Application Background: VA Healthcare
- Goal /Aspiration for Project
- To model the health care system of the VHA as a complex adaptive system of systems, assess the effects of threat scenarios of consequence, and develop appropriate mitigation strategies to counter those threats.
- Approach/Methods/Models
- To decompose the VA health care system into the fundamental building-blocks of medical physics, organizational physics, and social physics
- To develop a model that allows the investigation of how local policies affect the organization as a whole, and vice versa, developing a framework capable of analyzing organizational behaviors and constraints within complex hierarchical networks
- Status, Accomplishments and Next Steps
- Successful demonstration in September 2010 of an initial implementation of fundamental medical and organizational physics, both in steady-state and under perturbation (threat), for a single Medical Service Unit (MSU) and a network of MSUs
- Next steps are to generate results for a network of healthcare facilities subjected to two types of surges in demand: 1) a spike, representing a natural disaster which introduces patients with acute trauma requiring immediate treatment, and 2) a steady increase in demand imposed by the increasing prevalence of hepatitis C, which can result in a population with a significantly increased burden of end-stage liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma. Policy actions to be evaluated include striking the right balance between medical center-level policies and network-level policies (issues of multi-level selection), cost-effective resource utilization, and mediating resource conflicts.
- CASoS Goals: General Capabilities
- To create a general framework for public health action that uses medical physics, organizational physics, social physics, perturbations, and uncertainty quantification as fundamental components
- To contribute a flexible timer-based simulation mechanism, that supports both stochastic and deterministic execution, to the Loki toolkit
- CASoS Goals: Other Potential Applications
- This framework for public health action could be extended to other health care networks, such as private health care systems and the Department of Defense(DoD) health care system
- The framework could be extended to address issues of multi-level selection in any hierarchical organization
- Acknowledgements
- This application is funded by the Office of Public Health and Environmental Hazards (OPHEH) in the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) of the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA).

