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Global Sensitivity Analysis and Estimation of Model Error, Toward Uncertainty Quantification in Scramjet Computations

AIAA Journal

Huan, Xun H.; Safta, Cosmin S.; Sargsyan, Khachik S.; Geraci, Gianluca G.; Eldred, Michael S.; Vane, Zachary P.; Lacaze, Guilhem M.; Oefelein, Joseph C.; Najm, H.N.

The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress toward optimal engine designs requires accurate flow simulations together with uncertainty quantification. However, performing uncertainty quantification for scramjet simulations is challenging due to the large number of uncertain parameters involved and the high computational cost of flow simulations. These difficulties are addressed in this paper by developing practical uncertainty quantification algorithms and computational methods, and deploying them in the current study to large-eddy simulations of a jet in crossflow inside a simplified HIFiRE Direct Connect Rig scramjet combustor. First, global sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify influential uncertain input parameters, which can help reduce the system’s stochastic dimension. Second, because models of different fidelity are used in the overall uncertainty quantification assessment, a framework for quantifying and propagating the uncertainty due to model error is presented. In conclusion, these methods are demonstrated on a nonreacting jet-in-crossflow test problem in a simplified scramjet geometry, with parameter space up to 24 dimensions, using static and dynamic treatments of the turbulence subgrid model, and with two-dimensional and three-dimensional geometries.

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Global sensitivity analysis and estimation of model error, toward uncertainty quantification in scramjet computations

AIAA Journal

Huan, Xun H.; Safta, Cosmin S.; Sargsyan, Khachik S.; Geraci, Gianluca G.; Eldred, Michael S.; Vane, Zachary P.; Lacaze, Guilhem; Oefelein, Joseph C.; Najm, H.N.

The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress toward optimal engine designs requires accurate flow simulations together with uncertainty quantification. However, performing uncertainty quantification for scramjet simulations is challenging due to the large number of uncertainparameters involvedandthe high computational costofflow simulations. These difficulties are addressedin this paper by developing practical uncertainty quantification algorithms and computational methods, and deploying themin the current studyto large-eddy simulations ofajet incrossflow inside a simplified HIFiRE Direct Connect Rig scramjet combustor. First, global sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify influential uncertain input parameters, which can help reduce the system's stochastic dimension. Second, because models of different fidelity are used in the overall uncertainty quantification assessment, a framework for quantifying and propagating the uncertainty due to model error is presented. These methods are demonstrated on a nonreacting jet-in-crossflow test problem in a simplified scramjet geometry, with parameter space up to 24 dimensions, using static and dynamic treatments of the turbulence subgrid model, and with two-dimensional and three-dimensional geometries.

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Multifidelity statistical analysis of large eddy simulations in scramjet computations

AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference, 2018

Huan, Xun H.; Geraci, Gianluca G.; Safta, Cosmin S.; Eldred, Michael S.; Sargsyan, Khachik S.; Vane, Zachary P.; Oefelein, Joseph C.; Najm, H.N.

The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress towards optimal engine designs requires accurate and computationally affordable flow simulations, as well as uncertainty quantification (UQ). While traditional UQ techniques can become prohibitive under expensive simulations and high-dimensional parameter spaces, polynomial chaos (PC) surrogate modeling is a useful tool for alleviating some of the computational burden. However, non-intrusive quadrature-based constructions of PC expansions relying on a single high-fidelity model can still be quite expensive. We thus introduce a two-stage numerical procedure for constructing PC surrogates while making use of multiple models of different fidelity. The first stage involves an initial dimension reduction through global sensitivity analysis using compressive sensing. The second stage utilizes adaptive sparse quadrature on a multifidelity expansion to compute PC surrogate coefficients in the reduced parameter space where quadrature methods can be more effective. The overall method is used to produce accurate surrogates and to propagate uncertainty induced by uncertain boundary conditions and turbulence model parameters, for performance quantities of interest from large eddy simulations of supersonic reactive flows inside a scramjet engine.

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Global sensitivity analysis and quantification of model error for large eddy simulation in scramjet design

19th AIAA Non-Deterministic Approaches Conference, 2017

Huan, Xun H.; Safta, Cosmin S.; Sargsyan, Khachik S.; Geraci, Gianluca G.; Eldred, Michael S.; Vane, Zachary P.; Lacaze, Guilhem M.; Oefelein, Joseph C.; Najm, H.N.

The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress towards optimal engine designs requires both accurate flow simulations as well as uncertainty quantification (UQ). However, performing UQ for scramjet simulations is challenging due to the large number of uncertain parameters involved and the high computational cost of flow simulations. We address these difficulties by combining UQ algorithms and numerical methods to the large eddy simulation of the HIFiRE scramjet configuration. First, global sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify influential uncertain input parameters, helping reduce the stochastic dimension of the problem and discover sparse representations. Second, as models of different fidelity are available and inevitably used in the overall UQ assessment, a framework for quantifying and propagating the uncertainty due to model error is introduced. These methods are demonstrated on a non-reacting scramjet unit problem with parameter space up to 24 dimensions, using 2D and 3D geometries with static and dynamic treatments of the turbulence subgrid model.

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16 Results
16 Results