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Economic analysis of model validation for a challenge problem

Journal of Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification

Hu, Kenneth H.; Paez, Thomas L.; Paez, Paul P.; Hasselman, Tim H.

It is now commonplace for engineers to build mathematical models of the systems they are designing, building, or testing. And, it is nearly universally accepted that phenomenological models of physical systems must be validated prior to use for prediction in consequential scenarios. Yet, there are certain situations in which testing only or no testing and no modeling may be economically viable alternatives to modeling and its associated testing. This paper develops an economic framework within which benefit–cost can be evaluated for modeling and model validation relative to other options. The development is presented in terms of a challenge problem. As a result, we provide a numerical example that quantifies when modeling, calibration, and validation yield higher benefit–cost than a testing only or no modeling and no testing option.

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Why do verification and validation?

Journal of Verification, Validation and Uncertainty Quantification

Hu, Kenneth H.; Paez, Thomas L.

In this discussion paper, we explore different ways to assess the value of verification and validation (V&V) of engineering models. We first present a literature review on the value of V&V and then use value chains and decision trees to show how value can be assessed from a decision maker's perspective. In this context, the value is what the decision maker is willing to pay for V&V analysis with the understanding that the V&V results are uncertain. As a result, the 2014 Sandia V&V Challenge Workshop is used to illustrate these ideas.

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Laser tracker TSPI uncertainty quantification via centrifuge trajectory

Proceedings of SPIE - The International Society for Optical Engineering

Romero, Edward; Paez, Thomas L.; Brown, Timothy L.; Miller, Timothy

Sandia National Laboratories currently utilizes two laser tracking systems to provide time-space-position-information (TSPI) and high speed digital imaging of test units under flight. These laser trackers have been in operation for decades under the premise of theoretical accuracies based on system design and operator estimates. Advances in optical imaging and atmospheric tracking technology have enabled opportunities to provide more precise six degree of freedom measurements from these trackers. Applying these technologies to the laser trackers requires quantified understanding of their current errors and uncertainty. It was well understood that an assortment of variables contributed to laser tracker uncertainty but the magnitude of these contributions was not quantified and documented. A series of experiments was performed at Sandia National Laboratories large centrifuge complex to quantify TSPI uncertainties of Sandia National Laboratories laser tracker III. The centrifuge was used to provide repeatable and economical test unit trajectories of a test-unit to use for TSPI comparison and uncertainty analysis. On a centrifuge, testunits undergo a known trajectory continuously with a known angular velocity. Each revolution may represent an independent test, which may be repeated many times over for magnitudes of data practical for statistical analysis. Previously these tests were performed at Sandia's rocket sled track facility but were found to be costly with challenges in the measurement ground truth TSPI. The centrifuge along with on-board measurement equipment was used to provide known ground truth position of test units. This paper discusses the experimental design and techniques used to arrive at measures of laser tracker error and uncertainty. © 2009 Copyright SPIE - The International Society for Optical Engineering.

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Validation of a viscoelastic model for foam encapsulated component response over a wide temperature range

Conference Proceedings of the Society for Experimental Mechanics Series

Hinnerichs, Terry; Urbina, Angel U.; Paez, Thomas L.; O'Gorman, Christian C.; Hunter, Patrick H.

Accurate material models are fundamental to predictive structural finite element models. Because potting foams are routinely used to mitigate shock and vibration of encapsulated components in electro/mechanical systems, accurate material models of foams are needed. A linear-viscoelastic foam constitutive model has been developed to represent the foam's stiffness and damping throughout an application space defined by temperature, strain rate or frequency and strain level. Validation of this linear-viscoelastic model, which is integrated into the Salinas structural dynamics code, is being achieved by modeling and testing a series of structural geometries of increasing complexity that have been designed to ensure sensitivity to material parameters. Both experimental and analytical uncertainties are being quantified to ensure the fair assessment of model validity. Quantitative model validation metrics are being developed to provide a means of comparison for analytical model predictions to observations made in the experiments. This paper is one of several recent papers documenting the validation process for simple to complex structures with foam encapsulated components. This paper specifically focuses on model validation over a wide temperature range and using a simple dumbbell structure for modal testing and simulation. Material variations of density and modulus have been included. A double blind validation process is described that brings together test data with model predictions.

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Model validation of experimental hardware, design versus reality

Conference Proceedings of the Society for Experimental Mechanics Series

O'Gorman, Christian C.; Hunter, Patrick H.; Stasiunas, Eric C.; Hinnerichs, Terry D.; Paez, Thomas L.; Urbina, Angel U.

A detailed model validation study has been initiated to assess model predictions of foam encapsulated components. A bottom-up experimental approach has been used to first characterize the foam material, and then characterize foam/component interaction within increasingly complex systems. This paper presents a summary of the model validation approach at component and benchmark levels and details specific issues identified at the subsystem validation level. Specifically, manufacturing process issues were identified in the hardware which precluded continued validation. A summary of the modal data is given and the issues relating to the manufacturing process are discussed.

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Results 1–25 of 59
Results 1–25 of 59