Books, Symposia and Report Publications

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Development of an Urban Resilience Analysis Framework with Application to  Norfolk, VA, Sandia National Laboratories report, March 2016

Simulating Impacts of Disruptions to Liquid Fuels Infrastructure, Sandia National Laboratories report, April 2015

Analyzing Social Media Content for Security Informatics, European Intelligence and Security Informatics Conference, August 2013,

A Demand-driven, Capacity-constrained, Adaptive Algorithm for Computing Steady-state and Transient Flows in a Petroleum Transportation Network, Sandia National Laboratories report, November 2012

Predictive Non-Equilibrium Social Science, Proceedings of the IEEE 2012 Winter Simulation Conference, December 2012 DOI:10.1109/WSC.2012.6465282

The Role of Community Structure in Opinion Cluster Formation, COMPLEX 2012, December 2012

The Crossover Point: Comparing Policies to Mitigate Disruptions, COMPLEX 2012, December 2012

Behaviors of Actors in a Resource-Exchange Model of Geopoliticsm COMPLEX 2012, December 2012

A Policy of Strategic Petroleum Market Reserves, COMPLEX 2012, December 2012

To Trade or Not to Trade: Analyzing how Perturbations Travel in Sparsely Connected Networks, COMPLEX 2012, December 2012

Help from Hoarders: How Storage Can Dampen Perturbations in Critical Markets, COMPLEX 2012, December 2012

A Demand-driven, Capacity-constrained, Adaptive Algorithm for Computing Steady-state and Transient Flows in a Petroleum Transportation Network, Sandia National Laboratories report, November 2012

Complex Adaptive Systems Engineering: Modeling to Inform Policy Decisions, UK Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) Stakeholder Engagement Workshop, November 2012 Keynote

Design for Resilience in Infrastructure Distribution Networks, Sandia National Laboratories report, July 2012

Model of Driver of Fear-Induced Consumer Avoidance Behaviors Post-Incident, 30th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society, July 2012

Complex Adaptive Systems Engineering – improving our understanding of complex systems and reducing their risk, Earth Systems Engineering 2012: A technical symposium on systems engineering for sustainable adaptation to global change. July 2012

Leveraging Sociological Models for Predictive Analyticsm, Colbaugh R, Glass K, Sandia National Laboratories report, 2012

A Case for Sandia Investment in Complex Adaptive Systems Science and Technology, May 2012

Early Warning Analysis for Social Diffusion Events, Colbaugh R, Glass K, Sandia National Laboratories white paper, 2012

Creating Interaction Environments: Defining a two-sided market model of the development and dominance of platforms, Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, & Prediction (SBP12), December 2011

Opinion Dynamics in Gendered Social Networks: An Examination of Female Engagement Teams in Afghanistan, Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, & Prediction (SBP12), December 2011

Sizing Strategies in Scarce Environments, Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, & Prediction (SBP12), December 2011

The Impact of Network Structure on the Perturbation Dynamics of a Multi-agent Economic Model, Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, & Prediction (SBP12), December 2011

Complex Adaptive System of Systems (CASoS) Engineering Environment Version 1.0, February 2012

Modeling and Risk Analysis of Information Sharing in the Financial Infrastructure Chapter 2 in Collaborative Financial Infrastructure Protection: Tools, Abstractions, and Middleware, Baldoni R and Chockler G, eds., Springer, January 2012.

Complex Adaptive Systems of Systems (CASoS) Engineering and Foundations for Global Design, January 2012

Modeling Tribal Leadership Dynamics: An Opinion Dynamics Model of Pashtun Leadership Selection, January 2012

A General Model of Resource Production and Exchange in Systems of Interdependent Specialists, November 2011

Complex Adaptive Systems of Systems (CASoS) Engineering Framework Version 1.0, November 2011

Complex Adaptive System of Systems (CASoS) Engineering Applications Version 1.0, October 2011

Web Analytics for Security Informatics, Sandia National Laboratories white paper, 2011

Overview of the DHS/SNL National Transportation Fuel Model, October 2011

Phoenix: Complex Adaptive System of Systems (CASoS) Engineering Version 1.0, October 2011

The Value of Utilizing Stochastic Mapping of Food Distribution Networks for Understanding Risks and Tracing Contaminant Pathways, Conf on Infrastructure Systems: Challenges and Research For Next Generation Infrastructures in the 21st Century, November 2011

A Multi-scale Paradigm to Design Policy Options for Obesity Prevention: Exploring the Integration of Individual-Based Modeling and System Dynamics, 29th Intl Conf of the System Dynamics Society, July 2011

Extending Opinion Dynamics to Model Public Health Problems and Analyze Public Policy Interventions,29th Intl Conf of the System Dynamics Society,July 2011

Development of an Agent Based Model for the Inter-operation Transfer of Cattle within the Livestock Industry, 29th Intl Conf of the System Dynamics Society, July 2011

Developing a theory of the societal lifecycle of cigarette smoking: Explaining and anticipating trends using information feedback,29th Intl Conf of the System Dynamics Society, July 2011

A Systems Approach to Assessing Nonproliferation Strategies, Institute of Nuclear Materials Management (INMM) 52nd Annual Meeting, July 2011

Emerging Topic Detection for Business Intelligence via Predictive Analysis of ‘Meme’ Dynamics, Sandia National Laboratories white paper, 2011

Complex Adaptive Systems of Systems (CASoS) Engineering: Mapping Aspirations to Problem Solutions, 8th Intl Conf on Complex Systems (ICCS 2011), July 2011

Modeling Systems of Interacting Specialists, 8th Intl Conf on Complex Systems (ICCS 2011), July 2011

Public Health Care as a Complex Adaptive System of Systems, 8th Intl Conf on Complex Systems (ICCS 2011), July 2011

Extending Opinion Dynamics to Model Public Health Problems and Analyze Public Policy Interventions, 8th Intl Conf on Complex Systems (ICCS 2011), July 2011

Integrating Uncertainty Analysis into Complex-System Modeling to Design Effective Public Policy I: Preliminary Findings, 8th Intl Conf on Complex Systems (ICCS 2011), July 2011

Application of a Complex Adaptive Systems of Systems Analysis Approach to Tobacco Products, 8th Intl Conf on Complex Systems (ICCS 2011), July 2011

Abstract: Applications of Self-calibrating Hybrid Causal-Learning Systems to Opinion Dynamics Modeling, 8th Intl Conf on Complex Systems (ICCS 2011), July 2011

An Input-Output Procedure for Calculating Economy-Wide Economic Impacts in Supply Chains Using Homeland Security Consequence Analysis Tools, 2010 Regional Science Association International (RSAI) Meeting, November 2010

Uncertainty Quantification and Validation of Combined Hydrological and Macroeconomic Analyses. Sandia National Laboratories Report, September 2010

Pandemic Influenza and Complex Adaptive System of Systems (CASoS) Engineering, 27th International System Dynamics Conf, July 2009 (invited)

Congestion and Cascades in Interdependent Payment Systems, Sandia National Laboratories report, March 2009

A General Engineering Framework for the Definition, Design, Testing and Actualization of Solutions within Complex Adaptive Systems of Systems (CASoS) with Application to the Global Energy System (GES), December 2008

Sandia National Laboratories: A Roadmap for the Complex Adaptive Systems of Systems CASoS) Engineering Initiative, September 2008

Performance and Resilience to liquidity disruptions in interdependent RTGS payment systems, Joint Bank of France & European Central Bank Conference on Liquidity in interdependent transfer systems, June 2008

Towards Risk-Based Management of Critical Infrastructures: Enabling Insights and Analysis Methodologies from a Focused Study of the Bulk Power Grid, January 2008

Congestion and Cascades in Coupled Payment Systems, Bank of Finland 5th Payment and Settlement Simulation Seminar and Workshop, August 2007

The Payments System and the Market for Interbank Funds, Part 4 in New Directions for Understanding Systemic Risk, Economic Policy Review, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 2007.

New Approaches for Payment System Simulation Research, Chapter 2 of: Simulation studies of liquidity needs, risks and efficiency in payment networks, Proceedings from the Bank of Finland Payment and Settlement System Seminars 2005-2006, Harry Leinonen ed.,

Congestion and Cascades in Coupled Payment Systems, Joint Bank of England & European Central Bank Conference on Payments and monetary and financial stability, November 2007

Design of Community Containment for Pandemic Influenza with Loki-Infect, October 2007

An Agent-Based Model Component to a Framework for the Analysis of Terrorist-Group Dynamics, February 2006

Local Mitigation Strategies for Pandemic Influenza, December 2005

Advanced Simulation for Analysis of Critical Infrastructure: Abstract Cascades, the Electric power grid, and Fedwire, 2004

Growth and Defection in Hierarchical, Synergistic Networks, Sandia National Laboratories report, September 2003

Defining Research and Development Directions for Modeling and Simulation of Complex, Interdependent Adaptive Infrastructures, 2003