Application Background: Livestock Transfer Risks

• Goal /Aspiration for Project
• Provide a tool that helps give the cattle industry the ability to look at where the greatest risk lies for widespread transmission of infectious disease
• Identify management strategies that provide an economic incentive for industry participants to act in ways that enhance biosecurity and diminish the likelihood for widespread disease outbreak
• Understand how the mixing, movement, and close confinement of livestock can impact the likelihood and magnitude of infectious disease outbreaks
• Track the propagation of bovine tuberculosis (TB) in beef cattle (with expansion to dairy cattle and the propagation of additional diseases such as foot-and-mouth disease (FMD) and Rift Valley Fever)
• Measure the consequences of credible foreign animal disease outbreak scenarios
• Evaluate the efficacy of disease monitoring and prevention policies

• Evaluate the effectiveness of a variety of protocols for outbreak mitigation

• Perform virtual trace-back from the first detection of diseased animals to delimit the point of disease origin
• Perform virtual trace-forward from point of disease origin to identify the population of potentially exposed animals
• Approach/Methods/Models
• Detailed network of animal movement and interaction
• Acknowledgements
  • State of New Mexico Livestock Board