Progress in Scramjet Design Optimization Under Uncertainty Using Simulations of the HIFire Configuration
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This study explores a Bayesian calibration framework for the RAMPAGE alloy potential model for Cu-Ni and Cu-Zr systems, respectively. In RAMPAGE potentials, it is proposed that once calibrated potentials for individual elements are available, the inter-species interac- tions can be described by fitting a Morse potential for pair interactions with three parameters, while densities for the embedding function can be scaled by two parameters from the elemen- tal densities. Global sensitivity analysis tools were employed to understand the impact each parameter has on the MD simulation results. A transitional Markov Chain Monte Carlo al- gorithm was used to generate samples from the multimodal posterior distribution consistent with the discrepancy between MD simulation results and DFT data. For the Cu-Ni system the posterior predictive tests indicate that the fitted interatomic potential model agrees well with the DFT data, justifying the basic RAMPAGE assumtions. For the Cu-Zr system, where the phase diagram suggests more complicated atomic interactions than in the case of Cu-Ni, the RAMPAGE potential captured only a subset of the DFT data. The resulting posterior distri- bution for the 5 model parameters exhibited several modes, with each mode corresponding to specific simulation data and a suboptimal agreement with the DFT results.
In this work we propose an approach for accelerating Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) analysis in the context of Multifidelity applications. In the presence of complex multiphysics applications, which often require a prohibitive computational cost for each evaluation, mul- tifidelity UQ techniques try to accelerate the convergence of statistics by leveraging the in- formation collected from a larger number of a lower fidelity model realizations. However, at the-state-of-the-art, the performance of virtually all the multifidelity UQ techniques is related to the correlation between the high and low-fidelity models. In this work we proposed to design a multifidelity UQ framework based on the identification of independent important directions for each model. The main idea is that if the responses of each model can be represented in a common space, this latter can be shared to enhance the correlation when the samples are drawn with respect to it instead of the original variables. There are also two main additional advantages that follow from this approach. First, the models might be correlated even if their original parametrizations are chosen independently. Second, if the shared space between mod- els has a lower dimensionality than the original spaces, the UQ analysis might benefit from a dimension reduction standpoint. In this work we designed this general framework and we also tested it on several test problems ranging from analytical functions for verification purpose, up to more challenging application problems as an aero-thermo-structural analysis and a scramjet flow analysis.
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AIAA Journal
The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress toward optimal engine designs requires accurate flow simulations together with uncertainty quantification. However, performing uncertainty quantification for scramjet simulations is challenging due to the large number of uncertain parameters involved and the high computational cost of flow simulations. These difficulties are addressed in this paper by developing practical uncertainty quantification algorithms and computational methods, and deploying them in the current study to large-eddy simulations of a jet in crossflow inside a simplified HIFiRE Direct Connect Rig scramjet combustor. First, global sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify influential uncertain input parameters, which can help reduce the system’s stochastic dimension. Second, because models of different fidelity are used in the overall uncertainty quantification assessment, a framework for quantifying and propagating the uncertainty due to model error is presented. Finally, these methods are demonstrated on a nonreacting jet-in-crossflow test problem in a simplified scramjet geometry, with parameter space up to 24 dimensions, using static and dynamic treatments of the turbulence subgrid model, and with two-dimensional and three-dimensional geometries.
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AIAA Journal
The development of scramjet engines is an important research area for advancing hypersonic and orbital flights. Progress toward optimal engine designs requires accurate flow simulations together with uncertainty quantification. However, performing uncertainty quantification for scramjet simulations is challenging due to the large number of uncertainparameters involvedandthe high computational costofflow simulations. These difficulties are addressedin this paper by developing practical uncertainty quantification algorithms and computational methods, and deploying themin the current studyto large-eddy simulations ofajet incrossflow inside a simplified HIFiRE Direct Connect Rig scramjet combustor. First, global sensitivity analysis is conducted to identify influential uncertain input parameters, which can help reduce the system's stochastic dimension. Second, because models of different fidelity are used in the overall uncertainty quantification assessment, a framework for quantifying and propagating the uncertainty due to model error is presented. These methods are demonstrated on a nonreacting jet-in-crossflow test problem in a simplified scramjet geometry, with parameter space up to 24 dimensions, using static and dynamic treatments of the turbulence subgrid model, and with two-dimensional and three-dimensional geometries.
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