter experts during the detailed (final) phase of the design effort.

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Clustering method and representative feeder selection for the California solar initiative

Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.

The screening process for DG interconnection procedures needs to be improved in order to increase the PV deployment level on the distribution grid. A significant improvement in the current screening process could be achieved by finding a method to classify the feeders in a utility service territory and determine the sensitivity of particular groups of distribution feeders to the impacts of high PV deployment levels. This report describes the utility distribution feeder characteristics in California for a large dataset of 8,163 feeders and summarizes the California feeder population including the range of characteristics identified and most important to hosting capacity. The report describes the set of feeders that are identified for modeling and analysis as well as feeders identified for the control group. The report presents a method for separating a utility<U+2019>s distribution feeders into unique clusters using the k-means clustering algorithm. An approach for determining the feeder variables of interest for use in a clustering algorithm is also described. The report presents an approach for choosing the feeder variables to be utilized in the clustering process and a method is identified for determining the optimal number of representative clusters.

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Proton exchange membrane fuel cells for electrical power generation on-board commercial airplanes

Applied Energy

Klebanoff, Leonard E.; Munoz-Ramos, Karina M.; Akhil, Abbas A.; Curgus, Dita B.; Schenkman, Benjamin L.

Deployed on a commercial airplane, proton exchange membrane (PEM) fuel cells may offer emissions reductions, thermal efficiency gains, and enable locating the power near the point of use. This work seeks to understand whether on-board fuel cell systems are technically feasible, and, if so, if they could offer a performance advantage for the airplane when using today's off-the-shelf technology. We also examine the effects of the fuel cell system on airplane performance with (1) different electrical loads, (2) different locations on the airplane, and (3) expected advances in fuel cell and hydrogen storage technologies.Through hardware analysis and thermodynamic simulation, we found that an additional fuel cell system on a commercial airplane is technically feasible using current technology. Although applied to a Boeing 787-type airplane, the method presented is applicable to other airframes as well. Recovery and on-board use of the heat and water that is generated by the fuel cell is an important method to increase the benefit of such a system. The best performance is achieved when the fuel cell is coupled to a load that utilizes the full output of the fuel cell for the entire flight. The effects of location are small and location may be better determined by other considerations such as safety and modularity.Although the PEM fuel cell generates power more efficiently than the gas turbine generators currently used, when considering the effect of the fuel cell system on the airplane's overall performance we found that an overall performance penalty (i.e., the airplane will burn more jet fuel) would result if using current technology for the fuel cell and hydrogen storage. However, we found that with expected developments in PEM fuel cell and hydrogen storage technology, PEM fuel cell systems can provide an overall benefit to airplane performance. © 2012 Elsevier Ltd.

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Results 1–25 of 27
Results 1–25 of 27