Publications

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A Regional Model of Climate Change and Human Migration

International Journal of System Dynamics Applications

Asmeret Bier Naugle, George A. Backus, Vincent C. Tidwell, Elizabeth James Kistin Keller, Daniel Villa

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1487419

Journal Article – 2018 Journal Article 2018

National security implications from tipping events centered in Arctic waters

The Effects of Climate Change on the World's Oceans

Diana L Bull, Kara J. Peterson, George A. Backus, Jasper O. E. Hardesty, Amy Jo Powell, Asmeret Bier Naugle, William Eugene Hart

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1525571

Conference Paper – 2018 Conference Paper 2018

Methodologies to Optimize Changing National Security Preparedness Demands Arising with Increasing Arctic Access

DOD 2018 Arctic Science & Technology Synchronization Workshop

Diana L Bull, George A. Backus, Jasper O. E. Hardesty, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Lawson Brigham, William Eugene Hart

Abstract – 2018 Abstract 2018

Methodologies to Optimize Changing National Security Preparedness Demands Arising with Increasing Arctic Access

2018 DOD Arctic Science and Technology Synchronization Workshop

Diana L Bull, George A. Backus, Jasper O. E. Hardesty, Asmeret Bier Naugle, William Eugene Hart, Lawson Brigham

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1525598

Conference Paper – 2018 Conference Paper 2018

Anticipating The Potential Range Of Behaviors For Individuals Interacting Within Societies

Modeling Sociocultural Influences On Decision Makingassessing Conflict And Stability

Michael Lewis Bernard, George A. Backus, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Robert Fredric Jeffers, Regan W Damron

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1762020

Book – 2015 Book 2015

Climate Induced Spillover and Implications for U.S. Security

Vincent C. Tidwell, Asmeret Bier Naugle, George A. Backus, Kathryn Marie Lott, Elizabeth James Kistin Keller, Peter H. Kobos, Daniel Villa

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1227342

SAND Report – 2015 SAND Report 2015

A Regional Model of Human Migration and Climate Change Effects

International Migration, Integration and Social Cohesion in Europe (IMISOCE) Conference

Asmeret Bier Naugle, George A. Backus, Vincent C. Tidwell, Elizabeth James Kistin Keller

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1268974

Conference Paper – 2015 Conference Paper 2015

A Regional Model of Human Migration and Climate Change Effects

2015 IMISCOE Annual Conference

Asmeret Bier Naugle, George A. Backus, Vincent C. Tidwell, Elizabeth James Kistin Keller, Daniel Villa

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1270923

Conference Paper – 2015 Conference Paper 2015

Modeling Sociocultural Influences On Decision Making: Understanding Conflict, Enabling Stability

Modeling Sociocultural Influences on Decision Making

George A. Backus, Michael Lewis Bernard, Asmeret Bier Naugle

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1196125

Book – 2015 Book 2015

Arctic Climate Systems Analysis

Mark D. Ivey, David G. Robinson, Mark B. Boslough, George A. Backus, Kara J. Peterson, Bart G van Bloemen Waanders, Laura Painton Swiler, Darin Maurice Desilets, Rhonda Karen Reinert

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1177602

SAND Report – 2015 SAND Report 2015

Simulating Behavioral Responses in International Security Settings

System Dynamcics Winter Camp

George A. Backus, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Michael Lewis Bernard, Munaf Syed Aamir, Matthew R. Glickman, Robert Fredric Jeffers, Austin Ray Silva, Derek Trumbo, Stephen Joseph Verzi

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1244850

Conference Paper – 2015 Conference Paper 2015

Climate, Natural Resources and Human Migration

Science and Technology Policy Gordon Research Conference

Vincent C. Tidwell, George A. Backus, Theresa J. Brown, Prabuddha Sanyal, Daniel Villa, Elizabeth James Kistin Keller, Asmeret Bier Naugle

Presentation (non-conference) – 2014 Presentation (non-conference) 2014

Sustainable Resilience and the Spill-Over Effect

8th Conference on Sustainable Development of Energy, Water and Environment Systems

Vincent C. Tidwell, George A. Backus, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Daniel Villa, Theresa J. Brown, Nancy E. Brune, Elizabeth James Kistin Keller, Nancy Kay Hayden

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1115091

Conference Paper – 2013 Conference Paper 2013

Sustainable Resilience and the Spill-Over Effect

8th Conference on Sustanable Development of Energy, Water, and Enviornment Systems

Vincent C. Tidwell, George A. Backus, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Daniel Villa, Theresa J. Brown, Nancy E. Brune, Elizabeth James Kistin Keller, Nancy Kay Hayden

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1106042

Conference Paper – 2013 Conference Paper 2013

Using a hybrid cognitive-system dynamics model to anticipate the influence of events and actions on human behavior

International Conference of the System Dynamics Society

Asmeret Bier Naugle, Michael Lewis Bernard, George A. Backus, Matthew R. Glickman, Stephen Joseph Verzi

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1290129

Conference Paper – 2011 Conference Paper 2011

Using a Hybrid Cognitive-System Dynamics Model to Anticipate the Influence of Events and Actions on Human Behaviors

29th International Conference of the System Dynamics Society

Michael Lewis Bernard, George A. Backus, Matthew R. Glickman, Stephen Joseph Verzi

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1109155

Conference Paper – 2011 Conference Paper 2011

Robust Emergent Climate Phenomena Associated with the High-Sensitivity Tail

2010 American Geophysical Union (AGU) Fall Meeting

Randall Lee Mayes, Michael Nathan Levy, George A. Backus

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1035994

Conference Paper – 2010 Conference Paper 2010

Modeling Populations of Interest in Order to Simulate Cultural Response to Influence Activities

Second International Workshop on Social Computing Behavior Modeling, and Prediction

Michael Lewis Bernard, George A. Backus, Matthew R. Glickman, Chaarles Gieseler, Russel Waymire

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1142526

Conference Paper – 2009 Conference Paper 2009

The Arctic as a Test Case for an Assessment of Climate Impacts on National Security

Randall Lee Mayes, Mark Alan Taylor, Bernard D. Zak, George A. Backus

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:945918

SAND Report – 2008 SAND Report 2008

R&D for Computational Cognitive and Social Models: Foundations for Model Evaluation through Verification and Validation (Final LDRD Report)

Laura A. McNamara, Timothy G. Trucano, George A. Backus, Scott A. Mitchell, Alexander Slepoy

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:945901

SAND Report – 2008 SAND Report 2008

Verification and validation as applied epistemology

Arrowhead Conference on Complex Systemsq

Laura A. McNamara, Timothy G. Trucano, George A. Backus

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:952371

Conference Paper – 2008 Conference Paper 2008

Climate Change Effects on International Stability: A White Paper

Randall Lee Mayes, Joy Fuji, Rhonda Reinert, James Allen Sprigg, George A. Backus, Mark Alan Taylor, Laura A. McNamara, Kathryn M Murphy, Leonard A. Malczynski

https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:920790

SAND Report – 2005 SAND Report 2005
Document Title Type Year