Application: Resource and Exchange Dynamics

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Infrastructures are networks of dynamically interacting systems designed for the flow of information, energy, and materials. Under certain circumstances, disturbances from a targeted attack or natural disasters can cause cascading failures within and between infrastructures that result in significant service losses and long recovery times.

Modeling capabilities are needed to evaluate the robustness of various systems and to identify factors that control the scale and duration of disruption. The capability described here lays the foundation for developing advanced system security solutions that encompass both external shocks and internal dynamics.

Background

Publications

• 2nd International Conference on Complex Sciences: Theory and Applications (COMPLEX 2012), December 2012, Santa Fe, NM
• The Crossover Point: Comparing Policies to Mitigate Disruptions, Matthew Antognoli, Marshall A. Kuypers, Rowan Copley, Walter E. Beyeler, Michael Mitchell, and Robert J. Glass, December 2012 (2012-9319C) (Presentation)
• Behaviors of Actors in a Resource-Exchange Model of Geopolitics, Curtis S. Cooper, Walter E. Beyeler, Jacob A. Hobbs, Michael Mitchell, Z. Rowan Copley, and Matthew Antognoli, December 2012 (2012-9475C)
• A Policy of Strategic Petroleum Market Reserves, Michael D. Mitchell, Walter E. Beyeler, Matthew Antognoli, Marshall Kuypers, and Robert J. Glass, December 2012 (2012-9372C) (Presentation)
• To Trade or Not to Trade: Analyzing how Perturbations Travel in Sparsely Connected Networks, Marshall A. Kuypers, Walter E. Beyeler, Matthew Antognoli, Michael Mitchell, and Robert J. Glass, December 2012 (2012-8507C) (Presentation)
• Help from Hoarders: How Storage Can Dampen Perturbations in Critical Markets, Marshall A. Kuypers, Walter E. Beyeler, Matthew Antognoli, Michael Mitchell, Robert J. Glass, December 2012 (2012-8506C) (Presentation)

The Value of Using Stochastic Mapping of Food Distribution Networks for Understanding Risks and Tracing Contaminant Pathways, Stephen H. Conrad, Walter E. Beyeler, Theresa J. Brown, Int. J. Critical Infrastructures, Vol. 8, Nos. 2/3, September 2012, 216-224.

2012 International Conference on Social Computing, Behavioral-Cultural Modeling, & Prediction (SBP12), April 2012, College Park, MD

• Creating Interaction Environments: Defining a two-sided market model of the development and dominance of platforms, Walter E. Beyeler, Andjelka Kelic, Patrick D. Finley, Munaf Aamir, Alexander V. Outkin, Stephen H. Conrad, Michael D. Mitchell, Vanessa A. Vargas, December 2011 (2011-8777 C)

• Sizing Strategies in Scarce Environments, Michael D. Mitchell, Walter E. Beyeler, Robert J. Glass, Matthew Antognoli, Thomas W. Moore, December 2011 (2011-8675 C) (Presentation)

• The Impact of Network Structure on the Perturbation Dynamics of a Multi-agent Economic Model, Marshall A. Kuypers, Walter E. Beyeler, Robert J. Glass, Matthew Antognoli, Michael Mitchell, December 2011 (2011-8676 C)

Complex Adaptive Systems of Systems (CASoS) Engineering and Foundations for Global Design, Robert J. Glass, Walter E Beyeler, Arlo L. Ames, Theresa J. Brown, S. Louise Maffitt, Nancy Brodsky, Patrick D. Finley, Thomas Moore, Michael Mitchell, John M. Linebarger, January 2012 (2012-0675)

A General Model of Resource Production and Exchange in Systems of Interdependent Specialists, Walter E. Beyeler, Robert J. Glass, Patrick D. Finley, Tu-Thach Quach, Michael D. Mitchell, Matthew Antognoli, Mathew Norton, Marshall Kuypers, Peter Breen, Theresa J. Brown, Stephen H. Conrad, November 2011 (2011-8887)

International Society of Dynamic Games Workshop, Rabat, Morocco, September 2007

• Effect of Learning and Market Structure on Price Level and Volatility in a Simple Market, WE Beyeler, K Soramaki and RJ Glass (2007-5673 P)