Publications

Doyle, C.L., Krofcheck, D.J., Sweitzer, M.D., Naugle, A.B., Sorensen, A.H., & Sorensen, A.H. (2024). Changes in emotional content of forum messages precede user action on subject [Presentation]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/2587549

Naugle, A.B., Doyle, C.L., Sweitzer, M.D., Krofcheck, D.J., Sorensen, A.H., & Sorensen, A.H. (2024). A Dynamic Model of the Relationship Between Online Influence and Real-World Action [Presentation]. 10.2172/2586177

Doyle, C.L., Sweitzer, M.D., Krofcheck, D.J., Naugle, A.B., Sorensen, A.H., & Sorensen, A.H. (2024). Detecting Emergent Discourse Dynamics in Online Social Media [Presentation]. 10.2172/2586334

Steinmetz, S., Naugle, A.B., Sweitzer, M.D., Schutte, P.C., Washburne, A.D., & Washburne, A.D. (2024). Trust Maturity Model for AI Systems [Conference Presentation]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/2563977

Naugle, A.B., Langarudi, S., Clancy, T., & Clancy, T. (2024). What is (quantitative) system dynamics modeling? Defining characteristics and the opportunities they create. System Dynamics Review, 40(2). 10.1002/sdr.1762

Krofcheck, D.J., Naugle, A.B., Verzi, S.J., Steinmetz, S., & Steinmetz, S. (2023). An overview of Foundation models: From Stable Diffusion to chatGPT and beyond [Conference Presentation]. 10.2172/2430808

Griffith, K.M., Fears, H.T., Jacobs, D.R., Dise, J.T., Nyre-Yu, M., Naugle, A.B., & Naugle, A.B. (2023). Sovereign Credit Rating Processes Applied to Infrastructure Cyber Risk Assessment [Conference Presentation]. 10.2172/2512459

Krofcheck, D.J., Stewart, I., Naugle, A.B., Steinmetz, S., Schutte, P.C., Linville, L., Abbott, R.G., Sweitzer, M.D., & Sweitzer, M.D. (2023). Conceptual resilience in foundation models for nonproliferation [Conference Poster]. 10.2172/2431521

Naugle, A.B., Krofcheck, D.J., Warrender, C.E., Lakkaraju, K., Swiler, L.P., Verzi, S.J., Emery, B., Murdock, J., Bernard, M., Romero, V.J., & Romero, V.J. (2023). What can simulation test beds teach us about social science? Results of the ground truth program. Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, 29(1), pp. 242-263. 10.1007/s10588-021-09349-6

Doyle, C.L., Naugle, A.B., Krofcheck, D.J., Sweitzer, M.D., Sorensen, A.H., Link, H.E., & Link, H.E. (2023). Predicting action from topic, sentiment, and emotional content of forum posts [Conference Poster]. 10.2172/2431863

Naugle, A.B., Verzi, S.J., Lakkaraju, K., Swiler, L.P., Warrender, C.E., Bernard, M., Romero, V.J., & Romero, V.J. (2023). Feedback density and causal complexity of simulation model structure. Journal of Simulation, 17(3), pp. 229-239. 10.1080/17477778.2021.1982653

Naugle, A.B., Rothganger, F., Verzi, S.J., Doyle, C.L., & Doyle, C.L. (2022). Conflicting Information and Compliance With COVID-19 Behavioral Recommendations. 10.2172/1894426

Lakkaraju, K., Sweitzer, M.D., Naugle, A.B., Wiryadinata, S., Leonard, J., & Leonard, J. (2022). A Simulation Test Bed for Evaluating Data Analytic Predictors of Disinformation Flow [Conference Presentation]. 10.2172/2004709

Naugle, A.B., Swiler, L.P., Lakkaraju, K., Verzi, S.J., Warrender, C.E., Romero, V.J., & Romero, V.J. (2022). Graph-Based Similarity Metrics for Comparing Simulation Model Causal Structures. 10.2172/1884926

Lakkaraju, K., Naugle, A.B., Sweitzer, M.D., Wiryadinata, S., Lehrer, G., & Lehrer, G. (2022). Using Social Simulations to Train, Test, and Evaluate Models for Social Prediction [Conference Poster]. 10.2172/2003983

Naugle, A.B., Sorensen, A.H., Rothganger, F., Verzi, S.J., Doyle, C., Krofcheck, D.J., & Krofcheck, D.J. (2022). Trust in Influence Dynamics: Using Reinforcement Learning to Evaluate Defense Strategies [Conference Poster]. 10.2172/2003961

Lakkaraju, K., Naugle, A.B., Sweitzer, M.D., & Sweitzer, M.D. (2022). Using social simulations to train, test and evaluate ML models for social prediction [Conference Presentation]. 10.2172/2003550

Naugle, A.B., Russell, A., Lakkaraju, K., Swiler, L.P., Verzi, S.J., Romero, V.J., & Romero, V.J. (2022). The Ground Truth Program: Simulations as Test Beds for Social Science Research Methods.. Computational and Mathematical Organization Theory, 29(1). 10.1007/s10588-021-09346-9

Naugle, A.B., Doyle, C.L., Sweitzer, M.D., Rothganger, F., Verzi, S.J., Lakkaraju, K., Kittinger, R., Bernard, M., Chen, Y., Loyal, J., Mueen, A., & Mueen, A. (2021). Emergent Recursive Multiscale Interaction in Complex Systems. 10.2172/1821796

Loyal, J., Naugle, A.B., Chen, Y., & Chen, Y. (2021). An Eigenmodel for Dynamic Multilayer Networks [Presentation]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1881683

Doyle, C.L., Gunda, T., Naugle, A.B., & Naugle, A.B. (2021). Hierarchical effects facilitate spreading processes on synthetic and empirical multilayer networks. PLoS ONE, 16(6 June). https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0252266

Naugle, A.B., Backus, G.A., Tidwell, V.C., Keller, E., Villa, D.L., & Villa, D.L. (2021). A Regional Model of Climate Change and Human Migration. Research Anthology on Environmental and Societal Impacts of Climate Change, 1(1), pp. 449-471. 10.4018/IJSDA.2019010101

Rothganger, F., Naugle, A.B., Verzi, S.J., & Verzi, S.J. (2020). Behavioral Feedback in Disease Dynamics [Presentation]. https://www.osti.gov/biblio/1843095

Naugle, A.B. (2020). DARPA Ground Truth Program Overview [Conference Presentation]. 10.2172/1882033

Doyle, C.L., Naugle, A.B., Bernard, M., Lakkaraju, K., Kittinger, R., Sweitzer, M.D., Rothganger, F., & Rothganger, F. (2020). Group formation theory at multiple scales [Conference Presentation]. 10.2172/1831039