Climate impacts have broad economic, health, political, and national security ramifications. Societally relevant impacts are typically farther downstream, are the product of multiple interacting processes, and can arise over small regions and timeframes because their sources are short-term and localized. Short-term forcings (as can be seen in volcanic eruptions, climatic tipping points (e.g., the collapse of rainforests or the disappearance of sea ice), or in increasingly plausible climate interventions) fundamentally possess low signal-to-noise and could benefit from accounting for the multiple conditional processes through which a downstream impact arises. Under the Grand Challenge LDRD CLDERA (CLimate impacts: Discovering Etiology thRough pAthways), we have developed tools to enable downstream impact attribution from geographically and temporally localized source forcings in the climate. CLDERA developed methods that can distinguish how a localized source drives the climate system to respond with particular impacts. The how is embodied in pathways – the spatio-temporally evolving chain of physical processes that connects a source to a series of increasingly distant impacts. Novel analytic methods in pursuit of downstream impact attribution were developed and demonstrated on simulations and observations of the 1991 eruption of Mt. Pinatubo in the Philippines. As described within this report we have • developed stratospheric expertise and aerosol modeling capabilities in E3SM, • created original methods to detect and model pathways from source-to-impact, and • advanced climate attribution through novel methods, cases, and approaches. Further, CLDERA developed a tiered verification process consisting of controlled datasets to prototype, verify, and refine the original method development. CLDERA increased Sandia’s footprint in the climate analytics community and developed new climate collaborations whilst also creating a cadre of climate analysts at Sandia. The products from CLDERA have been extensive with a total of 9 journal articles published, 12 articles submitted and under review, and an additional 8 articles in preparation. We have produced 1750 simulated years and developed 9 code-bases. This report details these accomplishments and serves as a summary of the work completed during the CLDERA Grand Challenge.
A direct numerical simulation (DNS) campaign is deployed for a series of confined downward oriented, non-isothermal turbulent impinging jet configurations. A baseline Reynolds number of 9960 is obtained through a precursor DNS pipe flow simulation (Reτ=505). Three jet temperature configurations (confinement height to nozzle diameter of three) enter a cylindrical domain that share ambient and impingement plate temperatures (298.15K). The range of jet temperatures are crafted such that the ratio of inlet to ambient density varies from unity to 0.52, showcasing the effect of density disparity on flow characteristics such as core collapse, radial mixing of momentum and energy, near-wall stagnation behavior, wall-jet profiles, and large-scale vortical structures. Surface quantities provided include mean radial heat flux and wall-shear stress profiles, and heat flux histograms at select radial stations. Results showcase increased radial normal stresses for higher temperature jets that support increased mixing, resulting in large-scale recirculation structures that are smaller, while retaining similar normalized radial wall profiles for shear stress, heat flux and pressure. Radial plots for wall shear stress and Nusselt number showcase strong radial decay as compared to previous configurations that share similar jet and ambient temperatures. For the 373.15 K case, a Gaussian-like histogram for heat fluxes at the impingement plate transitions to a log-normal profile as radial distances increase. In contrast, the 573.15 K configuration displays a bi-modal heat flux characteristic at the impingement plate, and in similar manner to the moderate temperature counterpart, transitions to a log-normal profile at larger radial distances.
This paper presents a method for simulating evaporation in a compressible, interface-resolved framework appropriate for modeling problems of engineering interest. In order to achieve robustness and broad applicability, the method has been designed to discretely enforce consistent mass and thermal energy transport at the phase interface, to globally conserve mass, momentum, and energy, and to be capable of modeling compressible and incompressible systems. Verification is performed via the Sod-shock test, one-dimensional heat conduction, evaporation from a planar interface, and evaporation of three-dimensional droplets. Convergence with increasing mesh resolution is demonstrated in all tested configurations, and conservation is maintained near machine precision for a translating droplet. Conservation and accurate phase change rates are preserved at the low numerical resolutions commonly encountered in engineering calculations. Following verification, the method is validated by comparison to an empirical correlation for evaporating droplets in high temperature crossflow, and the presentation concludes with the simulation of an iso-octane spray at conditions representative of gasoline direct injection. Successful verification, validation, and demonstrated practical utility suggest the method to be an accurate, efficient, and robust approach for the study of phase change in engineering systems.
We present recent results toward the quantification of spray characteristics at engine conditions for an eight-hole counter-bored (stepped) GDI injector – Spray G in the ECN denomination. This computational study is characterized by two novel features: the detailed description of a real injector's internal surfaces via tomographic reconstruction; and a general equation of state that represents the thermodynamic properties of homogeneous liquid-vapor mixtures. The combined level-set moment-of-fluid approach, coupled to an embedded boundary formulation for moving solid walls, makes it possible to seamlessly connect the injector's internal flow to the spray. The Large Eddy Simulation (LES) discussed here presents evidence of partial hydraulic flipping and, during the closing transient, string cavitation. Results are validated by measurements of spray density profiles and droplet size distribution.
