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Use of a SPAR-H bayesian network for predicting human error probabilities with missing observations

11th International Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference and the Annual European Safety and Reliability Conference 2012, PSAM11 ESREL 2012

Groth, Katrina G.; Swiler, Laura P.

Many of the Performance Shaping Factors (PSFs) used in Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) methods are not directly measurable or observable. Methods like SPAR-H require the analyst to assign values for all of the PSFs, regardless of the PSF observability; this introduces subjectivity into the human error probability (HEP) calculation. One method to reduce the subjectivity of HRA estimates is to formally incorporate information about the probability of the PSFs into the methodology for calculating the HEP. This can be accomplished by encoding prior information in a Bayesian Network (BN) and updating the network using available observations. We translated an existing HRA methodology, SPAR-H, into a Bayesian Network to demonstrate the usefulness of the BN framework. We focus on the ability to incorporate prior information about PSF probabilities into the HRA process. This paper discusses how we produced the model by combining information from two sources, and how the BN model can be used to estimate HEPs despite missing observations. Use of the prior information allows HRA analysts to use partial information to estimate HEPs, and to rely on the prior information (from data or cognitive literature) when they are unable to gather information about the state of a particular PSF. The SPAR-H BN model is a starting point for future research activities to create a more robust HRA BN model using data from multiple sources.

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A comparative critical analysis of modern task-parallel runtimes

Wheeler, Kyle B.; Stark, Dylan S.

The rise in node-level parallelism has increased interest in task-based parallel runtimes for a wide array of application areas. Applications have a wide variety of task spawning patterns which frequently change during the course of application execution, based on the algorithm or solver kernel in use. Task scheduling and load balance regimes, however, are often highly optimized for specific patterns. This paper uses four basic task spawning patterns to quantify the impact of specific scheduling policy decisions on execution time. We compare the behavior of six publicly available tasking runtimes: Intel Cilk, Intel Threading Building Blocks (TBB), Intel OpenMP, GCC OpenMP, Qthreads, and High Performance ParalleX (HPX). With the exception of Qthreads, the runtimes prove to have schedulers that are highly sensitive to application structure. No runtime is able to provide the best performance in all cases, and those that do provide the best performance in some cases, unfortunately, provide extremely poor performance when application structure does not match the schedulers assumptions.

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Simulating neural systems with Xyce

Schiek, Richard S.; Thornquist, Heidi K.; Warrender, Christina E.; Mei, Ting M.; Teeter, Corinne M.; Aimone, James B.

Sandias parallel circuit simulator, Xyce, can address large scale neuron simulations in a new way extending the range within which one can perform high-fidelity, multi-compartment neuron simulations. This report documents the implementation of neuron devices in Xyce, their use in simulation and analysis of neuron systems.

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Results 6876–6900 of 9,998
Results 6876–6900 of 9,998