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Publication	Type	Year
Graph-Based Similarity Metrics for Comparing Simulations and Causal Loop Diagrams International System Dynamics Conference Asmeret Bier Naugle, Laura Painton Swiler, Kiran Lakkaraju, Stephen Joseph Verzi, Christina E. Warrender, Michael Lewis Bernard, Vicente J. Romero https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1641241	Conference Paper – 2019 Conference Paper	2019
Complexity metrics for Agent Based Models of Social Systems The 20th International Workshop on Multi-Agent-Based Simulation Kiran Lakkaraju, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Stephen Joseph Verzi, Laura Painton Swiler, Michael Livesay, Christina E. Warrender, Michael Lewis Bernard, Vicente J. Romero https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1639730	Conference Paper – 2019 Conference Paper	2019
A Regional Model of Climate Change and Human Migration International Journal of System Dynamics Applications Asmeret Bier Naugle, George A. Backus, Vincent C. Tidwell, Elizabeth James Kistin Keller, Daniel Villa https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1487419	Journal Article – 2018 Journal Article	2018
Autonomy and the Future of Work 36th International Systems Dynamics Society Conference Nancy Kay Hayden, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Mark A. Smith https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1576182	Conference Paper – 2018 Conference Paper	2018
Autonomy and the Future of Work: A work in progress 36th International Systems Dynamics Society Conference Nancy Kay Hayden, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Mark A. Smith	Abstract – 2018 Abstract	2018
A Multi-tiered Complexity Metric The Ninth International Conference on Complex Systems (ICCS) 2018 Asmeret Bier Naugle, Kiran Lakkaraju, Stephen Joseph Verzi, Laura Painton Swiler, Vicente J. Romero, Michael Lewis Bernard https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1570180	Conference Paper – 2018 Conference Paper	2018
National security implications from tipping events centered in Arctic waters The Effects of Climate Change on the World's Oceans Diana L Bull, Kara J. Peterson, George A. Backus, Jasper O. E. Hardesty, Amy Jo Powell, Asmeret Bier Naugle, William Eugene Hart https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1525571	Conference Paper – 2018 Conference Paper	2018
Methodologies to Optimize Changing National Security Preparedness Demands Arising with Increasing Arctic Access DOD 2018 Arctic Science & Technology Synchronization Workshop Diana L Bull, George A. Backus, Jasper O. E. Hardesty, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Lawson Brigham, William Eugene Hart	Abstract – 2018 Abstract	2018
Methodologies to Optimize Changing National Security Preparedness Demands Arising with Increasing Arctic Access 2018 DOD Arctic Science and Technology Synchronization Workshop Diana L Bull, George A. Backus, Jasper O. E. Hardesty, Asmeret Bier Naugle, William Eugene Hart, Lawson Brigham https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1525598	Conference Paper – 2018 Conference Paper	2018
Computational Simulation of Behavior of Individuals, Groups, & Societies Chesapeake Large-Scale Analytics Conference Asmeret Bier Naugle https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1503414	Conference Paper – 2017 Conference Paper	2017
Moving Target Defense, Cyber Systems, and Complexity Presentation to Dr. Richard Linderman and Dr. Paul Antonik Stephen Joseph Verzi, Alexander V. Outkin, Stephen T. Jones, Jared Lee Gearhart, Jacob Aaron Hobbs, John Daniel Siirola, Cynthia Ann Phillips, Daniel Tauritz, Samuel A. Mulder, Asmeret Bier Naugle	Presentation (non-conference) – 2017 Presentation (non-conference)	2017
Proxy War in the Grey Zone International Conference of the System Dynamics Society Asmeret Bier Naugle, Michael Lewis Bernard https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1506924	Conference Paper – 2017 Conference Paper	2017
Proxy War in the Gray Zone International System Dynamics Conference Asmeret Bier Naugle, Michael Lewis Bernard https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1456327	Conference Paper – 2017 Conference Paper	2017
Examining How Perception of External Threat Influences the Popularity of Government Leaders 8th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics Michael Lewis Bernard, Asmeret Bier Naugle https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1426631	Conference Paper – 2017 Conference Paper	2017
Simulating behavioral drivers of gray zone conflict I/itsec Asmeret Bier Naugle, Michael Lewis Bernard	Abstract – 2017 Abstract	2017
Recommended Research Directions for Improving the Validation of Complex Systems Models Eric D. Vugrin, Timothy G. Trucano, Laura Painton Swiler, Patrick D. Finley, Tatiana Paz Flanagan, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Jeffrey Y. Tsao, Stephen Joseph Verzi https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1367494	SAND Report – 2017 SAND Report	2017
Behavioral Interactions Between Extremist Groups System Dynamics Winter Camp Asmeret Bier Naugle, Michael Lewis Bernard https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1421357	Conference Paper – 2017 Conference Paper	2017
PLADD: Deterring Attacks on Cyber Systems and Moving Target Defense 2017 INFORMS Computing Society Conference Stephen T. Jones, Alexander V. Outkin, Jared Lee Gearhart, Jacob Aaron Hobbs, John Daniel Siirola, Cynthia Ann Phillips, Stephen Joseph Verzi, Daniel Tauritz, Samuel A. Mulder, Asmeret Bier Naugle https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1417561	Conference Paper – 2017 Conference Paper	2017
Simulating the dynamics of the 2007 estonian cyber attacks Winter Simulation Conference Asmeret Bier Naugle, Michael Lewis Bernard, Itamara Lochard https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1414648	Conference Paper – 2016 Conference Paper	2016
PLADD: Deterring Attacks on Cyber Systems and Moving Target Defense Informs 2017 Alexander V. Outkin, Stephen T. Jones, Jared Lee Gearhart, Jacob Aaron Hobbs, John Daniel Siirola, Cynthia Ann Phillips, Stephen Joseph Verzi, Daniel Tauritz, John Mulder, Asmeret Bier Naugle	Abstract – 2016 Abstract	2016
CSVVUQ Workshop Footprint_20160728 Jeffrey Y. Tsao, Timothy G. Trucano, Stephen D. Kleban, Asmeret Bier Naugle, Stephen Joseph Verzi, Laura Painton Swiler, Curtis Martin Johnson, Mark A. Smith, Tatiana Paz Flanagan, Eric D. Vugrin, Kasimir Georg Gabert, Matthew Samuel Lave, Wei Chen (Northwestern), Daniel DeLaurentis (Purdue), Alfred Hubler (Univerisity of Illinois at Urbana Champagne), Bill Oberkampf (WLO Consulting) https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1431458	SAND Report – 2016 SAND Report	2016
Using Computational Modeling to Examine Shifts Towards Extremist Behaviors in European Diaspora Communities 7th International Conference on Applied Human Factors and Ergonomics 2016 and the Affiliated Conferences Michael Lewis Bernard, Asmeret Bier Naugle https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1506179	Conference Paper – 2016 Conference Paper	2016
Model/Use Characteristics that Can Challenge Current VVUQ: Building Credible Models Sandia National Laboratories Workshop on Complex Systems Models and Their ApplicationsTowards a New Science of Verification, Validation and Uncertai Stephen Joseph Verzi, Asmeret Bier Naugle https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1366869	Conference Paper – 2016 Conference Paper	2016
DYMATICA Modeling & Assessment: Current Work and Capabilities Visit with Argonne Personnel Asmeret Bier Naugle, Michael Lewis Bernard	Presentation (non-conference) – 2016 Presentation (non-conference)	2016
Stochastic Adversarial Modeling for Evaluating Trust in Systems and Effectiveness of Moving Target Defense 2016 Cis Erb Alexander V. Outkin, Brandon K Eames, Todd Jones, Eric D. Vugrin, Cynthia Ann Phillips, Sarah Elizabeth Walsh, Jacob Aaron Hobbs, Jared Lee Gearhart, John Daniel Siirola, Stephen Joseph Verzi, Asmeret Bier Naugle https://www.osti.gov/search/identifier:1530048	Display or Poster (non-conference) – 2016 Display or Poster (non-conference)	2016
Document Title	Type	Year

Results 26–50 of 79

Publications

Graph-Based Similarity Metrics for Comparing Simulations and Causal Loop Diagrams

Complexity metrics for Agent Based Models of Social Systems

A Regional Model of Climate Change and Human Migration

Autonomy and the Future of Work

Autonomy and the Future of Work: A work in progress

A Multi-tiered Complexity Metric

National security implications from tipping events centered in Arctic waters

Methodologies to Optimize Changing National Security Preparedness Demands Arising with Increasing Arctic Access

Methodologies to Optimize Changing National Security Preparedness Demands Arising with Increasing Arctic Access

Computational Simulation of Behavior of Individuals, Groups, & Societies

Moving Target Defense, Cyber Systems, and Complexity

Proxy War in the Grey Zone

Proxy War in the Gray Zone

Examining How Perception of External Threat Influences the Popularity of Government Leaders

Simulating behavioral drivers of gray zone conflict

Recommended Research Directions for Improving the Validation of Complex Systems Models

Behavioral Interactions Between Extremist Groups

PLADD: Deterring Attacks on Cyber Systems and Moving Target Defense

Simulating the dynamics of the 2007 estonian cyber attacks

PLADD: Deterring Attacks on Cyber Systems and Moving Target Defense

CSVVUQ Workshop Footprint_20160728

Using Computational Modeling to Examine Shifts Towards Extremist Behaviors in European Diaspora Communities

Model/Use Characteristics that Can Challenge Current VVUQ: Building Credible Models

DYMATICA Modeling & Assessment: Current Work and Capabilities

Stochastic Adversarial Modeling for Evaluating Trust in Systems and Effectiveness of Moving Target Defense