Publications

Hart, W.E., Outkin, A.V., & Outkin, A.V. (2023). Constrained Inference with Hidden Markov Models [Conference Presentation]. 10.2172/2430742

Outkin, A.V., Schulz, P.V., Schulz, T., Tarman, T.D., Pinar, A., & Pinar, A. (2023). Defender Policy Evaluation and Resource Allocation With MITRE ATT&CK Evaluations Data. IEEE Transactions on Dependable and Secure Computing, 20(3), pp. 1909-1926. https://doi.org/10.1109/tdsc.2022.3165624

Outkin, A.V., Bixler, N.E., Osborn, D., Andrews, N.C., Walton, F., & Walton, F. (2022). Updated Economic Model for Estimation of GDP Losses in the MACCS Offsite Consequence Analysis Code RDEIM Model Report for MACCS v4.2. 10.2172/2004894

Cole, R., Outkin, A.V., Cardona, D., & Cardona, D. (2022). TOpology Adaptive Decision Support for Cyber Defense of Joint Ground Station and Satellite Systems [Conference Presentation]. 10.2172/2005642

Cole, R., Foulk, J.W., Cardona, D., Foulk, J.W., Gonzales, A., Jose, D., Outkin, A.V., Robinson, J., Sturgill, C., Walsh, S., & Walsh, S. (2022). POMDP Modeling for Cyber-Defense of Industrial Control Systems [Conference Presentation]. 10.2172/2003880

Pinar, A., Tarman, T.D., Swiler, L.P., Gearhart, J.L., Hart, D., Vugrin, E., Arguello, B., Geraci, G., Debusschere, B., Hanson, S.T., Outkin, A.V., Thorpe, J.E., Hart, W.E., Sahakian, M.A., Gabert, K.G., Glatter, C., Johnson, E.S., Punla-Green, S., & Punla-Green, S. (2022). Uncertainty Quantification within SECURE LDRD [Presentation]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/2003628

Outkin, A.V., Schulz, P.V., Schulz, T., Tarman, T.D., Pinar, A., & Pinar, A. (2022). Defender Policy Evaluation and Resource Allocation With MITRE ATT&CK Data and Evaluations. IEEE Transactions on Dependable and Secure Computing. 10.1109/TDSC.2022.3165624

Pinar, A., Tarman, T.D., Swiler, L.P., Gearhart, J.L., Hart, D., Vugrin, E., Cruz, G.J., Arguello, B., Geraci, G., Debusschere, B., Hanson, S.T., Outkin, A.V., Thorpe, J.E., Hart, W.E., Sahakian, M.A., Gabert, K.G., Glatter, C., Johnson, E.S., Punla-Green, S., & Punla-Green, S. (2021). Science and Engineering of Cybersecurity by Uncertainty quantification and Rigorous Experimentation (SECURE) (Final Report). 10.2172/1821322

Pinar, A., Tarman, T.D., Swiler, L.P., Gearhart, J.L., Hart, D., Vugrin, E., Cruz, G.J., Arguello, B., Geraci, G., Debusschere, B., Hanson, S.T., Outkin, A.V., Thorpe, J.E., Hart, W.E., Sahakian, M.A., Gabert, K.G., Glatter, C., Johnson, E.S., Punla-Green, A.S., & Punla-Green, A.S. (2021). Science & Engineering of Cyber Security by Uncertainty Quantification and Rigorous Experimentation (SECURE) HANDBOOK. 10.2172/1820527

Outkin, A.V., Schulz, P.V., Schulz, T., Tarman, T.D., Pinar, A., & Pinar, A. (2021). Defender Policy Evaluation and Resource Allocation against MITRE ATT&CK Data and Evaluations. 10.2172/1821969

Gunda, T., Aamir, M.S., Outkin, A.V., & Outkin, A.V. (2021). Increasing Integration of Data-driven Analyses in Operational Activities through Knowledge Management [Conference Presentation]. 10.2172/1870767

Kobos, P., Drennen, T.E., Outkin, A.V., Webb, E.K., Paap, S.M., Wiryadinata, S., & Wiryadinata, S. (2020). Techno-Economic Analysis: Best Practices and Assessment Tools. 10.2172/1738878

Bauer, T.L., Beyeler, W.E., Finley, P.D., Jeffers, R., Laird, C., Makvandi, M., Outkin, A.V., Safta, C., Simonson, K.M., & Simonson, K.M. (2020). Sandia's Research in Support of COVID-19 Pandemic Response: Computing and Information Sciences. 10.2172/1661021

Bixler, N.E., Outkin, A.V., Walton, F., & Walton, F. (2020). Optional Economic Model in MACCS 4.0 - RDEIM [Presentation]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1814689

Bixler, N.E., Outkin, A.V., Osborn, D., Andrews, N.C., Walton, F., & Walton, F. (2020). Economic Model for Estimation of GDP Losses in the MACCS Offsite Consequence Analysis Code. 10.2172/1763524

Sahakian, M.A., Vugrin, E., Outkin, A.V., Wyss, G.D., Eames, B.K., & Eames, B.K. (2019). Attack detection and strategy optimization in game-theoretic trust models. 10.2172/1569343

Vugrin, E., Cruz, G.J., Reedy, C., Tarman, T.D., Outkin, A.V., Urias, V., & Urias, V. (2019). Cyber Threat Modeling And Validation [Conference Poster]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1642953

Outkin, A.V. (2019). Nasdaq Modeling and Complex Systems Prediction: Games as Frames on Reality [Conference Poster]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1641767

Outkin, A.V., Eames, B.K., Sahakian, M.A., Walsh, S., Vugrin, E., Heersink, B., Hobbs, J., Wyss, G.D., & Wyss, G.D. (2019). GPLadd: Quantifying trust in government and commercial systems a game-theoretic approach. ACM Transactions on Privacy and Security, 22(3). 10.1145/3326283

Cruz, G.J., Outkin, A.V., Tarman, T.D., Urias, V., Vugrin, E., & Vugrin, E. (2019). SECURE Predictive Cyber Emulation (Emulytics) Task [Presentation]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1644459

Chen, Y., Campbell, D., Mooney, V., Grijalva, S., Eames, B.K., Outkin, A.V., Vugrin, E., & Vugrin, E. (2018). Power Grid Bad Data Injection Attack Modeling in PRESTIGE [Conference Poster]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1639596

Jeffers, R., Staid, A., Baca, M.J., Currie, F.M., Fogleman, W.E., Derosa, S., Wachtel, A., Outkin, A.V., & Outkin, A.V. (2018). Analysis of Microgrid Locations Benefitting Community Resilience for Puerto Rico. 10.2172/1530167

Outkin, A.V. (2018). Teaching Game Theory to Kids and Limits of Prediction. 10.2172/1459605

Outkin, A.V., Jeffers, R., & Jeffers, R. (2018). An Infrastructure Resilience Improvements Assessments Framework [Conference Poster]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1529460

Eames, B.K., Outkin, A.V., Walsh, S., Vugrin, E., Hamlet, J., Napier, M.P., Riehm, A.C., Helinski, R., Eldridge, J.M., Bertels, A.R., Holmes, M., & Holmes, M. (2017). PRESTIGE: Practical Evaluation and Synthesis of Trust in Government Systems [Presentation]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1648656