Publications

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This report summarizes the work performed under the project (3z(BStatitically significant relational data mining.(3y (BThe goal of the project was to add more statistical rigor to the fairly ad hoc area of data mining on graphs. Our goal was to develop better algorithms and better ways to evaluate algorithm quality. We concetrated on algorithms for community detection, approximate pattern matching, and graph similarity measures. Approximate pattern matching involves finding an instance of a relatively small pattern, expressed with tolerance, in a large graph of data observed with uncertainty. This report gathers the abstracts and references for the eight refereed publications that have appeared as part of this work. We then archive three pieces of research that have not yet been published. The first is theoretical and experimental evidence that a popular statistical measure for comparison of community assignments favors over-resolved communities over approximations to a ground truth. The second are statistically motivated methods for measuring the quality of an approximate match of a small pattern in a large graph. The third is a new probabilistic random graph model. Statisticians favor these models for graph analysis. The new local structure graph model overcomes some of the issues with popular models such as exponential random graph models and latent variable models.

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We present an algorithm to maintain the connected components of a graph that arrives as an infinite stream of edges. We formalize the algorithm on X-stream, a new parallel theoretical computational model for infinite streams. Connectivity-related queries, including component spanning trees, are supported with some latency, returning the state of the graph at the time of the query. Because an infinite stream may eventually exceed the storage limits of any number of finite-memory processors, we assume an aging command or daemon where "uninteresting" edges are removed when the system nears capacity. Following an aging command the system will block queries until its data structures are repaired, but edges will continue to be accepted from the stream, never dropped. The algorithm will not fail unless a model-specific constant fraction of the aggregate memory across all processors is full. In normal operation, it will not fail unless aggregate memory is completely full. Unlike previous theoretical streaming models designed for finite graphs that assume a single shared memory machine or require arbitrary-size intemediate files, X-stream distributes a graph over a ring network of finite-memory processors. Though the model is synchronous and reminiscent of systolic algorithms, our implementation uses an asynchronous message-passing system. We argue the correctness of our X-stream connected components algorithm, and give preliminary experimental results on synthetic and real graph streams.

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Decision makers increasingly rely on large-scale computational models to simulate and analyze complex man-made systems. For example, computational models of national infrastructures are being used to inform government policy, assess economic and national security risks, evaluate infrastructure interdependencies, and plan for the growth and evolution of infrastructure capabilities. A major challenge for decision makers is the analysis of national-scale models that are composed of interacting systems: effective integration of system models is difficult, there are many parameters to analyze in these systems, and fundamental modeling uncertainties complicate analysis. This project is developing optimization methods to effectively represent and analyze large-scale heterogeneous system of systems (HSoS) models, which have emerged as a promising approach for describing such complex man-made systems. These optimization methods enable decision makers to predict future system behavior, manage system risk, assess tradeoffs between system criteria, and identify critical modeling uncertainties.

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We consider the design of a sensor network to serve as an early warning system against a potential suite of contamination incidents. Given any measure for evaluating the quality of a sensor placement, there are two ways to model the objective. One is to minimize the impact or damage to the network, the other is to maximize the reduction in impact compared to the network without sensors. These objectives are the same when the problem is solved optimally. But when given equally-good approximation algorithms for each of this pair of complementary objectives, either one might be a better choice. The choice generally depends upon the quality of the approximation algorithms, the impact when there are no sensors, and the number of sensors available. We examine when each objective is better than the other by examining multiple real world networks. When assuming perfect sensors, minimizing impact is frequently superior for virulent contaminants. But when there are long response delays, or it is very difficult to reduce impact, maximizing impact reduction may be better. © 2011 ASCE.

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